Silver: Daily Reversal Possible at Supply ZoneI'm anticipating a potential daily reversal in silver prices. Retail traders are maintaining a bullish stance, while commercial traders remain heavily short. The current price action suggests a possible reaction to a key supply area. What are your thoughts on the likelihood of a reversal, and what technical indicators might support or refute this potential shift?
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Commodities
GOLD Is Very Bullish! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 3,324.35.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 3,358.66 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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DeGRAM | GOLD rebound📊 Technical Analysis
● Price is coiling inside a contracting triangle whose base sits on the blue up-sloping support line (~3 312); successive higher reaction-lows signal buyers defending trend structure.
● A 1 h candle through the triangle top 3 330 would confirm breakout and allow a run to the June swing cap at 3 345, with the pattern’s measured move aligning with the channel mid-band at 3 389.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Powell’s testimony hinting at “better balance” in the labour market trimmed 2-yr real yields, while latest IMF data show central-bank gold buying expanding for a fourth month, underpinning spot demand.
✨ Summary
Long 3 312-3 330; breakout >3 330 targets 3 345 → 3 389. Bull view void on an H1 close below 3 300.
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4‑Hour Technical Framework- 8th July 2025Current Price: ~$3,330
Timeframe Focus: 4‑Hour and 1‑Hour
Directional Bias: Neutral-to-Bearish
Methodologies Used:
✅ Price Action, Fibonacci Levels, Support & Resistance
✅ Supply & Demand Zones
✅ ICT / Smart Money Concepts (BOS, CHoCH, Liquidity, OB, FVG)
4‑Hour Market Structure Analysis
Gold has shifted into a neutral-to-bearish regime on the 4‑hour timeframe, after a decisive Break of Structure (BOS) below prior swing lows at ~$3,345 and a clear Change of Character (CHoCH) as bulls failed to sustain above the ~$3,350 level. Price currently hovers around ~$3,330, consolidating within a bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) left by the recent impulsive drop.
Key Observations:
A liquidity grab above $3,349 (stop sweep) preceded a sharp reversal, validating this as a sell-side liquidity zone.
The 4H supply zone / bearish Order Block (OB) at $3,345–$3,350 remains unmitigated and likely to attract sellers.
Immediate downside is cushioned by a 4H demand zone & FVG at $3,300–$3,305, which has acted as support during the prior dip.
A deeper daily demand zone rests around $3,280–$3,290, which aligns with historical support and unmitigated buy‑side liquidity.
Key 4‑Hour Levels to Watch
Price Level Type Notes
$3,360–$3,365 Supply / Fib 61.8% Strong resistance
$3,345–$3,350 Supply / OB + 50% Fib Primary sell zone
$3,330–$3,334 Bearish FVG Active imbalance
$3,300–$3,305 Demand / FVG Primary buy zone
$3,280–$3,290 Demand (daily OB) Secondary buy zone
The neutral-to-bearish bias is reinforced by the fact that price has failed to reclaim prior support and continues to respect supply zones.
1‑Hour Intraday Trade Ideas
Zooming into the 1‑hour chart, we align intraday setups with the broader 4H directional bias: selling into supply and covering into demand.
Setup 1: Short at 4H Imbalance
Entry: ~$3,332–$3,334 (inside active FVG)
Stop-Loss: Above $3,335
Targets:
TP1: $3,305
TP2: $3,280
Confluences: BOS + CHoCH, 4H FVG, sell‑side liquidity above.
Setup 2: Short on Retracement
Entry: ~$3,345–$3,350 (50% Fib + OB)
Stop-Loss: Above $3,352
Targets: Same as Setup 1.
Setup 3: Aggressive Long (Countertrend)
Entry: ~$3,300–$3,305 (demand + FVG)
Stop-Loss: Below $3,295
Target: $3,327
Note: Only valid if strong bullish reaction occurs in demand.
The Golden Setup
Sell at ~$3,332–$3,334 (active 4H imbalance) with a target of $3,300.
This setup offers maximum confluence — bearish FVG, BOS, and supply rejection — with tight risk parameters and favorable reward/risk ratio.
Summary Table
Bias Levels of Interest
Directional Bias Neutral-to-Bearish
Strong Sell Zones $3,330–$3,334 and $3,345–$3,350
Strong Buy Zones $3,300–$3,305 and $3,280–$3,290
Closing Notes
Gold continues to respect Smart Money footprints on the 4‑hour chart, suggesting more downside unless bulls reclaim $3,350 decisively. Today’s focus remains on short opportunities at premium levels into supply and imbalances, targeting well‑defined demand areas below.
Watch price action closely in the $3,332–$3,334 zone for the highest‑probability short entry of the session — The Golden Setup.
XAUUSD Outlook: How Risk Sentiment Could Shape the Next MoveI’m currently analysing XAUUSD (Gold) 🟡, which has come under bearish pressure 📉, showing signs of downside momentum. In the video 🎥, we also explore the inverse correlation between Gold and risk assets like the NASDAQ 📊.
Keep a close eye on NASDAQ movements—if risk assets break bullish 🚀, we may see further weakness in Gold. On the other hand, if risk sentiment shifts and risk assets break bearish 🛑, Gold could attract safe-haven demand and gain strength 💪.
We also dive into the price action, market structure, and pull up the volume profile 🧩. Gold is currently trading around the Point of Control (POC) ⚖️—a key level where significant volume has accumulated. A clean break above or below this area could act as a technical trigger for the next move 📈📉.
As always, this is not financial advice ⚠️—just my market view.
SILVER SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,674.6
Target Level: 3,550.8
Stop Loss: 3,756.2
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for July 8Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3360, support below 3284
Four-hour chart resistance 3350, support below 3300
One-hour chart resistance 3344, support below 3314
Analysis of gold news: Last week, as the market continued to increase its bets on the Fed's dovish stance, gold rose steadily after rebounding from a major trend line. However, after the release of the stronger-than-expected US non-farm payrolls report (NFP), market expectations for interest rates turned hawkish again, and the gold rally reversed. This week, the focus will be on the Fed's minutes and the expiration of the tariff exemption on July 9, and whether it will send a signal of possible interest rate cuts in the future. Is it an extension of the tariff exemption agreement or a return to the tariff rate when the tariff took effect on April 2. To judge the further direction of the market. If the minutes are dovish, it means that policymakers are cautious about the economic outlook, the US dollar may face correction pressure, and gold prices will be supported to rebound and strengthen. On the contrary, if the need to maintain high interest rates is emphasized, it is expected to boost the strength of the US dollar and suppress the decline in gold prices. However, it is not expected to change the trend of gold prices in the near and short term.
Gold operation suggestions: From the current trend analysis, the support below focuses on the four-hour level near 3314, and the upper pressure focuses on the 3339-3350 range. The short-term long and short strength dividing line is 3314. If the four-hour level stabilizes above this position, continue to buy at a low level.
Buy: 3314near SL: 3309
Buy: 3350near SL: 3345
WTI Crude Oil: Double Engulf + H&S Breakdown Points to $40Hello guys! Let's dive into WTI!
The weekly chart of WTI Crude Oil reveals a bearish Head & Shoulders pattern playing out over a long-term descending channel. Price recently got rejected from the upper trendline, showing weakness despite a short-term bounce.
- Engulfed 1 & 2:
Two major engulfing zones failed to hold as support, turning into strong resistance.
- Bearish Scenario in Play:
After the recent upside move into resistance, price is likely to follow one of two paths:
- Continuation Within the Channel:
Rejection from the upper bound of the descending channel leads to a stair-step decline toward the $47–52 zone.
- Final Rejection from Supply Zone ($83–89):
A larger corrective push could test this area before a full collapse toward the long-term demand zone.
Main Target:
The blue shaded region ($36–47) stands out as a strong long-term demand zone, where buyers may finally step in.
____________________
Invalidation point:
Unless crude oil breaks above the $89 zone with strong volume, all signs point to further downside.
The chart structure favors a slow bleed with temporary bounces, ultimately targeting the $40s.
GOLD → Correction for confirmation before growthFX:XAUUSD is recovering due to increased demand as a safe-haven asset. After breaking through local trend resistance, an upward channel is beginning to form on the chart.
On Monday, gold tested the 3295-3300 zone (liquidity zone) and, against the backdrop of incoming economic data, is buying back the decline, forming a rather interesting pattern that could lead to continued growth, but there is a but!
Investors are reacting to President Trump's threats to impose tariffs on imports from a dozen countries starting August 1. In addition, the main question is the Fed's interest rate decision. The regulator is likely to leave the rate unchanged due to inflation risks.
Uncertainty surrounding tariffs is supporting interest in gold as a safe-haven asset. The market is awaiting further news and the publication of the Fed minutes on Wednesday.
Resistance levels: 3345, 3357, 3396
Support levels: 3320, 3311, 3295
A correction to support is forming. If the bulls hold their ground within the upward channel and above the key areas of interest, the focus will shift to 3345, a resistance level that could hold the market back from a possible rise. A breakout of this zone would trigger a rise to 3357-3396.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold H1 | Approaching an overlap resistanceGold (XAU/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 3,344.65 which is an overlap resistance.
Stop loss is at 3,368.00 which is a level that sits above a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 3,313.35 which is a pullback support.
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GOLD BUY M15 Gold (XAU/USD) Trade Setup – 15-Min Chart (July 8, 2025)
Entry Zone: Price is currently consolidating in a marked demand zone, forming a potential bullish setup.
Support Level (SL): 3325 – This is the stop-loss level, placed just below the support zone to minimize risk.
Buy Zone: Price is expected to rise from the current level after breaking out of the consolidation box (purple zone).
Bullish Structure: Price is forming higher lows and appears to be preparing for a breakout to the upside.
Target: 3348 – This is the marked resistance level and take-profit target, just below the "Strong High" area.
Key Levels:
Support: 3325
Current Price: Around 3334
Resistance Zones: 3343, 3348
Summary:
A bullish move is anticipated from the current price level, with an entry near 3334 targeting 3348. Stop-loss is placed at 3325 to protect against downside risk. Break of the immediate resistance could trigger upward momentum toward the target.
Is gold set to shine again as an inflation hedge?
Tariff tensions are flaring once more ahead of the scheduled end to mutual tariff suspensions. President Trump has announced that tariff rates on countries such as South Korea and Japan will increase to 25% starting in August.
This renewed threat has stoked concerns about inflation, pushing up Treasury yields. As trade war risks resurface, US Treasury prices have fallen—a move consistent with market expectations of front-loaded inflation driven by higher tariffs.
Adding to the pressure, Trump’s newly signed tax cut bill is expected to widen the fiscal deficit by $3.3 trillion over the next decade, according to the Congressional Budget Office (CBO).
XAUUSD is consolidating within a narrow range of 3320–3350. The price is hovering near both EMAs, awaiting an apparent trigger for a breakout. If XAUUSD breaks below the support at 3320, the price may retreat to 3300. Conversely, if XAUUSD breaches above the resistance at 3350, the price could extend its gains toward 3370.
Shorts trapped? No, the head and shoulders top is still downOver the weekend, I gave a trading strategy for going long at 3315-3305. Today, I updated and optimized the long order trading, maintained the high-short-low-long trading strategy, and began to rebound near the 3300 line, and successfully touched the long TP 3333. At present, I am executing short trades again according to the trading strategy and holding short orders.
Although gold has only retreated to around 3330, I am not worried about losses and failures in short trades. As I wrote in today's post, the daily K-line chart has a head and shoulders top pattern. As long as the bulls fail to recover 3360, it is still a short trend. Therefore, in the short term, I still think that the rebound is a good opportunity for us to go short.
At present, the short-term bullish momentum of gold has been consumed and the downward trend continues. Therefore, I still insist on holding short orders in the short term.
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and being strict with yourself. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold will continue with its bullish breakoutLooking for new highs to be made. Price has pushed bullish as trump started talking about the tariffs early today. Even though they are not supposed to discuss till the 9th. We can get a early move for the week. Monitoring the price action to see if I can get in where I fit in!
GOLD RESISTANCE AHEAD|SHORT|
✅GOLD is going up now
But a strong resistance level is ahead at 3360$
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target of 3325$
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Following Price Flow to the Next TargetPrice swept liquidity below the previous day’s low and then powered back up, breaking structure to the upside. Now it’s sitting above the 50 EMA, moving through fair value gaps left by the rally. I’m watching for a possible pullback into the FVG zone near the EMA. If that level holds, price could look to reach for the liquidity above around 3,365.
But here’s what matters most. Even if this ends up being a losing trade, I’d rather take that loss knowing I stuck to my plan than catch a random win by breaking my rules. Because long-term, winning trades that come from impulse actually set you up for future damage. They teach bad habits.
Losses that happen inside your system? Those are simply the cost of doing business. They protect your discipline and keep your edge intact. Over time, that’s exactly what allows you to stay in the game and grow your account.
XAUUSD Sniper Outlook – July 7, 2025"Structure over noise. Patience is power. Welcome back to the battlefield."
👋 Hey traders!
After a low-volume week due to the US Independence Day holiday, we now re-enter the battlefield with structure tightening under major resistance — and with Fed commentary on the radar.
No CPI. No NFP. But don't sleep on the setups — liquidity is quietly shifting.
🧭 Here’s what we’ve got ahead:
🔔 Key Events – July 8–12:
🟡 Monday–Tuesday: BRICS Summit (geo/political exposure)
🔵 Wednesday: FOMC Minutes – potential policy clues
🔴 Thursday: Unemployment Claims + Fed speakers (Muserlian, Waller)
⚪ Friday: Federal Budget Balance
We’re likely entering a reactive environment — fueled by internal structure shifts, not major macro catalysts. Perfect for smart money setups.
🧠 HTF Structure & Bias
🔹 Daily Bias:
Price remains capped under the key daily supply 3344–3351, which rejected cleanly before the holiday. Unless that flips into support, bias remains neutral to bearish.
EMAs 5/21 are curling sideways. RSI is flattening, and structure shows fading momentum.
🔹 H4 Bias:
We’re consolidating below a CHoCH + LH series, inside premium territory. The rejection from 3344 was precise, and unless broken, pressure favors the downside.
Price is rotating between the H4 EQ and the 3325–3332 intraday OB. Momentum is slowing — watch for re-accumulation or rejection depending on reaction at key zones.
🔴 Supply Zones (Sell Scenarios)
1. 3344 – 3351
This is the Daily + H4 supply from last week. EMA alignment + FVG + liquidity sweep confluence.
Perfect sniper rejection area if price trades up and stalls. Look for M15/M30 CHoCH confirmations.
2. 3380 – 3394
Untouched H1-H4 OB in premium. Not related to CPI/NFP — just pure inducement wick potential from above. If tapped after midweek liquidity push (e.g. FOMC Minutes), watch for overreaction entries.
🟢 Demand Zones (Buy Scenarios)
1. 3325 – 3332
Last week’s discount reaction zone. H1 OB + internal CHoCH zone. If swept and protected by bullish PA (M15 BOS), this becomes the best R/R long back into 3344.
Already tested Friday, but still holds weight for Monday.
2. 3286 – 3272
H4 OB + daily demand + RSI oversold zone.
If we get a full breakdown early week, expect this area to act as a reaccumulation pocket for bulls — but only with confirmation.
⚔️ Decision Zone – 3299 – 3305
This is the weekly flip area.
If bulls defend 3305 → bullish short-term bias returns.
If 3299 fails → downside continues into 3280s.
🧠 Summary & Gameplan
🧷 No CPI. No NFP. That means cleaner technical moves — no fake news spikes, just pure structure.
Expect Monday to be reactionary (post-holiday), and Wednesday–Thursday to bring intraday setups post-FOMC minutes.
✅ If price is in premium, watch for bearish rejections at 3344/3380.
✅ If price dips into discount, wait for confirmation longs at 3325 or 3286.
✅ Stay patient in mid-range. Don’t force trades inside chop zones.
🧲 If this gave you real clarity — don’t just scroll on.
Hit the ❤️ button, smash Follow, and tell us in the comments:
👉 Which zone do you trust more — the 3325 reentry or the 3380 inducement trap?
Let the gold tribe know 👇
—
📢 Disclosure:
This analysis is based on the Trade Nation TradingView feed. I’m part of their Influencer Program and receive a monthly fee.
⚠️ Educational content only — not financial advice.
— GoldFxMinds 💛
Patience | Discipline | Fearless Execution
90-day tariffs expire, how to position gold next week📰 News information:
1. 90-day tariffs are about to expire
📈 Technical Analysis:
With the Trump administration's massive tax cut and spending bill officially implemented, the U.S. Treasury may start a "supply flood" of short-term Treasury bonds to make up for the trillions of dollars in fiscal deficits in the future. Concerns about the oversupply of short-term Treasury bonds have been directly reflected in prices. The yield of 1-month short-term Treasury bonds has risen significantly since Monday this week. Slowing wage growth, falling total work hours, stagnant wage income growth and concerns about consumer spending are all signs that support gold.
From a technical perspective, Friday's closing long shadow small candle body, the price closed at a high of 3345 and a low of 3224. The overall idea for next week is to follow the trend and rely on the first short-term support of 3323 below to participate in long positions. Secondly, 3315-3305 is given below. If the support point is lost, then 3300 below is also in danger, and there is no need to overly insist on continuing to do more at low levels in the short-term rhythm. The key pressure above is 3340-3350, and the limit is the pressure of 3360 above.
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3325-3323
TP 3333-3340-3350
BUY 3315-3305
TP 3325-3333-3340
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
XAUUSD is getting ready to explode to $4000Gold (XAUUSD) is trading around its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) having practically been accumulating since the April 22 High. Ever since the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) turned into a long-term Support (2023), Gold has experienced similar Accumulation Phases another 3 times.
On all of those occasions, the price broke out to the upside in the form of a Channel Up, reaching at least the 2.5 Fibonacci extension.
With the 1D MACD close to forming a Bullish Cross around the 0.0 mark, which is the level that always started the Channel Up during those 3 previous Accumulation Phases, we expect the market to start breaking upwards and towards the end of the year hit at least $4000.
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Gold fluctuates, beware of rebound caused by new tariffs📊 Gold Day Trading Strategy (Recommendation index ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️)
📰 News information:
1. 90-day tariffs are about to expire
2. New unilateral tariffs
3. Geopolitical situation
📈 Technical Analysis:
As I said this morning, shorting gold is divided into two times, the first time is near 3324, and the second time is at 3340 or 3345. If there is a short-term retracement after breaking through 24, you can follow up with a long order to look at 3335-3340. If gold is in a very weak state, you can consider shorting near 3315 and look at 3300. Because during the European session, 3300 has strong support, and the European session repeatedly tests this support. If it falls below 3300, we will go to 3295-3285, or even 3250. But at the same time, we need to pay attention to the rebound of gold that may be caused by tariff policies and geopolitical situations.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3315-3325-3335
TP 3305-3295-3285
BUY 3290-3285
TP 3300-3310-3320
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and being strict with yourself. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD