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eurusd short/long +180/+180 swing trade setup🔸Hello traders, let's review the 1hour chart for EURUSD today. We are currently stuck in 180 pips high/low range, so it's best to focus on selling high and buying low in current market conditions. 🔸Key levels for eurusd traders: 0420 s/r bulls, 0600s/r bears, 0600 mirror s/r bears level will get re-tested by the bulls for liquidity. 🔸Recommended strategy for eurusd traders: the sequence is short / long so you want to short high off the s/r bears at 0600 SL 40 TP 0420 pips, this is the the reversal play / re-test of the mirror s/r bulls at 0420 then flip long at/near 0420+-20 pips SL 40 pips TP1 +90 TP2 +180 pips final exit bulls at mirror s/r at 0600. this is a swing trade setup, patience required. good luck traders! 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Short
by ProjectSyndicate
10
GOLD Technical Analysis! BUY! My dear friends, My technical analysis for GOLD is below: The market is trading on 2660.0 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 2682.0 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AnabelSignals
Currency Wars: Exploring BTC/Fiat Ripple Effects on Key Markets1. Introduction In today's interconnected financial markets, major fiat currencies like the Euro (6E) and Yen (6J) play a critical role in influencing USD-denominated assets. The relative strength between these currencies often reflects underlying economic trends and risk sentiment, which ripple across key markets like Treasuries (ZN), Gold (GC), and Equities (ES). However, Bitcoin (BTC), a non-traditional digital asset, introduces an interesting divergence. Unlike fiat currencies, BTC's behavior during periods of significant market stress may reveal a unique relationship to USD movements. This article explores: The relative strength between the Euro and Yen. Correlations between fiat currencies, BTC, and USD-denominated markets. Whether BTC reacts similarly or differently to traditional currencies during market volatility. By analyzing these dynamics, we aim to identify how shifts in currency strength influence assets like Treasuries while assessing BTC’s independence or alignment with fiat markets. 2. Relative Strength Between 6E and 6J To evaluate currency dynamics, we compute the relative strength of the Euro (6E) versus the Yen (6J) as a ratio. This ratio helps identify which currency is outperforming, providing insights into broader risk sentiment and market direction. Another way to think of this ratio would be to use the RY1! Ticker symbol which represents the Euro/Japanese Yen Futures contract. Correlation Heatmaps The correlation heatmaps below highlight relationships between: o Currencies: Euro (6E), Yen (6J), and Bitcoin (BTC). o USD-Denominated Markets: Treasuries (ZN), S&P 500 (ES), Crude Oil (CL), Gold (GC), and Corn (ZC). o Key Observations (Daily Timeframe): The 6J (Yen) shows a positive correlation with Treasuries (ZN), supporting its traditional role as a safe-haven currency. Bitcoin (BTC) demonstrates mixed relationships across assets, showing signs of divergence compared to fiat currencies during specific conditions. o Key Observations (Weekly and Monthly Timeframes): Over longer timeframes, correlations between 6E and markets like Gold (GC) strengthen, while the Yen's (6J) correlation with Treasuries becomes more pronounced. BTC correlations remain unstable, suggesting Bitcoin behaves differently than traditional fiat currencies, particularly in stress periods. 3. BTC Divergence: Behavior During Significant Moves To assess BTC's behavior during stress periods, we identify significant moves (beyond a predefined threshold) in the Euro (6E) and Yen (6J). Using scatter plots, we plot BTC returns against these currency moves: BTC vs 6E (Euro): BTC returns show occasional alignment with Euro movements but also exhibit non-linear patterns. For instance, during sharp Euro declines, BTC has at times remained resilient, highlighting its decoupling from fiat. BTC vs 6J (Yen): BTC's reaction to Yen strength/weakness appears more random, lacking a clear pattern. This further underscores BTC’s independence from traditional fiat dynamics, even as Yen strength typically aligns with safe-haven asset flows. The scatter plots reveal that while fiat currencies like the Euro and Yen maintain consistent relationships with USD-denominated markets, Bitcoin exhibits periods of divergence, particularly during extreme stress events. 4. Focus on Treasury Futures (ZN) Treasury Futures (ZN) are among the most responsive assets to currency shifts due to their role as a safe-haven instrument during economic uncertainty. Treasury prices often rise when risk aversion drives investors to seek safer assets, particularly when fiat currencies like the Yen (6J) strengthen. 6E/6J Influence on ZN From the correlation heatmaps: The Yen (6J) maintains a positive correlation with ZN prices, particularly during periods of market stress. The Euro (6E) exhibits a moderate correlation, with fluctuations largely dependent on economic events affecting Eurozone stability. When relative strength shifts in favor of the Yen (6J) over the Euro (6E), Treasury Futures often attract increased demand, reflecting investor flight-to-safety dynamics. Forward-Looking Trade Idea Given the above insights, here’s a hypothetical trade idea focusing on 10-Year Treasury Futures (ZN): Trade Direction: Long Treasury Futures to capitalize on potential safe-haven flows. Entry Price: 109’29 Target Price: 111’28 Stop Loss: 109’09 Potential for Reward: 126 ticks = $1,968.75 Potential for Risk: 40 ticks = $625 Reward-to-Risk Ratio: 3.15:1 Tick Value: 1/2 of 1/32 of one point (0.015625) = $15.625 Required margin: $2,000 per contract This trade setup anticipates ZN’s upward momentum if the Yen continues to outperform the Euro or if broader risk-off sentiment triggers demand for Treasuries. 5. Risk Management Importance Trading currency-driven assets like Treasury Futures or Bitcoin requires a disciplined approach to risk management due to their volatility and sensitivity to macroeconomic shifts. Key considerations include: a. Stop-Loss Orders: Always use stop-loss levels to limit downside exposure, especially when markets react sharply to currency moves or unexpected news. b. Position Sizing: Adjust position size to match market volatility. c. Monitor Relative Strength: Continuously track the 6E/6J ratio to identify shifts in currency strength that could signal changes in safe-haven flows or BTC behavior. d. Non-Correlated Strategies: Incorporate BTC into portfolios as a non-correlated asset, especially when fiat currencies exhibit linear correlations with traditional markets. By implementing proper risk management techniques, traders can navigate the ripple effects of currency moves on markets like Treasuries and Bitcoin. 6. Conclusion The relative strength between the Euro (6E) and Yen (6J) provides critical insights into the broader market environment, particularly during periods of stress. As shown: Treasury Futures (ZN): Highly sensitive to Yen strength due to its safe-haven role. Bitcoin (BTC): Demonstrates unique divergence from fiat currencies, reinforcing its role as a non-traditional asset during volatility. By analyzing correlations and BTC’s reaction to currency moves, traders can better anticipate opportunities in USD-denominated markets and identify divergence points that signal market shifts. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CBOT:ZN1!Education
by traddictiv
11
Hellena | GOLD (4H): Long to resistance area of 2717.733(Again).Dear colleagues, I believe that the 2717 level will be reached again, because the five-wave upward movement is not over yet. I see here the development of wave “3” of higher order and the completion of the correction in wave “2” of medium order. I expect the price to start an upward movement this week. I do not recommend placing short orders. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Hellena_Trade
15
WTI Oil H4 | Bullish uptrend to extend further?WTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 70.49 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 69.42 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Take profit is at 72.65 which is a multi-swing-high resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci retracement level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:USOILLong
by FXCM
Pan American Silver (PAAS) AnalysisCompany Overview: Pan American Silver NYSE:PAAS , a leading precious metals producer in the Americas, is strategically positioned to benefit from the rising prices of silver and gold, driven by global economic uncertainties and inflationary pressures. As investor interest in precious metals grows, PAAS stands out for its robust operations and efficient portfolio management. Key Catalysts: Organic Growth Focus: PAAS has increased its 2024 drilling budget to over 450,000 meters, highlighting management's confidence in its exploration prospects. This aggressive exploration strategy signals long-term production growth and resource expansion. Portfolio Optimization: The company secured Investment Canada Act approval for the $245 million sale of its La Arena gold mine and La Arena II project in Peru to Zijin Mining Group. This transaction demonstrates PAAS’s commitment to unlock value from non-core assets and focus on its most profitable operations. Precious Metals Momentum: Rising gold and silver prices, fueled by inflation concerns and economic uncertainty, enhance revenue potential for PAAS. As a top-tier producer with diversified operations, the company is well-leveraged to capitalize on higher commodity prices. Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We remain bullish on PAAS above the $20.00-$21.00 range, supported by strong fundamentals, rising metals prices, and a clear focus on organic growth. Upside Potential: Our target range for PAAS is $34.00-$35.00, reflecting the company’s ability to grow production, optimize its portfolio, and benefit from favorable macroeconomic trends. 🚀 PAAS—Capitalizing on Rising Precious Metal Prices and Strategic Growth. #Gold #Silver #MiningGrowth
NYSE:PAASLong
by Richtv_official
USOILPrevious analysis on November 13, 2024, it was seen that the price rebounded, tested the 71.40 level and could not break through. The price then came down to test the support zone 67.92-66.93 again. If the price can still stand above the 66.93 level, it is expected that there is a chance that the price will adjust up. Consider buying the red zone. 🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you. >>GooD Luck 😊 ❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
TVC:USOILLong
by Serana2324
6
The downward space opens up. Trend analysisGold closed slightly higher last week, and gave up most of the gains of the previous four days at the end of the week. The 10/7-day moving average of the short-term four-hour chart opened downward at 65/70, and the RSI indicator was running on the lower track of the axis in the hourly chart and the four-hour chart, and the Bollinger band was running on the middle and lower track. Technically, the weak adjustment of gold on Friday changed the extremely strong gold bull structure. Wait for the rebound high to sell at the beginning of this week. Gold bulls do not have any strong rebound now, and the short-term trend of gold is still short. The rebound is an opportunity for shorts. Gold is waiting for a rebound to continue to short. The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to enter a downward dead cross pattern. If it continues to diverge downward, the gold short position will be further opened. Gold hit a new low in the Asian session. The previous low of gold at 2675 is now forming a counter-pressure. Sell at highs below the rebound of 2675. You can go short near 2670. First support: 2640, second support: 2633, third support: 2620 First resistance: 2660, second resistance: 2672, third resistance: 2680 Trading strategy: BUY: 2636-2638 SELL: 2670-2672
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
An exciting week with many important economic data.World gold prices decrease when the USD increases. Recorded at 9:40 a.m. on December 16, the US Dollar Index measuring the fluctuation of the greenback with 6 major currencies was at 106,570 points (down 0.11%). According to Naeem Aslam - investment director of Zaye Capital Markets, gold investors should mentally prepare for the possibility of gold prices weakening next week. The main reason comes from the US Federal Reserve (FED) reducing expectations about cutting interest rates, in the context of inflation still being "persistent". Lukman Otunuga - market analyst at FXTM - gave a neutral comment on gold prices in the short term. According to him, the trend of this precious metal will largely depend on the policy message that FED officials give in the upcoming meeting. Otunuga emphasized that, if the FED continues to maintain its "hawkish" stance, this could limit the ability of gold prices to increase as investors gradually narrow their expectations for stronger interest rate cuts next year. 2025. On the contrary, if the FED signals to loosen policy in 2024, gold prices could increase to 2,700 USD/ounce or higher. 🔥 XAUUSD SELL 2656 - 2654🔥 💵 TP1: 2630 💵 TP2: 2610 💵 TP3: OPEN 🚫 SL: 2665
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
XCU / USD "COPPER" Market Heist Plan on Bullish SideHello!! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰 This is our master plan to Heist XCU / USD "COPPER" Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich. Entry 📈 : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Low Point take entry should be in pullback. Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 2H timeframe Attention for Scalpers : Focus to scalp only on Long side, If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰. Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Don't Enter the market at the news update. Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target. 💖Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style. Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
PEPPERSTONE:COPPERLong
by Thief_Trader
2
WTICOUSD , high time frame Hello traders, I would like to discuss West Texas oil. There is a critical zone on the chart, as anticipated. Oil is currently in a bullish trend on the higher timeframes. Presently, the price is in OB on the 4-hour chart, and during the Asian session, there are indications of a potential decrease to $69 before targeting the $75 zone. --- If you require further adjustments or have specific areas you wish to focus on, please feel free to let me know!
OANDA:WTICOUSDLong
by somayehbasiri
"UKOILSPOT / BRENT CRUDE OIL" Energies Market Bullish Heist PlanHola! Ola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰 This is our master plan to Heist "UKOILSPOT / BRENT CRUDE OIL" Energies Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich. Entry 📈 : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Low Point take entry should be in pullback. Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 2H timeframe Target 🎯 : 74.500 Attention for Scalpers : Focus to scalp only on Long side, If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰. Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Don't Enter the market at the news update. Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target. 💖Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style. Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
FX:UKOILSPOTLong
by Thief_Trader
"NATURAL GAS" Commodities Market Bullish Heist PlanHello!! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰 This is our master plan to Heist "NATURAL GAS" Commodities Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich. Entry 📈 : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Low Point take entry should be in pullback. Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 2H timeframe Target 🎯 : 3500.0 Attention for Scalpers : Focus to scalp only on Long side, If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰. Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Don't Enter the market at the news update. Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target. 💖Support, Like and follow our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style. Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
TRADENATION:NATURALGASLong
by Thief_Trader
1
GOLD corrects in 2 days, still has bullish conditions next weekOANDA:XAUUSD fell as the USD held steady at its highest level in more than 2 weeks. However, the market expects the Federal Reserve will still cut interest rates next week and gold prices still have conditions for a possible increase in price. OANDA:XAUUSD has broken multiple record highs this year, supported by Fed monetary policy, strong central bank buying and safe-haven demand. Traders currently assess a 96% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its December 17-18 meeting. Focus will also be on Chairman Jerome Powell's comments as market participants analyze US monetary policy in 2025, especially given President-elect Donald Trump's tariff plans , is very likely to add to inflation. Central banks often keep interest rates high to curb inflation, thereby increasing the opportunity cost of holding unprofitable gold. Pay special attention to the upcoming Fed interest rate decision The Fed's monetary policy statement next week could be the last major impact for gold this year outside of unforeseen geopolitical surprises. Next Wednesday, the Federal Reserve will announce its monetary policy decision after a two-day policy meeting. The Fed is expected to cut its policy rate by 25 basis points to a range of 4.25%-4.5%. The Fed will also release a revised Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), known as a Dotplot chart. In September, SEP showed that Fed officials' median forecast for the policy rate at the end of 2025 was 3.4%. If the 2025 interest rate forecast is revised downward, i.e. cutting interest rates by more than 100 basis points, it could have a direct negative impact on the Dollar and this would push gold prices higher. Markets will also be closely watching comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. If Powell takes a cautious approach to further policy easing, emphasizing a gradual approach, the dollar is likely to remain strong as it remains supported by President-elect Donald Trump. On the other hand, the US Dollar will come under selling pressure if Powell expresses growing concerns about the cooling labor market and its potential negative impact on the growth outlook. Data next week Next Thursday, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis will release the final revised data on gross domestic product (GDP) for the third quarter, and next Friday will release the personal consumption expenditures price index (PCE). The economic calendar needs attention next week Monday: Empire State manufacturing survey, S&P flash PMI Tuesday: US retail sales Wednesday: Federal Reserve monetary policy decision Thursday: Bank of England monetary policy decision; US weekly unemployment claims; US Q3 GDP, Philly Federal Reserve Manufacturing Survey, Existing Home Sales Friday: Personal consumption expenditure index (PCE) Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold closed the week in a crucial position for upside as it still has bullish conditions. Specifically, the daily chart still shows that gold prices maintain activity above EMA21 and above the technical level of 2,644 USD. Note to readers in the previous edition. In addition, the Relative Strength Index decreased but stayed above 50, which does not show any negative signals. In the near term, if gold brings price activity back above the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level, it will have the conditions to recover more to the $2,676 level in the short term, more than the 0.382% Fibonacci level and the original price point. 2,700 USD. Overall, gold still has a bullish outlook. However, a negative situation is likely to appear once gold breaks below the 0.618% Fibonacci level because it will tend to retest the 0.786% Fibonacci level with a price point of 2,591USD. Therefore, open long positions will need to be protected when this situation occurs. In the coming time, the technical chart of gold prices will be noticed by some notable patterns as follows. Support: 2,644 – 2,634USD Resistance: 2,663 – 2,676 – 2,693USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2680 - 2678⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2684 →Take Profit 1 2673 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2668 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2621 - 2623⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2617 →Take Profit 1 2628 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2633
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
Heading into overlap resistance?WTI oil (XTI/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the pullback support. Pivot: 73.08 1st Support: 66.98 1st Resistance: 78.05 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDShort
by ICmarkets
1
#202450 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oil futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr wti crude oil futures: Neutral again. Last week we got a bull surprise and market closed at previous resistance. Upside will probably be limited and market could not close above 72.3 for 2 months now. I do not expect it to change that all of a sudden. The volume is also low af and therefore I expect more sideways between 67 - 71. 2024 will likely close near 69. Quote from last week: comment: Bulls are not doing enough but bears are also barely making new lows. Market is mostly two sided and stuck inside an 8$ range for 2 months. Don’t over analyze it. comment: I won’t make this longer than it needs to be and nothing has changed for the past 10 weeks. We are inside a clear trading range 66 - 72 and you can not expect that range to break over the next 3 weeks. Almost anything can happen with the markets but the most reasonable expectation is a continuation. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 66 - 72 bull case: If bulls can close the gap to 72.56 I’d be very surprised. 71.5 is likely still bigger resistance and thus most bulls will exit longs above 71 on any decent weakness. Daily close above 72 would change that a bit but not too much. Invalidation is below 66. bear case: Upper third of the trading range is where bears are favored again but they need to show some selling pressure before you should think about shorting this. If you would short this now, would you put your stop at 71.5? That’s really tight and the risk the market prints those couple of ticks is big. Next best stop would be 72.8. In any case, I wait for selling pressure before I short. Invalidation is above 71.6. outlook last week: short term: Neutral 68 - 70 and I doubt we make lower lows below 66. Even if bears push below, downside is likely limited. Can’t change much of last weeks short term outlook, since it’s still valid. Bears have targets below 66 but until they get a daily close below it, we continue sideways. → Last Sunday we traded 67.2 and now we are at 71.29. Range is still holding. Outlook was ok. short term: Neutral 68 - 71.6. Above 71.6. we could see 72.2 but probably not higher than 72.8. Bears are favored at the upper third of this range. medium-long term - Update from 2024-11-10: Unless an event comes up, this will very likely close around 70 for the year. current swing trade : None chart update: Nothing worth mentioning. Again.
NYMEX:MCL1!
by priceactiontds
#202450 - priceactiontds - weekly update - goldGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr gold futures: Neutral. Very strong rally Mo-Wednesday just to almost completely reverse and close the week 11 points above the open. Rallies getting stuffed hard now and bulls will only try so many times until we test lower prices. 2630 is the price for bears to break and bulls need anything above 2760 again. It’s much more likely that we close 2024 around 2700. Market has also formed another triangle on the daily/weekly chart, so don’t expect a trending market for the next 3 weeks. Quote from last week: comment : I won’t waste much time with this market this week. Clear triangle and market is in total balance around 2660. Wait for the breakout or play the range. My best guess would be that we both see 2600 and 2700 in the next 3 weeks. comment : Quick and dirty again. Bulls had the perfect setup for 2800+ but blew it. Big bois selling the rips and market formed another triangle. I doubt it will go anywhere in the next 3 weeks. Likely yearly close around 2700. Play the range or don’t trade this at all. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 2620 - 2750 bull case: Bulls blew it. The setup from last weeks Friday was perfect and Mo-We we had amazing follow through. Thursday was a huge bear surprise and bulls just gave up on the rally. They got stuffed big time now two times over the past 5 weeks, which makes me believe that there are probably not many more bulls who want to try a third time. Sideways is the most likely and reasonable thing to expect here. Invalidation is below 2630. bear case: Strong bears selling the rips but I don’t expect them to really try and push this below 2600 again. 2630 was huge support the past weeks and even if they print below, they would still have to break through the big bull trend line from August. Invalidation is above 2763. outlook last week: short term: Neutral inside given range. → Last Sunday we traded 2659 and now we are at 2675. Market went much higher than expected but nowhere on the week, so outlook was ok. short term: Neutral inside given range. medium-long term - Update from 2024-12-07 : No bigger opinion on this for the rest of 2024. Market is in balance until we see a new impulse. Likely close around 2700. current swing trade: None chart update: Nothing
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
by priceactiontds
XAUUSD 15/12/24Coming into this week, we are observing a clear shift in market bias that occurred at the end of last week, transitioning from bearish to bullish. After running the highs and selling off, we are now looking to run the lows and then buy back into the same highs. This setup could shape up to be a strong week for longs in gold, potentially leading to a clean bull run as Christmas approaches and the market slows down. Based on the content shown on our charts, we can see there was "money out" within our supply zone, which triggered the previous downward shift. Now, we are looking for "money in" within our entry timeframe, which is the 15-minute chart. Watch for a clear entry around the lows. Additionally, there is liquidity above the current highs, which could fuel the next upside move. Trade safely and stick to your plan.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by PipSurfingSociety
Gold Technical Analysis: Volatility Ahead of Fed Rate DecisionGold Technical Analysis The market will remain volatile this week due to the impact of Fed Rate Decision and GDP data. Gold's direction will hinge on these events, particularly the Fed's stance on interest rates. Bearish Scenario: Continuation Conditions: - Price needs to stabilize below 2653 (Pivot Point). - A further breakdown and 1H or 4H candle close below 2638 will open the door to 2623. - Bearish momentum could strengthen further if the Fed rate remains at 4.75% or signals a hawkish stance. Bullish Scenario: Continuation Conditions: - A rate cut of 25 bps by the Fed will support bullish sentiment, driving prices upward. - Price needs to break and hold above 2653, targeting resistance levels at 2665, 2678, and 2690. Key Levels Pivot Point: 2653 Resistance Levels: 2665, 2678, 2690 Support Levels: 2638, 2623, 2612 Trend Outlook - Bearish: If the price stabilizes below 2653 and key support levels break. - Volatile: Driven by the Fed's decision and market reaction to GDP data. Summary - Bearish Trigger: Close below 2638, targeting 2623 and potentially 2612. - Bullish Trigger: Fed cuts rates by 25 bps, and price breaks above 2653, aiming for 2665 and higher levels. previous idea:
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SroshMayi
EURUSD 15/12/24Starting this week the same way we always do—with our markup on EU. Following last week’s chart, we still maintain our bearish bias. This week, we’re focusing on the highs once again as a potential sell entry zone. As you can see on our chart, all key points are clearly marked, highlighting areas to aim for and areas to sell from. Last week, we identified a money-out area, and price reacted perfectly to this zone, aligning with our bias as it has consistently for over a month now! Don’t expect the market to shift its bias unless it provides a very clear reason to do so. For now, we remain patient and wait for potential entry opportunities. Stick to your plan and always follow your risk management.
by PipSurfingSociety