GOLD in a Bullish Flag – Breakout Incoming?OANDA:XAUUSD is undergoing a corrective move as it tests the lower boundary of the ascending channel, which serves as dynamic trendline support. The structure aligns with a bullish flag formation, indicating the potential for a continuation to the upside if buyers step in.
A successful rebound from this level could lead to a move toward the midline of the channel, with the next target at 3,100, aligning with the upper boundary of the channel. This scenario would preserve the broader bullish trend.
A confirmed breakdown below the trendline support, however, would invalidate the bullish outlook and open the door for further downside.
Monitoring candlestick patterns and volume at this critical zone is essential for identifying buying opportunities. Proper risk management is advised, always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
If you have any thoughts on this setup or additional insights, drop them in the comments!
Commodities
USOIL:Bide one's timeThis week, we've analyzed the reasons behind the short - term strong performance of crude oil. We specifically remind you to pay attention to the price movements within the range of $68.5 - $69.5.
Once again, we advise you to observe more and trade less.
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CRUDE OIL LONG SIGNAL|
✅USOIL made a retest
Of the horizontal support
Of 68.60$ so we are bullish
Biased so we can enter a
Long trade with the TP of 69.46$
And the SL of 68.17$
LONG🚀
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USOIL: Rally, Resistance, and Technical ReversalThe recent trend of USOIL has been continuously rising in a volatile manner, and the current intraday price has reached a three - week high.
Currently, the bullish sentiment in the market is greatly influenced by fundamental news, mainly due to the combined effects of the United States increasing sanctions on Iran's energy and the ineffective and substantive implementation of the 30 - day cease - fire agreement between Russia and Ukraine.
Analyzing the short - term trend from the one - hour chart of USOIL, during the US trading session last night, the crude oil price surged again, hitting the resistance of $69.5 in the market. However, after encountering resistance, part of the bullish momentum took profits and fled, and the price slightly retreated to the support of $69 without further decline.
After today's opening, the bullish momentum was obviously insufficient, and the price did not rise further. The upper track of the Bollinger Bands extended downward, exerting pressure. The moving average of the Macd indicator formed a cross at a high level and has a downward extension trend, and the momentum column began to release downward.
USOIL Trading strategy
Sell@69.5-69
tp:68-67.5
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XAUUSD: Channel Down about to start the new bearish wave.Gold is neutral on its 1H technical outlook (RSI = 52.608, MACD = 1.710, ADX = 25.254) which, as the price test the top of the Channel Down, indicates that it is about to start the new bearish wave. The trigger for that sell trade would be a break under the 1H MA200. Aim for a -1.88% decline (TP = 2,980).
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GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the markets today with out plans to buy dips playing out perfectly. We had the gap left open at 2999 yesterday, which had the move down but just fell short of the full gap. We were able to use the dip to ride back up to our bullish target 3032 once again.
No further lock above 3032 confirmed the rejection again. We are looking for this level to break to confirm a continuation. Failure to break this level will keep seeing rejections into the lower Goldturns for the bounces. We also need to keep in mind the full gap at 2999, inline with our plans to buy dips.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3032 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3032 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3050
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3050 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3065
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3065 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3080
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3080 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3097
BEARISH TARGETS
3015 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3015 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2999
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2999 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2978
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2978 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2950 - 2927
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold Wave 5 Bull Complete?! (4H UPDATE)Gold is creating a schematic between Wave 3 high, Wave 4 low & Wave 5 high. Between these 3 zones we will see sellers accumulate their orders & get ready for a distribution (sell off).
We'll also see late buyers & early sellers liquidated. Don't forget the market always creates traps to liquidate the impatient traders!
Gold (XAU/USD) Holds Above $3,000, But Momentum Slowing?Gold prices are holding firm above $3,000, with the metal last trading near $3,021.80, up 0.33% on the day. The broader trend remains bullish, supported by an ascending trendline and the 50-day SMA around $2,881, but price action has flattened out in recent sessions.
🔹 MACD is still above zero, but fading slightly—momentum may be cooling.
🔹 RSI at 65.63 is elevated but no longer overbought.
🔹 Price remains well above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, reinforcing the uptrend.
Support Zones:
$2,960 (trendline support)
$2,880 (50-day SMA)
Resistance:
$3,040 (recent swing high)
$3,100+ psychological level
Gold remains in an uptrend, but the bulls may need a catalyst to extend the rally meaningfully from here. Watch for a trendline break or momentum divergence as early warning signs.
-MW
Crude Oil: Today's Trading StrategyAfter a gradual rise, the price of crude oil has experienced a brief pullback. Currently, the short-term resistance zone is around 69.64. When the price approaches this area, you can start shorting.
usoil sell@69.2-69.6
sl: 70.4
tp: 68.6-68.8
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Staying above $3,000, risk cools but still supports GOLDOANDA:XAUUSD prices corrected lower and then recovered slightly, maintaining price action above the $3,000 flat level, which is an important support for the short-term bullish outlook, as US President Trump eased his stance on imposing tariffs on trade partners and market risk appetite increased significantly, putting pressure on safe-haven assets such as gold. In addition, gold prices were also dragged down by the US Dollar hitting a more than two-week high.
OANDA:XAUUSD prices have hit a record high 16 times this year, reaching an all-time high of $3,057.21/oz last week.
Trump May Exempt Some Countries from Tariffs, Wall Street Optimistic
Trading sentiment on Wall Street was positive as US President Trump suggested a partial delay in some tariffs originally scheduled to be imposed on April 2.
According to the Wall Street Journal, US President Trump said he may reduce retaliatory tariffs scheduled to be imposed on US trading partners next month and some countries may be exempted.
According to Bloomberg, US President Trump announced on April 2 that he would impose tariffs on specific countries instead of reciprocal tariffs on most countries. These measures target the so-called “Dirty 15” trading partners.
Trump’s tariff policy stance has shown signs of softening, easing investors’ concerns about the risk of a global trade war.
Gold is traditionally seen as a safe investment during times of geopolitical and economic uncertainty, and it typically performs well in low-interest-rate environments.
The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged last week, signaling the possibility of two 25-basis-point cuts this year.
U.S. and Russian officials are holding talks in Saudi Arabia in hopes of making progress on a broad ceasefire in Ukraine. Washington also hopes to negotiate a separate maritime ceasefire in the Black Sea before reaching a broader agreement.
Overall, the market is showing some signs of cooling down, providing the possibility of a correction for gold prices after a long period of consecutive increases. However, in terms of the overall market picture, gold is still fundamentally on the rise, as potential risks still appear frequently and any unexpected impact from geopolitical and trade risks will also cause gold prices to increase strongly.
Technical outlook analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold corrects lower but remains fixed above the base price of 3,000 USD, which is noted as an important support for the short-term bullish outlook, sent to readers in the previous issue.
In the short term, the upside target is around 3,021 USD, the price point of the 0.50% Fibonacci extension, once this level is broken on gold, it can continue to increase with the target of 3,051 USD in the short term, more than the all-time high then the 0.618% Fibonacci extension.
Overall, as long as gold remains within the price channel, above the EMA21, it still has a bullish technical outlook, the current price declines should only be considered as a short-term correction without changing the main trend.
During the day, the technical uptrend of gold will be focused again as follows.
Support: 3,000 – 2,977 USD
Resistance: 3,021 – 3,051 – 3,057 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3037 - 3035⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3041
→Take Profit 1 3029
↨
→Take Profit 2 3023
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2978 - 2980⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2974
→Take Profit 1 2986
↨
→Take Profit 2 2992
WTI rises to test major resistance WTI has risen in the last couple of weeks after staging an oversold bounce from around the key $65.00 long-term support level at the start of the month. However, it is now testing a key resistance area between $69.15 - $70.00 range, which is where WTI last sold off from. It is a pivotal zone. Given the underlying long-term bearish trend, I am more inclined to look for bearish setups to form here, than to chase this move higher. However, that being said, I would have to drop my short-term bearish bias in the event WTI were to break decisively above $70.00 level in the days ahead.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
GOLD: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
GOLD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GOLD
Entry Point - 3028.77
Stop Loss - 3035.59
Take Profit - 3013.9
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Gold - Short Term Sell Idea Update!!!Hi Traders, on March 20th I shared this idea "Gold - Expecting Retraces and Further Continuation Lower"
We expected to see retraces and further continuation lower. You can read the full post using the link above.
The bearish move delivered, as expected!!!
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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WTI OIL Ultimate long-term guide.WTI Oil (USOIL) has a tendency, like a number of key traditional assets, to follow long-term Cycles. Market psychology more times than not makes investors and the market behave in similar ways (euphoria buying, panic selling) given the same market conditions. Fundamentals and catalysts can often be used as reasons and excuses to confirm the technical trends and long-term Cycles.
Oil is no different and on this 1M time-frame analysis we see why. The dominant multi-year pattern is a Channel Down and it has started on the July 2008 All Time High (ATH). Right now it appears that we are inside a Wedge pattern similar to 2011 - 2014 and more specifically on the final Bullish Leg towards the top.
The 1M RSI sequence among those two fractals is identical so based on all these parameters we believe WTI will test $90.00 by late 2025 - early 2026 and if rejected, start a brutal long-term sell-off towards the bottom of the Channel Down and the 35.00 - 30.00 range by late 2026 as the Time Cycles suggest.
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Oil - Expecting Retraces and Further Continuation HigherH1 - Bullish trend pattern in the form of higher highs, higher lows structure
Strong bullish momentum
Bearish divergence on the moving averages of the MACD indicator.
Expecting retraces and further continuation higher until the two strong support zones hold.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-25-25 : Top PatternToday's Top Pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will find resistance slightly above yesterday's closing price level and attempt to roll over into a bearish price trend.
Watch today's video to see which levels I believe will be the top for the SPY & QQQ.
I do expect metals to rally over the next 3+ weeks and I'm watching for this morning's bounce to carry onward and upward.
Bitcoin should be rolling downward off that FWB:88K top level I predicted months ago.
We are moving into a topping phase - so get ready for the markets to attempt to ROLL DOWNWARD over the next 5+ trading days into a deeper low price level.
Get some.
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XAUUSD: 25/3 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3057, support below 2999
Four-hour chart resistance 3038, support below 2999
One-hour chart resistance 3025, support below 2999
Gold news analysis: On Monday, boosted by the news that the next round of US tariffs will be more moderate, the gold price was trading around 3,030 in the US market, but as economic data hinted at the hidden risks of tariffs, the gold price fluctuated sharply, falling more than $15 in the short term. The latest data released on Monday showed that the initial value of the US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI in March was 49.8, a three-month low. The initial value of the US S&P Global Services PMI in March was 54.3, a three-month high. The initial value of the US S&P Global Composite PMI in March was 53.5, a three-month high. Although the market remains vigilant about the geopolitical reshaping that Trump may cause and the impact of tariffs, investors continue to pour into the gold market for risk aversion. Since 2025, the price of gold has risen by about 15% and fell below the $3,000 mark for the first time. According to informed officials, the Trump administration's tariff plan may be more targeted rather than the comprehensive, global taxation previously envisioned. This adjustment is expected to ease inflationary pressure and increase the room for future interest rate cuts, which is good news for gold.
Gold operation suggestions: Gold rebounded slightly in the Asian and European sessions yesterday and fell under pressure at the 3033 mark. The US session accelerated downward to break through the 3020 mark and reached near the 3002 mark. The daily chart closed with an adjustment decline for three consecutive trading days.
From the current trend analysis, today's upper short-term resistance focuses on the one-hour level 3025 and the four-hour level 3038, and the lower short-term support focuses on the vicinity of 2999. Overall, rely on this range to sell high and buy low, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Sell: 3038near SL: 3042
Sell: 3025near SL: 3030
Sell: 2999near SL: 2994
Use small size transactions to avoid risks
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – Bearish Rejection Expected fThis chart represents an analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on a 30-minute timeframe. Below is a breakdown of the key elements:
Key Observations:
Downtrend Formation
The price is trading within a downward channel, marked by two descending trendlines.
The overall trend appears bearish, indicating potential further declines.
Supply Zone (Resistance) Around $3,025 - $3,030
The price is approaching this key resistance area.
If the price fails to break above, it could lead to a rejection and continuation of the downtrend.
Demand Zone (Support) Around $3,000 - $3,006
This is the target area where buyers may step in to support the price.
A downward move towards this zone is anticipated.
Projected Price Movement
The blue arrows suggest a bearish scenario.
A rejection from the supply zone is expected to push the price downward.
The final target is the demand zone near $3,000.
Conclusion:
Bearish Bias: The price is currently in a downtrend, with the expectation of a rejection from resistance and a move toward the lower support zone.
Confirmation Needed: Watch for price action signals, such as rejection wicks or bearish candlesticks, to confirm the downward move
GOLD to turnaround?XAUUSD - 24h expiry
Previous support at 3030 now becomes resistance.
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Posted a Bearish Inverted Hammer Bottom on the Daily chart.
A higher correction is expected.
The RSI is trending lower.
We look to Sell at 3029.5 (stop at 3050.2)
Our profit targets will be 2970.2 and 2960.2
Resistance: 3020.8 / 3033.3 / 3047.4
Support: 3014.5 / 2999.3 / 2978.4
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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XAU/USD: First Long, Then SHORT! (PLEASE READ THE CAPTION)Gold's 2-hour chart shows that the price successfully reached a new high of $3057 today before retracing to $3025. Currently, gold is trading around $3037, and I expect a short-term push towards $3049 before looking for a trigger to potentially ride a correction down to targets below $3022. Stay tuned—this analysis will be updated soon!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Brent crude: We maintain our USD 65 to USD 85 range for the yearBrent crude's current momentum has taken prices to a three-week high, with the latest move being supported by a combination of underinvested hedge funds, improved risk sentiment following a softening in the tone regarding tariffs after Trump indicated some nations could receive breaks from "reciprocal" tariffs starting next week on 2 April, and not least, the mentioned secondary tariffs on buyers of Venezuelan crude, which, together with Iran sanctions, may help tighten supply.
Overall, we maintain our USD 65 to USD 85 range for the year, with the near-term upside potential being limited by resistance now seen in a band between USD 73.80, the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the January to March selloff, and USD 74.10, a level that provided support on several occasions last month before the eventual break triggered a slump extension to near USD 68.