Gold & Bearish Pennant: Clearer Signs of a Downtrend?Dear friends, it's a pleasure to see you again in today's gold trading session.
At present, according to careful observation and technical analysis, we can see that
OANDA:XAUUSD is showing signs of a slight correction and is likely forming a bearish pennant pattern, consistent with a common continuation candlestick pattern in a downtrend. Specifically:
Previously, the price experienced a strong decline, which plays the role of the “flagpole” of the pattern.
After the drop, the price temporarily moved sideways within a narrow range, gradually narrowing the range and forming a small triangle – characteristic of the consolidation phase in the pennant pattern.
Trading volume also shows a decreasing trend, consistent with the characteristics of this pattern.
With these factors, the current preferred scenario is the continuation of the downtrend, so the Sell position is considered more feasible. I think we could see a move down to $3,155. This area is quite important and could give us a better idea of where the price is headed next.
Just sharing my thoughts on support and resistance, this is not financial advice. Always confirm your setup and manage your risk wisely.
Commodities
NNFX XAUUSD Short Full Signal BreakoutSignal: XAUUSD Short — Full Signal - Entry on Breakout of Order Block
Context:Regime Shift, to ranging market - from long trend.
Probability: Normal - Regime clearly changed, no longer trend long. Fundamentals support this has changed. Full Signal from Judge Fortress Algo Short Supports it, order flow has large range to support the trade.
Risk: Full 2% → Although, Volume at time of entry still slightly bullish at 13% Delta
R:R Plan: Potential is 2.38R, 75% scale-out at TP given the range and drawdown management.
Scale out at 1xATR worth of range (TP) and let 25% Runner stretch to the next order block. Secure profits and observe for blocks to secure to.
The flipside is there is a chance that price could encounter long tension before the the next order block to support the overarching trend based on demand globally and fundamentally. But we would have taken 75% off at this stage.
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Notes:
First trade on Gold in a long time for Judge Fortress Algo. Signal is journaled for observations.
Key Rejection Zone Approaching – Bearish Setup in PlayChart Summary:
Asset: Unspecified (USD-based)
Timeframe: Short-term (likely 1H or 4H)
Indicators:
EMA 50 (red): 3,245.772
EMA 200 (blue): 3,223.635
Key Zones:
Resistance Zone (Red box): ~3,310–3,360
Target/Support Zone (Red box): ~3,110–3,160
Mid Support Zone (Blue box): ~3,200–3,230
Trendline: Downward sloping resistance connecting major highs
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Technical Breakdown:
Trend Analysis:
Primary Trend: Bearish ⬇️
Confirmed by the downtrend line (black) which has been respected multiple times (3 clear touches).
Current Price: 3,290.090
Price is approaching a key confluence zone: resistance area + trendline.
This area has previously acted as strong supply.
Moving Averages:
EMA 50 > EMA 200: Minor bullish signal (Golden Cross), but price action is still below major resistance.
However, this cross may be a false signal if price gets rejected here.
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Price Action:
Current Move: Strong bullish push toward resistance after rebounding from the target zone ✅
The resistance zone and trendline are likely to act as a rejection point unless broken decisively.
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Bearish Scenario (High Probability):
If price fails to break above the resistance zone:
Expect a rejection and move back toward:
Blue mid-support: ~3,220
Target zone: ~3,130 (major demand area)
Confirmation: Bearish candlestick pattern or strong wick rejections near resistance.
🔵 Entry Idea: Short near 3,310–3,350
🎯 Target: 3,130 zone
✋ Stop-Loss: Above 3,360 (above trendline + resistance)
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Bullish Scenario (Less Likely):
If price breaks above the resistance zone with strong volume:
Could signal trend reversal
Next target levels: ~3,400+
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Conclusion:
Bias: Bearish near resistance zone
Key Level to Watch: 3,310–3,360 (critical for direction)
Trading Approach: Wait for confirmation, don't preemptively short without rejection signals.
XAUUSD: The Ultimate Safe Haven Play! FOR THIS WEEK 12/05🏆 XAUUSD (Gold): The Ultimate Safe Haven Play!
📊 Live Market Snapshot (May 12, 2025)
- Current Price: $3,275
- Weekly Range: $3,201 - $3,455
- Key Liquidity Zones:
- Strong Support: $3,140-$3,145 (Best Buy Zone)
- Immediate Resistance: $3,335 (TP1)
- All-Time High: $3,500
💎 Why Gold Matters Now
1. Market Uncertainty: Perfect hedge against volatility
2. Technical Setup: Bouncing from weekly low of $3,201
3. Institutional Demand: Central banks accumulating
🎯 Trading Strategy
- Entry: $3,240-$3,245 zone
- Take Profit Levels:
→ $3,280
→ $3,330
→ $3,355
- Risk Management:
→ Stop Loss: $3,225
⚠️ Critical Notes
1. Watch USD strength (inverse correlation)
2. Monitor Fed policy decisions
3. Physical demand vs. paper gold flows
🔥 Key Indicators
1. Daily RSI: 52 (neutral)
2. 200-DMA: $3,180 (strong support)
3. Volume Profile: Key node at $3,250
📌 The Golden Opportunity
With global tensions rising, gold offers:
- Safe haven protection
- Inflation hedge
- Technical rebound potential
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📊 DYOR| Not financial advice 🖌️
Analysis of the latest gold market trend on May 20:
📌 Core market logic: Risk aversion dominates, gold fluctuates at high levels
Geopolitical risks surge
Middle East situation: Israel launches large-scale ground operations in Gaza, and the conflict escalates.
Russia-Ukraine war: Russia launches the largest air strike since 2022, and negotiations break down.
Iran nuclear issue: Iran's tough statement of "never stopping uranium enrichment" has aggravated market concerns.
Financial system turmoil
Moody's downgrades US rating: Market concerns about the credit of the US dollar have increased, and gold has become more attractive as an alternative asset.
Global trade war risk: As uncertainty increases, demand for gold hedging rises.
Economic data is light
There is a lack of heavy data this week, and the market focus is still on geopolitics and risk aversion.
📊 Technical key signals
1. Daily level: Stand firm on the 60-day moving average, bulls dominate
Last week, the long shadow of the middle Yin line was closed, showing strong support at 3200.
Monday's gap-up opening broke through short-term resistance, but there is still pressure in the 3250-3260 area.
Bollinger Bands closed, if it stands firmly on the middle track (near 3280), it may open up to 3350-3400.
2. 4-hour level: strong shock, pay attention to key breakthroughs
Bottoming out + gap-up opening, short-term bulls dominate, but it is still a volatile market before 3280 is broken.
Support below 3200-3210 (key retracement long area).
Resistance above 3250-3260 (if it breaks through, it will test 3280, and the rise may accelerate after breaking).
🎯 Today's trading strategy
📌 Short-term operation ideas: low-long mainly, high-short as auxiliary
✅ Long opportunity (main strategy)
Entry point: 3200-3210 (retracement to support zone)
Target: 3250 → 3265 → 3280
Stop loss: below 3190 (to prevent false breakthrough)
⚠ Short opportunity (secondary strategy, operate with caution)
Entry point: 3250-3260 (short before breaking)
Target: 3220 → 3200
Stop loss: above 3270 (to prevent unilateral rise after breaking)
📌 Medium and long-term layout
If it breaks through 3280 → you can chase long, target 3350-3400.
If it falls back to 3200 without breaking → it can be regarded as a second opportunity to arrange long orders.
⚠ Risk Warning
Geopolitical changes (such as ceasefire agreements, cooling of the situation) may cause a rapid correction in gold.
Dollar trend (if the Fed releases hawkish signals, it may suppress gold).
Technical key position (whether 3280 is broken or not determines the subsequent trend).
📢 Conclusion: Gold is supported by safe-haven in the short term, but we need to be wary of high-level fluctuations. It is recommended to mainly go long on lows and strictly stop losses!
Bullish momentum to extend?XAU/USD has broken out of the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,271.60
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 3,244.65
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 3,350.94
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
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Gold - Small rejection before $3400?Gold has been in a clear downtrend on the 4-hour timeframe, and during one of its recent declines, it left behind a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG). Price is now climbing back toward this imbalance zone, suggesting that a critical test of resistance may be approaching.
Bounce from strong support
Just a few days ago, Gold found solid footing at a strong support area, which triggered a bounce. Since then, it has been pushing higher and is now nearing the 4-hour FVG. This zone represents a significant area of imbalance left unfilled during the prior selloff, and it's highly likely that price will react once it reaches this region.
FVG and Golden Pocket
Interestingly, this FVG aligns closely with the golden pocket, which lies between 3315 and 3325. While the golden pocket sits slightly above the midpoint of the FVG, there's a good chance Gold could tap into that area before showing signs of a pullback or rejection from the FVG itself.
Target to the downside
If price fails to break above this zone and reverses, the logical target to the downside would be the 3250 level. This area has acted as a key resistance in recent sessions, and if retested from above, it could serve as a strong support base for another potential leg higher.
Target if we break above the FVG
On the other hand, if Gold manages to break cleanly through the FVG with strong volume and momentum, the path could open toward a move up to the recent highs around 3430. In that scenario, the bullish continuation would likely require sustained buying interest and increased market participation to carry through.
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Crude Oil (WTI/USD) Short SetupInternational oil prices have been supported by the temporary easing of trade tensions and buying sentiment attracted by a double bottom. However, the upside for oil prices remains limited, mainly due to the impact of Trump's uncertain tariff policies on the economy and the OPEC+ strategy of maintaining production increases. In the forward view, attention should be paid to the progress of the Iran Nuclear Agreement and Russia-Ukraine negotiations. If the agreements are reached, pressure on the oil supply side will continue to increase. During the summer oil consumption peak season, the incremental oil demand in major consuming countries may be affected by factors such as the bleak prospects of economic recovery and the substitution of new energy, keeping oil prices under pressure. On the daily chart, crude oil closed with a small bullish candle, with the high price breaking above the previous high and the low price not breaking below the previous low, forming an breakout pattern. Crude oil has shown upward momentum after consecutive oscillations, and key attention should be paid to whether the resistance level at 63.6 is broken.
Trading Strategy:
sell@62.5-63.0
TP:61.0-61.5
In the market, there are no absolutes, and neither upward nor downward trends are set in stone. Therefore, the ability to judge the balance between market gains and losses is your key to success. Let money become our loyal servant.
SILVER: Next Move Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 32.982 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 33.261 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Crude oil: 63.00 resistance & 60.00 support keyPrices are currently testing the upper resistance at $63.00 📈. These levels are suppressing the price 🔻. A decisive breakthrough above this level may trigger a more intense upward rally 🔥. Meanwhile, recent selling pressure has pushed the price down to $60.60 📉. Watch the pivot support at $60.00, the real downward target 🎯
Crude oil surplus expanded in April, and imports increased, reaching multi - month highs from some countries 🌍. If global benchmark oil prices rise in the future, purchases may be reduced 📉.
Crude oil fell first and then rose today 📊. After a deep dive to $60.9, it stabilized and started to rise 🔼. After the previous price increase and adjustment, it remains to be seen if the upward momentum will continue and break through upwards 🔍.
Overall, on the delivery day, oil prices are volatile 🔼🔽. Watch the resistance at $63.0 on the upside and the support at $60.60 - $60.0 on the downside 👀.
⚡️⚡️⚡️ USOil ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Sell@ 62.50 - 62.30
🚀 TP 61.50 - 60.60
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Gold Price Update: Strong Rally Surpasses $3,250 SupportGold is experiencing a sharp rally, breaking through the key support level of $3,250/oz and currently trading around $3,280/oz.
- The main drivers behind this uptrend include:
- Increased demand for safe-haven assets amid global economic uncertainty.
- Fears of a potential recession and prolonged inflationary pressures.
- If gold sustains above $3,258, it is highly likely to continue its upward move toward the psychological level of $3,300.
- Should prices break above $3,300, the next potential target could be around $3,350.
📌 However, investors are advised to closely monitor key support and resistance zones to adjust their trading strategies accordingly.
📊 Short-Term Trading Strategy
🟢 Buy
Entry Price: $3,265
Take Profit (TP): $3,300
Stop Loss (SL): $3,245
🔴 Sell
Entry Price: $3,298
Take Profit (TP): $3,270
Stop Loss (SL): $3,310
Rationale: The $3,300 area is a strong resistance level, and a short-term pullback may occur.
GOLD: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3,380.59 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3,309.37.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey everyone,
It’s been another piptastic day in the markets with our 1H chart setup playing out beautifully.
We began with our bullish target at 3236, which was successfully hit. This was followed by EMA5 cross and lock that opened 3278, also reached perfectly. The entire range played out smoothly, giving ample time after confirmation for entries.
Looking ahead, we’ll be watching for an EMA5 cross and lock above 3278, which could open the path to 3308. A further lock above 3308 would open the potential for extended upside.
However, if price fails to lock above these key levels, we may see a retest of lower Goldturns for a potential bounce.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3236 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3236 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3278 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3278 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3308
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3308 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3343
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3343 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3373
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3373 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3418
BEARISH TARGETS
3184
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3184 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3146
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3146 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3103
3069
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3069 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3030
2981
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold price suddenly rises, how to get out of the trap at night🗞News side:
1. Humanitarian crisis in Gaza Strip, many civilians injured. I hope that world peace is all right
2. The call between the Russian and Ukrainian leaders is still ongoing
📈Technical aspects:
After gold fell back after touching 3250, it rose again and has broken through to around 3270. This rapid rise was unexpected. Although the 1H moving average turned upward, the gold price is currently consolidating at a high level. It is not suitable for us to enter the market at this time. We should remain on the sidelines and pay attention to the pressure at 3290 above. The short-term support below needs to pay attention to 3250-2540.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
GOLD (XAUUSD): 2 Strong Bullish Patterns
As I warned you earlier, Gold is resuming a growth.
After completing a bullish accumulation, the price
is currently breaking both a neckline of an ascending triangle
and an inverted head and shoulders formation on a 4H.
I think that the price will rise more and reach 3320 resistance soon.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
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XAUUSD DAILY PLAN UPDATE – MAY 19-20, 2025“We don’t redraw zones. We validate their power.”
Chart: ✅ Full SMC + Imbalance + Macro flow (no guesswork)
📍 STRUCTURE FOLLOW-UP FROM YESTERDAY
Price respected the key mapped zones with surgical precision:
✅ Confirmed reaction from "LTF FVG + Unmitigated OB": Price tapped this zone and has been coiling since, showing hesitation near 3245–3255 supply.
✅ Demand at 3182–3190 (Confirmed demand + liquidity seep) held the entire bullish wave.
❌ No break above 3255 = No RAKET yet. Bulls haven’t pushed through the supply.
So far, structure remains short-term bullish, macro still in correction, premium rejection active.
✅ STILL VALID ZONES FOR MAY 19
🔵 BUY ZONES
3182–3190 = "Confirmed demand + liquidity sweep"
→ 2x successful rejections = highly reactive if retested.
If this breaks = deeper retracement expected.
3120–3140 = “MACRO must-hold demand”
→ Cleanest long-term demand block. If we ever break this, macro flow turns fully bearish.
3060–3085 = “FVG fill + wick rebalancing”
→ Only for deep selloffs. High reward zone.
🔴 SELL ZONES
3248–3255 = “LTF FVG + Unmitigated OB”
→ In-play now. Watch for reaction + breakdown below 3228 = short confirmation.
(Great for intraday NY/Asia reversal plays)
3280–3292 = Internal LH / last supply
→ Valid swing short zone if market expands.
3360–3380 = “Supply + imbalance rejection”
→ Macro invalidation zone if broken.
⚠️ INVALIDATED / USED ZONES
❌ 3221–3228 minor demand → Already wicked through, structure closed above and below.
❌ 3230 OB → No longer fresh. Consolidated, weak edge.
❌ 3235–3240 scalp supply → Broken in Asia session, now used for liquidity inducement.
🔎 PLAN SCENARIOS
🔽 BEARISH:
Rejects again from 3248–3255, breaks 3228, targets 3182, then 3120.
🔼 BULLISH:
Clean break & hold above 3255, continuation toward 3280–3292 next.
💡 FLOW INSIGHT:
"Price has memory. Respect the zones, not the hype."
We are in a premium coil → until 3255 breaks, sellers have the edge.
Until 3182 breaks, bulls still breathe.
🔔 FINAL RAKET NOTE:
All the zones marked yesterday have proven structure today.
We hold them, refine them—not redraw them.
Drop a 🧠 if you still trust your chart.
Drop a 🚀 if you're ready for the next clean leg.
—
With logic & flow,
GoldFxMinds 💛
Hanzo / Gold 15m Path ( Confirmed Breakout Zones )🔥 GOLD – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
Bias: Waiting For Break Out
Time Frame: 15 Min
Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Break Out
👌Bullish After Break Out : 3224
👌Bearish After Break Out : 3207
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic Reaction from Refined Liquidity Layer
Marked volatility from a high-precision supply/demand zone. System detects potential for both long and short operations.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
💯 Market Zone: Transition Phase
Asset in premium-to-discount (or vice versa) range — valid for both reversal and continuation trades. Execute with precision.
Gold Volatility May Increase with Ongoing NewsflowGold has formed a triangle pattern on the 15-minute timeframe. Given the recent flow of mostly gold-positive news, there is a chance that gold may attempt a breakout from this formation today.
From a demand perspective, the aggressive gold hoarding phase appears to be over, and "managed money" is gradually taking profits without triggering significant downward pressure. As a result, the medium-term outlook remains “sell the highs,” assuming current conditions persist. However, several short-term developments are providing support:
1- A dovish rate cut by the RBA
2- Jamie Dimon’s warning on market complacency amid stagflation risks
3- No Ukraine ceasefire in place, and Trump appears to be backing off threats against Russia following a call with Putin
4- Japan saw one of its weakest 20-year bond auctions
5- Several euro-positive headlines yesterday that could weigh on the dollar index
If these factors are enough to keep gold above the 3,200 support level today, a breakout above the 3,245 resistance could occur, potentially opening the way for a test of the major 3,270–3,290 resistance zone. Key levels to watch today are 3200 and 3245.