SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-20 : Harami-InsideToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will stay somewhat FLAT in trading.
In this video, I go over the SPY/QQQ, Gold/Silver, and BTCUSD.
What I find interesting in today's video is the setup in BTCUSD - being very similar to the peak in late 2021 before the double-top in Bitcoin.
If my analysis is correct, we are moving into a type of final speculative phase (bullish) that will quickly transition into a type of breakdown move in the US/Global markets.
Gold should do very well once this move sets up and begins to drive the Risk/Hedge trade.
In the meantime, sit back and wait for this speculative move to phase out (top).
Get some.
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Commodities
XAU/USD: More Bullish Move Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that after our last analysis, the price dropped to $3120, and then faced strong buying pressure, pushing it back up to the $3240 area! Gold is now trading in a critical zone for trend direction. If the price manages to hold above $3233, we can expect further bullish movement. This analysis will be updated with your support!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Gold price fluctuates, 3200 becomes a key watershed🗞News side:
1. Yesterday, Russia and Ukraine had a positive development on the issue of war and peace
2. The situation in Israel has become more serious
3. The United States and the European Union have further negotiations on tariffs
📈Technical aspects:
At present, gold is in a volatile situation in the short term. From a technical point of view, the monthly chart of gold shows an upward trend, and the long-term trend is neutral to bullish; the weekly chart is in a high-level stagflation situation, and the medium-term trend is expected to be a stagflation correction; the daily MACD top divergence, there may be a rebound demand in the short term, and the 4H forms a double top suppression near 3250. We need to pay attention to the range breakthrough trend during the day. At the same time, on the news front, the situation in Israel is becoming increasingly serious. Before any major news comes out, we will focus on the support effect of the 3200 line in the short term, and focus on the 3240-3250 resistance range on the upside.
🎁BUY 3210-3200
🎁TP 3230-3250
🎁SELL 3242-3250
🎁TP 3230-3210
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
WTI OIL 1H Channel Up make or break Targets.WTI Oil (USOIL) has been trading within a Channel Up on the 1H time-frame that is supported by the 1H MA200 (orange trend-line). As long as this holds, we expect another +2.50% Bullish Leg (at least), which gives a Target of $63.55.
If the price breaks below the 1H MA200 though, we will take this small loss on the long and go short instead, targeting Support 1 at $60.60.
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DeGRAM | GOLD triangle volume reduction📊 Technical Analysis
● A lower-high formed at $3 280 re-entered the red supply and slid back beneath the blue trend-line, converting last week’s “break-out” into a bull-trap.
● Price is compressing in a bear-flag whose base rests on $3 200; a 1 h close below it exposes the descending-channel floor/ horizontal support at $3 100.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● FOMC minutes stressed rates may stay “restrictive for some time”, lifting 2-yr yields to 4.9 % and firming the USD, while the World Gold Council logged a 6-tonne ETF outflow on 17 May, signalling weaker investment demand.
✨ Summary
Sell rallies into 3 230-3 250; flag break targets 3 200 ➜ 3 100, risk capped above 3 280.
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GOLD Is Very Bearish! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 3,238.63.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 3,179.36.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
SILVER BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,240.9
Target Level: 3,210.7
Stop Loss: 3,261.1
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
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GOLD The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GOLD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 3236.0
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 3224.9
Safe Stop Loss - 3240.9
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAUUSD H4: Re-accumulation | Floor at 3K | TP Bulls 4K🏆 Gold Market Mid-Term Update
📉 Gold Eases: Prices dip to $3,213.35/oz amid ceasefire optimism and stronger USD.
🤝 Trade Tensions: U.S.-China tariff truce reduces safe-haven demand, pressuring gold.
📊 Technical Watch: Analysts eye $3,200 support level as key for market direction.
🔮 EUROTLX:4K Forecast?: JP Morgan projects gold to surpass $4,000/oz by Q2 2026.
⚠️ Credit Downgrade: Moody's cuts U.S. rating to "Aa1", citing rising debt, impacting gold sentiment.
🏠 Investment Shift: Gold's YTD return at 22.42%, outperforming many assets.
🌍 Central Bank Buying: Sustained demand from emerging markets supports gold prices.
🛡️ $3,200 Holds: Gold maintains key support despite volatility and profit-taking.
📈 Goldman Bullish: Forecasts gold at $3,700/oz by year-end, with potential to reach $4,500.
💰 Live Price: Gold at $3,228.80 (+0.01%) today.
📊 Technical Outlook Update
🏆 Bull Market Overview
▪️pullback in progress currently
▪️3500 USD heavy resistance
▪️Re-accumulation in progress now
▪️Same as Q4 2024 - on the right
▪️Expect re-accumulation into June
▪️Downside capped by 3 000 USD
▪️short-term expecting range action
▪️Bulls still maintain strategic control
⭐️Recommended strategy
▪️Accumulate in range
▪️Closer to 3K S/R zone
▪️Bulls 4K still valid target
Gold Move 20 May 2025🔍 Buy Setup Analysis – 3222–3225 Zone
Price is expected to retrace into the 3222–3225 demand zone during the London session. This level if holds and aligns with potential bullish interest.
✅ Entry Signal Criteria
Price enters 3222–3225 zone
Target: 3235/3245
SL: Below 3212
Bullish CHoCH or MSS appears
FVG forms and holds
Strong bullish candle closes above FVG
If these align, consider executing a long position with proper risk management.
Positive market, GOLD drops to 3,220 USD in short termOANDA:XAUUSD fell to $3,220/oz, down 0.61% on the day at press time, resuming a bearish trend and cooling demand for safe-haven assets. US President Trump spoke by phone with Russian President Vladimir Putin, with Trump saying Russia wants to reach a major trade deal with the United States and will immediately begin ceasefire negotiations with Ukraine. Ahead of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech, central bank officials remained on the sidelines, with the likelihood of a rate cut in the summer very low.
Trump said Russia wants to make a “big” trade deal with the United States. Trump posted on his Truth Social account that he spoke with Putin on Monday to discuss the deal. “I just had a two hour phone call with Putin and I think it went very well.”
Trump said he discussed a number of issues with Putin, primarily the ceasefire agreement between Putin and Ukraine. “Russia and Ukraine will immediately begin negotiations to achieve a ceasefire and, more importantly, an end to the war,” Trump wrote. “Both sides will negotiate the terms of this agreement, which is only possible because they have details of the negotiations that others do not. The tone and atmosphere of the talks were very good.”
After announcing the ceasefire, Trump also wrote that Putin was looking for a trade deal with the United States. “Russia wants to engage in massive trade with the United States after this disastrous ‘bloodbath’ is over, and I agree. Russia has a tremendous opportunity to create many jobs and wealth. The potential is limitless.” Trump also said that Ukraine could also benefit from a potential trade deal with the United States. He even added that the Vatican, represented by the new pope, would be willing to hold trade/ceasefire talks.
Recent cooperative initiatives between Putin and Trump, including the US President receiving a painting from Putin, have raised questions about how the US-Russia axis will affect trade dynamics between the two countries. The two countries have maintained active communication since Trump took office in January. Given the current global tensions, a new US-Russia trade deal would be a significant step forward.
Trump discussed peace in Ukraine with Putin on Monday after the US said it may have to pull out of a stalemate over ending Europe’s bloodiest conflict since World War II.
Looking ahead, markets are focused on a speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, with traders now betting that the chances of a rate cut in the summer are extremely low.
The more positive news the market gets, the more pressure gold will face as cooling safe-haven demand will send investors looking for riskier assets.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
As noted to readers in previous publications since gold was sold below EMA21, up to now, it still has a short-term technical trend leaning towards the downside. Specifically, gold has repeatedly failed to overcome the resistance level of 3,250 USD and has decreased in price every time it approaches this level. And in terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below 50, far from the oversold zone, indicating that there is still room for momentum to decline ahead.
For gold to be in a position to enter a new bullish cycle, the most important condition is that it needs to break above the $3,300 base level then target around $3,371 in the short term.
On the other hand, once gold breaks below the $3,200 support point it could continue to decline with the target then around the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement in the short term.
For the rest of the day, the technical outlook for gold is bearish with notable positions listed as follows.
Support: $3,200 – $3,163 – $3,120
Resistance: $3,250 – $3,292
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3226 - 3224⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3230
→Take Profit 1 3218
↨
→Take Profit 2 3212
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3150 - 3152⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3146
→Take Profit 1 3158
↨
→Take Profit 2 3164
Gold Price Market in a Sideways Phase Awaiting BreakoutGold Price Drops Amid Hawkish Fed Comments - Market in a Sideways Phase Awaiting Breakout
Gold (XAU/USD) has experienced a sharp drop following recent hawkish comments from the Federal Reserve. The continuation of tight monetary policy has unsettled investors, leading to strong sell-offs during both the Asian and US trading sessions today.
📊 Technical Analysis:
Currently, gold is forming a new sideways range, and if you zoom out to higher timeframes, you'll notice a classic bearish flag pattern developing. This suggests that gold is in a period of consolidation before a potential large-scale breakout. While the upward momentum from both the Asian and European sessions was strong, gold failed to break the critical 3250–3255 zone. This area remains vital for determining the next direction in gold's price action.
Should the bearish trend continue, if we break the support trendline below the current price, the likelihood of the bearish flag pattern playing out rises to around 80%. This could lead to further price corrections.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Levels: 3205, 3194, 3280, 3262
Resistance Levels: 3244, 3262, 3278, 3286
📈 Trading Strategy:
BUY SCALP:
Entry: 3294 - 3292
Stop Loss (SL): 3288
Take Profit (TP): 3298 → 3302 → 3306 → 3310 → 3315 → 3320 → 3330
BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3272 - 3270
SL: 3266
TP: 3276 → 3280 → 3284 → 3288 → 3292 → 3296 → 3330
SELL SCALP:
Entry: 3242 - 3244
SL: 3248
TP: 3238 → 3234 → 3230 → 3226 → 3220 → 3210
SELL SCALP:
Entry: 3276 - 3278
SL: 3282
TP: 3272 → 3268 → 3264 → 3260 → 3250 → 3240
⚠️ Risk Management:
As we approach the close of the week, the volatility in gold could intensify, especially with the Fed’s actions, market sentiment, and geopolitical developments. Always follow your TP/SL to safeguard your investments and avoid unnecessary risk.
🧠 Final Thoughts:
The market is in a consolidation phase, and it's essential to wait for confirmation before taking significant positions. If gold fails to break the 3250–3255 resistance zone, the chances of a more significant move downwards increase. However, be cautious, as the market is volatile, and things can shift rapidly.
Silver Holds Near $32.60 on CeasefireSilver hovered around $32.20 per ounce during Tuesday’s Asian session, easing for a third consecutive day as safe-haven demand faded. The hopes for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire, announced by U.S. President Trump after a call with President Putin, tempered market uncertainty and weighed on silver’s appeal.
However, losses were limited following Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. credit rating and a series of weak economic data, including CPI, PPI, and retail sales. These reinforced expectations for two Fed rate cuts this year, likely starting in September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool projections.
Strong industrial demand, especially from the solar sector, continues to support silver’s longer-term outlook. Markets now look for upcoming Fed speeches for further direction.
XAG/USD faces resistance at $32.50, with higher levels at $33.80 and $34.20. Support is seen at $31.40, followed by $30.20 and $29.80.
Gold Slips with Ceasefire HopesGold declined below $3,320 per ounce as hopes for a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine reduced the appeal of safe-haven assets. The drop followed a statement by US President Donald Trump announcing that both nations had agreed to "immediate" talks, potentially without US involvement, after a conversation with Russian President Vladimir Putin.
On Monday, gold had gained 0.6% in response to Moody’s downgrade of the US credit rating to Aa1 from Aaa, which raised concerns about long-term debt sustainability. However, with geopolitical tensions easing and investors awaiting fresh comments from Federal Reserve officials, gold reversed course.
XAU/USD now finds resistance at $3,250, with further levels at $3,300 and $3,350. On the downside, support is seen at $3,120, followed by $3,030 and $2,956.
XAUUSD Intraday Analysis – May 19, 2025Key Supply Zone: 3246–3252
This area is a major resistance. If price fails to break and hold above, expect a rejection back to 3230 or even 3212.
However, a clear breakout and hold above 3252 will likely trigger bullish continuation toward 3275.
✅ Signal Setup
Scenario 1 – Rejection Short (preferred until breakout)
Sell Zone: 3246–3252
SL: Above 3260
TP: 3230 / 3212
Scenario 2 – Breakout Long
Buy Above: 3252 (on 5–15min structure shift or BOS)
SL: Below 3244
TP: 3265 / 3275
📌 Wait for confirmation — either rejection wick or clean breakout with retest.
Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis: Short Setups Shine in a Tight Market! Hey everyone, Skeptic here! After checking out the market today, I’m zeroing in on XAU/USD (Gold) for some prime short opportunities. 😊 Let’s dive into the charts and unpack why this could be a sweet setup. We’ll start with the Daily Timeframe to get the big picture. 📊
Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture
Gold’s been riding a strong major uptrend, but we’re now in a corrective phase. Here’s what’s going on:
Trend Context: We’ve had a robust bullish trend, with weak corrections and sharp, high-momentum rallies.
Double Top Formation: A double top formed, and after breaking its neckline, we’ve entered a secondary corrective trend.
Key Levels:
Bullish Continuation: A break above the ceiling at 3416.19 confirms the major uptrend’s continuation.
Deeper Correction: A break below support at 3126.75 could push us down to 3019.98.
Recent Candles: They’re getting smaller and tighter, signaling market indecision. The next few days could define Gold’s direction—up or down.
This compression means we need to be ready for a breakout in either direction. Let’s zoom into the 4-Hour Timeframe to find our long and short triggers and understand why this tightness matters.
4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups
After the first corrective wave hit the 3126.75 support, we’ve entered a continuation triangle pattern. Here’s the plan:
Short Setup:
Trigger: A break below the triangle’s floor at 3206.32 is a solid short opportunity.
Why It Works: This is a continuation pattern, so no extra confirmation is needed—price action leads the way.
Outlook: Red candles have shown more strength than green ones, and the pattern supports bearish momentum from the prior wave, making a downward break more likely.
Long Setup:
Trigger: Wait for a break above the resistance at 3249.68 .
Confirmation: Look for support from RSI or SMA to boost confidence.
Risk Management: Keep position risk low, as the bearish momentum is stronger right now.
My Take: I’m leaning toward a bearish move due to stronger red candles and the pattern’s bearish bias. For shorts, use reasonable risk, but for longs, tighten your risk to stay safe. 😎
💬 Let’s Talk!
If this analysis sparked some ideas, give it a quick boost—it really helps! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to dive into next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll tackle it. Thanks for joining me—see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️
Silver Outlook: Consolidation Continues Amid Tech and Haven HypeDespite Nasdaq's recent 400-point pullback from the 21,446 high, silver has extended its one-month consolidation, with momentum and price action suggesting the calm before the breakout.
The intersection of haven demand and renewed interest in tech-sector investments—particularly around AI—could reestablish silver as a preferred alternative asset.
From a daily time frame perspective, Silver is consolidating both in price and momentum. A decisive close above the $33 level could pave the way toward $33.70, $34.30, and $35.
On the downside, a break below $31.60 could trigger losses toward $31, $30.30, and $29.50.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
EURUSD Gaining Momentum – Is a Breakout Just Ahead?After several choppy sessions, EURUSD is now showing strong short-term recovery signals, having broken out of its previous descending channel. The pair is currently hovering around 1.123, continuing to defend a key support zone.
The upward momentum is being fueled by developments on both sides:
👉 From the U.S., consumer confidence continues to weaken, and growing expectations of an early Fed rate cut are weighing on the dollar.
👉 From Europe, fresh economic data from Germany and France came in better than expected this morning, helping the euro regain strength in the short term.
Combining both technical and fundamental factors, the current accumulation pattern on the H1 timeframe could act as a launchpad for a potential breakout toward 1.1227 resistance, and possibly beyond the upper trendline boundary.
🎯 Trading idea: Look for buy setups if a bullish candle confirms around 1.1220–1.1230, with stop loss placed below the EMA and the previous support zone.
Gold at the Edge – Will Support Hold or Break?Hey everyone! Great to see you again for today’s gold market update.
Right now, gold is trading around $3,230, consolidating inside a tight wedge pattern. Momentum is slowing, and the EMAs are compressing — clear signs that a breakout could be right around the corner. This kind of setup often leads to explosive moves, offering short-term profit opportunities.
The chart suggests price may continue to coil for a few more swings before potentially breaking down below the trendline. If that happens, the next support target lies near $3,161 — a level that previously sparked a strong bullish bounce.
Still, we can’t rule out the opposite — a sharp breakout to the upside if buyers step in. That’s why risk management is key here. Make sure your TP and SL are in place.
📉 Your turn – do you think gold is about to break higher or drop lower?
Let me know in the comments!
xauusd: Market analysis and strategy on May 20Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3284, support below 3167
Four-hour chart resistance 3252, support below 3192
One-hour chart resistance 3222, support below 3192
Gold news analysis: Spot gold continued to rise at the opening of this week on Monday (May 19), but failed to break through the key resistance of $3250. The market showed a cautious sentiment under the interweaving of multiple factors: Moody's downgrade of the US sovereign credit rating, the renewed tension in the Middle East, and Trump's tariff remarks on risk sentiment, which together constitute the core logic of gold price fluctuations. At present, gold is in a narrow range of fluctuations, reflecting that the market's pricing of credit risk and policy uncertainty is still insufficient. If Moody's rating downgrade triggers a continued sell-off of US bonds, and if the conflict in the Middle East escalates, gold prices are expected to rely on the support of $3,200 to accumulate strength to attack $3,250. On the contrary, if Trump releases a signal to ease the situation between Russia and Ukraine or the Federal Reserve downplays the impact of the rating, it is not ruled out that the technical support of $3,150 will be stepped back. In the short term, we need to pay close attention to two dynamics: one is whether the long-term US Treasury yield can be stabilized below 5%, and the other is whether the ground operations in the Middle East will be expanded. The technical side needs to confirm the effective breakthrough of $3252 before a new round of trend space can be opened.
Gold operation suggestions: From the current trend analysis, the lower support focuses on the first-line support of the 3192 mark, and the upper pressure focuses on the one-hour level 3252 and the four-hour level 3284. The short-term long and short strength watershed 3192 first-line mark, and the overall support relies on this range to maintain high selling and low buying.
BUY:3200near SL:3195
BUY:3250near SL:3145
Bullish momentum to extend?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance, which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Pivot: 60.08
1st Support: 57.68
1st Resistance: 64.63
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Bearish reversal for the Gold?The price is rising towards the pivot, which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 3,263.27
1st Support: 3,124.31
1st Resistance: 3,346.25
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
XAUUSD M15 I Bearish Reversal Based on the M15chart, the price could rise toward our sell entry level at 3226.46, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 3196.93, a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 1.4481, a swing high resistance.
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