Analysis of the latest gold market trend on June 11:
1. Analysis of gold news
China-US trade negotiations ease risk aversion
The second round of China-US trade negotiations was held in London. Both sides released "constructive" signals. The market expects that tariff policies may be further eased, weakening the safe-haven demand for gold.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Bensont called the talks "good" and Commerce Secretary Lutnick described the discussions as "fruitful". The market is cautiously optimistic about the negotiations, and gold is under pressure to fall.
The trend of the US dollar and the impact of the Fed's policies
The US dollar index has recently fluctuated in the range of 99-102. If it strengthens further (such as breaking through 102), it may suppress gold prices; on the contrary, if it falls below 99, gold may stabilize and rebound.
The Fed may keep interest rates unchanged at its June meeting. The market expects a high probability of a rate cut before September, but if the US economic data is strong (such as non-farm employment exceeding expectations), the rate cut may be postponed, which is bearish for gold.
Central bank gold purchases slowed down, but long-term support remains
The People's Bank of China increased its gold holdings by 60,000 ounces in May, with a slower growth rate than in previous months. Short-term support for gold prices weakened, but the long-term trend of de-dollarization still supports gold demand.
2. Technical analysis of gold
Short-term oscillating downward trend
Gold prices hit 3348 and then fell back, failing to stand firm at 3345 resistance, indicating that bears still have the upper hand.
The 1-hour chart shows a oscillating downward trend, with 3345-3355 constituting strong resistance and 3300-3310 as key support. If it falls below 3300, it may accelerate to the 3280-3250 range.
Key support and resistance
Upper resistance: 3345-3355 (suppression by yesterday's high and trend line)
Lower support: 3300-3310 (psychological barrier and 30-day moving average), if it falls below, look at 3280-3250.
Operation strategy
Short-term short orders: If the price rebounds to the range of 3345-3355, you can try to short sell, with a target of 3310-3300.
Short-term long orders: If the support of 3300 is effective, you can buy with a light position to rebound and rise, with a target of 3320-3330.
Trend trading: If it falls below 3300, you can follow up with short orders, with a target of 3280-3250.
3. Outlook for the future
Short-term range: Gold prices may fluctuate in the range of 3200-3400, affected by the Fed's policy expectations, the trend of the US dollar and the geopolitical situation.
Medium- to long-term: If the Fed starts a rate cut cycle or geopolitical risks escalate (such as the deterioration of the situation in the Middle East), gold may hit the high point of 3400-3500 again.
Conclusion: Today, gold is mainly shorted on rebound, with attention paid to the resistance of 3345-3355, and the target below is 3310-3300. If it falls below, a deeper correction will be seen.
Commodities
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another solid day on the charts, with our analysis unfolding exactly as anticipated.
As mentioned yesterday, after the cross and lock above 3318, we identified a gap at 3352 that remained unfilled, acting as a magnet for price action. Since then, price has been consolidating in a tight range between 3318 and 3352.
Today, we saw a perfect move up, completing the target at 3352. From here, we’ll be watching for a confirmed cross and lock above 3352 for a continuation. If price fails to lock above, we could see rejections leading back into the lower Goldturns, where we’ll look for support and bounce.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3318 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3318 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3352 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3352 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3388
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3388 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3428
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3478
BEARISH TARGETS
3281
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3281 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3254
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3254 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3210
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3210 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3179
3146
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
"Go long on crude oil with strong unilateral pullback"The market is weighing the impact of global trade tensions on the global crude oil demand outlook. After two days of intense consultations in London, the Asian giant and the U.S. have reached a framework agreement on restarting trade talks. U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said after the negotiations that the framework still needs review and approval from President Trump. Crude oil continued to rise after a pullback correction, showing a single bearish candlestick retracement pattern on the daily chart. With price supported at the MA5 level, it continues to make new highs, and this rally could target the 67.0 level.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
buy@64.0-64.5
TP:66.5-67.0
XAUUSD DAILY PLAN 11 JUNE | CPI FIRE & STRUCTURE SNIPES!Hey GoldMinds! 🔥
Welcome to the June 11 plan — perfect timing as CPI is dropping tomorrow and the market is heating up! Let’s get tactical and prep for both volatility and sniper setups.
🌎 Macro & News Context
All eyes on CPI (US Inflation Data) tomorrow — expect increased volatility and liquidity sweeps!
USD is showing signs of strength after a broad correction. DXY breakout could pressure gold lower, but a miss on CPI could mean instant reversal.
Market is trapped in a wide structure, so we’re trading only the best confluence zones — not mid-range noise.
📊 Key Levels & Zones
Type Zone Logic / Target
Buy #1 3315–3310 Daily OB + H4 demand + FVG sweep, strong bounce expected if CPI spike flushes price
Buy #2 3292–3280 Deep discount zone, liquidity inducement & last-stand HL
Sell #1 3352–3362 H1/H4 premium OB + FVG + prior sweep, CPI pump trap
Sell #2 3384–3400 Extreme premium, stop hunt and sweep zone, strong rejection expected if FOMO kicks in
Mid Range 3330–3340 If NY plays range, look for quick reaction scalps here with M5 confirmation only
🧭 Bias
Neutral-to-Bearish (with event risk):
Market is currently consolidating below premium supply, showing signs of distribution and lower highs on H1/H4.
As long as price is capped below 3350–3362, sellers remain in control — especially if USD holds its strength into CPI.
However, CPI can easily flip the script! If data surprises dovish and USD drops, we could see an aggressive squeeze higher.
Best play: Let price reach extreme zones (either buy discount or sell premium) and wait for clear confirmation — don’t force trades in the middle.
Summary:
→ Bearish below 3350–3362
→ Bullish only on sharp flushes into 3310 or deeper discount, with M15 reversal
→ Flat/mixed in the mid-range (3330–3340), scalp only with confirmation
🎯 Trade Scenarios
Bullish:
If CPI comes in weak or USD retraces, expect price to spike into 3315–3310 and 3292–3280 zones. Look for strong M15 reversal for buys.
Targets: 3345 (first), then 3360.
Bearish:
Strong CPI = gold pumps into 3352–3362 or even 3384–3400, then look for M15/M5 rejection to sell.
Targets: 3330 (first), then 3310.
🧠 Tactical Notes
Only trade with confirmation — ignore random candles in mid-range!
If price is between 3330–3340, wait for clear M5 structure flip.
CPI can create fakeouts — first reaction isn’t always real direction!
Protect capital, don’t chase, and always respect your plan.
👇 Drop a 🚀 if the plan helped you or you enjoy the daily insights!
Comment your bias, follow for more sniper plans, and let’s boost the post if you found value!
Community = power. Let’s own CPI together, GoldMinds! 🧠✨
GoldFxMinds
GOLD: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,339.09 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,331.49..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 36.310 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 36.139.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold/XAUUSD Move 9th June 2025🔍 XAUUSD Analysis – June 10, 2025
Market Structure:
Market remains in a bearish sequence, with lower highs and lower lows intact on the HTF.
The current bullish leg is corrective, retracing into a well-defined supply zone at 3333–3338.
This zone previously triggered strong selling pressure, marking institutional activity.
Key Supply Zone:
3333–3338: Strong supply zone aligning with previous bearish OB and unmitigated FVG.
Expecting a liquidity grab above intra-day highs, followed by rejection from this zone.
Invalidation Level:
If price closes above 3340 with strength (especially on M15/H1), the bearish bias is invalidated, and we may shift toward the upper supply zone around 3375–3380.
Target Zone:
3295–3305: Strong demand area from which the last impulsive move originated.
Also a logical draw for liquidity resting below prior lows.
💼 Trade Idea:
Type: Sell Limit
Entry Zone: 3333–3338
Stop Loss: Above 3344 (structure break buffer)
Take Profit 1: 3310
Take Profit 2: 3300
Risk-to-Reward: ~1:2+
🧠 Execution Plan:
Wait for price to enter the 3333–3338 supply zone.
Look for LTF confirmations: bearish engulfing, BOS, or CHoCH (M1/M5).
Enter short on confirmation with SL above zone and scale out at each TP level.
How to plan for the positive effects of CPI data?📰 Impact of news:
1. CPI data is profitable
2. The US CPI rose slightly in May, and Trump's tariff effect has not yet fully emerged
📈 Market analysis:
The CPI data is bullish. The current gold price has risen to around 3360. We took profits at the 3330 level and exited the market, which once again confirmed the forward-looking nature of our trading vision. From a technical perspective, the RSI indicator in the short-term hourly chart is close to the overbought area. In the short term, pay attention to the upper resistance line of 3360-3365. If it rebounds to the 61.8% position and encounters resistance and pressure, consider shorting at high levels. On the contrary, if it effectively breaks through and stabilizes above, it is expected to touch the 3400 line. In the short term, pay attention to the lower support line of 3340-3330.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3360-3365
TP 3340-3330
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
HelenP. I Gold may bounce from trend line to resistance levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After observing this chart, I see that the price tried to grow to the resistance level first, but failed and dropped to the support level, which coincided with the buyer support zone. After this correction movement, XAU rebounded up and then dropped below the support level, breaking it. But soon, price turned around and made impulse up, breaking the 3265 level, after which it continued to move up to the resistance level. When Gold reached this level, it entered to resistance zone, where it turned around at once and made a strong movement down to the trend line, breaking two levels. Also then it started to trades inside a triangle, and soon turned around from the trend line and made a strong impulse up. Price broke the 3265 support level one more time, rose a little more, and then made a correction. After this, price continued to move up and soon reached the 3395 resistance level, after which it turned around and fell to the trend line, which is the support line of the triangle as well. Recently, it started to grow, so I expect that XAUUS will correct to the trend line and then continue to move up to the resistance level. That's why the 3395 resistance level is my current goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-11: Bottom-Base Rally Counter TrndToday's counter-trend Bottom-Base Rally pattern suggests the markets may attempt to find a peak and roll over into a downtrend.
The normal Bottom-Base Rally pattern is similar to the start of a moderate price base/bottom, then moving into a moderate rally phase.
In counter-trend mode this pattern would be inverted - forming a Top and then moving into a downward price trend.
I've been warning of the potential of a rollover top type of pattern in the SPY over the past few weeks - but it never really setup/confirmed.
I'll be curious to see if this counter-trend pattern, today, sets up some type of big top formation in the SPY/QQQ. It might be related to news as well.
Gold and Silver have a Gap-Stall-Revert-FLUSH pattern. This is always an interesting pattern because is suggests price is going to attempt to either gap and trend or stall and revert. My guess is we are looking at more trending in metals today.
Platinum is RIPPING higher (PL1!). Because of this, I believe Silver and Gold will attempt to follow Platinum and move to the upside today.
BTCUSD is stalling a bit. We'll see if we get any big price move in Bitcoin today. After the big rally over the past few days, it will be interesting to see if BTCUSD reverts downward or continues higher.
Overall, today's patterns suggest the markets are seeking direction. Get ready for an exciting day in the markets.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
SILVER SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,640.9
Target Level: 3,428.8
Stop Loss: 3,781.9
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
XAUUSD | 1H Chart Analysis | Uptrendurrently, Gold (XAUUSD) is showing bullish momentum after breaking previous market structure to the upside. Price has formed a clear Higher Low (HL) and Higher Highs (HH), indicating that short-term structure has shifted into an uptrend.
🔼 Key Technical Observations:
The previous LL (Lower Low) got broken, and price created a new HL, showing buyer pressure.
The bullish structure is supported by an ascending trendline.
Price is currently trading near PDH (Previous Day High) and approaching a key supply/resistance zone (highlighted in red).
RSI is still not in extreme zones but steadily climbing, showing strength in the current bullish move.
📊 Current Market Structure:
Shift from previous downtrend into short-term uptrend.
Formation of clear HL & HH.
Price respecting trendline support.
Clean bullish break of internal resistance levels.
📌 Potential Scenarios:
Scenario 1 (Bullish Continuation):
If price holds above the PDH and supply zone gets broken, we may see continuation toward TP1 and higher.
Scenario 2 (Rejection & Short-term Pullback):
If price faces strong rejection from the current supply zone, short-term retracement is possible toward the previous demand zones or trendline support.
Possible pullback zones: 3340 → 3320 → 3310 area.
✅ Bias: Short-Term Bullish
As long as price holds above the HL zone and trendline, bulls are in control. But keep an eye on price reaction around current supply zone for any signs of weakness or reversal.
Gold Rebounds After Filling Gap >> Bullish Continuation in SightHello guys!
Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of strength on the 4H chart after filling a key gap around the $3,290 level and bouncing off it with bullish intent.
🔹 What I see:
– Price previously broke out of a broad descending channel, flipping the structure bullish
– After forming a rising wedge, Gold corrected lower and filled the gap
– The zone around $3,290 acted as solid support, and the current bounce suggests bulls are regaining control
📈 Outlook:
If this bounce holds and momentum builds, the next area of interest is clearly marked:
🎯 First Target: $3,466 – an area of prior structure and possible supply
📍 Current Price: $3,329
🟢 Bias: Bullish (above $3,290)
🔴 Invalidated below: $3,244
This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward opportunity if the structure continues holding. Keep an eye on price action near the recent local highs for confirmation.
Crude Oil Surges on Summer Demand and Trade OptimismOn the weekly chart, crude oil trades above the mid-range of a descending channel that has been in place since the 2022 highs. The RSI remains just below the neutral zone, suggesting a cautiously bullish-to-neutral outlook while prices hover near the $65 resistance level.
From a daily perspective, oil prices are breaking out above the $65 resistance, and a firm hold could pave the way toward $66 and potentially retest the $71 and $73 levels.
On the downside, the psychological support at $60 remains critical. A break below $60—and more critically, below the $58 moving average—could reintroduce long term bullish positioning from $55 and $49.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
SILVER Will Go Down! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for SILVER.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 3,622.4.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 3,483.8 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
DeGRAM | GOLD broke the wedge📊 Technical Analysis
● Price still respects the former channel roof (now support) at 3 315-3 320; every dip to this line (green arrows) printed a higher low, preserving the rising-wedge structure.
● A break of the local wedge cap at 3 350 would reopen the April supply/median target at 3 435; failure to pierce keeps the pull-back window open toward the lower grey band at 3 245, where the broader demand begins.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US ISM-services prices and NFP cooled, lifting September Fed-cut odds >70 % and capping real yields, while continued PBoC purchases offset ETF outflows, under-pinning bullion.
✨ Summary
Buy 3 305-3 320; confirmation above 3 350 targets 3 435, extension 3 500. Long bias void on an H4 close below 3 245.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Gold is in a state of shock again, the market is waiting for CPI📰 Impact of news:
1. May CPI data
📈 Market analysis:
Gold is still fluctuating, and the bulls and bears are currently in a stalemate. The market is waiting for the release of today's CPI data. From the 1H chart, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, and the gold price is above the 3331 middle track. RSI is stuck at 55, and the MACD golden cross green column is narrowing. For short-term trading, pay attention to the resistance of 3340-3350, and the support of 3320-3310 below.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3340-3350
TP 3320-3310-3300
BUY 3320-3310
TP 3330-3345
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
XAUUSD: Strategy and Analysis for June 11Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance: 3375, support 3300
Four-hour chart resistance: 3360, support 3300
One-hour chart resistance: 3350, support 3320.
Yesterday, the Asian session retested 3301 and stopped falling and rebounded. The NY market fell again after touching 3348. Today, the Asian session price fell to 3315 and then bottomed out and rebounded. The gold price showed a continuous upward trend. Today, gold will rely on 3315 as a defense to find opportunities to rise. Above 3315, continue to look for opportunities to take more in the small cycle. Buy after the retracement to stop falling and stabilize. See if 3348 yesterday's high can be maintained.
In addition, let's pay attention to the impact of the US CPI data. The expected CPI value is 2.5%. If the CPI is lower than expected, gold may rebound to 3350-3360, and there will be greater room for growth after breaking through 3345; if the CPI exceeds expectations, gold may fall to 3315-3300, and sell after falling below 3320.
Buy: 3320near SL:3315
Buy: 3350near SL:3345
Try to avoid trading during news releases to avoid increased liquidity and violent market fluctuations that will hit the SL when buying/selling
Bulls on the Loose: US Oil Spot/WTI Heist Strategy! 🚨💰 THE OIL VAULT HEIST: US OIL SPOT/WTI TRADING STRATEGY 💸🔫
🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers 🤑💰💸✈️
Based on our 🔥Thief Trading style analysis🔥 (both technical and fundamental), here’s the master plan to heist the US Oil Spot/WTI Energy Market. Follow the blueprint carefully—this strategy focuses on long entries, with a daring escape planned near the high-risk Red ATR line Zone where bearish robbers and consolidation traps await. 🏆💸 Take your profit and treat yourself, fellow traders—you earned it! 💪🏆🎉
🕵️♂️ Entry 📈
💥 The vault is wide open! Time to swipe that bullish loot—heist is on!
Place buy limit orders within the 15 or 30-minute timeframe, near swing lows/highs for pullback entries.
🛑 Stop Loss 🛑
📍 Thief’s SL—recent swing low and below the moving average (4H timeframe) for day/swing trades.
📍 Adjust SL based on risk, lot size, and number of orders.
🎯 Target
🏴☠️💥 69.000 (Aim for the big loot!) OR escape before the target
🔥 Market Heist Overview
The UK Oil Spot/Brent market is currently showing bullishness 🐂, driven by key factors—perfect for a day/scalping trade robbery! ☝☝☝
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📊 Get the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentiment Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future Targets—check our bi0 liinks 👉👉👉🔗🔗
⚠️ Trading Alert: News Releases & Position Management
📰 News can rattle the vault! 💥
✅ Avoid new trades during news releases.
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Gold Potential Bullish Breakout OpportunityGold seems to exhibit signs of overall potential Bullish momentum if the price action forms a prominent Higher High with multiple confluences through key Fibonacci and Support levels which presents us with a potential long opportunity.
Trade Plan:
Entry : 3.403
Stop Loss : 3328
TP 1 : 3478
USOIL:Go short before you go long
USOIL:Crude oil trend in line with expectations to break 65, hourly level to see adjustment, trading can be done first short and then long. Here are my range trading ideas.
Trading Strategy:
SELL@65.4-65.5
TP:64.5-64.
BUY@64.5-64
TP: 65.3-65.5
↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
GOLD | CPI Data in Focus – Key Levels at 3347 and 3318GOLD | OVERVIEW
Gold remains under pressure due to ongoing U.S.–China trade tensions, with additional focus on the upcoming U.S. CPI data, which is expected to have a strong market impact.
Forecast CPI: 2.5%
Previous CPI: 2.3%
Current Scenario:
If the CPI comes in above 2.5%, it would signal stronger inflation, reducing the likelihood of rate cuts. This would pressure gold lower, continuing the downtrend toward 3318, then 3303, and possibly 3292.
Alternative Scenario:
If CPI is below expectations, it would suggest easing inflation and open the door for rate cuts—supportive for gold. In that case, a break above 3347 could lead to 3366, and then 3375.
Support Levels: 3318, 3303, 3292
Resistance Levels: 3347, 3366, 3375