Copper Futures ( HG1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish DropTitle: Copper Futures ( HG1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Drop
Type: Bearish Drop
Resistance: 4.2900
Pivot: 4.2200
Support: 4.1105
Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for HG1! is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market.
Expecting price to continue heading down towards the support at 4.1105, where the previous swing low is.
Alternative scenario: Price could head up down to retest the pivot at 4.2200, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Commodity
WTI Potential for Bearish Drop | 31st January 2023Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for WTI is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bearish market.
Looking for a pullback sell entry at 79.070, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 82.525, where the recent high is. Take profit will be at 72.607, where the recent lowis
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
Will Gold Be Defeated?The previous all-time high from September 2011 at $1920 is playing
a major role in price action yet again. Price reacted to this level in March 2022,
where the high of that candle also tagged the current all-time high at $2075.
Price failed at both resistance levels and went on a decline, creating a low
at $1614 in September 2022. November 2022 through to the current month
have been bullish, bringing us to where price is now.
During the month, price has traded above $1920, but as we are nearing the
end of the month, the sellers have pulled price down to this level where it
could be acting as support on the daily timeframe.
Despite the bullish impulsive moves over the last three months, remember that
a long-term consolidation is still in play from September 2011. Until we see
a trend emerge above the all-time high, expect turbulence and volatility along the way.
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Corn Futures ( ZC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish RiseTitle: Corn Futures ( ZC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Rise
Type: Bullish Rise
Resistance: 706.50
Pivot: 688.75
Support: 661.25
Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for ZC1! is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to possibly head towards the resistance at 706.50, where the previous swing high is.
Alternative scenario: Price may head back down to retest the support at 661.25 where the 61.8% Fibonacci line and recent low are located.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
USOIL Potential for Bearish Drop towards supportLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for USOIL is bearish due to the current price crossing below the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bearish market.
Looking for a pullback sell entry at 80.22, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 82.44, where the recent high is. Take profit will be at 77.90, where the 50% Fibonacci line and support is.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USOIL Potential for Bearish Drop | 30th January 2023Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for USOIL is bearish due to the current price crossing below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market.
Looking for a pullback sell entry at 80.22, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 82.44, where the recent high is. Take profit will be at 77.90, where the 50% Fibonacci line and support is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
BCOUSD Potential for bullish rise towards overlap resistanceLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for BCOUSD is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bullish market.
Looking for a buy entry at 86.682, where the 50% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 85.401, where the recent low is. Take profit will be at 90.439, where the overlap resistance and 61.8% Fibonacci line is.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
BCOUSD Potential for Bullish Continuation | 27th January 2023Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for BCOUSD is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market.
Looking for a buy entry at 86.647, where the 50% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 85.401, where the recent low is. Take profit will be at 90.439, where the overlap resistance and 61.8% Fibonacci line is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
Descending Triangle Setup on Wheat, Target at 525Overview
The main view of this trade idea is on the Daily Chart.
The commodity Wheat is in a descending triangle setup, with the resistance trend line at lower highs of 949.08 and 798.34. These lower highs occurred on 10th October 2022 and 30th December 2022 respectively. The support line is observed around the 730 price level. Expectations are for the support at the 730 price level to break and the commodity will decline towards 525. A negation of this view will result in Wheat rallying above 800.
Technical Indicators
Some technical indicators corroborate the chart pattern setup. The Supertrend indicator is in a sell mode and the Awesome Oscillator is below 0 and Red, indicating a downward trend. The RSI for the commodity is also below 50.
The intra-day trend following indicators of Wheat also show downtrends in the 15-Min, 2-Hr, 4-Hr and Daily timeframes. Short term resistance is observed around the 730-770 price range.
The longer-term view also show Wheat in a downtrend. It broke below trend in late June 2022 and has been below trend ever since. Indication of a downtrend has been utilized using the 28-Week Simple Moving Average. A change in the long term trend would occur, at the time of writing, with a weekly close above 805.
Recommendation
The recommendation will be to go short at market, with a stop loss at 800 and a target of 525. This produces a risk/reward ratio of 2.97.
Disclaimer
The views expressed are mine and do not represent the views of my employers and business partners. Persons acting on these recommendations are doing so at their own risk. These recommendations are not a solicitation to buy or to sell but are for purely discussion purposes.
At the time of writing, I have exposure to Wheat.
GOLD - Trend-Following Buy Setup!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst.
🗒 GOLD has been overall bullish trading inside the blue rising broadening wedge pattern.
Moreover, the 1900.0 level is a strong support and round number.
📌 So the highlighted purple circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green support zone and lower trendline in blue acting as a non-horizontal support.
📉 As per my trading style:
As GOLD approaches the lower purple circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Weak US data increases recession risksEUR/USD 🔼
GBP/USD 🔼
AUD/USD 🔽
USD/CAD 🔼
USD/JPY 🔼
XAU 🔽
WTI 🔽
A series of US economic data have pointed to a slowing economy, including a 1.1% drop in retail sales and a 0.7% decrease in month-on-month industrial production. Investors then raised concerns about a recession, with the stock market dipping.
The Dow plunged 613 points (-1.81%) to 33,296, the S&P 500 declined 62 points (-1.56%) to 3,928, and the Nasdaq dropped 146 points (-1.27%) to 11,410.
Both the Eurozone and the UK had their year-on-year inflation readings meet Mitrade's estimates, at 9.2% and 10.5% respectively. EUR/USD added 4 pips to 1.0792, and GBP/USD climbed 58 pips to 1.2346. AUD/USD dropped 34 pips to 0.6941, as Australia recorded a 14,600 drop in employment. USD/CAD increased over 100 pips to 1.3491, and USD/JPY traded 75 pips higher to 128.88.
WTI oil futures slipped below $80, closing at $79.8 a barrel. Spot gold lost over $4 to $1,904.37 an ounce. Bitcoin just declined to $20,698.0, and Ethereum is currently trading lower at $1,516.68.
USOIL Potential for Bullish Continuation| 19th January 2023Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for USOIL is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bullish market.
Looking for a retracement pullback buy entry at 76.84, where the 50% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 72.42, where the recent swing low is. Take profit will be at 84.70, where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
Correlation – Crude Oil & CPIStudies indicated Crude Oil is the best indicator to track the current inflation.
It is also a leading indicator to inflation numbers? If that is true, we will have to track the crude oil prices very closely.
Content:
i. The most inline commodity with CPI
ii. Can the Crude Oil track CPI?
iii. Direction of Crude Oil
Crude Oil Futures
Minimum fluctuation
0.01 = $10
0.10 = $100
1.00 = $1,000
10.00 = $10,000
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
USOIL Potential for Bullish Continuation| 18th January 2023Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for USOIL is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bullish market. Looking for a retracement pullback buy entry at 76.84, where the 50% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 72.42, where the recent swing low is. Take profit will be at 84.70, where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
USOIL Potential for Bullish Continuation Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for USOIL is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market. Looking for a buy entry at 77.90, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 72.42, where the recent swing low is. Take profit will be at 84.70, where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USOIL Potential for Bullish Continuation| 17th January 2023Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for USOIL is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market. Looking for a retracement pullback buy entry at 77.90, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 72.42, where the recent swing low is. Take profit will be at 84.70, where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
Soybeans Channeling Higher Towards 1800The main view of this trade idea is on the Daily Chart.
The commodity Soybeans appears to have found some support around the 1350 price level. The commodity is in a trend channel higher and once that trend channel holds, could rally towards 1800 over the next couple of months. This view will be negated if Soybeans fall below 1420.
Technical Indicators
The technical indicators are aligned to this view. Soybean’s Supertrend has been in a buy mode since the end of October 2022. The commodity has been above its respective Moving Average, the 50-Day MA, since November 1st, 2022. The Awesome Oscillator is above 0 and green while the RSI is above 50 and increasing.
The intra-day trend following indicators of the Soybeans also display uptrends in the 15-Min, 2-Hour and 4-Hour time frames. Short to medium term support is seen around the 1425.
Recommendation
The recommendation will be to go long at market, with a stop loss at 1420 and a target of 1800. This produces a risk/reward ratio of 2.45.
Disclaimer
The views expressed are mine and do not represent the views of my employers and business partners. Persons acting on these recommendations are doing so at their own risk. These recommendations are not a solicitation to buy or to sell but are for purely discussion purposes.
At the time of writing, I have exposure to Soybean futures.
SILVER - Still Bearish? 🥈Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst.
SILVER has been overall bearish trading inside the red falling broadening wedge, and it is currently retesting the upper red trendline.
Moreover, the zone 25-26 is a strong resistance zone .
📌So the highlighted purple circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the blue resistance zone and upper red trendline. (acting as non-horizontal resistance)
📕As per my trading style:
As SILVER is around the purple circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
“Although gold and silver are not by nature money, money is by nature gold and silver.” – Karl Marx
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
🗒All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
SB1! Potential For Bearish ContinuationLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for SB1! is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market. Looking for a sell entry at 20.10, where the 50% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 20.49, slightly above where the 61.8% Fibonacci line and minor high is. Take profit will be at 18.94, where the 50% Fibonacci line is.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Copper (HG) Rallies in Nesting Impulse According to Elliott WaveCopper (HG) rally from 9.28.2022 low is unfolding as a nesting impulse Elliott Wave structure. A nest is a series of 1-2-((i))-((ii)) which is an extended version of an impulsive structure. Up from 9.28.2022 low, wave 1 ended at 3.96 and wave 2 pullback ended at 3.5410. Wave 3 is currently in progress with internal subdivision as another impulse in lesser degree. Up from wave 2, wave ((i)) ended at 3.929. The 1-hour chart below shows pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 3.708. The metal has extended higher again in wave ((iii)).
Up from wave ((ii)), wave i ended at 3.865, and pullback in wave ii ended at 3.7985. The metal extends higher again in wave iii towards 3.988, pullback in wave iv ended at 3.932, and final leg wave v ended at 4.044 which completed wave (i). Pullback in wave (ii) then ended at 3.987. The metal extends higher again in wave (iii) towards 4.186 and pullback in wave (iv) ended at 4.129. Expect wave (v) higher to complete soon with a few more high and that should complete wave ((iii)) in higher degree. Afterwards, the metal should pullback in wave ((iv)) to correct cycle from 1.4.2023 low before it resumes higher. Near term, as far as pivot at 3.708 low stays intact, expect pullback to find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside.
The Truth About Gold (And How To Profit From It)Even if you never bought an ounce of the shiny yellow rock, Gold can gives us valuable information over time. The fact that gold was literally money for much of the worlds history and that banks still hold should tell you it still matters.
Lets discuss gold concepts and make sure we stay aware of how gold has behaved in the past. hope you enjoy the video!