Gold (XAUUSD) Commodity 02/07/2021Technical Analysis :
As you can see, Gold has moved in the ascending channel. After finishing its Bearish Divergence moving, We believe that XAUUSD is accumulating and consolidating on the 61.8% Fibonacci level and get ready to shoot for the defined targets and the targets are defined with Fibonacci projection of the impulsive waves.
Commodity
Gold XAUUSD (Melting up?)
View On Gold XAUUSD (12 Jul 2023)
GOLD is in
* UPtrend in short term (Intraweek)
* Neutral in Mid term (Intramonth)
* Neutral in Long term (Last 3 months)
Gold is in the pull back mode (again)
Going forward, I expect it is goingto be a bumpy ride toward 1950~2000 region.
I am slightly bullish cautiously.
At the same time, I see 1900 as a strong support region.
DYODD, all the best and read the disclaimer too.
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Silver (XAGUSD) Rallies in Elliott Wave DiagonalShort term Elliott Wave view in Silver (XAGUSD) suggests that the metal ended wave ((2)) at 22.09. Up from there, the metal rallies as a 5 waves diagonal Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave ((2)), wave (i) ended at 22.68 and dips in wave (ii) ended at 22.27. The metal extends higher in wave (iii) towards 23.04 and pullback in wave (iv) ended at 22.82. Final leg wave (v) ended at 23.09 which completed wave ((i)).
Pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 22.26 with internal subdivision as a zigzag. The metal then extends higher again in wave ((iii)) towards 23.3. Pullback in wave ((iv)) completed at 22.50. Up from there, wave (i) ended at 23.14 and dips in wave (ii) ended at 22.73. Wave (iii) ended at 23.38, and pullback in wave (iv) ended at 23. Expect the metal to make 1 more push higher to end wave (v) and this should complete wave ((v)) of 1 in higher degree. Afterwards, it should pullback in wave 2 to correct cycle from 6.23.2023 low before the rally resumes again. Near term, as far as pivot at 22.09 low stays intact, expect pullback to find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside.
Natural Gas - BullishWith the current clima, demand for natural gas for AC-cooling, there is a good foundation for a bullish move in Natural Gas.
1. Lets see a move upwards to the 2.8
2. Maybe a slight pullback
3. And then the big move towards the 3-3.05 level
Also bakced by the fact that Buffet have bought into LNG so lets see if the trend can hold.
Good lucK!
Nasdaq crash by🗻Double Top Pattern🗻Nasdaq is moving near the 🔴 resistance zone(15,385-$15,160) 🔴, and the formation of an Exhaustion gap can be a 💡 Sign 💡 of the end of the upward trend of the Nasdaq these few weeks.
Also, due to the Regular Divergence(RD-) between two consecutive peaks, the possibility of forming a 🗻 Double Top pattern 🗻 is very high.
🔔I expect the Nasdaq to fall to at least the 🟢 support zone($ 14,060-$ 13,610) 🟢 after breaking the uptrend line and neckline .
Nasdaq 100 Index Analyze (NDXUSD), 4-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position that you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
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GOLD: Short term rally continuation?To try to make sense of our analyses, let's go back to the last big picture we followed on hourly chart last week: the Harmonic .
💡 As we have shared in various updates, our bearish Target 2 could have triggered some reaction:
💡 We have also seen an interesting cluster on daily chart, with potential corrective structure completion:
💡 Another Potential Reversal Pattern we followed last week is a "Bullish Hammer":
📊 From a technical point of view, the upcoming Asian session could be our main driver in short term and the early opening hours could see the Bulls and the Bears play an important game. In conclusion, as long as these Patterns do not fail, an interesting bullish leg could appear in the short term. Harmonic Traders may also want to see their target around 38.2% Fib reached, but I hope we can go higher to confirm bullish impulse structure.
(new updates will follow in the next few hours)
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GOLD: What the hammer formartions tell usFollowing a downtrend, where the price action created a series of the lower lows and lower highs, the bulls are increasing their presence in the game and are signaling that there might be a change in the price direction. Thus, a hammer signals a potential change in the price direction, as the bears were unable to follow up on the new short-term low by allowing the bulls to push the price higher to force a higher close. It is exactly the high close that signals that the bulls have just assumed control over the price action, as they defeated the bears in an important fight near the session lows.
Similarly, the inverted hammer also generates the same message, but in a different manner. The price action opened low, but pushed higher to surprise the bears. Still, the bears still have control and they push back the price action to close near the lows. Unlike the hammer, the bulls in an inverted hammer were unable to secure a high close, but were defeated in the session’s closing stages. Still, the mere fact that the buyers were able to press the price higher shows that they are testing the bears’ resolve. The fact that the hammer’s bulls managed to get a close at the top of the candle is the reason the hammer is considered stronger than the inverted hammer. This is a logical sequence as the hammer is considered to be one of the most powerful candlestick patterns of any type.
It is important to note that neither of these two patterns is a direct trading signal, but a tool which generates a sign that the price action may reverse as a balance shift is occurring.
Having said that, we have this Pattern forming on GOLD, so wait for confirmation of the bullish breakout candle at today's close, and if this happens we will have confirmation of a potential short-term reversal.
Our last two analyses:
🔴 HARMONIC STRUCTURE IN PLAY (short)
🔴 WAVES STRUTTURE IN PLAY (long)
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🥇Gold🥇 Analyze (Road Map, 06/14/2023)!!!🗺️(4-hour time frame)Gold is completing a corrective wave.
The Gold correction wave structure is Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect Gold to at least go up to the 🔴 resistance zone($ 1986.25-$ 1979.74) 🔴.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 4-hour time frame⏰.
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Copper (HG) Low Likely in Place with 5 Waves RallyShort Term Elliott Wave in Copper (HG) suggests the metal ended wave ((2)) pullback at 3.54. The metal has turned higher in wave ((3)). Rally from wave ((2)) low is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave ((2)), wave (i) ended at 3.618 and pullback in wave (ii) ended at 3.578. The metal extends higher in wave (iii) towards 3.694 and pullback in wave (iv) ended at 3.667. Copper then extends higher again in wave (v) towards 3.711 which completes wave ((i)).
The metal then corrected in wave ((ii)) towards 3.622 with internal subdivision as a zigzag. Down from wave ((i)), wave (a) ended at 3.627, wave (b) ended at 3.694, and wave (c) lower ended at 3.622. This completed wave ((ii)) in higher degree. The metal then extends higher in wave ((iii)). Up from wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 3.656 and pullback in wave (ii) ended at 3.624. The metal rallies higher in wave (iii) towards 3.7315 and pullback in wave (iv) ended at 3.676. The metal extends higher again in wave (v) towards 3.789 which completed wave ((iii)). Pullback in wave ((iv)) ended at 3.686. Wave ((v)) higher unfolded as a diagonal and ended at 3.833. This completed wave 1 in higher degree. Wave 2 pullback is in progress now as a zigzag structure. Down from wave 1, wave ((a)) ended at 3.735. While rally in wave ((b)) fails below 3.833, expect the metal to turn lower in wave ((c)) to complete wave 2. As far as pivot at 3.54 low stays intact, expect pullback to find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside.
Elliott Wave View: Gold (XAUUSD) Looking to End Wave 5Cycle from 5.4.2023 high in Gold is in progress as a 5 waves impulse. Down from 5.4.2023 high, wave ((i)) ended at 1999.30 and rally in wave ((ii)) ended at 2048.15. The metal then extends lower again in wave ((iii)) towards 1931.70 and wave ((iv)) ended at 1983.27. Internal subdivision of wave ((iv)) unfolded as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave ((iii)), wave (a) ended at 1974.75, pullback in wave (b) ended at 1953, and wave (c) higher ended at 1983.27. This completed wave ((iv)) in higher degree. The metal has extended lower in wave ((v)).
Internal subdivision of wave ((v)) is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave ((iv)), wave (i) ended at 1937.6 and rally in wave (ii) ended at 1970.15. Internal subdivision of wave (ii) unfolded as a zigzag. Up from wave (i), wave a ended at 1964.56, pullback in wave b ended at 1954.5, and wave c ended at 1970.15. This completed wave (ii) in higher degree. Gold resumes lower in wave (iii). Down from wave (ii), wave i ended at 1939.30. Expect the metal to rally in wave ii, then resumes lower again. Near term, as far as pivot at 1983.27 high stays intact, Gold has scope to extend lower to end wave ((v)) of C of (2) before the metal turns higher.
DXY Index Analyze (Road Map, 05/31/2023)!!!🗺️Hi, everyone👋.
To better understand the DXY Index roadmap🗺️, it is better to first look at the DXY weekly time frame:👇(Running well, as I expected ✅)
As you can see, the upward trend of DXY will continue.
Now, I tried to show you the DXY roadmap in the 4-hour time frame using the Elliott wave theory .
It seems that DXY is nearing the end of wave 3, and this wave can end at 🟡 Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡.
I expect the DXY to return to the first 🟢 support zone($ 103.60-$ 103.36) 🟢 after the end of wave 3 is confirmed and rise again to the top of the 🔴 heavy resistance zone($ 105.80-$ 104.53) 🔴.
U.S.Dollar Currency Index ( DXYUSD ) Analyze, 4-hour time frame⏰.
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The one and only commodity I am selling in May 2023!We’re looking at the weekly chart.
We can see palladium’s price has fallen since 2021 from $3,000 down to today at $1,424.
Then in 2022, palladium shot up to above $3,400, this has formed what’s known as a Descending Triangle.
This is where the price makes lower highs and bounces on the same floor level.
Now that the price has broken below the triangle, this tells me the sellers are winning and will continue to dominate the market.
This will bring down the price further. I expect the palladium’s price to drop to the 200MA (black line) and then further down to $880.
If this happens, this downside for the precious metal will ONLY be the beginning.
Considering all these factors, we need to brace for palladium’s next crash and at least try and profit from the fall.
FUNDAMENTALS:
Why Palladium’s demand is dropping
Experts from Norilsk Nickel, a major mining company, predict there could be only a small shortfall of 100,000 ounces.
This is less than what they thought in February when they expected a shortfall of 300,000 ounces.
This is mainly because the car industry is not recovering as quickly as they thought, so demand has not increased as expected.
Chip supply and the war in Ukraine have further slowed the car industries recovery.
And South African palladium producers have also contributed to this slowing as they have lowered their production goals and reduced their refining activities, largely due to loadshedding.
And this isn’t good for palladium and its price.
But as always I look to the charts for the overarching signal and this is what it’s telling me.
XAUUSD Weekly Forecast | 29th May 2023Fundamental Backdrop
The key takeaways of last week's FOMC meeting show that the FEDs agreed on the need for more rate hikes after May's meeting was 'less certain'. We will likely be seeing strength in the USD.
We could see investors shift their money from GOLD to USD instead, weakening it.
Technical Confluences
Near-term resistance level at 1948
Next support at 1904
Idea
Price could head towards the next major key support level at 1904.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER
The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas.
We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades.
Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks.
OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
GOLD is still Strong 🥇Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
Gold has been overall bullish trading inside the rising channel in red and it is currently retesting the lower red trendline.
Moreover, the orange zone is a previous major high turned into a potential support.
🏹 So the highlighted purple circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the orange support and red brown trendline. (acting as non-horizontal support)
As per my trading style:
As GOLD is sitting around the lower the purple circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
UNLESS the lower red trendline is broken downward, then the bears would take over for a deeper correction.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
XAUUSD Weekly Forecast | 22nd May 2023Fundamental Backdrop
The USD is expected to pause interest rates, causing investors to shift their money to Gold.
Technical Confluences
Resistance at 2001
Current support at 1981
Major support at 1960
Idea
We could possibly see price retrace back up to retest the resistance at 2001.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER
The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas.
We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades.
Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks.
OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
DXY is ready to take back the effects of CPI🔄The DXY index experienced a noticeable fall after the announcement of the CPI index.
Currently, the DXY indicator is moving in the 🟢support zone($ 101.3-$ 100.82)🟢 and near the lower line of the descending channel.
The Regular Divergence(RD+) between the price and the MACD indicator is clearly visible in the ⏰4-hour time frame⏰.👇
According to the theory of Elliott waves, the end of the main wave 5 can finish in the support zone, and I expect the DXY Index to at least touch the upper line of the descending channel or the middle line of the descending channel.
U.S.Dollar Currency Index ( DXYUSD ) Analyze, 2h-time frame⏰.
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🥇Gold🥇will pump by contracting triangle(Short term)!!!Gold is completing the corrective Zigzag pattern that microwave B has a Contracting Triangle structure.
I expect gold to go higher after breaking the upper line of the Contracting Triangle to go up to the target I specified on the chart.
⚠️I tried to put two BUY positions for you with two different RRs (according to your risk strength), but be sure to enter with your own strategy, and don't forget capital management .⚠️
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute Time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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Gold (XAUUSD) Short Term Elliott Wave Support AreaShort Term Elliott Wave view suggests Gold ended wave 1 rally at 2081.82. Pullback in wave 2 is in progress as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave 1, wave (a) ended at 2030.21 and rally in wave (b) ended at 2059.56. Wave (c) lower ended at 1999.30 which completed wave ((w)). Wave (c) ended at the 100% – 123.6% Fibonacci extension of wave (a). We have here a clear 3 waves pullback which ended at the 100% extension area. This suggests the right side of the market remains bullish despite the pullback. From wave ((w)), the metal ended wave ((x)) at 2048.01 with internal subdivision as a zigzag. Up from wave ((w)), wave (a) ended at 2038.20, pullback in wave (b) ended at 2024.6, and wave (c) higher ended at 2048.15. This completed wave ((x)).
Wave ((y)) lower is currently in progress with internal subdivision as a zigzag structure. Down from wave (x)), wave (a) ended at 2000.6 and rally in wave (b) ended at 2022.56. The metal has resumed lower in wave (c) in 5 waves. Down from wave (b), wave i ended at 2007 and wave ii rally ended at 2022.11. Expect the metal to continue lower a few more to end wave iii, wave iv, and wave v. This should complete wave (c) of ((y)) of 2 and end the entire corrective pattern. Potential target lower is 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension of wave ((w)). This area comes at 1915 – 1966. Expect buyers to appear here for more upside or 3 waves rally at least.
Two Ascending Broadening Wedge patterns on 🥇Gold🥇(Short term)!Gold was able to form Two Ascending Broadening Wedge patterns in the 15-minute time frame.
Gold will fall to at least the 🟢 support zone($ 2015.5-$ 2011.420) 🟢 after breaking the lower lines of the Ascending Broadening Wedge patterns.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute Time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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🥇Gold🥇Fall by Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern(short term)!Gold is forming an Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern after breaking the support zone by the breakout candle🔨.
Gold is running near the resistance zone.
I expect Gold to go down to the 🟢support zone🟢 and will probably decrease more.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute Time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Crude Oil Ka-BoingNice long tail on the weekly chart, after a lower low. Technical indicators MACD and VolDiv appear bearish but this is suspiciously like a hidden dragon.
Taken altogether, the first resistance is 76, and once close above 80 is firmed bullish. The lower low suggests more downside, but the length of that tail is telling a very bullish story for the next couple of weeks.
So... expecting a consolidation range fighting between bears and bulls between 70-80; while leaning towards a bullish breakout much later... perhaps (ideally) after higher low.
Do note that in alignment to the earlier post about the USD dropping, it does look like Crude now has a better chance of turning around to reinstate its bullish efforts.
When can the DXY index break the Descending Channel❗️❓The DXY index has been moving in the descending channel for more than 1 month.📆
DXY seems to have formed the Double Three Correction structure(WXY) in the middle of the descending channel during the last two weeks.
I expect the end of wave Y to finish near the middle line of the descending channel and the🟢 support zone($ 101.3-$ 100.82) 🟢, and again DXY will attack the upper line of the descending channel for the 5️⃣fifth time5️⃣ and break the descending channel.
U.S.Dollar Currency Index ( DXYUSD ) Analyze, 2-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.