Get started

Commodity

GOLD - Is History Repeating Itself ⁉️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. After rejecting the 2080 resistance, GOLD has been overall bearish trading inside the falling channel in red and it is currently retesting the upper bound / trendline. Moreover, the zone 1980 is a strong resistance. 🏹 So the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the blue resistance and upper blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance. As per my trading style: As GOLD approaches the "3" zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) For the bulls to kick in and invalidate the bearish scenario, we need a break above the blue resistance. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheSignalyst
2
Higher for LongerUS inflation data in July 2023 provided mixed signals. While Consumer Price Index (CPI) is moving in the right direction, producer price inflation suggest pipeline pressures are picking up. Core CPI, which excludes often-volatile food and energy costs, rose only 0.2% for a second month in a row . However, US producer prices picked up in July, owing to increases in certain service categories. This likely buys more time for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to deliberate on the future path of monetary policy. The flows into bond exchange traded funds (ETFs) have been volatile. Over the past year, investors were starting to embrace duration. Investors were positioned for recession, inflation crash, and Fed cuts - evident from $31.7bn inflows to Treasury bond ETFs on pace for a record year2. However, investors are starting to pull out of the biggest bond ETFs devoted to Treasuries. More than $1.8 billion came out of the $39 billion iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF last week, the most since March 20203. Sentiment toward long-dated Treasuries has soured over the past month amid growing conviction that the Fed will keep interest rates at elevated levels for an extended period. We expect rates to remain higher for longer and are unlikely to see the Fed cut rates until the Q1 of next year amidst a stronger US economy. Don’t celebrate on disinflation just yet Overall, the US economy continues to show extraordinary resilience despite monetary constraints and credit tightening. While inflation has shown encouraging signs of decline, we caution that the level remains high. Strong July retail sales raise the risk of a re-acceleration in inflation. The four biggest categories of the ex-auto’s component saw outsized gains: non-store retailers, restaurants & bars, groceries, and general merchandise. Amidst a tight US labour market, with unemployment at historic lows and wages continuing to rise, the downward pricing momentum in the service sector is likely to be at a slower rate. Commodity prices are also beginning to rebound from the weakness seen in Q2 2023. Energy prices have been rising on the back of Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) production cuts. If commodity prices extend their recent momentum, it could pose upside risks to inflation. Fed Officials remain divided Messaging on a somewhat mixed inflation outlook from the Fed Officials remains a mixed bag. One faction remains of the view that rates hikes over the past year and a half has done its job while another group contends that pausing too soon could risk inflation re-accelerating. Fed governor’s Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller remain in the hawkish camp, hinting at more rate increases being needed to get inflation on a path down to the 2% target. Futures markets are assigning about a 11% chance of a 25-basis-point rate hike when the Fed next meets on 19 and 20 September4. Additionally, rate cuts have now been completely taken off the table until perhaps later in the Q1 2024. The latest Fed minutes reveal commentary from officials, including the hawks, such as Neel Kashkari, suggest a willingness to pause again in September, but to leave the door open for further hikes at the upcoming meetings5. Opportunity for a yield seeking investor It’s been an impressive turnaround since the pandemic when negative real yields became the norm. TINA- ‘There Is No Alternative’ to equities, is over now that evidence of the shift to a 5% world appears stronger than ever. Today investors have the opportunity to lock in one of the highest yields in decades, with US two-year yields paying close to 5% exceeding the yields at longer maturities without the volatility witnessed in the 10-year sector. A resilient US economy is likely to keep interest rates and bond yields higher for longer. Sources 1 Bureau of Labour Statistics as of 10 July 2023 2 BofA ETF Research, Bloomberg as of 9 August 2022 - 9 August 2023 3 Bloomberg as of 14 August 2023 4 Bloomberg as of 17 August 2023 5 federalreserve.gov as of 16 August 2023 This material is prepared by WisdomTree and its affiliates and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The opinions expressed are as of the date of production and may change as subsequent conditions vary. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from proprietary and non-proprietary sources. As such, no warranty of accuracy or reliability is given and no responsibility arising in any other way for errors and omissions (including responsibility to any person by reason of negligence) is accepted by WisdomTree, nor any affiliate, nor any of their officers, employees or agents. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
FRED:FEDFUNDS
by aneekaguptaWTE
GOLD → still bearishhello guys... as you can see, xauusd is in the descending channel and break out the middle line of the channel and head and shoulders pattern at the same time! so it is so possible that this one continues a downward movement from here or after a correction. it shouldn't go upper than the gray area, if this happens then this analysis becomes invalid. _______________________________ always do your research. If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below, and I will answer them. And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comment
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by melikatrader94
16
Upside Range for gold with a midpoint for invalidation of range Pictured is gold from a Daily timeframe perspective How price is reacting at the bottom of the Weekly range is rather Reversal like and also paying attention to where price is on the DXY - the probability lies in a correction inbound - wether it correct to the mid zone and then continue lower, or if price brakes through we can see price make its way up to 1980 and BEYOND !!! On the Monthly chart price is also testing last months low region and a clear brake below this if you were to go to the monthly chart would see a further decline to 1800 The remainder of the month is looking interesting ..... Stay tuned
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by capitalmanagement33
GOLD - One More Correction ?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. As per my last analysis, we were waiting for GOLD to approach the 1935 support to look for buy setups. 🏹 The 1935 is a strong rejection zone because it is the intersection of the blue support and lower red trendline. 📈 For the bulls to take over and start the bullish correction, we need a break above the last major high in gray. In this case, a movement till the upper red trendline would be expected. Meanwhile , until the buy is activated, GOLD would be overall bearish and can still trade lower and even break the blue support downward. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheSignalyst
2
GOLD - Strong Support Ahead 💪Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. GOLD has been overall bearish trading inside the falling broadening wedge in red, and it is currently approaching the lower trendline. Moreover, the 1935 level is a strong support. 🏹 So the highlighted purple circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the blue demand and lower blue trendline. As per my trading style: As GOLD is sitting around the purple circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheSignalyst
2
Commodities Are Waking Up From The SupportCommodities are waking up from the support with the help of China stocks and there's room for more upside. Bloomberg commodity index with ticker AW made a nice three-wave (A)-(B)-(C) correction with the wedge pattern into wave (C). Unless it has alternatively unfolded a leading diagonal from the highs. Anyway, in both cases we can expect a recovery, at least for a temporary period of time. Currently we can see it nicely breaking out of projected wedge pattern, which indicates for a bigger recovery, at least back to the starting point of the that wedge pattern near 120 area, or maybe even higher if correction is completed.
CBOT:AW1!Long
by ew-forecast
Gold XAUUSD (Melting up?) View On Gold XAUUSD (12 Jul 2023) GOLD is in * UPtrend in short term (Intraweek) * Neutral in Mid term (Intramonth) * Neutral in Long term (Last 3 months) Gold is in the pull back mode (again) Going forward, I expect it is goingto be a bumpy ride toward 1950~2000 region. I am slightly bullish cautiously. At the same time, I see 1900 as a strong support region. DYODD, all the best and read the disclaimer too. Feel Free to "Follow", press "LIKE" "Comment". Thank You! Legal Risk Disclosure: Trading crypto, foreign exchange or CFD on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SonicDeejay
1
Silver (XAGUSD) Rallies in Elliott Wave DiagonalShort term Elliott Wave view in Silver (XAGUSD) suggests that the metal ended wave ((2)) at 22.09. Up from there, the metal rallies as a 5 waves diagonal Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave ((2)), wave (i) ended at 22.68 and dips in wave (ii) ended at 22.27. The metal extends higher in wave (iii) towards 23.04 and pullback in wave (iv) ended at 22.82. Final leg wave (v) ended at 23.09 which completed wave ((i)). Pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 22.26 with internal subdivision as a zigzag. The metal then extends higher again in wave ((iii)) towards 23.3. Pullback in wave ((iv)) completed at 22.50. Up from there, wave (i) ended at 23.14 and dips in wave (ii) ended at 22.73. Wave (iii) ended at 23.38, and pullback in wave (iv) ended at 23. Expect the metal to make 1 more push higher to end wave (v) and this should complete wave ((v)) of 1 in higher degree. Afterwards, it should pullback in wave 2 to correct cycle from 6.23.2023 low before the rally resumes again. Near term, as far as pivot at 22.09 low stays intact, expect pullback to find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Nasdaq crash by🗻Double Top Pattern🗻Nasdaq is moving near the 🔴 resistance zone(15,385-$15,160) 🔴, and the formation of an Exhaustion gap can be a 💡 Sign 💡 of the end of the upward trend of the Nasdaq these few weeks. Also, due to the Regular Divergence(RD-) between two consecutive peaks, the possibility of forming a 🗻 Double Top pattern 🗻 is very high. 🔔I expect the Nasdaq to fall to at least the 🟢 support zone($ 14,060-$ 13,610) 🟢 after breaking the uptrend line and neckline . Nasdaq 100 Index Analyze (NDXUSD), 4-hour time frame⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position that you want to open). Please follow your strategy, this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by pejman_zwin
26
GOLD: Short term rally continuation?To try to make sense of our analyses, let's go back to the last big picture we followed on hourly chart last week: the Harmonic . 💡 As we have shared in various updates, our bearish Target 2 could have triggered some reaction: 💡 We have also seen an interesting cluster on daily chart, with potential corrective structure completion: 💡 Another Potential Reversal Pattern we followed last week is a "Bullish Hammer": 📊 From a technical point of view, the upcoming Asian session could be our main driver in short term and the early opening hours could see the Bulls and the Bears play an important game. In conclusion, as long as these Patterns do not fail, an interesting bullish leg could appear in the short term. Harmonic Traders may also want to see their target around 38.2% Fib reached, but I hope we can go higher to confirm bullish impulse structure. (new updates will follow in the next few hours) Like to support my work. Trade with care!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheAnonymousBanker
12
GOLD: What the hammer formartions tell usFollowing a downtrend, where the price action created a series of the lower lows and lower highs, the bulls are increasing their presence in the game and are signaling that there might be a change in the price direction. Thus, a hammer signals a potential change in the price direction, as the bears were unable to follow up on the new short-term low by allowing the bulls to push the price higher to force a higher close. It is exactly the high close that signals that the bulls have just assumed control over the price action, as they defeated the bears in an important fight near the session lows. Similarly, the inverted hammer also generates the same message, but in a different manner. The price action opened low, but pushed higher to surprise the bears. Still, the bears still have control and they push back the price action to close near the lows. Unlike the hammer, the bulls in an inverted hammer were unable to secure a high close, but were defeated in the session’s closing stages. Still, the mere fact that the buyers were able to press the price higher shows that they are testing the bears’ resolve. The fact that the hammer’s bulls managed to get a close at the top of the candle is the reason the hammer is considered stronger than the inverted hammer. This is a logical sequence as the hammer is considered to be one of the most powerful candlestick patterns of any type. It is important to note that neither of these two patterns is a direct trading signal, but a tool which generates a sign that the price action may reverse as a balance shift is occurring. Having said that, we have this Pattern forming on GOLD, so wait for confirmation of the bullish breakout candle at today's close, and if this happens we will have confirmation of a potential short-term reversal. Our last two analyses: 🔴 HARMONIC STRUCTURE IN PLAY (short) 🔴 WAVES STRUTTURE IN PLAY (long) Like to support my work. Trade with care!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheAnonymousBanker
16
🥇Gold🥇 Analyze (Road Map, 06/14/2023)!!!🗺️(4-hour time frame)Gold is completing a corrective wave. The Gold correction wave structure is Double Three Correction(WXY) . I expect Gold to at least go up to the 🔴 resistance zone($ 1986.25-$ 1979.74) 🔴. Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 4-hour time frame⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by pejman_zwin
3