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Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

BTC.USD D Still Long CCI tlbEncouraging price pattern but not totally in the clear. Any move below 41260 wud have me out. But pattern possible now could mimic move up Jul 20 – Aug 1, ~11 days, w 52,000 in sight I’d expect at least that many days, 11-15 days (with some drop around 6 days). We r in day 3 up now, and I’d expect minimum move up to ~52000 mid Oct, then a drop back of 40% of move up from Sept 29, then a really big but torturous move up to 65,000 early Nov, then a time consuming down/up/down/up/down in a 12,000-20,000 range, then a fast burst >~80,000. That’s already a lot of speculation, albiet experienced. If sort of correct, I’d then expect a long drawn out wide-range consolidation, then more up, possibly big Unless things change considerably I won’t need to post again for a few months. Benchmarks are here Best wishes!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by nicker
4
Crown Castle historically rides much higher; Will it happen now?The full analysis is well worth the read. CCI signaled BUY 2 days ago. The delay in upward movement is between 1-3 days (the median delay is 1 day). We are beginning the third day today which means upward movement should be imminent. Of the 15 times the RSI algorithm has signaled on the daily chart has lead to the stock rising a minimum of 11% over the next 35 trading days. If history holds true, that means the stock could rise to at least 195 which is a significant jump. Of course this may also be the occasion for the stock to move up and the minimum movement be more around the area of just a few percent. Based on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on September 28, 2021 with a closing price of 175.06. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 195.49 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 15.451% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 18.955% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 28.996% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 35 trading bars after the signal. A 1% rise must occur over the next 35 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 12 trading bars; half occur within 28 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 32 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
NYSE:CCILong
by StockSignaler
long term CCI trend changing signalAs you know, CCI(Commodity Channel Index) is the indicator of how difference from MA(Moving Average). If CCI(period) value is 0 then it is the same value of the SMA(price, period). Indication of overselling or overbuying will be counted by -100 and 100 value of CCI. What I chose value is 240. which is almost a year of period. My signal will be plotted this long term CCI indicator cross over -100. But I don't want it to be marked in case of long term CCI value fluctuating from -101 to -99 which will be marked frequently. Thus I put candle counter of 60 days after cross under -100 then only I count for cross over -100. By this I have very good signal to mark on the chart. Please enjoy my signal and have good profit from it~! Gazua~!
KRX:005930Long
by traderbaekdoosan
BTCUSD Daily add Long. 13 CCI tlby/d BTCUSD Daily gave the CCI signal to add, where we were watchiing at the 38.2% retrace area. While the signal was 13CCI crossing up thru a down-trendline, the probability that it would happen was signalled earlier in that the unformed right shoulder of the tiny inverted H&S right there was clearly going to be higher than the left shoulder., telling mee that Up was favored. I trust those things, and added Long at the 4 hr signal y/d. If price drops <42K orr CCI drops down thru an up-trendline before we see much upward traction, i'll probably exit to avoid potential dive
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by nicker
BTCUSD H1 38.2% retrace near Long 13CCI trendline breakPrevious post Short is still in effect for H4 timeframe, but will have a Long signal when 13CCI crosses up through a down trendline. Because any move up from the 38.2% retracement off Jul 20 upmove could be powerful, I'm showing the earlybird H1 view of CCI showing divergence, and likely being within a couple of hours at the earliest, of crossing up thru down trendline. Aggressive scalpers probably went long at the touch of 38.2% retr.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by nicker
5
BTCUSD H4 13CCI Jenner's Diverence Corollary Nimble SH4 BTCUSD has met the 3 requirements for assessing with high probability, that a high is in. These have been posted many times and are shown on this chart However, I have never evaluated the steps on such a volatile product as BTCUSD. What I have said is that if the first 2 steps are completed, but not the 3rd, then we start over at 1) looking for a 3CCI diver. Here, the steps completed, so signal normally is there. I also said that it s fine too wait to short until 100CCI also crosses down thru CCI +100. The major thing to be aware of now is when the next Long signal occurs.As you know, It wil be when 13CCI crosses Up thru a down tl.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by nicker
BTCUSD Long 7/20 13CCI tlb BUT no diver yetI hate late posts. Lost hard drive. y/d Jul 20, BTCUSD 4 hr and Daily had 13CCI trendline break signals Long. Fine to have taken those. However, my answer to whether the low is in yet requires 1) first, a divergence of 13 CCI in next price cycle (we don't yet have that) 2) retest of price low (we have that, but need to have it follow the CCI diver) 3) CCI cross up thru -100 following 1) and 2) Soo, again, going Long on y/d CCI tlb was fine, but my divergence corollary for whether the low is in has not been satisfied by the 3 criteria above. 13 CCI trendline breaks are good trade signals. Nimble works
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by nicker
BTCUSD Daily 13CCI tbl and triangle apex still Short until..In a big picture, standing aside until price breaks above $41.5k or below $28.5k can save a lot of whipsaw unless one is nimble, has low fees on trades, has limit and stop orders available, and is a good chart reader. For those wanting to use 13CCI signals to trade in/out during this extended consolidation, daily CCI is currently on a short signal. It would change to a long signal when 13 CCI crosses up thru the last shown down-trendline. We would also expect to see that the apex of triangle drawn on CCI would have its apex at or above zeroline
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by nicker
4
EUR.USD H4 Short 13CCI Triangle Apex below zeroline>61.8% retracement of upmove May 29 -June 3 suggests more down to full retracement or more 13CCI pattern is still strongly negative, and the CCI triangle apex is still well below zeroline, strongly favoring Downmove in price. Price H&S target is the horizontal red dotted line down near $20k However, things can change rapidly with political manipulation, so be watchful esp. the next few days. Any reversal to Upside price within the next few days could be expected to be a powerful move, so it is no time to be complacent. CCI will signal any real turn up with a CCI break up thru a down trendline on CCI
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by nicker
BTCUSD Daily Fib extensions. CCI tlb. Getting ahead of myselfHead and Shoulders target marked on chart is below the fib retracement tagged last week. 13 CCI is turning up but it may be temporary. For a real upmove, After any divergence, normally we need a retest of low, then a move of 13 CCI above -100. However, should we get a lower new low, we have to start over looking for Longsm looking first for divergence in next price/time cycle, then a retet of low, then a crossing of 13 CCI up through -100. Or, for an easier but solid Long signal, When I see 100 CCI turn and get above -100, that will be a clear signal for upmove. This post isn't ment to be predictive, but for helping to think of just a few of many possibilities ahead, to help stay observant and nimble
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by nicker
MSTR Daily Long 13CCI tlb triangle apexMSTR Daily -13 CCI has a Long signal just triggered with a cross up thru a down trnedline on CCI for an aggressive Long at 773. The continuation of Up is favored by location of two CCI triangle apices being above zeroline. More conservative traders may wait for a breakout above the swing high dotted line, to avoid any possible continuation of zigzag retracement down to the swing low solid line or lower. Check out 16 Apr 750 Call for 107.00, 21 May 780 Call for 145.00. Feb 20021 high was above $1300 Reversal would be a 13 CCI break down through an Up trendline (not shown, to retain clarity)
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by nicker
2