Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
TDC Double Cup & Handle?! Strong case for breakoutOver the past year and a half TDC has formed what looks like a double cup and handle, where the handle for the first cup&handle formation is the cup for the 2nd cup&handle.
Supporting Information:
- Formation began with a large gap down from $36.12 to $33.03 on 8/6/15
- A strong resistance/support line (currently support) at about $30.70, which also constitutes a 38.2% fib retrace from TDC's high on 2/9/17 at $33.32
- From TDC's low of $21.98 in January of last year, the stock pulled back then bounced nicely after retracing 61.8 % (fib)
- Both Stoch and CCI are currently in oversold territory
- Since TDC began consolidating on 2/13, volume has been lower on down days and higher on up days, most recently showing declining volume as the stock has dropped
- 50 day MA could provide additional support when it catches up to the stock
I would recommend waiting until there is a clear breakout of this small pullback, preferably on strong volume (at least higher than average) with a close at or near its daily high . If this happens I would expect the stock to retest its high (between $33.00-$33.30), probably consolidating just under resistance until it finally breaks out. After a breakout above $33.30, next resistance would be after the stock closes the gap created on 8/6/15, with resistance between $35.80 and $36.12
And as always, make sure you have a stop loss in place, which I would place below current support between $30.50 & $30.30 and adjust up if the breakout occurs.
MU pullback- Stock hitting resistance at 61.8% retracement from multi-year highs.
- CCI shows a bearish divergence. While this bearish divergence also showed up in the middle of 2016 and stock continued to trend up, this time the RSI shows the stock is overbought.
I would expect a pullback to the original trend line, possibly back to 50% retracement before an uptrend is continued, if it does continue.
How to use RangeMovement (RgMov) to trade the trendFor the subscribers to Key Hidden Levels:
Background info on the chart: Green arrows with lines to the right are "earnings releases" which I call "key hidden levels". The "volume profile" begins from the Presidential Election.
The red line near the bottom is the RgMov indicator (Range-Movement).
TREND: Determine the trend. The trend is when RgMov is hitting 44-bar highs or lows. RgMov is comparable to a running line showing how easy the market moves in either direction. RgMov is a running line of the market's movements which push up through resistance or down through support. From a sentiment perspective, rising prices increases bullish sentiment for a market, obviously. People get bullish when resistance gets taken out each day.
I found it makes sense to let RgMov tell you the trend (44 bar high = uptrend or 44 bar low =downtrend ) and then on a lower time scale such as 11 bars, find entries against the trend to enter the market. Note the green box at the bottom of the CCI(11) oscillator at the bottom of the chart. The idea is to buy on the 11-day (1/4 of the time) time frame when CCI gets oversold at -100 and exit when +100. I also recommend buying a cross above a previous day high when the market is oversold. You can also exit any way you want: such as using trailing stops under a previous day low or under a 10 day moving average of the lows. There are many ways to exit and you can split your exit across a variety of methods.
The profits from doing this rack up over time. We just need to stay disciplined. We chase other methods when there are times when this isn't making money. But if you learn it, apply it, and commit to it, over time you will see the light.
CCI - Forming a rising wedge, short at the break of $87 to $80CCI is building a rising wedge formation. If this breaks down below the 50 day moving average at $87, it could be an easy drop down to $80
* Trade Criteria *
Date First Found- January 13, 2017, new trade criteria- February 19, 2017
Pattern/Why- Rising wedge formation
Entry Target Criteria- Break of $87.0
Exit Target Criteria- $80
Stop Loss Criteria- N/A
Please check back for Trade updates. (Note: Trade update is little delayed here.)
CCI - Pennant breakout Earnings play $82.50/$85 Feb-17 PutsCCI is a very speculative earnings play. It seems forming a pennant formation. we think with the earnings it will breakdown.
Trade Criteria
Date first found - January 13, 2017
Entry Target Criteria- $82.50 or $85 Feb-17 Put options
Exit Target Criteria- $77
Stop Loss Criteria- N/A
Trade Status: Pending
(Note: Trade update is delayed here.)
And kiwi followsThis fib speed resistance fan shows the angles 0,25 and 0,5 are significant as resistances and we just hit the former with an immediate rejection of the uptrend. This idea follows the fact that DXY is starting to reverse and we can see the same pattern on the AUDUSD that was published before.
First target on the 0,382 angle.
Thanks for your comments.
LF1! @ daily @ last 3 weeks lower (friday), until trend confirmsThis is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
.zip (with PDF`s) @ my Google Drive
4XSetUps for next wee - friday close (32 Commodities)
drive.google.com
Best regards :)
Aaron
CC1! @ daily @ nearest commodity (of 32) to ATL still not a buyThis is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
.zip (with PDF`s) @ my Google Drive
4XSetUps for next wee - friday close (32 Commodities)
drive.google.com
Best regards :)
Aaron
KC1! @ daily @ nearest commodity (of 32) to ATH back on trackThis is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
.zip (with PDF`s) @ my Google Drive
4XSetUps for next wee - friday close (32 Commodities)
drive.google.com
Best regards :)
Aaron