Potential bullish rise?The Silver (XAG/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 32.67
1st Support: 31.91
1st Resistance: 33.58
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Commoditytrading
COCOA; Heikin Ashi Trade ideaPEPPERSTONE:COCOA
In this video, I’ll be sharing my analysis of COCOA, using my unique Heikin Ashi strategy. I’ll walk you through the reasoning behind my trade setup and highlight key areas where I’m anticipating potential opportunities. My goal is to help you enhance your trading skills and insights.
I’m always happy to receive any feedback.
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Heading into 38.2% Fibonacci resistance?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 71.33
1st Support: 65.73
1st Resistance: 73.43
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish continuation?The Gold (XAU/USD is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 2,951.07
1st Support: 2,886.31
1st Resistance: 3,049.36
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce?The Silver (XAG/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 32.70
1st Support: 31.91
1st Resistance: 34.46
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Falling towards overlap support?COPPER is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 4.7641
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 4.6909
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that line sup with the 61,8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 4.8933
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop?XAG/USD has reacted off the support level which is a pullback support ad could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 32.31
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 33.15
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 31.48
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Gold looks ready for a sell off toward 2860Currently, the price of gold is at the Point of Control (POC) level, which suggests that we may see some weakness in the market. Based on my analysis, I expect a pullback towards the 2860 level. This is supported by a Wyckoff distribution pattern that indicates sellers are gaining strength, especially since we've observed a lower high around the 2906 level.
Stay tuned for more updates!
Bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 2,882.07
1st Support: 2,831.19
1st Resistance: 2,917.97
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Falling towards pullback support?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has ben identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 68.03
1st Support: 67.14
1st Resistance: 69.82
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
US-Ukraine minerals deal: key commodities at stake Ukraine is set to sign an “improved” minerals deal with the US after the US dropped its claim to $500 billion in potential revenue, according to the FT. The news has boosted the euro and market sentiment, but what about the commodities involved?
Ukraine holds about 5% of the world's critical raw materials, essential for EVs, clean energy, and defense. Its untapped reserves, valued at over £12 trillion, include lithium, titanium, and graphite. The US is eager to secure these resources to reduce reliance on China, which dominates 75% of rare earth production.
Ukraine has commercially viable deposits of 117 key minerals. It holds 500,000 tonnes of lithium, vital for rechargeable batteries, and one of Europe's largest titanium reserves, used in aerospace and military industries. Ukraine also holds 20% of global graphite resources, crucial for EV batteries and nuclear reactors.
However, 20% of Ukraine’s land, including regions with £6 trillion in mineral wealth, is currently under Russian occupation. Bordering areas containing £2.8 trillion in resources, faces an advancing Russian military.
2 Tale of Commodities: US Crude $USOIL and $COPPERUS Crude Oil is stuck in a long consolidation pattern with the price stuck between 85 $ and 65 $. With Crude Oil unable to break the sideways consolidation pattern Dr Copper is making new highs in a recent month. On the weekly price chart of the world’s most traded commodity i.e. Crude Oil where we see a consolidation for more than 12 months. With new US administration the Crude output is estimated to go up, which will put downward pressure on the Crude Prices $USOIL. TVC:USOIL prices will most probably remain range bound within the 0.612 and 0.5 Fib retracement levels with prices ranging between 80 $ and 65 $.
But we see the prices of Dr. Copper remain in a bullish trend over the last 5 years. At a Macroeconomic level CAPITALCOM:COPPER prices are a leading indicator of the strength of the economy. With Stock market index making new highs across markets CSEMA:S&P , IG:NASDAQ , TVC:DEU40 and macro economy doing well, CAPITALCOM:COPPER prices are expected to remain strong.
So Long CAPITALCOM:COPPER , neutral $USOIL.
XAGUSD: Channel Up has started new rally to 37.000Silver turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.696, MACD = 0.197, ADX = 24.838) as it has validated the start of the new bullish wave of the long term Channel Up. The price has been detached from the 1D MA50 and is approaching the December 12th high. The 1D RSI is expanding a rebound from a Double Bottom much like Silver's previous low on August 7th 2024. So far the Channel Up has had two bullish legs of 33.47% and 31.67% respectively. Assuming a slight rate of decline on each subsequent bullish wave, we anticipate the current to reach +29.15% and we are targeting a little under it (TP = 37.000).
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Bullish momentum to extend?The Silver (XAG/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 30.83
1st Support: 30.488
1st Resistance: 31.62
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
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XAUUSD: Channel Up intact and is targeting 3,000.Gold is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.990, MACD = 28.040, ADX = 55.806) despite consolidating for the past 7 days. The reason is that the long term Channel Up is intact and in fact has started its new bullish wave by crossing over the HH trendline. This has already happened twice inside the pattern and in those instances, as long as the 1D MA50 remained intact, the rise reached the 2.618 Fibonacci extension. Our target this time is a little lower (TP = 3,000).
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Silver Price Setup = Major Move Ahead?Silver (XAG/USD) Analysis – Breakout Incoming?
Silver (XAG/USD) is currently testing a key resistance zone after a strong upward move, supported by a rising trendline. The price has respected this trendline multiple times, confirming its role as a strong support level. If bulls push beyond the resistance zone, a breakout could trigger further upside momentum.
Key Insights:
🔹 Trendline Support – The ascending trendline has acted as a strong base for price action, providing steady higher lows.
🔹 Key Resistance Zone – Price has faced multiple rejections here in the past, making it a crucial breakout level.
🔹 Potential Breakout Setup – If Silver breaks and holds above resistance, we could see a rally towards $31.50–$32.50+
How to Trade Commodities? Five Popular StrategiesHow to Trade Commodities? Five Popular Strategies
Whether you're a seasoned trader or new to the world of commodities, understanding the various available strategies can play an important role in building an effective trading plan. In this article, we’ll explain five commodity trading strategies that you can get started with today.
Commodity Trading Explained
Commodity trading refers to the buying and selling of raw materials and industrial components in the financial markets. While forex trading deals with currencies, commodities trading primarily deals with physical goods. Typically, commodities fall into four broad categories: energy, metals, agricultural, and environmental.
There are many reasons why people buy and sell commodities. Some trade them as a way of hedging against inflation, particularly precious metals. Others might use them to take advantage of a booming economy, as demand for energy, metal, and food usually increases in times of economic growth.
Commodity trading is a practice that dates back thousands of years. In the past, early civilisations had to physically buy and store these goods, but nowadays, there are many types of commodity trading available.
If you’re speculating on commodities in the 21st century, you’re much more likely to be trading contracts for difference (CFDs), the same as we offer at FXOpen. Additionally, you can gain exposure to commodities through stock and exchange-traded fund CFDs, which you’ll also find on our platform.
Understanding CFD Trading in Commodities
Commodity Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are financial derivatives that allow traders to speculate on the price movements of commodities, such as oil, gold, or wheat. They offer traders a way to engage with the commodity market without the need to physically own the underlying assets.
When trading commodity CFDs, traders are essentially entering into an agreement with a broker to exchange the difference in price of a commodity from the time the contract is opened to when it is closed. This method offers the flexibility to take advantage of price movements in both rising and falling markets.
Likewise, CFDs offer leveraged commodities trading. However, it's crucial to note that while leverage is a double-edged sword: it can magnify both potential returns and losses.
How to Create a Commodity Trading Strategy
Creating effective commodity trading strategies requires a deep understanding of the specific market dynamics and fundamental factors influencing commodity prices. Insightful commodity traders scrutinise supply and demand trends, monitor geopolitical events that could impact global trade, and pay close attention to agricultural reports or energy production data.
For instance, weather patterns play a pivotal role in agricultural commodities, affecting crop yields and, consequently, prices. Similarly, political instability in oil-rich regions can lead to fluctuations in oil prices. Understanding these fundamental aspects can help traders anticipate market movements.
Moreover, economic indicators such as inflation rates, currency strength, and GDP growth must be considered, as these can indirectly influence commodity prices. For example, copper is a key component in housing. It’s estimated that around 30% of the global copper supply is used in house construction in China; therefore, Chinese housing data can significantly impact copper trading strategies.
By integrating this knowledge with technical analysis, traders can identify potential entry and exit points. Technical-based strategies, like those below, can complement fundamental analysis and offer a well-rounded approach to commodity markets.
5 Examples of Commodity Trading Strategies
Below, we’ll discuss five technical-based commodity trading techniques.
Trading Breakouts: Stop Orders
A breakout refers to the rapid price movements seen after an area of support or resistance is broken. However, trading it is harder than it seems. Often, a “fakeout” - a move beyond a support or resistance level that quickly reverses - can trap traders and put them in the red. Therefore, traders prefer to wait for confirmation and enter with a stop-limit order.
- Entry: Once an area of support or resistance has formed (A), traders wait for the price to break through and create a swing high or low (1). When the price returns to the level, they then wait for an opposing high or low to form (2). Then, they can set a stop-limit order at the previous high or low (1) to catch the confirmed breakout.
- Stop Loss: Traders may set a stop above the swing high or low that creates the retest.
- Take Profit: Traders may take profit at a level that gives them a 1:2 risk/reward ratio. Some prefer to trail their stop, while others might move it to breakeven and manually take profits at the closest areas of support and resistance.
Trading Breakouts: Keltner Channels and Bollinger Bands
However, breakouts can also be captured using two well-known indicators, Keltner Channels and Bollinger Bands, both set with a multiplier of 2. A key signal for traders occurs when Bollinger Bands, an indicator of market volatility, contract within the broader Keltner Channels, suggesting a looming phase of high volatility following a period of consolidation.
- Indicators: Keltner Channels (20, 2) and Bollinger Bands (20, 2).
- Entry: Traders often monitor for a scenario where the Bollinger Bands narrow inside the Keltner Channels, indicating low volatility. A decisive close above or below the Bollinger Band, accompanied by high trading volume and a strong bullish or bearish candle, suggests the initiation of a breakout. An additional confirmation is seen if the price also closes outside the Keltner Channel, reinforcing the breakout's validity.
- Stop Loss: A common approach is to set a stop loss beyond the opposite band or channel line, offering a potential safeguard against reversals.
- Take Profit: Traders might consider taking returns when a reverse setup occurs, e.g., if in a long trade, closing when the price closes below the Bollinger Band after a period of low volatility. Alternatively, employing a trailing stop above or below the band/channel may allow traders to secure the majority of the trend's movement.
Trading Trends: RSI and EMA
Trend-following strategies can work especially well with commodities, given that their trends can last weeks and even months. This specific strategy uses moving averages to confirm the direction of the trend with additional confluence from the Relative Strength Index (RSI).
- Indicators: RSI (14), Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) of 21 (grey) and 50 (orange).
- Entry: When EMA 21 crosses above EMA 50 and RSI is above 50 (showing bullishness), the first retest of EMA 21 may be considered a long entry point (2). When EMA 21 crosses below EMA 50 and RSI is below 50 (showing bearishness), the first retest of EMA 21 may be considered a short entry point (1).
- Stop Loss: For longs, you could set a stop just below EMA 50 and trail it as the moving average moves up. For shorts, you could set a stop just above EMA 50 and trail it as the moving average moves down.
- Take Profit: Traders may start taking profits at a level that gives them a 1:2 risk/reward ratio. Alternatively, they might take profits when RSI dips below 50 for a long trade or rises above 50 for a short trade.
Trading Trends: Donchian Channels and EMA
Commodity trading strategies that leverage both trend identification and momentum are highly valued for their potential to capture significant movements. One such strategy incorporates Donchian Channels alongside an EMA to discern the trend's direction and strength. Donchian Channels simply plot the highest high and lowest low over x periods, 20 candles in this case.
The EMA's slope is a trend indicator: an upward slope suggests a bullish trend, while a downward slope indicates bearish conditions. Conversely, a flat EMA means traders remain on the sidelines and await clearer signals.
- Indicators: Donchian Channels (20), EMA (100).
- Entry: Traders often look for the commodity's price to close beyond the last high or low of the Donchian Channel, aligned with the trend indicated by the EMA. A strong close beyond the high or low reflects that the commodity is making a new high or low compared to the past 20 candles, potentially signalling a continuation of the trend.
- Stop Loss: You may place a stop loss beyond the opposite side of the channel to protect against sudden reversals. Another option may be to place it beyond a midpoint line or a nearby swing high or low for a tighter risk management strategy.
- Take Profit: Traders typically consider taking returns when the price touches the opposing band of the Donchian Channel. This touch could indicate that the trend might be losing momentum or reversing, prompting a strategic exit.
Trading Ranges: Bollinger Bands and ADX
While commodities can be exceptionally volatile, like other assets, they also experience ranges. Using volatility-based indicators, like Bollinger Bands, alongside an indicator that tells you whether the price is trending or ranging, like the Average Directional Index (ADX), may help you effectively trade ranges in commodities.
- Indicators: Bollinger Bands (20, 2) and ADX (14, 14).
- Entry: The theory says a trader goes long when ADX is below 20 and the price touches the lower Bollinger Band and goes short when ADX is below 20, but the price touches the upper band.
- Stop Loss: There are a couple of ways to set a stop loss here. One way might be to use a set number of pips. Alternatively, a trader could set a standard deviation of the Bollinger Bands to 3 and use the newly-formed bands as a stop.
- Take Profit: Since this is a range trading strategy, positions could be closed on touching the opposing band, but a trader may choose to leave some in and move their stop at breakeven to potentially be involved when the range breaks out.
Ready to Start Your Commodities Trading Journey?
Now that you have five potential strategies under your belt, it’s time to start thinking about your next steps. If you’re considering testing these strategies in a live market, why not open an FXOpen account? You’ll gain access to a wealth of trading tools in our TickTrader platform, low-cost trading, and lightning-fast execution speeds.
FAQ
How to Trade Commodities?
Trading commodities involves buying and selling raw materials like oil, gold, or wheat on exchanges or through derivatives like futures and CFDs. Traders analyse market trends, supply-demand dynamics, and global economic indicators to make informed decisions. It's crucial to understand the specific factors that influence commodity prices, including geopolitical events, weather patterns, and policy changes.
How to Start Commodity Trading?
To begin trading commodities, it’s best to start by educating yourself about the commodity markets and the factors that influence prices. Opening an account with a broker that offers commodity trading, like FXOpen, and potentially practising with a demo account can provide the ideal environment to practise commodity trading strategies. Lastly, commodity traders continuously monitor market news and analysis to stay informed.
Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
XAL/USD "ALUMINIUM" Metal Market Heist Plan on Bullish🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAL/USD "ALUMINIUM" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : Traders & Thieves with New Entry A bull trade can be initiated at any price level.
However I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 2750.000 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Fundamental & Macro Outlook 📰🗞️
Based on the fundamental & macro analysis, I would expecting a bullish outlook for XAL/USD (Aluminum)
Demand and Supply: Aluminum demand has been rising due to its increasing use in the automotive, construction, and packaging industries. However, supply has also been growing, mainly driven by China's production.
Inventory Levels: Global aluminum inventories have been declining, which could support prices.
Production Costs: Aluminum production costs have been rising due to increasing energy costs, particularly in China.
Trade Tensions: Trade tensions between the US and China have been impacting aluminum prices, as China is a significant producer and consumer of aluminum.
Macro Analysis---
Global Economy: The global economy has been slowing down, which could negatively impact aluminum demand.
Interest Rates: Low interest rates in major economies could support aluminum prices by increasing demand for commodities.
Commodity Prices: Other commodity prices, such as copper and zinc, have been rising, which could support aluminum prices.
Currency: The US dollar has been appreciating, which could negatively impact aluminum prices.
Sentiment Metrics---
Sentiment Score: 0.15 (neutral)
Bullish Sentiment Index: 45 (out of 100)
Bearish Sentiment Index: 30 (out of 100)
Neutral Sentiment Index: 25 (out of 100)
Insights:
The overall sentiment is neutral, indicating that market participants are uncertain about the future direction of aluminum prices.
The bullish sentiment is slightly higher than the bearish sentiment, suggesting that some market participants are optimistic about aluminum prices.
The neutral sentiment is significant, indicating that many market participants are waiting for clearer market signals before making a decision.
Recommendation---
Based on the sentiment analysis, it's recommended to adopt a neutral stance on XAL/USD, with a slight bias towards a bullish trend. However, it's essential to continue monitoring market developments and adjust your strategy accordingly.
Disclaimer---Sentiment analysis is subjective and based on publicly available data. It should not be considered as investment advice. Trading commodities involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your investment. Always do your own research and consider multiple sources before making a trade.
Trading Alert⚠️ : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?WTI oil (XTI/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 80.45
1st Support: 79.18
1st Resistance: 81.86
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Master Short-term Trading in Stock, Forex, and Crypto MarketsMaster Short-term Trading in Stock, Forex, and Crypto Markets
Short-term trading is a fast-paced approach that demands skill, strategy, and quick decision-making to capitalise on small price moves in financial markets like stocks, forex, and crypto. This article dives into advanced techniques, adaptive strategies, and psychological discipline needed to improve your trading edge.
Choosing the Right Market and Asset for Short-Term Trading
Short-term trading isn’t just about finding an opportunity; it’s about picking the right market and asset that aligns with your strategy, risk tolerance, and trading style. Different assets and markets move in unique ways, and understanding their traits can sharpen your trading decisions and improve your ability to identify favourable setups.
Stocks
When short-term trading stocks, movements often hinge on company-specific events like earnings reports, product launches, or even management changes. Ideal stocks for short-term trading typically include those in technology or high-growth sectors, which tend to show greater volatility and liquidity. However, specific stock trading hours limit opportunities (with after-hours trading often seeing lower volume), which can reduce flexibility compared to 24-hour markets like forex or crypto.
Forex
Known for its high liquidity and 24-hour trading cycle 5 days a week, the forex market offers ample short-term trading opportunities, particularly with major currency pairs like EUR/USD or GBP/USD. These pairs are heavily traded, leading to tighter spreads, which is essential for traders looking to make multiple trades in a single day. The forex market is also influenced by economic data releases and geopolitical events, making it a good match for traders who stay updated on global news and market sentiment.
Commodities
Trading commodities like gold, oil, and silver can add diversity to short-term trading. Commodities often see increased activity during times of economic uncertainty or when inflationary pressures are high. Precious metals like gold, for instance, are seen as so-called “safe havens,” attracting short-term traders during volatile market periods. Energy commodities, such as oil, also offer strong moves tied to supply and demand shifts, including geopolitical developments and inventory reports.
Cryptocurrencies
The crypto market stands out for its high volatility and 24/7 trading schedule. For those looking to trade for the short term in the crypto market, major coins like Bitcoin and Ethereum are common choices due to their frequent price swings, while smaller coins can offer higher-risk, high-reward short-term investment potential.
However, crypto’s high risk and rapid price swings mean that traders must carefully manage the size of their short-term investments and stay alert to sudden shifts in market sentiment, often driven by regulatory updates or large-scale adoption news.
Advanced Technical Analysis Techniques
For traders aiming to refine their short-term investing, advanced technical analysis techniques can provide the depth needed to make quick, informed decisions. These methods go beyond basic indicators, giving traders a closer look at price dynamics, market psychology, and trade volume to spot potential setups.
Price Action Analysis
Price action analysis focuses on interpreting price movements without relying heavily on indicators. Traders using this method look for specific patterns like “doji” and “engulfing” candlesticks to gauge market sentiment. Recognising these patterns, along with key levels such as support and resistance, can help trader time entries and exits by indicating when momentum may shift. Price action is especially useful in volatile markets, where traditional indicators may lag.
Volume Profile
Volume profile charts and indicators show the volume traded at each price level over a given period, helping traders identify where the most buying and selling is happening. This technique highlights “high-volume nodes,” or price points where large amounts of trading occur, indicating levels where the price might stall or reverse. By using volume profiles, traders can spot areas of consolidation or breakout zones, refining their trade entries or exits based on market interest.
Discover volume profile tools on FXOpen’s advanced TickTrader platform.
Dow Theory
Dow Theory is a market analysis framework that asserts markets move in trends, with each trend consisting of primary, secondary, and minor waves. Short-term traders often focus on secondary trends (lasting days to weeks) to align their trades with market direction. By recognising the phases of accumulation, public participation, and distribution, traders can better understand the market’s larger direction and time their entries.
Wyckoff Theory
Wyckoff Theory can be used by short-term traders for recognising and capitalising on repeatable market patterns driven by supply and demand. Through Wyckoff’s approach to price and volume analysis, traders can identify phases, which signal potential reversals or continuation trends. This allows short-term traders to time entries and exits more accurately based on market structure. Additionally, Wyckoff’s emphasis on liquidity and the role of large institutional players helps traders anticipate price movements, enabling them to make informed decisions in volatile, fast-moving markets.
Elliott Wave Theory
Elliott Wave Theory proposes that markets move in repetitive waves influenced by crowd psychology. For short-term traders, identifying the five-wave impulse or corrective patterns can provide context on where the market may be within a larger cycle. This analysis can assist in timing trades by aligning with the anticipated movement within a wave sequence.
Developing a Flexible, Adaptive Strategy
In fast-paced markets, adaptable short-term trading strategies are key for traders who want to thrive in varying conditions. A flexible approach enables traders to pivot based on volatility, volume, and market sentiment without rigidly sticking to one strategy.
Scalping vs Day Trading
Scalping and day trading both offer short-term opportunities, but each thrives in distinct conditions. Scalping—executing numerous quick trades for small gains—is potentially effective in high-volatility environments with tight spreads, like forex or certain tech stocks. Day trading, on the other hand, takes advantage of slightly longer holding times within a single day, allowing traders to capitalise on more substantial moves. Knowing when to switch between these approaches keeps traders prepared.
Timeframe Adjustments
Adapting timeframes based on volatility can improve timing. For example, traders might use 1-minute charts during high volatility and 5- or 15-minute charts when the market is steadier, allowing them to focus on potentially more reliable setups without overreacting to noise.
Continuous Backtesting and Refinement
An adaptive strategy relies on ongoing backtesting to identify what works in current conditions. Live adaptation is also essential—strategies might need adjustments in real time based on changing market sentiment or unexpected events. Keeping strategies flexible and adjusting as data changes help traders stay aligned with the market’s rhythm.
Advanced Risk Management Techniques
Effective risk management goes beyond setting a simple stop loss. For advanced traders, techniques like dynamic position sizing, trailing stops, and a nuanced grasp of win rate and risk-reward ratios are essential to navigating volatile markets.
Dynamic Position Sizing
Adjusting position sizes based on current market conditions allows traders to respond to volatility without overexposing their capital. For instance, in highly volatile sessions, traders may reduce position sizes to limit exposure, while in low volatility periods, they might increase them to capture larger potential gains.
Trailing Stops
Trailing stops protect potential gains while letting trades run. As the market moves favourably, a trailing stop gradually locks in gains, automatically adjusting to reduce risk if the trend reverses. This is especially useful for fast-paced assets where trends can shift quickly, helping traders maximise trade effectiveness without manually adjusting their exits.
Win Rate and Risk-Reward Balance
A high win rate isn’t always the goal; balancing it with a good risk-reward ratio is often more sustainable. For example, a trader with a 40% win rate might still see strong potential returns if their average risk-reward is 1:3.
Psychological Discipline and Strategy Execution
Mastering short-term trading requires more than technical skill—it’s about controlling emotions and staying disciplined under pressure. Even with a solid strategy, emotional biases like fear and greed can cloud judgement and lead to impulsive decisions.
Avoiding Overtrading
Overtrading often stems from frustration or the “fear of missing out.” Identifying decent shares to buy for the short term can be exciting, but it’s essential to set clear limits on daily trades. By focusing on quality setups over quantity, traders can prevent hasty, low-probability trades that erode potential gains.
Sticking to the Plan
A pre-set strategy is only as good as its execution. Traders can strengthen discipline by following structured routines—such as starting each session with a plan, reviewing recent trades, and assessing market conditions. Journaling each trade, including the reasoning and emotions behind it, helps reinforce the commitment to the strategy.
Routine and Mindfulness
Building a consistent daily routine, from meditation to pre-market preparation, can help reduce emotional swings and keep a trader’s focus sharp. Practising mindfulness helps traders stay centred, making it easier to manage emotions, avoid unplanned trades, and stay aligned with their strategic goals.
The Bottom Line
Skills like advanced analysis, adaptable strategies, and emotional discipline are essential to navigate stocks, forex, and cryptocurrency markets effectively. With the right tools and techniques, traders can make agile decisions in fast-moving markets. For those ready to take their trading further, opening an FXOpen account offers access to four robust trading platforms, competitive spreads, and fast execution speeds—ideal for short-term trading.
FAQ
What Is Short-Term Trading?
Short-term trading involves buying and selling financial assets over low timeframes, typically ranging from minutes to hours. Traders aim to capitalise on rapid price movements rather than holding positions long-term.
How Do Short-Term Traders Make Money?
Short-term traders aim to take advantage of small price changes by timing their trades based on market trends, technical analysis, or key events. They base their strategies on quick decision-making, effective risk management, and sometimes high-frequency trading.
How to Pick Good Stocks for the Short-Term?
To find short-term stocks, traders look for stocks with high liquidity and volatility, as these are more likely to see meaningful price swings. Many traders focus on stocks to buy for the short term that offer recent/upcoming news or earnings reports, which tend to drive price momentum.
Which Crypto to Buy for the Short-Term?
High-liquidity cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum are popular for short-term trades due to frequent price fluctuations. However, smaller coins can also offer opportunities, but these often carry higher risks due to their volatility.
Can You Make a Living From Short-Term Trading?
Yes, but it’s challenging. Short-term trading requires a strong strategy, deep market knowledge, and emotional discipline. Many traders supplement their income with other sources, as consistent gains can be difficult to achieve.
At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency CFDs are only available for trading by those clients categorised as Professional clients under FCA Rules. They are not available for trading by Retail clients.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.