Interim Bulls could not halt the strong bearish XAUUSDGold against Dollar have been in a bearish trend way from Aug 15th, 2022 from the price of 1800 and last week its continues the downward trend and breaks the 1750 zone of concern ,
1750 is the zone of PUSHING DOWN, whenever the price breaks 1750 , it never missed to touch the support zone of 1683, this zone tested multiple times
This week , price may test the zone of 1750 again going down, there is a support available at 1735 , if it breaks further down , it will test down 1700 again
Commoditytrading
GOLD Aug W.4: Long-term trend alert!Hi friends, I hope y'all had a fantastic weekend, and are ready to tackle this week strong ;)
Today, we're looking at a possible long-term drop on this baby. These trades are derived from both the weekly and monthly. Starting with the monthly, the price is in the huge double tops 2nd leg formation that is bouncing off the bullish crossed short-term moving averages with a bearish shooting start candle pattern, triggering what I call a "Double Top A-E.1 signal".
The weekly, on the other hand, is currently bearish running in the double tops L2 and below the 50 moving average and bearish crossed short-term moving averages (8 and 21), triggering what I call a "Double Top A-E.1 signal", but it hasn't fully confirmed. Let us take a look at how this signal and its trades will trigger, and how it won't fully confirm our bias.
Bulls: -If the price bullish rallies to break and retest the 2nd Weekly Key Lvl and 8 m.a, that will dis-confirm both the weekly and monthly signals, and the price would be in prep to form a bullish reversal pattern that will be followed by a bullish trend.
Bears: -If the price bullish spikes or retests the Weekly Neckline 3 or 2nd Weekly Key Lvl and 8 m.a with a bearish candle pattern or reversal candle pattern formation/close (1st trade signal) that leads the price to bearish break and retest the Mini Daily Half a Bat Neckline (2nd trade signal), that will confirm our bias and the price will drop for this timeframes double top L3 and the monthly's double top accumulation phase.
That's it for today. I hope you found value in this trade idea. If you have a different concept in mind, feel free to share it in the comments section, I'd love to know you thoughts!
Stay Blessed.
Market split bets on the next Fed rate hikeEUR/USD 🔽
GBP/USD 🔽
AUD/USD 🔽
USD/CAD 🔼
XAU 🔽
WTI ▶️
There is a month between now and the next US Federal Reserve interest rate decision and the investors are undecided about how high it would be. Given the falling gas prices, strong labor market, and the looming recession, the US central bank could favor a 50 bps rate hike. On the other hand, the latest comments from Fed officials maintained they are adamant about controlling inflation to 2%, hinting at another 75 bps rate hike.
As a result, the greenback extends its strong run against its peers. EUR/USD slid to 1.0034, and despite having slightly optimistic retail sales readings, GBP/USD stabilized at 1.1820 and closed at 1.1827. The Aussie was held back by a sluggish Chinese economy, AUD/USD went below 0.7000 to 0.6872, while USD/CAD climbed to 1.2993 and edged towards 1.3000.
With another rate hike marked on the calendar, gold’s safe haven status was overshadowed by the US dollar, gold futures declined to $1,762.9 an ounce. Oil prices were stuck between prospects of Iranian oil entering the market and a possible recession, which ended up closing at $90.44 with little change.
In US stocks, Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) enjoyed a rapid rise that reached meme status, but it just lost 40.54% of its market cap, after a major shareholder sold his entire stake.
More information on Mitrade website.
Double-digit inflation for the UKEUR/USD ▶️
GBP/USD 🔽
AUD/USD 🔽
USD/CAD 🔼
XAU 🔽
WTI 🔼
As the Governor of the Bank of England warned months prior, the UK CPI has recorded a 10.1 increase, compared to the market estimate of 9.8%. Such a high reading is not seen for four decades, and the British central bank is likely to bring more rate hikes to tame the raging inflation, possibly slowing the economy in the process. As a result, GBP/USD declined and stabilized at 1.2047.
Though the Fed meeting minutes are fairly dovish, the subsequent lower CPI data continues to increase bets for another 50 or 75 bps bump in the interest rate. The greenback rallied against its peers, USD/CAD rose to 1.2909, moving further toward the 1.3000 level.
Meanwhile, EUR/USD was little changed at 1.018, Eurozone CPI for July will be announced this afternoon. The Aussie suffered from falling iron prices and slid to a closing price of 0.6932, as the latest employment change results showed more than 400,000 people in Australia are no longer employed in a supposedly compact labor market.
Gold futures broke through 1,780 to 1,776.7 with minor fluctuations, extending its weakened run. US Crude Oil Inventories were reduced by over 7 million barrels, and a tightened supply moved WTI oil futures slightly higher to $88.11 a barrel, after meeting resistance at $88.00.
More information on Mitrade website.
Slowing Chinese economy sends US dollar higherEUR/USD 🔽
GBP/USD 🔽
AUD/USD 🔽
USD/CAD 🔼
XAU 🔽
WTI 🔽
Yesterday, the latest Chinese Industrial Production readings recorded a 3.8% growth - falling short of the 4.6% forecast, and raised concerns of a possible recession. On the same day, the Chinese central bank lowered its interest rate from 3.70% to 2.75%, in order to stimulate the economy while dealing with the pandemic.
As such, a weakened global demand saw WTI oil futures fall to $89.41 a barrel. Meanwhile, safe-haven demand is increased with growing recession signs, the US dollar gained much momentum, USD/CAD rose and stabilized at 1.2904, gaining over 100 pips.
The Reserve Bank of Australia has released its meeting minutes this morning, expecting to raise rates even further to “normalize monetary conditions over the months ahead”. The Aussie almost dropped a full 1% against the greenback, declining and slowing at 0.7020, to a closing price of 0.7022.
Euro and Pound both suffered noticeable losses, EUR/USD slid to 1.016, and the GBP/USD pair closed at 1.2054. Gold futures went below the $1,800 level to $1,798.1 an ounce.
More information on Mitrade website.
Has Gold a found a stopping point?Welcome to Monday’s market update. The focus of today’s update video is on Gold. We are currently watching the selling that continues to develop today after buyers failed to carry on with Friday’s rally.
Buyers made a good attempt at clearing supply on Friday, but today’s has seen a reversal after USD strength and selling pressure came back into the market. In today’s video, we break down levels we are watching at a possible new level of resistance that has started to present.
We are asking if buyers are out of juice and if these points could become a new short-term turning point, or could buyers come back into the market and make a new push at breaking supply and the new resistance level?
Thanks for stopping by and watching our latest update. We hope you are all enjoying your Monday.
Good trading.
Market continues betting on another US 50 bps rate hikeEUR/USD 🔽
GBP/USD 🔽
AUD/USD 🔼
USD/CAD 🔼
XAU 🔼
WTI 🔽
A tight labor market and slowed inflation have increased market anticipation for another 50 bps interest rate increase from the US Federal Reserve, thus strengthening the greenback against its peers. EUR/USD declined and stabilized at 1.0260, finally closing at 1.0258. GBP/USD fell to 1.213, with forecasts of lower Average Earnings on Tuesday.
The latest meeting minutes from the Reserve Bank of Australia will be available tomorrow morning, given the gradual economic recovery in China and Australia being less impacted by inflation, the Aussie was slightly cheered to 0.7121 with minor gains. The USD/CAD pair was relatively stable at 1.2773.
WTI oil futures went further down to $92.09 a barrel, as investors received reports from Iran about a possible thawing of diplomatic relations, while Saudi Arabia’s leading oil producer is ready to boost production.
Gold prices reached $1,815.5 an ounce, thanks to a strong dollar. Bitcoin just surged over $600 to $24,822.8.
More information on Mitrade website.
Getting reading for the next bull-run in CORNFinally, I've started scaling in on corn again. It's planned to be a thing of several weeks/months. Then let it go. By the time we're reaching the "scale out" point marked on the chart, the prices should be relatively higher than now. How high? I don't know. But it could be really high.
Gold / U.S. Dollar - 2 Scenarios (NEW)If the price breaks down the support level, we expect that the price will decrease in the long term. Bollinger Bands indicates that it is almost time to sell.
On the other hand, if the price breaks the resistance level, we expect that the price will increase. Then it will test another resistance levels.
Market participants are alert ahead of US inflation statisticsEUR/USD 🔽
GBP/USD 🔽
AUD/USD 🔽
USD/CAD 🔼
XAU 🔽
WTI 🔽
On a weekly basis, the American dollar continued to lose ground throughout the early part of the day, but gained some ground during the US session. The volatility of the market was rather low, despite persistent US inflation figures.
According to the US Consumer Pricing Index, investors are expecting that the price pressures started to ease in July. However, the core annual reading is expected to increase from 5.9% to 6.1%. In the end, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy will be priced into the market rapidly by speculative interest. The Chinese and German inflation data will be released prior to the US inflation data.
The EUR/USD pair came close to touching the 1.0250 level but lost about 50 pip before the closure. The news that Russia has stopped shipping oil through the southern Druzhba pipeline due to problems with transit payments weighed on the common currency.
The UK government is preparing for organized electricity outages for businesses and homes this winter as a worst-case scenario due to the energy crisis plaguing Europe. Prior to the start of Asian trading, GBP/USD is trading at about 1.2060.
By day's conclusion, commodity-linked currencies had depreciated against the dollar, though losses are small. While USD/CAD is centered at 1.2890, AUD/USD trades around 0.6950.
One of the top performers was gold, which reached an intraday high of $1,800.49 per troy ounce. It was $1,795 at day's end. Although the day started with higher crude oil prices, it ended with only slight increases. The price of WTI is $90.70 per barrel.
Following in the footsteps of its European counterparts, Wall Street dipped, albeit losses were restrained. On the other side, the 10-year note's yield, which is currently 2.79%, increased a fraction.
#market #AUD #GBP #USD #DOLLARS #CAD #INVESTING #INVESTMENT #MITRADE #TRADING #PRICING #INDEX #INFLATION
Wednesday’s Inflation data to determine Fed rate hike policyEUR/USD 🔼
GBP/USD 🔼
AUD/USD 🔼
USD/CAD 🔽
XAU 🔼
WTI 🔼
Without any major economic data announced just yet, the market slows down as it awaits the latest US CPI data. The strong labor market gave a confidence boost to the Federal Reserve, if US inflation managed to decline to 8.7% as expected, the string of mega rate hikes is likely to continue.
On the other hand, the greenback slightly retreats against its peers, EUR/USD and GBP/USD closed at 1.0195 and 1.2076 respectively with minor gains. The Australian currency was cheered by increasing Chinese export figures, AUD/USD rose and met resistance at 0.700, finally closing at 0.6988.
USD/CAD slid and stabilized at the 1.2860 level, last traded at 1.2854. Recession fears once again send gold futures surging, adding over $10 to $1,805.2 an ounce.
Mixed sentiment stalled WTI oil futures, reaching $90.76 a barrel after recovering from $89.45.
More information on Mitrade website.
Strong nonfarm payrolls send greenback flyingEUR/USD 🔽
GBP/USD 🔽
AUD/USD 🔽
USD/JPY 🔼
USD/CAD 🔼
XAU 🔽
WTI ▶️
US nonfarm payrolls in July added 528,000 jobs, shattering the original estimate of 290,000 and reaching a five-month high. The strong employment readings seemingly dispelled recession fears, and would likely extend the string of aggressive rate hikes from the Federal Reserve.
The surprise boost for the greenback sent its peers to a sharp decline, GBP/USD recovered from 1.2025 to a closing price of 1.2071. EUR/USD closed lower at 1.0181, despite optimistic industrial production data from Germany and France. Mixed Chinese economic data didn’t stop the Aussie from falling to 0.6909 against the US dollar.
Meanwhile, the USD/JPY pair gained over 210 pips to 134.97 as the notable performer, and USD/CAD rose to a high of 1.2977 then stabilized and closed at 1.293. Gold futures were also spooked to $1,781, then rebounded to 1,791.2 an ounce.
WTI oil futures experienced minor fluctuations, mostly traded flat at $89.01 a barrel.
More information on Mitrade website.
Oil futures return to pre-war levelsEUR/USD 🔼
GBP/USD 🔼
AUD/USD 🔼
USD/CAD 🔼
XAU 🔼
WTI 🔽
Months of almost unstoppable oil bulls have returned to the starting line, and both Brent and WTI oil futures prices have returned to levels not seen since the Russian invasion of Ukraine, with WTI oil futures closing at $88.54 a barrel. Recession fears have weakened manufacturing data, and as the US summer driving season will end by September, lackluster global oil demand sends prices downward.
The loonie was dragged by the falling oil prices, USD/CAD got to 1.2864 and kept climbing, currently trading at 1.2875. New American and Canadian employment data will be available tonight, forecasts set the US unemployment to remain at 3.6%, while the benchmark nonfarm payrolls in July added 290,000 jobs - dropping from 372,000 in June.
As another central bank that has announced a 50 bps rate hike, the Bank of England also aligned with market estimates. Although the decision was the most aggressive since 1995, the central bank claims further actions are required to address the soaring inflation. The GBP/USD pair briefly went below 1.2070, but soon recovered to a closing price of 1.2157 with minor gains. AUD/USD rose above the fluctuations, gaining over 20 pips to 0.6968.
After slowing at the 1.0250 level, EUR/USD was last traded at 1.0243. Gold futures reached a monthly high at $1,806.9 an ounce.
More information on Mitrade website.
Surprise data strengthens the greenback and weakens oil pricesEUR/USD ▶️
GBP/USD 🔽
AUD/USD 🔼
USD/CAD 🔽
XAU 🔼
WTI 🔽
Yesterday's US economic data indicated an increase in industrial production and crude oil inventories, cheering the greenback while sending WTI oil futures to slide from $96.23 to $90.66 and stabilize. The addition of 4.467 million barrels of crude oil and OPEC slightly boosting production have relieved oil prices to a six-month low.
Oil bears have also sent the loonie on a downwards trajectory, USD/CAD closed at 1.2838 with a high of 1.2883. Later tonight, the US Initial Jobless Claims readings will update the US labor market later tonight. Meanwhile, economic data in Europe slightly missed market estimates, after rebounding from 1.0127, EUR/USD reached a closing price of 1.0169 with negligible gains.
The Bank of England is likely to announce another rate hike, market bets mostly spread between 25 and 50 bps, noticeably lower than those of the Federal Reserve. The British Pound last traded at 1.2143 against the US dollar, and the AUD/USD increased slowly to 0.6943.
Gold futures experienced some oscillations, and rose to $1,776.4 an ounce.
More information on Mitrade website
Oil back at key support who will win this battle?Hi all, thanks for checking in for Wednesday's video analysis on oil.
Once again, we find ourselves back at key support. This level has stood since March, and till today sellers haven't been able to break through this level. For the last two sessions, sellers have tried and failed at breaking $95.20 support, but the question now is, do buyers still have the numbers to defend a new assault?
Monday saw a strong move down by sellers, but they continue to be blocked at support. Things above are not much clearer as resistance continues to look firm from $101-$102.
Our question today is will we see a new break lower or will support hold, and with price now starting to be squeezed, could this become a defining point that continues the current downtrend or sprouts a new reversal?
One thing I didn't cover in today's video is the danger of breakout selling at this point. The current point looks as good as any for a bear trap after a false breakout out lower, as we have already seen one in July.
Regardless of the breakout direction, we see it might be a good idea to wait for a new LH or HL to gauge that the move is valid and won't get sucked back into the range.
Thanks for watching and reading. We hope you enjoy the rest of your day.
Good trading
Risk aversion sentiment intensified from US-China tensionsEUR/USD 🔽
GBP/USD 🔽
AUD/USD 🔽
USD/JPY 🔼
USD/CAD 🔼
XAU 🔼
WTI ▶️
Investors flocked to safe-haven assets due to building tensions between the US and China, the greenback and gold had their prices recovered, when US stocks and indices took a hit. Gold futures closed at $1,789.7 an ounce, then slid from $1,804.8 to $1772.5.
A stronger dollar rebounded against other major currencies, and EUR/USD declined to 1.0164, currently trading flat. USD/JPY rose sharply to 133.16, almost gaining 150 pips. The loonie had a choppy trading session, USD/CAD eventually gained 31 pips to 1.2875.
Meanwhile, several Federal Reserve officials have implied further rate hikes to control soaring inflation. The comments have overshadowed an imminent interest rate increase from the Bank of England on Thursday, GBP/USD was weakened to 1.2172.
Despite raising rates on Tuesday, Governor Lowe of the Reserve Bank of Australia claimed “normalizing monetary conditions… is not on a pre-set path”, the relatively dovish comment led the AUD/USD pair to fall below the 0.700 level to 0.6919, losing over 100 pips in the process.
Market estimates have the US Crude Oil Inventories decreasing by 629,000 barrels, and WTI oil futures reached a high of $96.26 a barrel before closing at $94.42 with little change.
More information on Mitrade website.
Aussie rises in advance of RBA rate hikeEUR/USD 🔼
GBP/USD 🔼
AUD/USD 🔼
USD/CAD 🔼
XAU 🔼
WTI 🔽
The Reserve Bank of Australia is expected to bring another 50 bps rate hike later today, and AUD/USD rose to 0.7023 with minor oscillation while its economy is dealing with the aftermath of the Sydney flood and Chinese lockdowns. As the Bank of England is preparing to increase interest rates on Thursday, GBP/USD climbed to 1.2254 and stabilized at the 1.2250 level, gaining over 80 pips.
The latest reading for US ISM Manufacturing PMI is 52.8, slightly higher than market estimates, but projections for US JOLTs Job Openings in June anticipated a minor drop to 11 million new job openings. Nonetheless, USD/CAD closed at 1.2845 and reached a high of 1.2855.
Compared to previous figures, Germany's retail sales in June decreased by 1.6%, against market bets for a 0.2% minimal growth, the EUR/USD pair was last traded at 1.0261 with a high of 1.029.
Crude oil demands were cut by recession sentiment, falling to $93.89 a barrel, losing almost $5 in the process. Gold futures closed higher at 1,787.7, then went to 1,796.6 an ounce.
More information on Mitrade website.
Oil price swayed by OPEC meeting and weak Chinese PMIEUR/USD 🔼
GBP/USD 🔼
AUD/USD 🔼
USD/CAD 🔽
XAU 🔼
WTI 🔼
Last week saw WTI crude oil futures climbing to $101.58 a barrel, but a disappointing Chinese PMI reading and a possible OPEC production boost brought prices down to $98.62, now dwelling at $97 territory.
US dollar and treasury yields both dropped as recession sentiment was intensified by another negative US GDP growth, USD/CAD slipped to 1.2793. Gold futures rode upon a weakened greenback to $1,781.8 an ounce, settling on the $1,780 level.
Greenback’s loss became stock’s gain, major indices have all gone up. Amazon surged 10.40% thanks to a stellar sales report, but Roku lost 23.07% of its stock value due to lackluster earnings that fell short of market estimates.
Meanwhile, major currencies rallied against the US dollar, and the GBP/USD pair further recovered to 1.2189. Aussie met resistance at 0.700, AUD/USD slightly moved up to 0.6985, and both central banks in Australia and Eurozone will announce their interest rate decision this week. Cheered by optimistic Eurozone and Germany GDP results, EUR/USD closed at 1.0226 with a 29-pip gain.
More information on Mitrade website.
Fed hints at slowing down after a 75 bps rate hikeEUR/USD 🔼
GBP/USD 🔼
AUD/USD 🔼
USD/CAD 🔽
XAU 🔼
WTI 🔼
Earlier today, the Federal Reserve continued its path of aggressive rate hikes by increasing it by 75 basis points to 2.50%. Meanwhile, Chairman Powell claimed it would be appropriate to slow down the tightening eventually, providing some breathing space for other major currencies, USD/CAD dropped from 1.2895 to 1.2821.
Regarding concerns over a recession, the US GDP data for the second quarter will be available tonight, and the market estimated a 0.5% growth - which could avoid meeting the technical definition of a recession.
As the dollar retreated, the British Pound became the bigger winner, GBP/USD rose and stabilized at the 1.2170 level, gaining over 130 pips to close at 1.2151, and the EUR/USD also maintained a foothold at the 1.0200 level before closing at 1.0202. Australia’s Retail Sales reading in June missed market projections at 0.2%, but AUD/USD nonetheless reached 0.6993, edging towards 0.700.
Gold futures took advantage of a weakened greenback and sluggish bond yields and climbed to $1,719.1, currently trading at $1,743.0 an ounce. US crude oil inventories further went down by 4.523 million barrels, and since Russia reduced gas supplies to Europe, WTI oil futures increased $3 to $98.17 a barrel.
More information on Mitrade website.
Natura Gas Triple Top Selling pressure is evident after making Triple top
Shooting Star with a long tail
Decent Risk to Reward
Keep trailing
Let me know your views in the comment.