NVIDIA rose past the historical $400 levelChipmaker NVIDIA maintained a strong run, reaching an all-time high of $413.95, while supporting the Nasdaq 100 climbing 56 pips to 14,354. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 closed flat at 4,205, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 50 points to 33,042.
AUD/USD slipped 5 pips to 0.6517. The Australian year-on-year inflation increased by 6.8%, higher than Mitrade's estimate of 6.4%. EUR/USD added 16 pips to 1.0735, and GBP/USD advanced 74 pips to 1.2414. USD/CAD slid 8 pips to 1.3603, and USD/JPY fell 80 pips to 139.80.
Spot gold increased $15 to $1,959.35 an ounce, and WTI oil futures closed $3 lower at $69.46 a barrel. Bitcoin and Ethereum retreated to $27,712.0 and $1,895.38 respectively.
Commoditytrading
The one and only commodity I am selling in May 2023!We’re looking at the weekly chart.
We can see palladium’s price has fallen since 2021 from $3,000 down to today at $1,424.
Then in 2022, palladium shot up to above $3,400, this has formed what’s known as a Descending Triangle.
This is where the price makes lower highs and bounces on the same floor level.
Now that the price has broken below the triangle, this tells me the sellers are winning and will continue to dominate the market.
This will bring down the price further. I expect the palladium’s price to drop to the 200MA (black line) and then further down to $880.
If this happens, this downside for the precious metal will ONLY be the beginning.
Considering all these factors, we need to brace for palladium’s next crash and at least try and profit from the fall.
FUNDAMENTALS:
Why Palladium’s demand is dropping
Experts from Norilsk Nickel, a major mining company, predict there could be only a small shortfall of 100,000 ounces.
This is less than what they thought in February when they expected a shortfall of 300,000 ounces.
This is mainly because the car industry is not recovering as quickly as they thought, so demand has not increased as expected.
Chip supply and the war in Ukraine have further slowed the car industries recovery.
And South African palladium producers have also contributed to this slowing as they have lowered their production goals and reduced their refining activities, largely due to loadshedding.
And this isn’t good for palladium and its price.
But as always I look to the charts for the overarching signal and this is what it’s telling me.
The space race in the private sector intensiDespite the recent SpaceX rocket explosion, the space race is still in full swing with much private capital flowing into civilian space travel and satellites. Virgin Galactic has already claimed commercial space travel services will be ready in June. Astranis just launched its first satellite to provide internet access to remote regions.
As the US and UK markets are closed on Monday, NVIDIA remained at a historical high of $389.46. Investors now turn to the cryptocurrency market, with Bitcoin declining to $27,786.0, and Ethereum slipping to $1,897.09. Later tonight, US Consumer Confidence is expected to drop from 101.3 to 99.0.
For Wednesday, Mitrade estimates had the German inflation rate growing by 0.6% in May and a 0.2% month-on-month growth for Canada’s GDP.
Preliminary agreement reached on US debt ceilingUS President Biden has announced Republican congressional leaders have agreed to raise the debt ceiling, though Congress has not passed it yet. Meanwhile, US quarter-on-quarter GDP rose by 1.3%, higher than Mitrade's estimate of 1.1%. USD/CAD closed higher at 1.3611, and USD/JPY climbed to 140.60.
EUR/USD declined to 1.0719, with German quarter-on-quarter GDP contracting by 0.3%. GBP/USD retreated to 1.2340, and AUD/USD slipped to 0.6522.
Spot gold fell to $1,945.74 an ounce, and WTI oil futures enjoyed minor gains and closed at $72.67 a barrel. Bitcoin and Ethereum advanced to $28,198.0 and $1,916.82 respectively.
The Nasdaq 100 surged 359 points to 14,298. The S&P 500 added 54 points to 4,205, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 328 points to 33,093.
XAUUSD as we see gold this week trades are facilitating VL, reject from 1965,1958, we see price is fading way below absorption buyers lifting the price higher below 1940 , after buyers are initiative push the price higher after reject from 1957 create new key levels, a zone price all the way to trade location 1944 know buyers are pushing higher creating new order flow.
US QoQ GDP growth is expected to fall to 1.1%Although the latest Federal Reserve meeting minutes highlighted US economic resilience in banking, industrial production, and employment, Mitrade expects quarter-on-quarter growth for its GDP will fall from 2.6% to 1.1%.
As the German GDP quarter-on-quarter is expected to recover from -0.4% to -0.1%, EUR/USD declined 20 pips to 1.0750. GBP/USD fell 43 pips to 1.2365, and AUD/USD decreased 66 pips to 0.6543. USD/CAD climbed 91 pips to 1.3595, and USD/JPY gained 88 pips to 139.47.
US crude oil inventories were reduced by over 12 million barrels, much higher than expected. However, WTI oil futures closed $1.43 lower at $74.34 a barrel. Spot gold dropped $18 to $1,957.33 an ounce. Bitcoin and Ethereum are trading lower at $26,127.0 and $1,778.61 respectively.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged 255 points to 32,799.92. The S&P 500 slipped 30 points to 4,115.24, and the Nasdaq 100 fell 68 points to 13,604.48.
Fed speak sidestepped the debt ceiling and focused on inflationOn Tuesday, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell did not address debt ceiling negotiations during a meeting with Democratic Congress members. Instead, he focused on high inflation rates, while maintaining an optimistic economic outlook.
The Nasdaq 100 dropped 177 points to 13,672, and the S&P 500 slid 47 points to 4,145. The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged 231 points to 33,055.
The UK recorded several lower-than-expected PMI readings, indicating an economic decline. The GBP/USD then fell by 23 pips to 1.2414. Meanwhile, the UK year-on-year inflation rate is expected to slow from 10.1% to 8.3% in April.
EUR/USD declined 43 pips to 1.0770, and AUD/USD slipped 44 pips to 0.6609. USD/CAD and USD/JPY both closed one pip lower at 1.3504 and 138.59 respectively.
Later tonight, Mitrade estimates US crude oil inventories to decrease by over 9 million barrels. WTI oil futures edged up $0.86 to $72.91 a barrel. Spot gold gained $3 to $1,975.09 an ounce. Bitcoin and Ethereum rose to $27,167.0 and $1,847.13 respectively.
GOLD (XAU/USD): MTF illustration. What is the next move?Looking at the Weekly-timeframe graph on the left-hand side of the screen, it can be observed that the price is approaching a key level of support that aligns with the up-trending diagonal highlighted on the chart.
Zooming into the Daily TF chart, we may identify a preliminary entry point that we will have our eyes on for entering long positions and riding the next potential bullish wave.
Meta fined $1.3 billion for improper user data transferMeta Platforms (META) was fined $1.3 billion for violating European Union data protection regulations, specifically for transferring Facebook users’ data to the US, thereby exposing them to US intelligence agencies. While the tech giant stated it would appeal the decision, its NASDAQ share price was unfazed as it climbed $2.68 to $248.32.
Meanwhile, major indices closed mixed on Monday, with investors awaiting a debt ceiling deal. The Nasdaq 100 advanced 46 points to 13,849, and the S&P 500 edged up less than one point to 4,192. The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged 140 points to 33,286.
EUR/USD increased 5 pips to 1.0813, and AUD/USD closed 6 pips higher at 0.6653. GBP/USD slipped 2 pips to 1.2437. USD/CAD remained at 1.3505 as the market closed, and USD/JPY rose 61 pips to 138.60.
Spot gold declined $6 to $1,971.84 an ounce, and WTI oil futures added $0.36 to $72.05 a barrel. Bitcoin and Ethereum just rose to $27,026.0 and $1,816.13 respectively.
Stocks fall as debt ceiling talks continueThe US government is yet to strike a deal with Congress to raise the debt ceiling. US stocks weakened with the Dow Jones Industrial Average plunging 109 points to 33,426. The Nasdaq 100 fell 31 points to 13,803.49, and the S&P 500 slipped 6 points to 4,191.
Meanwhile, the greenback also weakened against its peers. EUR/USD added 38 pips to 1.0808, and GBP/USD increased 30 pips to 1.2439. AUD/USD moved up 25 pips to 0.6647. The Canadian market is closed on Monday, while USD/CAD edged up 3 pips to 1.3505, and USD/JPY dropped 71 pips to 137.99.
Spot gold rose $20 to $1,977.80 an ounce, and WTI oil futures closed $0.17 lower at $71.69 a barrel. Bitcoin and Ethereum slid to $26,678.0 and $1,797.84 respectively.
XAUUSD xauusd we are know in price 1977, price is below march poc, below, market is moving below as DXY get strong, we are reaching major strong key level 1930 as long setup is all depend upon supply and demand we buy low as we sell high as economic data realis price break our key zones, watch for weekly openings follow your trading plan execute trade as reach your level execute the trade according to the plan.. happy trading.
Japan’s YoY core inflation rose to 3.4%After a short relief, the Japanese core CPI rebounded to 3.4% as expected. This has increased pressure on the Bank of Japan to introduce further tightening measures. USD/JPY climbed 102 pips to 138.7. On the other hand, US Initial Jobless Claims slowed to 242,000 in April, and USD/CAD gained 47 pips to 1.3502.
EUR/USD declined 70 pips to 1.0770, and GBP/USD fell 78 pips to 1.2409. Australia recorded a 4,300 drop in total employment in April, and AUD/USD slipped 38 pips to 0.6622.
US crude oil inventory jumped by 5 million barrels, and WTI oil futures declined $1.00 to $71.86 a barrel. Spot gold slid $24 to $1,957.58 an ounce. Bitcoin and Ethereum are trading lower at $26,836.0 and $1,798.61 respectively.
The Nasdaq 100 surged 245 points to 13,834, and the S&P 500 advanced 39 points to 4,198. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 115 points to 33,535.
XAUUSD More decline expected but prepare to buy on these levels.Gold / XAUUSD is declining, which is a technical pull back inside the long term Channel Up.
A 4hour Death Cross will be formed tomorrow and in the past 12 months it has been a bearish signal of sell continuation.
We expect the bottom to be either on the 1day MA100 (1930) or the lower dotted line (1910). In either case, over Support A as on February 28th.
Confirmed buy signal will be when you see Higher Lows on the 4hour MACD leading to 0.0.
Long term Target = 2080.
Previous chart:
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German economic sentiment drops for the first time in four monthIn May, Germany’s economic sentiment index fell to -10.7, much higher than Mitrade's estimates of -2. The poor reading reflected concerns about Europe’s economic health in general. EUR/USD slipped 11 pips to 1.0863, and GBP/USD declined 41 pips to 1.2487. AUD/USD fell 45 pips to 0.6655.
Meanwhile, US retail sales grew 0.4% in April, lower than expected growth of 0.7%. USD/CAD added 11 pips to 1.3478, and USD/JPY moved up 26 pips to 136.38.
Spot gold plunged $28 to $1,988.95 an ounce, and WTI oil futures slid $0.25 to $70.86 a barrel. Bitcoin and Ethereum are trading lower at $27,112.0 and $1,829.99 respectively.
The Nasdaq 100 rose 12 points to 13,426. The S&P 500 retreated 26 points to 4,109, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 336 points to 33,012.
XAUUSD: Will the 1D MA50 offer support?Gold came today the closest it's been to the 1D MA50 since March 13th when it crossed over it and initiated the Channel Up the price has been trading in for the past 2 months. Being at the bottom of this Channel Up, the 1D technicals are neutral (RSI = 46.769, MACD = 11.340, ADX = 29.957) and this indicates how strong of a long term buy opportunity this is. Until Gold closes 1D under the 1D MA50, we are bullish, targeting the R1 (TP = 2,080).
A closing under the 1D MA50, will turn us bearish, targeting the 1D MA100 and S2 (TP = 1,935). With the 1D RSI inside a Channel Down, it shows a hige bearish divergence in contrast to Gold's Channe Up and supports the bearish case.
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US still under talks to raise the debt ceilingInconclusive talks to raise the debt ceiling pose a default risk as the US approaches its borrowing limit. The greenback then weakened against its peers, EUR/USD added 17 pips to 1.0874, and GBP/USD climbed 80 pips to 1.2528.
AUD/USD advanced 54 pips to 0.6700, and Australia’s consumer sentiment plunged 7.9% - considerably worse than Mitrade's estimates of -1.7%. USD/CAD declined 81 pips to 1.3467, and USD/JPY rose 41 pips to 136.12.
Spot gold climbed $5 to $2,016.46 an ounce, and WTI oil futures rose $1.07 to $71.11 a barrel. Bitcoin and Ethereum slipped to $27,130.0 and $1,811.59 respectively.
The Nasdaq 100 gained 73 points to 13,413, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 47 points to 33,348. The S&P 500 rose 12 points to 4,136.
UK YoY GDP growth slows to 0.2%In April, the UK's year-on-year GDP growth declined to 0.2%, and the monthly Manufacturing Production readings exceeded Mitrade's estimates increasing by 0.7%. GBP/USD then dropped 60 pips to 1.2448.
EUR/USD retreated 60 pips to 1.0857, and AUD/USD slipped 55 pips to 0.6646. USD/CAD gained 60 pips to 1.3548, and USD/JPY surged 120 pips to 135.71.
Spot gold closed $5 lower at $2,010.88 an ounce, and WTI oil futures slid $0.80 to $70.04 a barrel. Bitcoin and Ethereum are trading lower at $27,158.0 and $1,819.21 respectively.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average moved down 8 points to 33,300. The S&P 500 fell 6 points to 4,124, and the Nasdaq 100 decreased 49 points to 13,340.
The Bank of England raises rates by 25 bps to 4.50%On Thursday night, the Bank of England raised the interest rate by 25 basis points to 4.50%, meeting Mitrade's estimates. Meanwhile, investors expect UK GDP readings in April to slow from 0.6% to 0.2%, and GBP/USD plunged 115 pips to 1.2509.
EUR/USD fell 66 pips to 1.0914, and AUD/USD declined 77 pips to 0.6701. USD/CAD surged 121 pips to 1.3491, and USD/JPY increased 20 pips to 134.54.
Spot gold dropped $15 to $2,015.09 an ounce, and WTI oil futures slipped $1.69 to $70.87 a barrel. Bitcoin and Ethereum slowed to $26,875.0 and $1,785.66 respectively.
The Nasdaq 100 closed 41 points higher at 13,389, but the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 221 points to 33,309, and the S&P 500 slid 7 points to 4,130.
US YoY inflation slows to 4.9%In April, the US year-on-year inflation rate slowed to 4.9%, slightly slower than Mitrade's estimates of 5.0%. Although rate hikes are still possible until meeting the inflation target, robust labor market data have eased investors’ concerns about a recession.
GBP/USD surged to 1.2673, before closing 6 pips higher at 1.2624. Later tonight, the Bank of England is expected to raise its interest rate by 25 basis points to 4.50%. EUR/USD added 20 pips to 1.0980, and AUD/USD increased 16 pips to 0.6778. USD/CAD slipped 7 pips to 1.3370, and USD/JPY fell 89 pips to 134.34.
US crude oil stockpiles added 2.95 million barrels, while the market anticipated a drop. WTI crude futures slid $0.90 to $72.56 a barrel. Spot gold declined $3 to $2,030.29 an ounce. Bitcoin and Ethereum fell to $27,577.0 and $1,831.31 respectively.
The Nasdaq 100 climbed 146 points to 13,347, and the S&P 500 advanced 18 points to 4,137. On the other hand, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 30 points to 33,531.
XAGUSD Follow the break outSilver/ XAGUSD is at the top of an 8 month Channel Up.
So far the top structure resembles the previous one of December-January, with the 1day RSI descending on both.
Sell if a 1day candle closes under the MA50. Target the MA200 at 22.700.
Buy if it closes over the dashed trend line (current high). Target the Fibonacci 2.0 extension at 27.700.
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SELL OPPORTUNITY ON GOLDThere is potential sell opportunity on Gold following the formation of a double top on the M30 time frame. A retest of yesterday's high with rejection is seen with bearish volume hence the projection for a sell.
Entry around 2022.75
Stop loss around 2031.30
Take profit around 2008.15 price levels.
Nonfarm Payrolls rebound surprised investorsUS Nonfarm Payrolls in April reached 253,000, significantly exceeding Mitrade's estimates of 180,000. Meanwhile, the US unemployment rate slipped to a 53-year-low of 3.4%, which continues to indicate resilience in the labor market under continuous rate hikes.
The USD/CAD pair plunged 164 pips to 1.3373, and USD/JPY rose 66 pips to 134.83. EUR/USD moved up 6 pips to 1.1017. GBP/USD gained 69 pips to 1.2641, and AUD/USD added 55 pips to 0.6748.
Spot gold declined $32 to $2,017.56 an ounce, and WTI oil futures climbed $3 to $71.34 a barrel. Bitcoin slipped to $28,795.0, and Ethereum advanced to $1,908.00.
The Nasdaq 100 closed 276 points higher at 13,259. The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged 546 points to 33,674, and the S&P 500 climbed 75 points to 4,136.
European Central Bank raises rates by 25 basis pointsAs expected, the European Central Bank raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%, and EUR/USD fell 48 pips to 1.1011. GBP/USD added 8 pips to 1.2572, and AUD/USD climbed 24 pips to 0.6693.
Later tonight, Mitrade estimates US Nonfarm Payrolls will drop to 180,000, which would indicate a cooling labor market. USD/CAD dropped 68 pips to 1.3537, and USD/JPY closed 41 pips lower at 134.17.
Spot gold gained $11.5 to $2050.2 an ounce, and WTI oil futures edged up $0.02 to $68.62 a barrel. Bitcoin advanced to $29,304.0, and Ethereum slipped to $1,898.78.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged 286 points to 33,127. The S&P 500 slipped 29 points to 4,061, and the Nasdaq 100 decreased 47 points to 12,982.