DNR - (ABCDE) Time to close the daily gapHello everyone, we have ABCDE pattern very clear on the chart and what we want to see in order for the pattern to be correct is a strong impulse wave to start from 0.2950 - 0.3000. Oil had somewhat recovered, SP500 and NASDAQ have also risen +2% and we are falling together with the other oil penny stocks, which I think is just the opposite that we should have seen. Countries around the world are lifting the quarantine, which should bring some positivity and make the prices go up of most stocks. As for why I think that DNR will rise fundamentally:
- DNR have hedge position on oil that expires at the end of the year.
- DNR has little short-term debt, so I do believe we will survive.
- DNR is volatile with a lot of volume. If we do see oil stocks rise, we will be in the top 5 biggest gainers.
- DNR made profits before the crisis, so this should give hope to investors in the long-run.
I wish you all good luck!
Company
LONG TERM Gold Trade Royalty CompanySandstorm Gold is a LONG TERM trade I have entered. Sandstorm Gold is on track to hit $100 Million dollars of annualized revenues in 2020 with more mines coming online. I am HODLING for the long haul. Of course with some loose stop losses once I am in some good profit. I think we can see 2x gains over the next year, unless the Gold price gets destroyed or their are major problems with their mines. This is a good one for my 401K and wanted to share before it breaks out.
USDCHF Trading the Parabolic Curve PatternHistory and Application
This parabolic curve pattern was first observed in the markets over 50 years ago and was misnamed a parabolic trend. Then, observing a parabolic curve pattern on the charts was a rarity. With increased market participation in forex, with the added propensity to have increased buying and selling pressure on a currency pair by an increased number of market players, it is now a much more frequently seen pattern. The parabolic curve pattern is used to define fast moving trend acceleration, as the steepness of the curve increases with time. These fast price rise is usually a sign of either panic buying or herd buying, driving prices to unsustainable levels before the inevitable rapid collapse. A characteristic of these trends is the rapid collapse when prices move to the right of the trend line that forms the parabola curve. This trend line thus has a defined end date. These trends occur in all types of stocks. These trends may also constitute an additional development in an existing trend.
Trading the Parabolic Curve Pattern
There are two approaches to trading the parabolic curve pattern. You may decide to use long trades at the areas where the base points meet the parabola and bounce off it, or you may decide to wait until the buying party is over, and sell as the price action shifts to the right of the curve. Usually, the second option produces more reliable and sustainable results than the first one.
a) Long Trades
A stock moves parabolic at the end of extreme uptrends, and this pattern is seen when panic buying sets in and prices are driven almost to a vertical point. During a parabolic uptrend, there is a near-complete absence of sellers, which creates a vacuum that permits nothing else but buying activity. As prices rise, more buyers flock in. Fear is conveniently left behind as more traders rush into the trend just to get a piece of the action regardless of price. Moves that occur in parabolic fashion can make the largest price moves in the shortest amount of time, but are very dangerous places to enter long positions when the party is about to come to an end. When an asset moves parabolic, it often marks the end of a move with prices not returning to the ultimate highs again for a long time.
We see this pattern in the chart shown earlier in this article where the NZDUSD went parabolic and gained in volume and price at the end of the run. What began as an uptrend quickly became panic buying, driving the currency pair vertically higher. This is the accelerated growth phase.
After which the asset breaks out from a long basing pattern, it will sometimes enter a rapid growth phase with a series of ever-steepening, rising trend lines. Often the acceleration of price appears as a parabolic curve on the price chart, and sometimes the final stages of the move will climax with a leg that is virtually straight up.
The emphasis of the long trades would be to:
Identify the base points as shown on the chart.
Locate the areas where the base points make a run to the parabolic curve.
Buy at those points with a very short stay in view.
Due to the extremely short term nature of the long trades occasioned by the increasing steepness of the parabolic curve, it is essential that the trader has a clearly defined exit strategy for such trades.
The base points are areas where there seems to be a lull in activity, which pushes prices almost sideways to the parabolic curve from where a renewed round of buying takes place. Usually the trade volumes at these buy areas rise very rapidly, and can be detected by the use of the volume indicator. These are the areas at which traders should setup their long trades, as can be seen on this chart below:
History and Application
This parabolic curve pattern was first observed in the markets over 50 years ago and was misnamed a parabolic trend. Then, observing a parabolic curve pattern on the charts was a rarity. With increased market participation in forex, with the added propensity to have increased buying and selling pressure on a currency pair by an increased number of market players, it is now a much more frequently seen pattern. The parabolic curve pattern is used to define fast moving trend acceleration, as the steepness of the curve increases with time. These fast price rise is usually a sign of either panic buying or herd buying, driving prices to unsustainable levels before the inevitable rapid collapse. A characteristic of these trends is the rapid collapse when prices move to the right of the trend line that forms the parabola curve. This trend line thus has a defined end date. These trends occur in all types of stocks. These trends may also constitute an additional development in an existing trend.
Trading the Parabolic Curve Pattern
There are two approaches to trading the parabolic curve pattern. You may decide to use long trades at the areas where the base points meet the parabola and bounce off it, or you may decide to wait until the buying party is over, and sell as the price action shifts to the right of the curve. Usually, the second option produces more reliable and sustainable results than the first one.
a) Long Trades
A stock moves parabolic at the end of extreme uptrends, and this pattern is seen when panic buying sets in and prices are driven almost to a vertical point. During a parabolic uptrend, there is a near-complete absence of sellers, which creates a vacuum that permits nothing else but buying activity. As prices rise, more buyers flock in. Fear is conveniently left behind as more traders rush into the trend just to get a piece of the action regardless of price. Moves that occur in parabolic fashion can make the largest price moves in the shortest amount of time, but are very dangerous places to enter long positions when the party is about to come to an end. When an asset moves parabolic, it often marks the end of a move with prices not returning to the ultimate highs again for a long time.
We see this pattern in the chart shown earlier in this article where the NZDUSD went parabolic and gained in volume and price at the end of the run. What began as an uptrend quickly became panic buying, driving the currency pair vertically higher. This is the accelerated growth phase.
After which the asset breaks out from a long basing pattern, it will sometimes enter a rapid growth phase with a series of ever-steepening, rising trend lines. Often the acceleration of price appears as a parabolic curve on the price chart, and sometimes the final stages of the move will climax with a leg that is virtually straight up.
The emphasis of the long trades would be to:
Identify the base points as shown on the chart.
Locate the areas where the base points make a run to the parabolic curve.
Buy at those points with a very short stay in view.
Due to the extremely short term nature of the long trades occasioned by the increasing steepness of the parabolic curve, it is essential that the trader has a clearly defined exit strategy for such trades.
The base points are areas where there seems to be a lull in activity, which pushes prices almost sideways to the parabolic curve from where a renewed round of buying takes place. Usually the trade volumes at these buy areas rise very rapidly, and can be detected by the use of the volume indicator. These are the areas at which traders should setup their long trades, as can be seen on this chart below:
b) Short Trades
This is the more assured and safer play of the two trade positions. Parabolic curves will almost always get to a point of price collapse. Sometimes there is a bit of topping followed by a controlled, but precipitous decline, but other times the straight up move reverses into a straight down move of equal or perhaps even greater magnitude. It may be the effect of gravity, but the collapse will almost always outweigh whatever short burst of upside moves that would have previously occurred.
Once the parabolic has broken down, prices will sometimes return to the level where the parabolic rise began. This is most common with movements that can be attributed more to hype than on actual substance based on genuine market fundamentals. Another possible outcome is that the currency pair could lose a substantial amount of its gain, then enter a period of high-level consolidation. This is what appears to be happening with our NZDUSD chart above, as you can notice the leveling out of the downside move.
Trading the price collapse should be really easy. All the trader needs to wait for, is for price to break through the already vertically inclined part of the parabolic curve, accompanied by a rise in volume. This almost always confirms that the upside party is over and the downside ready to begin. We have treated the issue of how to spot and confirm a breakout in so many places on this blog that it will receive a brief mention here. The price action candle simply has to close below the curve for the short trade to be confirmed.
Rules For Tracing The Parabolic Curve
This pattern is traded without reference to any other indicator. It is a standalone indicator. Once the price action has broken through the right of the trend line signal, this can be considered a good place to setup a short trade. To be genuinely counted as a parabolic curve, the trend line which forms the parabolic curve must hit at least 2 points. Preferably, this trend line should be allowed to touch 3 initial low points to form a valid trend line plot. Once the trend line has been plotted across three candlestick low points, the position of the curve does not change. In the real world of trading, it is more practical for the curve to start from a point of ‘best fit’, rather than necessarily starting at the commencement of the trend.
When the curve assumes a more vertical orientation, it sets the tone on which the next price bar will inevitably move to the right of the trend line, setting up the sell signal for the currency pair.
Advantages of Using the Parabolic Curve Pattern
What are the advantages of using the parabolic trend in trading forex?
It is suitable in capturing moves that evolve very fast, especially in situations where mass panic buying causes prices to rise very steeply.
It can be used to identify accelerating trends.
It gives very precise entry and exit points, depending on how the parabolic curve is traded.
It provides opportunities for buyers and sellers alike. Those who miss out on the opportunity to buy off the curve at the various base points, can simply wait to capitalize on the collapse of prices that follow the shift of price action to the right of the curve.
The parabolic curve can be most effectively used with price or derivative leverages.
Richemont Has More Downside to Come After Brief ReliefRichemont is one of the world’s leading luxury goods groups. The Group’s luxury goods interests encompass some of the most prestigious names in the industry, including Cartier, Van Cleef & Arpels, Piaget, Vacheron Constantin, Jaeger-LeCoultre, IWC, and Montblanc.
The history of growth in group sales was driven by a number of factors including geographic spread, the mix of sales by product type and by distribution channel. Sales growth has also been derived from the acquisition of new businesses which combine unique design with traditional skills.
Operating expenses increased by 14% for the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) listed company during the year amid adverse exchange rate effects, this had an obvious effect on Richemont’ s share price, compared to the 13% increase in purchases through Richemont’ s own boutiques. Shares recently fell 6.4 percent after it said sales growth slowed and management struck a cautious note. The sales numbers were hurt by moves to combat the grey market and efforts by the Chinese government to discourage consumers from spending overseas.
For the financial year ended 31 March 2018, Richemont reported sales of EUR 10 979 million, operating profit of EUR 1 844 million and profit for the year of EUR 1 221 million.
Let's look at the technicals.
Weekly: I am looking for a price move back down to the previous low and a bit beyond before looking to trade the reversal. The low could reach as far as 70 and perhaps even 65.
From that point I will be looking for signs of a reversal.
Daily: I am expecting a rally at some point soon. This will form a correction for further downside. I will look to trade the next wave to the downside when I see confirmation.
BYD Long Bias1. Price just got rejected on the weekly structure with a bearish engulfing.
2. We will be looking to see if it test the expanding triangle. more aggressive players might want to take it when it reaches the structure support with 47.6 .
3. Personally prefer it to close above the weekly structure.
Graphic Packaging Holding Company - $GPK - Quick Dip SwingWatching $GPK for significant increase after the $0.02 ER miss. I'm considering the dip qualified since it holds far below the 255 day linear regression 1x stddev bar.
Their Revenue was in-line and the miss on earnings was rather small. I'm looking for a push up to at least my Price Target of $14.80.
I purchased $15 6/15 calls on 5/14 and expect to sell at my PT.
I don't expect major catalysts / news from these guys, I'm just looking to swoop this dip with a little bit of leverage.
Express Scripts Holding Company (ESRX) Intrinsic ValueRetorno de Capital (Greenblatt): 428.34%
P/E (Greenblatt): 10
Margen de seguridad en base a descuento de flujo de Caja(Graham): 42.2%
About to dropPrice is right in the resistence trend line and rejecting 0.618 fib level.
We are expecting a drop to 1.22586
Second Cup Stocks 2014-PresentA visualization of Second Cup coffee shop chain stocks since 2014, when Alix Box took over as CEO. Part of business article on the company written by a Master of Journalism student.
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Boeing Company .: Wave analysisBuy the shares of the correction above the level of 154.77, with the target at 165.50.
The upward thrust within the third highest wave 3 is forming. Locally the fourth correction wave of the lower level (iv) is over and the fifth wave (v) is under development. If the assumption is correct, the price will grow to the level of 165.50. The 154.77 level is critical to this scenario.
Recommendation BUY
Point of entry 158.52
Take profits 165.50
Stop the loss of 156.00
Check out monthly chartCheck Monthly chart.
GILD is one of the fastest growing company, but had to drop their share price since Hillary want to drop Drug price.
She keep repeating since last year, but it will not really damage drug price. It will actually damage CVS or insurance companies. GILD rebate a lot of money to CVS and insurance companies.
Plus, Chart is very attractive and valuation is very good compare to other companies.
Buy at : 78~83
target price 1: 108
target price 2: 112
target price 3: 120+
pennies to thousands long term wireless playproduct of the future
good technicals
long term play
worldwide consumers
one of the few pure plays in this industry
website coming soon get our book
FB Stock Long term tradePrice action has worked pretty well in facebook stock for quite a while.
The price above the 200 MA indicates that price is in a bullish momentum ( attention: this is for the long term, so is the "momentum" word refered).
Target price is set at $110 area.
---DO: R/R: 1:2 or more.
---DO NOT: Risk More than 1 or 2 % of youre account balance.
---DO NOT : Jump in the trade without a proper research on the stock
PS: maybe entry point won't be $ 95, but we reccomand that area of price.
----------LUCK DOES NOT EXISTS IN THE MARKET.-----------
Support Holding Strong After 2nd Retest of BreakoutGG just triple bottomed on the $17 support level. A tight stop just under $17 makes this a low-risk, high-reward scenario.
