Ethereum Do or Die This CycleCRYPTOCAP:BTC has been outperforming CRYPTOCAP:ETH this entire cycle.
If Ethereum does not outperform Bitcoin by the end of it, consider it good as dead next cycle, akin to Cardano.
Clearly consumers have flocked to Solana for dApps, and Bitcoin is the store of value, which leaves very little room for Ethereum to carve out its own niche as they both continue to gain market share.
Comparison
(BRK.B) berkshire hathaway_newThe orange line is a same price % scale of BTC overlayed on top of BRK.B. The long term success of BRK.B is harder done than said. The volatility of Bitcoin is hellish compared to so many years of BRK.B succeeding including stock splits to keep the price down. If marginal shares were available to all people where a person could invest any amount of money they wished into the stock market perhaps more people would have become interested in stock trading before cryptocurrency succeeded. Cryptocurrency affords anyone to invest for any amount of money on any trade of cryptocurrency regardless of the price per share cost, unlike stock market. I know that marginal shares became a thing on Robinhood a couple years back. I am unaware of the progressive push by Robinhood and how their work influences other stock trading companies to improve their business model to appeal to a younger audience. Ironically, there is no way to put "BRK.B" into a tag. There is an understatement of percentage earned here as seen on the BRK.B chart because it doesn't account for all the stock splits over the years. One would have to create a modified chart to have a way to compare stocks that split versus cryptocurrency that does not, kind of like the, 'adjust for inflation' thing people always say and do.
Guide to Identifying Potential Profit Altcoins in 2024 Navigating the Altcoin Landscape in 2024
In the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrencies, identifying altcoins with the potential to deliver substantial profits is an art that demands a keen understanding of market dynamics. This comprehensive guide aims to equip you with the tools and insights needed to spot the most robust altcoins poised for success in 2024. Through detailed examples and comparisons, we'll delve into the nuances of strength, resilience, and upward potential.
INJ vs BTC - Riding the Trend Waves
1. Analyzing INJ's Resilience:
Explore the trading patterns of Injective Protocol (INJ) against Bitcoin (BTC).
Highlight instances where INJ, despite mirroring BTC's patterns, has displayed remarkable resilience by not breaching crucial support lines.
2. Drawing Conclusions:
Discuss the implications of INJ's refusal to break support lines.
Emphasize the importance of following the trend and INJ's potential for continued upward momentum.
MAV vs BTC - Decoding Bullish Structures
1. Unveiling MAV's Bullish Structures:
Examine the consistent creation of higher lows by Mav Protocol (MAV) against Bitcoin.
Contrast MAV's bullish structures with Bitcoin's struggles during various market movements.
2. Strategic Considerations:
Extract trading insights from MAV's persistent creation of higher lows.
Discuss the potential for MAV to outperform Bitcoin based on its bullish structure.
AVAX vs BTC - Capitalizing on Market Shakeouts
1. Assessing AVAX's Post-Shakeout Strength:
Analyze the aftermath of the recent market shakeout on Avalanche (AVAX) against Bitcoin.
Highlight AVAX's substantial rebound in contrast to Bitcoin's more modest recovery.
2. Implications for Trading:
Discuss the significance of AVAX's robust bounce after the shakeout.
Explore the potential for AVAX to outpace Bitcoin in subsequent market movements.
Conclusion: Forging Profitable Paths in 2024
As we conclude this exploration of potential altcoin powerhouses for 2024, remember that each comparison offers unique insights into the strength and potential of these digital assets. The ability to discern resilience, bullish structures, and post-shakeout strength positions you strategically in the cryptocurrency market. Stay vigilant, adapt your strategy as the market evolves, and use these insights to navigate the dynamic landscape of altcoin trading.
💡 Unveiling Altcoin Strength | 📈 Riding Trends | 🚀 Decoding Bullish Structures | 💪 Capitalizing on Market Shakeouts
💬 Engage in the discussion: Share your observations on altcoins displaying strength, inquire about nuanced trading strategies, and connect with a community dedicated to deciphering the potential winners in 2024. 🌐✨
USDPLN is time to UP?!USDPLN reached the long-term growth base plotted since 2011 - there was the first important minimum in the white growth tunnel. Interestingly, each subsequent minimum every few years is practically exactly 30 polish "groszy" (polish cents) higher. Would this indicate that what we see here is the place to start? :) For a long-term purchase of the dollar on this instrument? We reached the bottom edge of the tunnel. However, this is a bit tenous, because if EURUSD still has growth potential, it is rather impossible for the USDPLN instrument to stand still (consolidation) and the zloty not to strengthen further. Movements on USDPLN are always inversely proportional to movements on EURUSD in 95%. If you buy EURUSD, sell USDPLN. CPI in Poland is still falling every month - 6,5% in November this year. I wonder how much level 3.75 is possible to achieve currently on sale? Several zones of demand (tf 1 Month) are also important here on the way down, they can brake this move ...and other TL's. Also check Fibo levels. On oscillators in long terms the instrument is practically sold out. The idea is interesting and the place is worth paying attention to now all the time. Because if the zloty starts to depreciate, it will automatically start to lose against the Euro, the Swiss Franc and probably also against the British Pound, as is usually the case. However, currently the GBP and EUR have little room to fall against the zloty.
What Trading and Business Have in Common 📊💼Hello TradingView Family,
Lately, I've been contemplating the fascinating parallels between trading and running a business. 🤔 It's intriguing how both these worlds share common ground, and I wanted to share my thoughts with you.
📜 Trading Plan as the Blueprint: In the business of trading, a well-crafted trading plan serves as the blueprint for success. Just as a business plan outlines goals, strategies, and tactics, a trading plan details entry and exit points, risk tolerance, and overall market approach, providing a structured path to success.
🌐 Risk Management: Just as in business, where risks are inherent, traders need to manage risks effectively. Both environments demand a keen understanding of risk-reward ratios and the ability to make informed decisions to protect assets and investments.
🔄 Adaptability: Businesses must adapt to market changes and evolving customer needs, while traders navigate the dynamic landscape of financial markets. Flexibility and the ability to pivot are critical for success in both arenas.
🔍 Continuous Innovation: Businesses thrive on innovation to stay competitive, and traders constantly seek new strategies and tools to gain an edge in the market. The pursuit of improvement and staying ahead of the curve is a shared ethos.
📊 Performance Evaluation: Both traders and business leaders regularly assess their performance. Whether it's analyzing financial reports or evaluating trading strategies, the commitment to ongoing improvement is a common thread.
📉 Weathering Losses and Low Seasons: Every business faces downtimes, and traders experience losses. The ability to weather these storms, learn from setbacks, and maintain composure during low seasons is a shared challenge. Resilience and a long-term perspective are key to overcoming temporary setbacks.
🌱 Long-Term Sustainability: Just as businesses aim for long-term sustainability, traders seek lasting success in the market. Both require a focus on building a solid foundation, adapting to changes, and navigating challenges with resilience.
Reflecting on these similarities, it's clear that trading and business are two sides of the same coin, each requiring strategic thinking, adaptability, and a commitment to continuous improvement. What are your thoughts on this intriguing comparison?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Cross-Checking Gold’s Supertrend Adaptively on MTFAGreetings Esteemed Investors,
I've received numerous inquiries regarding my gold (XAU) long position. Some of you have even suggested that I might be mistaken and consider XAU to be bearish. While I cannot assess your individual trades, I can provide a more detailed explanation of my rationale.
Comparing Indicators
Top Chart: Supertrend
This chart displays XAUUSD daily candles. I prefer daily candles to analyze gold over a year or more, as this helps filter out noise and reduce false signals. Additionally, I've applied TradingView's built-in Supertrend indicator, which often proves profitable over long timeframes. Observe the 2023 yearly chart of XAUUSD; buying when the Supertrend was positive (green) and selling when it was negative (red) would have been profitable.
Bottom Chart: Advanced Dynamic Threshold RSI
The bottom chart also displays XAUUSD daily candles for 2023, but here, multiple timeframes are considered using the Advanced Dynamic Threshold RSI indicator. This indicator generates weighted buy and sell signals based on RSI analysis, dynamic threshold calculation, and optional Bollinger Bands. Note the different RSIs under the candles (blue, green, and orange). The selling signals appear as red triangles and the buy signals are green triangles.
Comparison: Supertrend vs Advanced Dynamic Threshold RSI
Timelines
In 2023's XAUUSD market, I observed that Supertrend tends to indicate bullish trends earlier than my RSI, while my RSI might indicate bearish trends sooner than Supertrend. The dotted lines on both charts show the timeline of the detected trend. The sooner the trend was detected, the earlier the timeline started. This difference in timelines highlights the potential trading advantage of using both indicators together.
Exclusive & Inclusive Cross-Checking Methods
Inclusive Cross-Checking Principle
My Advanced Dynamic Threshold RSI indicator uses an inclusive cross-checking method, where RSI signals from different timeframes must align for a signal to be displayed. This ensures that all RSI indications are in consensus. However, this method makes the indicator slower to react on bullish shifts.
Exclusive Cross-Checking Principle
I used two charts and two indicators to demonstrate the potential of exclusive cross-checking. In this method, a long signal (Buy sticker) is generated if at least one of the indicators shows bullishness. In this case, one exclusive buy signal is sufficient to display the sticker. This method allows for quicker action on bullish trends.
Selective Cross-Checking Principle
Selective cross-checking combines exclusive and inclusive methods. The key is to understand which indicators tend to predict certain developments sooner. In 2023, for XAUUSD, Supertrend was faster for bullish trends and my indicator was faster for bearish trends. So, I wrote rules like the RSI signals of multiple timeframes must align, but I don't require the agreement of Supertrend and MFT RSI to open a position.
Latest Position
I opened a long position on XAUUSD on November 12th. The original stop loss was $1925, and the potential target is $2072. However, I'm using trailing profit, so the risk-reward ratio has changed. I currently wouldn't open a long position, but I'll keep the existing long position until the trail profit activates or the RSI indicator generates a sell signal.
Disclaimer:
This is not investment advice. Conduct your own research. This publication explains only one aspect of my approach, not my comprehensive strategy. The idea focuses on observations around the price action; reading the indicator descriptions is recommended for understanding of the calculations.
Sincerely,
Ely
🔄 OP vs. TON: Similar Patterns🔄In the dynamic world of cryptocurrencies, every project charts its unique course. However, sometimes, two projects exhibit strikingly similar patterns. Such is the case with OP and TON, where their charts mirror each other within a large ascending triangle. Yet, beneath this surface similarity, the level of volatility introduces a fascinating twist.
Chart Patterns: Twins in Ascending Triangles
OP and TON, like twins in the crypto space, are both navigating a significant ascending triangle pattern. This pattern is indicative of bullish sentiment, showcasing an accumulation phase that often leads to upward breakouts.
Volatility Dynamics: Diverging Paths
While the charts may align, the volatility levels tell a diverging story. OP, with a 100% rise from its recent local low, demonstrates a steady climb. On the other hand, TON has surged by an impressive 200%, showcasing a higher level of volatility and potentially attracting more attention from traders.
Trading Strategy: Navigating the Twins' Paths
For traders, understanding and capitalizing on the nuanced differences in volatility is key. The steady rise of OP may be appealing for those seeking a more stable climb, while the higher volatility of TON could offer lucrative but riskier opportunities. Tailoring trading strategies to the unique characteristics of each asset is crucial.
Conclusion: A Duo in the Crypto Symphony
As OP and TON continue their journeys, the crypto community is presented with a unique duo. Their shared patterns create an interesting comparison point, while their individual volatility levels provide diversity in trading opportunities. Whether you're drawn to the steadiness of OP or enticed by the volatility of TON, the crypto symphony plays on.
🔄 OP vs. TON Analysis | 📈 Trading Twins | 💡 Investor Perspectives
❗See related ideas below❗
Have you ventured into the realms of OP and TON? Share your trading strategies in the comments! 💚📊💚
How To Find Strongest Altcoins : TutorialNavigating the world of cryptocurrencies can be like embarking on a treasure hunt, and today, we'll discuss the art of finding robust altcoins. AVAX and INJ serve as excellent examples of how to identify strong performers.
Comparing AVAX with Bitcoin:
When searching for strong altcoins, it's crucial to compare their performance against the market leader, Bitcoin. A compelling example is AVAX, which, during a specific period, saw a decline of 21% while Bitcoin surged by 108%. This discrepancy highlights AVAX's relative weakness during that time.
INJ's Remarkable Ascent:
On the other hand, INJ paints a different picture. When we compare its performance with Bitcoin, we witness an incredible 973% increase. INJ not only kept pace with Bitcoin but outpaced it significantly. This type of performance makes INJ a prime candidate for those seeking strong altcoins.
The Takeaway:
When hunting for strong altcoins, it's crucial to perform relative strength assessments against Bitcoin. While Bitcoin remains the benchmark, the altcoins that can surpass it or at least keep up with its pace are often the ones to watch.
Trading Strategy:
Comparison is Key: Continually compare altcoins with Bitcoin and monitor their relative strength over time.
Risk Management: Implement sound risk management practices, especially when dealing with the crypto market's volatility.
Stay Informed: Stay updated on the fundamentals and developments related to the altcoins you're considering.
Conclusion:
The cryptocurrency market is a dynamic landscape filled with opportunities, and identifying strong altcoins is a skill worth honing. The performance of altcoins concerning Bitcoin can provide valuable insights into their potential.
As you embark on your quest for strong altcoins, remember that the crypto world is ever-evolving. Stay informed, trade wisely, and may your search lead to success.
❗️Get my 3 crypto trading indicators for FREE! Link below🔑
SPX & BTC moving out in 2023?Hi,
Today I wanted to see if I could find a sort of path for both SP:SPX and BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
I added into the graph the US Recession indicator (it just shows on chart the US recession period and the high probability dots).
Obiously the SPX is going down as people expect we are heading into a recession (and we are). So these recent market moves are driven by expectations, but sincerely I don't see why we should rally and start a new bull run while in a recession period . So I think the price will be rejected from those levels (or maybe after a bull trap) and reach the rectangle, signalling a double bottom. After that a recovery may start (summer 2023). IF the dip is strong, we may reach a new low at $3200 (red path).
On the other hand, we have BITSTAMP:BTCUSD that may test the 24.5-25k area, being rejected and retest 19k-20.5k support zone forming a double bottom (summer 2023). IF the double bottom scenario is invalidated (lower 16K), then we may reach new lows (10K-12K) (red path).
NOTE: both red path are unlikely, but possible .
Historical Comparison of Vanguard Sector ETFsQuick comparison chart to see which performed better (or worse) during bull and bear markets.
It's not always a straight-forward answer, and more variables involved.
But... should give you an idea all things else equal regarding ticker choices and weights.
discretionary to staple spendimg has reached a zentithwe are at a point where the use of credit to purchase staples has outpaced the use of cash to purchase other goods. the expense of debt in discretionary goods has reached an inflection point with the expense of transaction in basic supplies. the chart is at a high. the sell signal is in. count on the cost of goods being relatively cheaper, and that being bad for sales. bearish for broader market.
USDT.D / BTC comparison 19/07Tether and stablecoins flowing into alts, BTC dominance leave space for ETH
the last bull run all started with prolonged BTC.D growth,
an altseason at that point could hurt some more BTC and prevent dubious coins to be purged,
but it can also reward bold and innovative project.
Not sure what to think of the recent PA,
lot of similarity with previous bear flag before the drop to 17600$
Predicting Tesla's Future Price - Comparing Historical PatternsToday we compare Tesla's current candle patterns to a prehistoric falling wedge candle pattern found on Bitcoin on July 15th, 2021. I'm a big fan of history repeating itself so I decided to take a deep dive on the similarities between both charts. They indeed look quite similar. I traced both candle patterns in white, and you can see that Bitcoin printed a falling wedge pattern. Tesla still seems to be printing it's wedge pattern which is slightly different. Inside Tesla's candle pattern formation, it has formed a diamond bottom pattern, a inverse head and shoulders, and a triangle wedge. The diamond bottom is a bullish trading pattern indicating a possible reversal of the current downtrend. The triangle wedge does not seem to be complete yet. I am hoping for it to be a falling wedge pattern just like Bitcoin's because that is bullish and we can see the price of Tesla go over $900 dollars, and attempt to get to $1000 by September. That is a 50% increase in value! :D If it becomes a rising wedge than that is bearish, and the price of Tesla can continue falling close to $500 dollar zone. I believe that we will see more bullish momentum in the stock market at least until September. Some stock's have been falling since last July, and most stocks started to fall last November in 2021. I find it hard to believe we will continue falling all year but if we do fall again it will be sometime in October or November in 2022. That being said, happy trading!
is elons strategy with twitter going according to plan?no. if you look at the YTD date range its clear that, while niether stock is doing well, especially since april when the announcement was made the TWTR poison pill tactic has worked. yes, this means that not only is musk not going to be able to survive a twtr takeover, but hes actually already paying for his mistake. i dont expect this to change.
Will history repeat itself? Interesting comparison from 08' & 22I was looking at the start of April 2008 through May 1st 2008, when I noticed similar price action from April 2022 through May 1st 2022.
On both charts, at the start of April to the 1st May the price fell an average of 16%. Since I know what happened in 2008, I used the fib retracement to see how much of retracement the NASDAQ would go and how long it would take. On the left chart, you'll see NDAQ retraced back to the .618 level on Wednesday, May 7th. then got rejected by the 200 day moving average. The following week the CPI report for April was released Wednesday, May 14th which caused a huge dump that lasted to the third week of May. That dump was a total of 19%. That is insane! So, I started to think maybe the same thing will happen this current May 2022. It is very possible that history will repeat itself. I decided to fib retracement April-May exactly how I retraced it in 2008. According to my calculation it should take 7 trading days in May 2022 to reach the .618 fib level. That is exactly where the 50 day moving average is at price $172. This is the same day the April 2022 CPI report will be released Wednesday, May 11th. If we retrace by then and then later the market dumps 19% like it did in May 2008. The dump will hit a current major support level at $140-145 zone! Well isn't that a coincidence? That price level $140-145 became the major support on Jan 2021. The same year that inflation started to take affect on our economy. Could it be possible that we crash this May as a symbol to end inflation?
Great Recession Fractal - This time is different?Greetings everyone. Check out my chart comparison of the period just prior to the stock market meltdown (on bottom) to where we are now here in 2022. Looks awfully similar to me. All kind of voices screaming don't fight the FED this decade plus long bull market.
Now with the FED raising interest rates leading to demand destruction with the intent of combating inflation; those same voices believe they are bluffing. Capital from Europe and Japan is flooding into the dollar, not crypto and equities.
If this plays out the DJI is likely enough to revisit the flu lows ($18K) of 1st QTR 2020 and BTC heading to $18-$20K on it's macro Wave 4.
Cash will be king during this short term deflationary period until they print more stimulus, which I predict will be close to the mid term US elections.
Fed total assets vs. TSLA (% change)November 2010 - November 2012
WALCL ~ +20%
TSLA ~ +100%
November 2012 - November 2015
WALCL ~ +60%
TSLA ~ +600%
November 2015 - November 2020
WALCL ~ +60%
TSLA ~ +600%
November 2020 -
WALCL ~ +24% (ATH)
TSLA ~ +240% (ATH)
...
Input 1
Assets: Total Assets: Total Assets (Less Eliminations from Consolidation): Wednesday Level
WALCL
Input 2
Tesla Motors, Inc
TSLA
Bitcoin OlympicsLook at the similarities between both wyckoff accumulations.
The only thing that scares me is that all of crypto twitter expects this. crypto twitter might not be the best indicator, but media is a part of how the fear & greed index is messured so i think it's worth mentioning.
What i mean is that, if everyone expects it to drop towards $40,5k one last time, there will be so much liquidity below that level. This might cause large institutions or the composite man to send bitcoin below 40k towards lower imbalances or orderblocks...
BITCOIN 2017 VS 2021 COMPARISONI DONT HAVE PRO ACCOUNT SO I CANT MAKE ANALYSIS FROM 2 CHARTS AT THE SAME TIME SO PLEASE LOOK INTO WHOLE CHART, IF YOU LOOK AT THE LEFT SIDE OF THE CHART YOU WILL SEE 2017 CHART WITH FIBO LEVELS
Hi everyone, this is very simple comparison where I used fibo extension levels for comparison between 2017 bullrun and now. The key leves are at 1.618 and 2.618.
THIS IS JUST MY OPINION, I am not saying we are goin to hit those numbers but I am pretty sure that we will see some upward movement based on fibo levels.
Sum up:
2017:
1.618 level: 11 870.93 USD
2.618 level: 18 613.72 USD
2021:
1.618 level: 105 687.50 USD
2.618 level: 168 558.21 USD
PS: Always remeber, wait for confirmation! Feel free to comment and share you opinion! I am still learning so your opinion is welcomed!
Happy trading to everyone!