What if we aren't where we think we are? PT 3Most people have seen the Alessio Rastani video on the B Wave. After making some adjustments to my 2 previous ideas on this comparison to 2017, along with everything he said in his video, and even though I noticed this 2 months earlier than he did.. lol.. to me, it's just more confluence in the idea. Seriously look at these 2 charts comparing the macd and stochs on the weekly view and tell me they are not very similar. The only difference is that the 2019 chart on the right is taking much longer to play out. I do like his idea though about the 21 weekly moving average as the test point. If we break lower than it, then this idea as well as the B wave should be seriously considered. If not, then we could be looking at an early bull market that probably won't last long.
Comparison
UNREAL BITCOIN in EVEN MORE Crazy Bull Run Than 2017! Must SEE!The D4-Army Will Continue to grow - We will be bigger for every day like Bitcoin! We are so far 27,000 followers, and D4rkEnergY Loves All of You! Didnt I promise you, that this YEAR is OUR Year? Trust D4rkEnergY and he WILL Make You Money - He will Show you the Way. He will tell YOU what to do - He is YOUR Commander.
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Even Bigger Parapolic Move Than 2017 - Here is The Evidence
1. Price Volume Trend Convergence
2. Bullish Volume Record
3. Global Bullish Market Sentiment (has decreased after the Binance Bomb, but more people will probably leave alts and go into BTC, which makes BTC EVEN Stronger.
4. The Bullish Momenum (Greed) keep increasing ( MACD Histogram)
5. BTC-Dominance Movement is similar with what happened before the bull run in 2017 before the Binance News
6. Our Elliott Waves match extremely good with this scenario, COMBINED with...
6a ...what we can expect the whales wish happens, and also how they will be able to take advantage of the situation.
6b ...the Psychology of the Market Cycle, and how we can expect that people will behave. Just one example could be, that when we reach just above 10,000 USD Main Stream Media will pick up on the story, and this will engage new players to come into the market again, and then will all the dumb Money Buy the 5th Waves as ALWAYS and the Whales who have accumulated since 3kish USD will Sell!
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Netflix ATH continuation idea based on mid 2017 Bitcoin fractalEven though being very sympathetic to the general idea of the worlds markets crash coming soon, i think one should not underestimate how; if we continue to have enormous increase in the supply of money and keep having rising prices; there is literally no reason for stocks to start falling. Just like gold, baseball cards, old computer games and records. Prices will keep rising. Money is made to be spent.
Everythings running on credit and big companies like Amazon, Google, Netflix, AMD are usually in very good positions to preserve status for at least quite a while. I suspect if major markets agree to move up Netflix will definitely follow the trend.
I think we will see higher stock prices soon, even if we have a little shakeout before that.
What do you think?
BTC 4 yr cycle 2014 2018 comparisonMany systems on this planet follow 4 year cycles.
Here is a comparison from 2014 and 2018 bitcoin price.
1D charts, roughly equal time scaling, from the peak on the left to the dip near the centre is a price difference of 500-550%
Indicators:
Volume Profile on the left
SMA, purple 50, pink 100, white 200
BullBearFilter Stochastic by CryptoRhythms
What can FB IPO teach you about LYFT IPOAnyone remember FB IPO? Just look at LYFT, both are classic pump and dump IPO's. So far they are like mirror images of each other and so could expect .
Before buying LYFT consider that FB only started basing after it finally started had a positive earnings report and a breakout above the 200sma.
Bitcoin: Comparison with 2015.. Are the bulls being trapped?Yesterday I made the case that presuming the end of the bear may be a bit premature. Comparing the weekly chart to the weekly chart of 2015 shows this as well.
I'm comparing this weeks candle to the candle of the 29th of June. Now here is where I'm being a bit premature, as this weeks candle is still young and bitcoin being bitcoin could close anywhere between 0 and infinity. But for arguments sake, let's assume that this candle will close above 4600. Keep in mind that if this is not the case, everything I say from won't really be true anymore.
The reason for comparing this weeks candle to that 2015 candle is that they are both the first candles to print a bullish level 2 signal (blue L2 on the chart). Comparing the candles, the current candle definitely looks more bullish, but also prints an exhaustion signal (red dot). This give me more reason to be cautious to the bullish side.
The bullish L2 signal in 2015 resulted in a minor pullback to just below the ribbon. The ribbon then remained neutral (grey), and turned bullish (blue) after the indicator printed a second bullish L2 signal. That was the start of the next bull market (to me at least..) in 2015.
I'm looking for something similar to happen this time: for the first bullish L2 signal to fail to turn the ribbon bullish and the market to pullback. To where? Well, I don't know. And nobody really does..
Will that pullback take us to new lows? Perhaps, and there are a number of cases to be made in its favour. The first and foremost is the amount of hope that the space still has. The catharsis this upmove caused is evident I think.. This does not mean we won't go higher, just that this hope (unfortunately) needs to be crushed before the bear is over. And this sets up for nasty bull traps..
Looking at 2015 you can see that trap laid out clearly, with a drop of about 33% after the first L2 signal printed.
If it goes lower, how low will it go? Again, I don't know. I won't bore you with the obvious levels, truth is, it can spike anywhere between 3000 and 500, perhaps even lower. It may be the final axe coming down, and how much force that axe needs to break the hope is unclear. The only clear thing, I do not fancy being on the receiving side of that blade. Waiting it out here seems to be the wisest option..
Will this time be different?
How many reasons can you think of why it will be different?
How bad do you want it to be different?
"Check yo'self, before you rek yo'self" a wise man once said...
Death cross on weekly chartThe death cross on weekly chart and a slight bearish divergence shows us s bigger probability of breaking on the downside and retesting lower resistance zones. Expect a retrace till rsi reaches the 30 levels, for a double bounce, just like in previous bear market. Bearsih short term but bullish mid term
Bitcoin vs. Silver -$5800 incoming- about to surprise everyone!If you like my work make sure to hit that like & follow button as it really motivates me! Comments are always appreciated.
Let's dive into it. I'm sure you have seen many Bitcoin/Gold comparisons before. But did you already see a comparison between Bitcoin and Silver? If not, here it is.
BTC/USD is a 4D chart & XAG/USD (Silver) a 4hr chart. We can clearly see that the market structure is quite similar, even RSI levels match. A never ending clean supprt broken, followed by an expansion down & consolidation afterwards, making a Higher-High and a Lower-High. Both trendlines are here to visualize a Low-HigherLow structure.
Seems quite similar, huh?
Guess what, BTC/USD is right at the exact RSI level as when XAG/USD (Silver) pumped towards it's clean support that turned into resistance after expanding down. As highlighted, we have an inverted hammer on both charts.
I'm not going to dive into the fundamental details too much but there are a few things that could influence this:
- CBOE-VanEck ETF countdown for a decision whether the physically-backed Bitcoin ETF get's approved, delayed or even denied restarted on 19th of February. A decision has to be made within 45-days.
- Bakkt platform confirms other partnerships beside Starbucks & Microsoft.
- NASDAQ BTC-Futures come out of nothing (the initial plan was to launch them in Q1 19')
Overall we still have a huge liquidity void between $4400 - $5800 that I expect us to clear out. No TA for that needed. This comparison should show that the odds for a BTC pump towards 5800-6200 are very good.
Not too technical today, just a pure market-structure comparison!
Stay tuned and don't forget to leave a like & follow if you like my work!
APHRIA correction plus - over bad acquisitionAphria acquired a bad asset and is reported to be a shell company now. Down to pre-2017 prices and shown here compared to Canapy Growth, Tilray, Cronos (Aphria trying to acquire) and Aurora.
Watching for high $2 entry. Like watching GE go below $7. Bottom feeding.
Bitcoin v GoldI've been fascinated that the price of Bitcoin was recently hovering at about 3 times the price of Gold (before the recent set back).
And now that Bitcoin seems at risk of dying, I'm wondering about its value in relation to its characteristics.
So I decided to compare Bitcoin against Gold. I generated the above based only on my knowledge.
I can't say that everything on this is 100% correct, or that my choice of words is lends to perfect accuracy.
Most of the parameters and qualities of each are broadly correct, and for sure there will be pockets of exceptions.
I'd be delighted to hear what others think about all this. Add any parameters I may have missed, in comments section.
For the avoidance of doubt, I have not drawn any conclusions on which one is better. No conclusions are implied. This is not an encouragement to buy or sell cryptocurrencies of any kind.
Italian FTSEMIB compared to US S&P500, Dax30 and UK's FTSE100Just a simple comparison for the italian index starting from its highest peak in 2000 with the US S&P500, Dax30 and FTSE100
BTCUSD - Bubble comparison and 2011 to present trendlinesA couple of things have bothered me looking at historical trends.
One is that the 2014 crash was much more chaotic. I've tried to display my interpretation of that here.
Also, the longest logarithmic graph is curved: bitcoin.zorinaq.com
This curve has not been perfectly circular and has been flattening out progressively, nonetheless this is an argument for a possibly more bearish scenario than possible here
2014 crash comparison (final stage) : the compression & entryFollowing on from the almighty 2014 crash comparison I made months ago and that went pretty crazy buzzy.. I think that after the patience, the possible entry point described back then is now potentially reached.
Regarding this, I just made a first BTC call today. I putted 5% of my capital here on a Buy&Hold trade which means there is no stop loss on this trade. Some ppl may have thought I was just riding the crypto wave to scam ppl and gather subscribers back then... well... here I am today proving you wrong. I just sold according to the plan until today where I make exactly what I told you months ago... making the actual bullish speculative entry !
Hope this idea will inspire some of you !
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users.
Kindly,
Phil
Top 30 coins comparison per usd and predictions based on Eth/BtcTop 30 coins comparing coin per usd and predictions based on Eth/Btc trend. It appears for the past 2 times when Eth/Btc ratio trend change to positive that the majority of the top 30 altcoins increase in value for about 4 weeks. Btc/Usd graph is a light blue area representing water. So if you bought and held Btc during the whole time you would be at the surface of the water. So you could compare whether or not you would have been better holding Btc or an altcoin depending if you were above or underwater.
Where we are now in the 2014/15 comparison So far, this bearmarket is remarkably similar to the 2014/15 one. So much so, that I often think: This can't be, this is too predictable.
Ok, sure, the exact behavior is different, spikes and dumps occur not exactly at the same times and the fractal looks a bit different. But the general behaviour is the same:
1. Slow grind down along an exponential falling resistance line (linear falling in log chart, the red line)
2. Unable to push through daily MA200 => dumps when failing to push through
3. Short pump spikes followed by long grinds down
This makes me think that we'll continue to see new lows like in 2014/15 until mid 2019, when the people will start talking about the good old halving again, which will
take place in mid 2020. Surely this will again generate hype, leading to a slow rise, leading to the start of the next bull cycle when the halving really kicks in, and good news will start taking effect,
like potential ETF, lightning network, positive regulations etc.
Short term short, longterm always long on BTC :)