Confluence
Short on Pullback | Strong Zone of ConfluenceFollowing the recent impulsive breakout of the ascending TL... we will be looking to enter shorts on a pullback to retest it in confluence to the 0.5 fib retracement, previous area of support (which is now key resistance), and the MA50 which has shifted its momentum to the bears.
Confluence Analysis on EUR/NZDWe have Four Areas of Supply but we only have Three Areas of good Confluence in the Chart. Buyers are defending the 1.7040 - 1.7060 area Strongly.
We have Equal Highs and Equal Lows being created on the Chart, so we expect to see a lot of Fakeout Patterns to be formed. Looking at the Market Structure, the Price is still ranging between 1.7060 and 1.7100
The Sell Areas are the Three Red Circles. The Circle at the Top of the Chart still has unfilled Sell Orders. Price will take a lot of time to reach that area, so it is a long-term play. For now, our focus is on the Three Red Circles at the bottom.
As usual, we enter the trades with proper risk management. Before you enter, also study the price action at our Confluence Areas for Confirmation!!
GBPUSD setting up for a big short...Price came down a bit, revealing the wick of that very same candle, then it filled that wick with the next bullish candle, closing in on the HTF TL. It is likely going to reject from this TL, which goes back to 2007.
This may take a week to develop, but it is something to watch!
CAD/JPY AnalysisThis pair was in a Bullish Expanding Channel last week due to the Pfizer Vaccine news which helped Oil prices to go up. The pair has now formed a "Falling Wedge" Pattern on the H4 Chart. The improvement in the Canadian Manufacturing sector and a gradual growth in Oil Prices is good reason to be Bullish on this pair.
Sellers have broken out of the Bullish Channel and are now moving the price in a New Bearish Expanding Channel on H1 Chart.
Sellers are still in control. We have a Confluence of Three Types of Support in the 78.85 - 79.15 area which indicates that we may have a lot of Buyers in this area. The Green Circle is our first Buy Area.
Looking at the Chart, we see a Drop Base Rally (DBR) at the 78 Area. This means there are Unfilled Buy Orders in the 78 price area. This area has been tested only once, so it is a fresh buying level.
As usual we enter with a tight stop loss to reduce our risk, in case the market reverses and changes direction. Don't forget to use good risk management too. Cheers!!
DAX with major confluenceThe market is currently at a strong area of resistance which closed with a shooting start candlestick formation and has tested the area multiple times in the past 24 hours which is a good indication that the market could possibly turn around. The MACD shows along with the ADX and DI show that the bullish trend has weakened coupled with it being on a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. These three tools create confluence, a good entry would be a break of the trend line and a retest of the 61,8 fib.