Dollar Yen looking a little bearish. Will see what open brings..I'm a relatively new trader here, so constructive criticism is always nice. I suppose you can consider me a swing/short term trader; nothing longer than a week so I look at hourly charts and sometimes day charts.
Based on previous chart data I have plotted my support lines that seem to be respected fairly well. Using those I then followed up with a little longer Fib sequence giving me a basic idea of where the candles where heading. Keep in mind, this is 100% technical analysts. I noted that it looked like the .236 level was going to be tested (Market closed before it could). Placing a few simple trend lines I believe in the close future the price will pinch off and take a dive considering since the beginning of the year this pair has kind of tanked...
After areas of confluence were noted, more or less, I placed a short position indicator. Something I am looking to take on Monday. We'll just see how he market is reacting Sunday afternoon.
That's pretty much it. Like I said, I am fairly new to the game so any constructive criticism is appreciated!
Confluence
AUDUSD +263 pips Open Trade EquityAfter informing my readers (the list is short but hey, you gotta start somewhere, right?) to watch the wicks on the 03.13 and 03.14 price action , that it looked to me to be Bullish exhaustion and so I went in with two short lots, the first at 0.78603 and another at 0.78531. Currently sitting on +260 pips in open trade equity. I'll be back shortly to update my targets.
Bands Lines Fibs and EMA's to 11800, then 9200BITFINEX:BTCUSD
Bollis on Daily chart are showing that we just bounced from the middle band, and seem to be heading to the upper band, which would match our highest close from January 28th.
This also is the place where 100% extension is located.
This also is the top of the ATH resitance.
C O N F L U E N C E
Last time we neared the top band, we got rejected, as to be expected in a downtrend. I'm feeling the same way about the upcoming touching of the band. We're getting rejected, and headed back to support, roughly at 9200.
Long Guppy EMA's are also turning horizontal, which can only mean we are almost done with this bear trend. The 3 EMA will be overextender by the time we:
1) Get to the top band
2) Reach 100% extension
3) Break the downwards trendline
This further gives higher probability of going down after reaching 11800.
Target is 11800 in less than 48 hours.
Stop loss is 12100.
Bids I'd place would be above 9200.
NZDCAD Short: Gartley Confluence, Fade CAD GDP WeaknessHey traders, I like a short here at the completed smaller Gartley pattern. There is confluence on the higher timeframe and the data was not as weak as the market would suggest. Looks more like a brief rally that will be followed by continued weakness. Cheers
NEO/BTC - 2/20/2018NEO/BTC has started an uptrend at the beginning of the year. After this bullish push, it has entered a period of consolidation where it created a pennant. This pennant has been forming for around 3-4 weeks now, this means that the pennant may not be as accurate, although, will still be able to be considered a symmetrical triangle. Shown on the chart is the breakout of the flag rather than the triangle. Due to the chart being in the daily timeframe, I have set it up as a more long-term outlook. That means that even if the magnitude of the breakout isn't caused by the flag, the final target level for the price at this time frame is still around the price of 0.02221 indicated by the 161.8% fib level. The level that the breakout is expected to start is also using the Leading span A of the cloud as support along with the support level of 0.011607, formed during the forming of the triangle. The price reached under this level in the form of long lower wicks, but never closed under this level more than once. The levels that the price is expected to reverse from in the case of a bearish break, are the leading span B, 50% fib retracement and the 0.00875. This confluence leads me to believe that the price will struggle when trying to reach lower lows past these levels.
Important Resistance Levels: 0.01481, 0.01382
Important Support Levels: 0.01161, 0.00875
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Written by:
Arham Bheda
Senior Research Analyst
BTCUSD Resistance Level - Fib ConfluenceBITFINEX:BTCUSD
The precision of the confluence between the two fib retracement levels struck me when I was plotting out resistance levels. On that basis I suggest keeping a close eye when price reaches 12,961. A break above would be very bullish but I think it is likely there will be some retracement from near the 12,961 level before the next wave up.
abcd Fibonacci Bear Pattern. Bear Fibonnacci with Tp at 1.27 reciprocal i wont be surprised if it broke down into the second tp which i did mark with a blue line, we can see that we are still in a bullish up trend however we did break our previous low which will put us in a short term bearish trend, i will except gold to fall im waiting for a reversal bear candle, i will finish this analysis when i get the confirmation
XRPUSD: Long to resistance at Fib and Gann Fan confluenceSo XRP is putting in a decent recovery from the Great Crypto Crash of Jan 2018. Based on having broken out of the downtrend marked by the channel, as well as seeing the drop since the ATH as a three wave correction with wave C completing at the 0.786 extension level (see linked idea, in comments) - we can have a level of confidence that we have exited the corrective phase and are in the early phases of a new bullish impulsive wave.
Our target for this trade is not to Hodl or shoot for the moon, I am hoping that enough people learnt the risks of that in this recent corrective phase. We are simply targeting a very precise looking Fibonacci confluence level which is also strengthened where it meets the Gann fan. I think there is a fairly strong case for this Gann fan overlay, looking at the price history.
Best of luck!
GBPJPY short opportunity at resistance level 153.250Look at all the fib confluence at the resistance level. We can look to enter short within this point in the market. Market just broke and closed above previous structure resistance which indicates a further move to the upside. Next level to look for is within that red zone at which we can look for a short entry. Stops would be placed above 153.400 even handle and we could shoot for targets back down into 152.800s
GBP/CHF : Quick Trade & High R/R Here is a nice entry on GBP/CHF .
Accumulation of :
- Bullish Structure
- Fib Confluance
- Trendline retest
- Standard deviation
- Oversold
- Support zone
-ABCD pattern
2018 Will be a great year for me and my followers , don't miss the train !
Put your stop in profit when the first target is hit
Good luck ! :)
BTCUSD - FUD and Panic!BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Time frame - 1D
CALM YO TITS GUYS! IT IS NOT YET THE END! :-)
First things first, it ALWAYS respects the 50 period moving average (yellow circles), so you can add that indicator to your charts.
The price bounced off the strong confluence of fibonacci levels .382 and .236. FIBONACCI WORKS GUYS! Especially when they have confluence like this.
Re-test of the .236 and .5 fib levels. If the price breaks through above that level, I'd say sky is the limit!
BUT if it fails to do so, we might see it go down 12k-11k level before bouncing back again.
The way I see it, the bears always lose the tug-of-war so we might see the rainbow again soon.
GOOD LUCK TRADERS! ;-)
USDJPY 4h Long- Trendline Bounce + Pivot Point Support + Low RSILooking at USDJPY on the 4h timeframe we can see a clear trendline bounce with 2 confirmation candles. Low RSI shows a clear oversold making the trendline hard to break. Adding to the support there is the pivot point just on the trendline. Targets towards the top trendline but being cautious of the MA zone that is on the P pivot point acting as resistance.
USDCAD BRILLIANT SHORT OPPORTUNITY!! USDCAD is definitely still on its way down still despite the news events of the interest rates. Brilliant sell opportunity . Its shot up due to that purely and had retraced right into the Holy grail of the .618 fib. This doesn't mean that it can't still reach the .786 fib but, in conjunction with the downward CTL, and the monthly resistance, of 1.28000 lining up perfectly with the .618, this pair is going to continue to melt!
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