AUDUSD 2618 / Bearish Bat We have had a 2618 happen which was my initial reason for entry. this also tied with a possible completion of a abcd pattern at previous highs which gives us the 1.618 fib extension at a monthly key level.
When I was looking at the Daily time frame we have had our impulse leg down, 50% fib and also a strong 618 retracement from the recent push upwards. All of this again gives further confluence with the 886 level right at the previous daily highs and Key level
Confluence
EURUSD Eyes Confluence of Resistance at 1.0800The EURUSD is about to close out another banner week. It would be the third in a row since the single currency found a bid at 1.0520. And thanks to a more dovish than expected Fed, the pair is trading at its highest level since February 6th.
But despite recent strength, the Euro has yet to make any real headway. The pair continues to trade in a range that has directed price action since December of last year, which brings us to the main (technical) event for next week.
The confluence of resistance in the 1.0800 region looks formidable. The trend line from the December 8th high comes in near 1.0790. And just above that is the 1.0825 handle, a level that dates all the way back to 1999.
The 1.0825 level is also the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement when measuring from the 2016 high at 1.1615 to the current 2017 low at 1.0340.
For these reasons, I’m not interested in buying the Euro while below 1.0825 on a daily closing basis. There is far too much resistance just above current prices to consider a long position.
For now, the jury is still out on whether the EURUSD has carved out a four-month inverse head and shoulders pattern. For that to become a probability rather than a possibility, I’ll need to see a daily close above the 1.0800/25 area.
Otherwise, any bearish price action from this area next week could set the stage for a short setup. Key support from current levels comes in at 1.0712 followed by 1.0635.
A Second Look At DNN: The Bullish Case (with short contingency)Hello, traders! A busy chart,but hopefully not too confusing. Yesterday, i posted a more or less bearish case against DNN. After taking a second look, i see bullish rsi and stoch. I see a fine example of an elliot wave 8 pattern with the final corrective wave c ending at the 1.618 of wave a. Also, you'll notice the fib retracement and extension together look like an excellent area for confluence and support. After a few days of consolidation, DNN could move upwards and make for nice cup and handle. Then again, only time will tell! do your homework!! Best, Matt
GBPNZD LONG Hey guys,
havent been around for a while and will not be as active as before but i thought to myself this would be a nice trade to share with you guys. Lot of fib confluences and a weak NZD lets us stand a greater chance that this pair will reach its pre-brexit low in a year. The orange lines are area's we might run in to problems at as well as the fibs. Entry will always be on a lower TF.
Trade with care and see you around,
GBP/JPY - MAJOR CONFLUENCE for a Short PositionAs shown by my recent trade setup (Linked to this idea), price broke out of a wedge and is now retesting the lower trendline. There is a key area of resistance that price has not broken yet (shown by the blue box), key fib retracement levels can also be found in the same zone, the lower trendline also falls within this resistance zone and finally there is a double top. With all of these falling in the same zone, it provides a very strong opportunity for a short. Stop loss can be placed above the blue resistance zone but room should be allowed for price to move around this area. The first take profit area is a key area of support - furthermore, the profit target is at the same zone as the double top targets. The second profit target is at 1.2764 area (where the next support level can be found)
will biol blow up? the road to 2.14 good fundamentals. hoping for reversal, to 2.14-2.2. solid entry, try 1.94/1.2 is 1.61 so around there is perfect for the correction up. best!
AUDUSD confluence3rd upper trendline touch
previous resistance
hourly spinning top/doji
perfect ABCD harmonic completion (.618 to 1.27)
1H & M15 overbought stoch rsi
entry order @ .76945
SL @ swing high (C-D leg)
TP1 @ .618 retrace of C-D (possible three drive)
TP2 @ swing low (B-C leg)
TP3 @ lower trend line/swing low (AB leg)
USDJPY BEAR VIBESConfluence:
Triple top on the 1HR Chart
Price has yet to create a new Lower Higher , it is trending up.
Price has struggled to break the 114.40 level wicking but not closing over that price.
2:1 Risk Reward
Trailing stops help to keep profits. 10 points = 1pip , 100 points= 10 pips.
Advanced Harmonic Setup Cypher AUDUSD has been ranging in between .76960 and .76000, also at the .786 retracement level which is currently right under our key supply zone. Daily support is @ .76813 and price has been consolidated there for many days now. With the halt in price at this level the harmonic pattern is looking that much more validated and the daily resistance along with the supply make this a very strong confluence area for price to possibly turn bearish.
Target for bearish move would be .75600 -.75175
USDCAD Observation. USDCAD Observation today i am recording a descending wedge. I am expecting this pair to exhaust selling power at the 1.29885 region. FIB Confluence approved the zones. Awaiting for the pair to sell out and exhaust, to potentially buy it up. I set an alert for when the pair breaks previous structure to the down side. Then ill set my by stop as price action goes that direction.
Fundamentals can alter the direction of this pair. There is CAD news releasing. Check the link below for the news article that my effect this pair. And other CAD pairs. Thanks GoodLuck!
GBPJPY - 4 hr ShortA few things iv'e been watching.
Over all I feel we could see a Bullish Bat Complete soon.
We have had a 618 retracement from the recent impulse leg down. The Fib inversion and extension add some confluence around the D completion area.
We are in a previous area of structure resistance which we have seen a drop from in the past as well.