Ready to long BTC?We have no confirmation for a trend reversal in high timeframe!
BUT, we do have 3 or more confluences at that miniGP level, which is more than enough to look for a long position, provided reversal indications with PA. dont blindly use high leverage, instead risk less than 5% on this trade. If looking for high leverage go to smaller timeframes and wait for levels to hit, use CCTR or MLB for reversal indication risk bare min..
Mindset to be in:
"If this works im in, if price flirts at that level i will ditch on high leverage entries"
Confluence
Confluence Test for this Week's CandleCOINBASE:BTCUSD
Right now, we are currently testing a $17,000 - $19,000 weekly candle support on $BTCUSD, while the 14 week RSI oscillator is oversold (<30). I'm hoping that by the close of the weekly candle, the RSI and candle for this week will either:
Ex1. Close above the $17-19K support zone AND above 30 RSI or,
Ex2. Close below the $17-19K Support zone AND below 30 RSI.
This will give us confluence in determining if we continue to go to lower in price (Ex 2.) or HOLD $17-19K as weekly support.( Ex 1.) If the RSI and price candle do not close both above OR both below their respective levels, it is still ambiguous if this $17-19K weekly level will act as support or transition to resistance.
I will be on the lookout for this coming Sunday night weekly candle close.
***DISCLAIMER: NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE***
Redemption I played this long into earnings in a post back then I had target over 100 (green boxes back around earnings), risk to 35 (red box where it has been trading post earnings). I noted I was hedging the ER and that worked out but I was completely wrong thinking the play was long.
Well now UPST shorts are in trouble with a close over 36 it should see explosive upside off the recently formed Navarro 200 harmonic to pt 1 55, pt2 69.. I'd expect continuation if it makes it makes it to pt2. We have seen what UPST is capable of when the ball gets rolling. The explosive upside from here will begin this week when RSI crosses above its moving average, RSI crosses have captured its performance since IPO better than any other indicator and on average UPST has a 64% upside move following RSI cross above. 64% here is approx. pt1 (this is also the 1.00 of the harmonic, pt 2 is the 1.618 and the gap fill.. so decent confluence pointing to these levels).
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Bullish Near term to 558-590Expectation is bullish until end of May, then bearish in June to complete corrective wave.
Some confluence here using Elliot Wave, Harmonic Patterns, and Gann:
Primary EWT count gives recent completion of corrective A, next stop B. The details of this primary count are below:
- Impulse began 9/24/2012 (not shown) at 31.17
- Wave 1 completed 3/12/2018 (not shown) at 234.88
- Wave 2 retraced 55% of wave 1 and completed 12/24/2018 (not shown) at 122.64
- Wave 3 was a 271% extension of wave 1 and completed 6/1/2021 (not shown) at 637.80
- Wave 4 retraced 25% of wave 3 and completed 10/18/2021 at 535.01
- Wave 5 was apprx = wave 1 (97%) and completed 1/3/2022 at ATH 731.85
- Wave A completed 4/25/2022 at 449.50
* Wave B will likely extend to 557.35 (0.382 of A), 590.68 (0.5 of A), or 624 (0.618 of A)
** Wave C will need an update given the realization of actual level for B, however, based on the confluence (provided below) it is likely wave C will complete around 416 (0.618 of A) coming off wave B at around 590
(Alt. ABC Count (not shown in chart) would indicate the ABC already completed at A = 466.06 on 3/14/2022, B = 574.79 on 3/28 2022, and C = 449.50 on 4/25/2022; however, the subdivision count for this alt wave C is not convincing and it is more likely that level is the A of the primary count)
Confluence (supporting primary count):
- Projected minor bearish harmonic to complete D at corrective wave B level
- Projected major bullish Cypher (half shown, begins X in October 2021) will complete D at corrective wave C level
- Descending Gann fan off the wave 5 (All time high) showing lessening capacity for price (change in price to downside) to keep up with time (i.e. 1/1 angle about to be penetrated in favor of testing the 2/1 resistance – which will suggest wave B occurring in the time frame of 5/13/2022 – early June 2022). The price would then likely drop to test the 1/1 angle by end of June 2022 to complete the C (if rejected at the 2/1, thus completing B)
- Ascending Gann fan off the wave A swing low indicating price is staying in the upper section of fan and keeping up with time to the upside (exceeding it actually, which is bullish near term)
- RSI showing bullish momentum to take the price to Wave B
Not financial advice, but if you are curious how I am playing this:
- May 20 505 calls, hedge with May 13 450 puts (3 calls: 1 put). Will take profits if RSI crosses bearish or if price reaches 550s
- May 27 535 calls to let ride to potential wave B target of 590
- IF the near term bullish scenario plays out and those calls print I’ll be watching for price to drop below 507 and look to enter July 450 puts to play the drop to projected wave C in the lower 400s
- Love this company, love how the LRCX calls and puts move. Ton of doe to be made leveraging these swings!!
Sincerely,
Severus Snape
Verizon is at the Bottom of Channel and the PCZ of a Bullish BatVerizon is certainly one to keep an eye on as it is at the Demand Zone of an Equidistant Channel that happens to be Confluent with a PCZ of a Bullish Bat Harmonic; I'v been watching and waiting a long time for it it for this Confluence Zone to be hit and now that it has i'v just bought 500 shares and am ready to take my chances here.
Dogecoin Long Price Target ConfluenceDoge on the 4 hour time frame,
I have identified multiple patterns,
(each one is indicated on the chart in different colors.)
These patterns have very similar price targets
Which makes me more confident in potential success of my trade set ups.
Indicators: 200 EMA (red) 50 EMA (green)
The 50 EMA is currently holding down the price, but a break above it should allow the price to hit the top of the ascending wedge (yellow) Which is inline with the 200 EMA (the next resistance)
The patters I found and their price targets are:
#1) Ascending wedge (Yellow)
- Price target: $0.1915
#2) Descending Triangle (Purple)
- Price target around $0.1960
#3) Descending Triangle (Pink)
- Price target: $0.2200
#4) Double Bottom (Red)
- Price target: $0.1890
The first trade could be taken once price breaks above the 50 EMA (green)
- Price target: at the top of the yellow wedge ($0.1540)
- And a stop loss trailing the bottom Support Line (Bottom Yellow line)
The Second Trade:
Enter Long If and When:
- The price is above 200 EMA
- And the Ascending wedge is broken out of (Turning $0.1540 into support)
Stop Loss:
- Under the Support zone: @ $0.1495
Take Profit:
- Between $0.1875 and $0.1960
The Third Trade:
Enter long:
- once $0.19 is broken and becomes support
Stop Loss:
- $0.1795
Take Profit:
- Between $0.2150 and $0.22
Not financial Advice
Please leave a comment if you have anything to add, I would like to hear your thoughts.
BTC long from $32k. Target $65k on the 16th of May, 2022.Major support at $31,918. Major confluence from W1 RSI(10), strong oversold at 30 RSI region.
Strong confluence from historical data on previous bull runs at major support + W1 RSI confirmation.
BTC fundamentals are strong, industry wide adoption of Crypto and DeFi.
I'm eyeing a 10x margin long to target 100% ROI and a 100x Perp. Futures trade on Binance.
DYOR. Trade at your own risk.
EURGBP can move lower? 🦐EURGBP on the 4h chart is trading within an ascending channel.
The price after the test of the historical string support provided a false breakout of the 0.8300 level and retraced to the upside.
With a test of the 0.8500 weekly resistance the market moved to the descending trendline of a weekly channel and is now moving lower.
How can i approach this scenario?
I will wait for the EU market open and if the price will break below 2 support areas i will check for a nice short order according to the Plancton's strategy rules.
–––––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
USOIL a turn at the 0.618 🦐🏆USOIL on the daily chart tested twice the support area at the 0.618 level.
The market after the last test created an impulse to the upside and the price is currently testing the descending trendline that start from the recent market highs, below a daily resistance.
How can we approach this scenario?
We will wait for the EU market open and check for a possible break of the confluence area.
In that case i will move on the 4h timeframe and check for a nice long order according to Plancton's strategy rules.
-––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
The Magic of Confluence -4 Major Trend Lines Leading BTC To $40KHello Traders,
This really goes to show how amazing technical analysis really is. The fact that over the past 4 months, 4 major trend lines have developed and converge at that exact point, which we are on track to hit is quite amazing. The confluence here is remarkable, all signs lead BTC to $40K. Now of course nothing is guaranteed in trading, but when you have such a strong signal as as this the probability of a move playing out greatly increases. It also shows the consistency of human emotion in trading.
On a side note...
I previously wrote how I entered a short and was planning on taking profits at the $40K level. Now I am thinking that there is a high probability that not only does BTC hit the $40K level (I will still take profits), but that a strong bounce will occur. More than likely I would enter a long position at this level due to the intersection of these 4 trend lines.
CTKUSDT wants to retest the supply zonethe price had a breakout from the daily dynamic resistance and static one on 1.2$ and hot the market is testing the 1.4$ daily resistance.
On the 4h timeframe, the price is creating an ascending channel and got the first rejection from the supply zone on 1.475$
How to approach?
If the price is going to have the breakout from the 1.4$ confluence zone, we could see a new retest of 1.5$. According to Plancton's strategy , we can set a nice order
–––––
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
–––––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Confluence of supportsIn the 30m chart, price is in a contracting triangle. Momentarily fell to a support and came back up. In the daily, price has broken from a channel and in the weekly, entering into another channel. I expect continuation to male a (d) wave in a contracting triangle of a Wave 4 on the weekly. The d-leg of a Wave 4 is counter trend and make an ABC form. Price is breaking a resistance at the weekly, confirmed by MACD. A pull back is expected in an ABC, if not now then at $53000 which will be supported by the current resistance.
The current support is at $44000.
R/R = 1.71
2% risk of a $30000 is 0.196 Bitcoin
The confirmation to enter comes from the hourly. in 1-hr chart there is pin bar.
Robinhood does not let me!
My account sum has jumped up, it shows only $25'000.00 available to invest, and it dies not let me use it with an error!
Daily:
Weekly:
Ok. Let's wait for the pullback!
How To Trade Divergence
Divergence simply means separation.. When two similar things things---get separated and start going different directions, you have to consider which direction to follow. That's exactly the concept of divergence. When trading, and you spot a divergence, you want to be sure to understand what they are trying to tell you. In this video, I explain the concept of divergences, how to trade them and what to do when you sight one. Be sure to like, follow and comment.
I want to see those div trades!
EURUSD can move higher? 🦐EURUSD on the 4h chart after yesterday's rejection by the confluence zone between the daily support and the ascending trendline started a new move to the upside.
There is still uncertainty in the market and any news can affect with higher volatility the price but, at this stage, the price is testing a minor resistance and possibly we can see a test of the higher weekly resistance.
I can notice how the 0.5 Fibonacci level is exactly at the daily support and also ho the price started a range between the 2 struvtures.
How can i approach this scenario?
I will wait for the break and close above the structure and in that case i will check if the price satisfy the Plancton's academy rules to set a nice long order.
––––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
• 🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
• 🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
• 🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
• 🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
• ⚫️ Black structure -> >4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.