Confluencetrading
NVDA: Bullish thesis with 40% upside potential (complete MTFA)!Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how NVDA is doing today! To me, NVDA is one of the stocks with the highest potential, if everything works out, of course. Let’s do a complete Multiple Time Frame Analysis (MTFA) on it today.
First, in the 1h chart, it finally broke the $ 168 area (black line), which was a support and resistance multiple times in the past. By breaking this line, and by leaving the 21 ema behind, NVDA triggers a short-term reversal, at least to the $ 182, which is the single most important key point on NVDA to me.
Let’s see the daily chart now:
The trend didn’t reverse here yet, but given how the 1h chart looks, it could reverse soon. First, we would need to break the 21 ema, and second and most important, the $ 182 area.
By breaking the $ 182, NVDA will trigger a Double Bottom chart pattern, a bullish reversal chart pattern in the daily chart. What’s more, the $ 182 was a support level in April. And it is working as a resistance for NVDA right now in May. The fact the polarity changed at this price level indicates that it is an important key point, indeed.
If NVDA triggers this pattern, it has an immediate target at $ 204, but I see NVDA filling the last two gaps in the long-term. Meaning, it could hit the $ 258 in the next few months – roughly 40% upside. This is why NVDA is one of the most promising stocks I see around. So far, NVDA always filled the gaps that appeared above the price (when it gaps down), so historically/statistically speaking, you could build a bullish thesis on this fact alone, with a high probability of success - however, only TA can help us with our timing.
In the weekly chart, this reaction is occurring at a very interesting support level, which is April 2021 top. This could confirm a bottom for NVDA in the long-term, which reinforces our bullish thesis.
This reaction on NVDA looks great, and we see a confluence on multiple time frames indicating a possible reversal. For now, let’s just pay attention to the $ 182 area, as this is the key point for us. I’ll keep you guys updated on this, so, remember to follow me to keep in touch with my future analyses!
* This is my personal view, based on technical analysis, price action, statistical analysis and historical data. Not investment advice.
15 minute observation. goldGold held its spot tightly today, although I see bullish trend to the upside in the HTF which is my bias. But on LTF everything was looking like good movement form bulls and bears for the start of the new week. The 5minute ran good within the 1hr today which is good for those of you who like to scalp. i trust gold for a lot of reasons but mostly for its fundamentals analysis.
CTKUSDT wants to retest the supply zonethe price had a breakout from the daily dynamic resistance and static one on 1.2$ and hot the market is testing the 1.4$ daily resistance.
On the 4h timeframe, the price is creating an ascending channel and got the first rejection from the supply zone on 1.475$
How to approach?
If the price is going to have the breakout from the 1.4$ confluence zone, we could see a new retest of 1.5$. According to Plancton's strategy , we can set a nice order
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Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
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Follow the Shrimp 🦐
GBPCHF SELL, then BUY!!GBPCHF seems to have formed a beautiful Gartley pattern on a 4 hour chart ! the pattern will soon be fulfilled as it reaches the 127.2 Fibonacci level of XA. after which i expect a pullback in the upward direction . For now , i expect a sell till 1.2177 followed by a bullish move to 1.2413 .
XAUUSD Price Action Breakdown UpdateThe sell idea from earlier got stopped out. There was news released regarding Ukraine and caused a bullish breakout. If price respects this level of support, it can continue to retest the highs from yesterday. Waiting for support to be formed to validate my trade idea.
330 pips bagged and I called the swing right here on tradingviewI made it clear when I sent out this signal that if you're taking this trade, that you should hold with a swing mindset and 330 pips later, boom 💥 !...
With a 20 pips stop loss from 1.11200, we bought and held till price hit 1.14500...the data is all here !.
Divergence at the end of a trend cannot fail you when you know how to trade it, especially when italigns with your other confluences and then the smart money concept of order blocks and break of market structure and the likes.
Go ahead and view my profile here, you will find out that 98% of my ideas here are all divergent trades !.
20+ pips bagged, more projected moves below.Price is likely to come all the way down to hit 1.34500/1.34400 then bullish all the way to the next psychological level @1.3550.
This projected move has a very high probability of occuring so watch out.
Don't buy just yet, our bearish move isn't quite complete yet because at the moment. price in H1 got stuck in the 200EMA and it's gathering volume to break that level hence the consolidation.
Hopefully Jolts Job openings provide the necessary volume we need to make this analysis happen.
We have another strong pattern that supports this analysis and as you can clearly see on the chart. It's our favourite pattern the inverse Head and Shoulders pattern. We're waiting for our Last shoulder to form before taking those buys💯.
Get ready to short GBPUSDHello everyone !.
This signal meets all shorting requirements except the "M" pattern that will definitely form once price hits the flipping zone which is also a confluence and price will therefore be touching the trendline for the third consecutive time.
The DXY has been bearish which has been taking the price of GBPUSD to previous highs and once the news for Jolts job openings Is out, DXY will bounce back to it's monthly high and send GBPUSD and subsequent XXXUSD pairs back down.
Once fundamentals come out and supports our analysis,please go all in using proper risk management but we have an incredibly bearish bias on GBPUSD.
Price should head back down to it's 1.34400 region before any more major move !.
Hold till price hits support in H1The daily support level is just below the current price level so you can either wait till price gets there or you can open your buy positions at this current price level, whichever you choose to do, it's still a win-win scenerio !.
Use proper risk management because at the moment, strong fundamentals support a buy so all we are waiting for now are the next actions price will take.
Use proper risk managementStop loss - @1.12530
Take profit - @1.1350
Entry - @1.9.9.1.x.x.x.1.3.0.4
This is a pretty straight forward trade but straightforward hasn't really been the strong suit of prices lately due to inflation but fundamentals support this trade so we'll see.
Reason for this trade
1. Strong fundamentals.
2. Strong confluences (trendline, H4 support).
3. The action price is currently taking in M15 is kind of a rejection of the trendline.
4. Inverse head and shoulders pattern forming, it's remaining the last shoulder which should take price to our target.
All I'm waiting for now is a "W" pattern and divergence in M15 and hopefully in H1 as well !.
I grab liquidities for a living lolololDivergence is no joke at all...I spotted divergence in M5 and I had sell positions stacked just above the 34600 level and I saw telegram message from a group that called buys, they went all in, I mean like all in and once there was enough volume in the market, price started selling and voila, it hit my target however little it was and for that group, I believe it hit their stop losses 🛑 and that was that !.
Learn to trade divergences, learn to spot it at overbought and oversold levels in any of your technical indicators, it will be very helpful when making trading decisions !.
Wait till it hits the strongest supportEURJPY is already oversold in M15 but that alone is not the only reason for this trade, there are 2 support levels below...one is a psychological level @129.393 and the other which is @129.444 is not too strong of a support but it might hold during NYSEsession but we shall definitely find out in a few minutes !.
I have buy limits set already, you can hop on after making your own analysis.
Why confluence works?Why candles wick the way it wicks?
why 95% of the market fails to make money trading crypto?
what I'm about to show you is really top secret analysis only top 5% or less knows.
That my friend is confluence, why do you think 16th jan made a wick at 43.7k ? you might say its market being volatile but it was very clear on 14th jan we had naked POC at that level, it was very juicy as we saw 4hr nPOC at that same level.
I get it this might not work 100% of the time but this confluence trading makes me think almost all indicators are lagging, only levels matter.
Check out exo charts for getting nPOC and other stuffs. You have to put in the hard work to find these levels.