Consolidation-breakout
GBPUSD possible Bear Trap 🐻🚫As price has finally breaks down Support&Resistance stated on chart above, I'm watching if this idea will be valid or not for this week.
Trading traps might be one of dangerous action to execute, as if its fail to be a bear trap, price might just go down as well and worst case scenario, price breaks lower to 1.14772.
If bear traps was a success, we might see price breaks through resistance. So long(buy) trade can be place.
As safe trade, better to trade with it's trend. have a safe trade. glhf!
S&P 500 is in an EXTREMELY CRITICAL STAGE!SPX has been consolidating between the 61.8% resistance level and the 50% support level. Many orders concentrate on these key Fibonacci Retracement levels pushing the price in the desired direction. In consequence, the price has been consolidating between the levels and the next breakout could be huge, determining the next direction of the overall trend.
As I have stated in my two previous posts, I have a strong belief that the downward trend will continue after this consolidation and that we could see new bottoms soon. If you want to know why I believe so, take a look at my previous posts.
In case you are interested in shorting the SPX, I have drawn a relatively safe entry point (1) to the graph. In case you short, I see it suitable to apply a stop-loss level (2), in case the upwards consolidation would still continue.
Long & Short SetupPrice is currently consolidating within a previous major support area, where we could consider opening longs assuming it closes above it. The next challenge we are faced with, is the current parallel channel which is more visible on the hourly time frame. I'm hoping to see the price break out of the channel and continue to the upside, retesting our long term descending trendline which ultimately corresponds well with our Fib 0.618 retracement area.
BTC Looks Very Bullish->Potential Moon Shot Launch Date 7/1/20What we thought was a bear market, may have just been a multi year slow grinding consolidation. I believe this rocket ship will launch on JULY 1ST 2020!
Not financial advice. Just my opinion. Always do your own research.
COINBASE:BTCGBP
LIKE / FOLLOW / SHARE
EN is going to Infinity and BeyondEN has been in a consolidation box since 2011, (when i started high school) it broke out of that box at the beginning of March and is currently retesting it, we have seen a failed attempt to re-enter the box(4/28 17:00- 4/30 13:00 UTC -4) which acts as a spring based off our wycoff principles. The aforementioned fakeout to the downside acts as the beginning of a potential bullish channel. The fib is currently rejecting the 61.8% zone off of the last bullish impulse. At the very least I would expect in to retest the top of our H4 consolidation. SL may be a little tight and I won't be trading with one.
INTC, bullish and bearish scenario INTC is currently consolidating and is trading in a range on bigger time frames. We do not have clear direction of the trend, and i would not advise to take a trade until we cross the significant level.
LONG : i would enter long at 62 level with 1/3 of my position, because we have to be prepared of a fake breakout.
( 80% of all breakouts fail, they usually retest and move higher later). I would wait to retest and bounce back. I would than add at 63, 2/3 and wait what will happen at 64, because there could be a resistance. If we successfuly break it i would add 3/3 of my position and ride it to the upside until i see CLEAR reversal.
SHORT : i would short at 56. Volume does not to be big, because on the downside we do not necessarily need it big.
i would enter with 1/3 of my position - same reason : fake breakouts. And i would add at every whole number and look closely what will happen at half dollars ( at half dollars we usually create psychological support and resistance levels too ).
At 54 we could create strong support level. Watch closely for reversals ( candlesticks, volume )
If we cross it i would add to my position and ride it till i see a clear reversal signal.
Stop loss should be always 50 cents if you are risk tolerant, if not you can have a 20 cent stop loss.
INTC has a great fundamentals, wall street rates it as a very good tehnical and fundamental company and has a lot of potential in the future. So it is good for investment too.
I DO NOT recommend taking any of my trades because of the risk. I AM NOT a financial advisor and i AM NOT a institutional trader. This analysis is purely for entertainment only and it represents an idea what could happen with the stocks future.
If you like idea please like and follow.
Any kind of support is appreciated.
Trader/Investors must understand this process.......!Kindly comment with " Yes " for agree and "No" for disagree with this post:
Before the break-out, I've informed that " Breakout will give truck of Money. ..!". Exactly, we seen this statement was TRUE, didn't it? (End of idea link is added about this idea)
Let's talk step by step was happened here.
The Width of congestion area was equal to height of the price surged.
From my personal experience and the survey/observation I'm talking about this is almost the same area as price congestion in size of width and height after the price break. Let's try to explain in another words:
Horizontal width of congestion size = Vertical price move after break-out. (Generally, i noted that price moved away so far after breakout whenever congestion area is much longer.)
--> Let's talk little more deeper about CONGESTION area:
In the congestion area, accumulation or distribution process process. We will talk about accumulation only because, this was happened here.
Accumulation : smart money, money makers, huge fund-management, landlord of global investors whatever you called them they grab/connecting instrument(stocks, currency,etc) from retail investors in very slow motion because, they can smell insider upcoming news. After the completing this accumulation, news clear and price start to go away from the breakout area.
later i will try to explain you more deeper about it practically. Yes, obviously we can smell the process accumulation/distribution.
GBPUSD HeadandShoulderDo your own analysis ...
Dont Forget Moving StopLoss At Breakeven
Disclaimer!
This post does not provide financial advice. It is for educational purposes only! You can use the information from the post to make your own trading plan for the market. You must do your own research and use it as the priority. Trading is risky, and it is not suitable for everyone. Only you can be responsible for your trading.
USD/JPY PROBABLE SET UPS HERE WE SEE HOW PRICE HAS BEEN CONSOLIDATION FOR ABOUT 8 DAYS NOW - MY BIAS IS BUYS AS HIGHER TF STRUCTURE GIVES US THIS INDICATION, A BREAK BELOW AS SEEN ON THE IMAGE MAY HAPPEN BEFORE BUYS START TO HAPPEN IF SOOO.. WE WILL SEE WHATS TO COME.. FOR NOW NOT TRADEABLE
COMMENT DOWN BELOW WHAT YOU THINK WILL HAPPEN IN THESE NEXT COMING DAYS.....
Simple Long Term Outlook At the moment price is seen to be consolidating within the outlined wedge, following the previous bullish build up. After the huge dump, we saw the price commence this retracement phase in which we still haven't found a proper resistance yet.
This brings me to my first point: looking at the daily, the confluent 7900/8000 level seems to be outlining perfectly with our long term fib level of 0.618. Perhaps we should take that into consideration before seeing another potential price dump.
I know the halving is around the corner and everybody is excited, but will Bitcoin really act as a hedge investment during these dark times we find ourselves in? Look how it previously played out when the Indexes dropped...simply correlated with their momentum. I'm not saying this is the end of Bitcoin, in fact I strongly believe 100k is achievable in the next few years, but this years halving might take its time to commence another bull run, especially due to the current fundamental circumstances we got going around.
It might be a bit too early to confirm anything here, it all depends how we see the price play out, assuming we reach our major resistance level at 7900.
Bulls are getting tired!!!Double top at strong 1640 resistance level (dotted red line).
High volume with no significant price change (circled in red). Prices stagnant over the last 24 hours.
Bearish divergence on RSI (solid blue line).
Consolidation triangle between solid black lines.
Price level testing the 50 exponential moving average (solid purple line) and looking to drop below.
Consolidation on volume based price (circled in red).
Thoughts?
Double MA ChannelsSimple strategy using 2 Simple Moving Averages channels, Momentum and ADX with Directional Movement
First Channel:
70, High
70, Low
70, Close
Second Channel:
144, High
144, Low
144, Close
Momentum: 34
ADX: 14, 20
To use this strategy please refer to link related to previous post.
The SMA 144 channel is used to determine the strength of a trend. Kind of like Bollinger Bands, the 144 will move farther or closer to the 70 depending on the strength of the trend. It's goo to tell you if you have incoming consolidation.
GBPJPY - Trend Continuation - EASY Trade SetupHi Traders!
As you can see the market is in a downtrend.
The market made a big bearish trending move.
It started around 145.000 and has fallen to the area of 124.000.
During this session the market respected the 20MA.
After that the retracement move started.
The market has risen until the resistance area at 134.000.
Now the market is consolidating in a tight range.
It is moving around the 20MA.
This is a good setup for many traders, because the more "tight" a market moves, the more "explosive" are the Breakouts.
That's why we recommend to take the trade during high momentum.
BONUS SETUP : There are also chances that the market makes a trend change.
If the market is going to do so, it'll have the break the consolidation area to the upside.
So, if the market has enough momentum we'll buy the breakout upwards ;)!
Thanks and good luck :)!