🇬🇧 GBPUSD 🇺🇸 - Waiting for distribution from consolidationGBPUSD may show further growth. There are several reasons for this, including the positive geopolitical and fundamental background for the Pound. NFP could be bad on the back of US jobless claims increasing, which could affect the employment rate.
Reasons for further gains:
1) Today will be NFP. Expect the data could be bad for $
2) Price breaks local resistance
3) Consolidation of price above PDH and above 1.2750
4) Bullish trend and strong consolidation
Consolidation
🇪🇺 EURUSD 🇺🇸 - Trend and structure change EURUSD may continue its decline amid economic instability. The dollar index is strengthening on market manipulation by the Fed. The regulator is not going to reduce the interest rate early.
The euro is declining against this background, showing some weakness.
Reasons for the decline:
1) Market structure is changing
2) The previously broken trend plays into the hands of bears
3) price does not update local maximums
4) The market is under pressure from above, on the background of growing dollar.
5) Retests of local lows
Usd still pretty much in that rangeHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Since USD is still in that range, just playing along with it using your mean reverting or swing trade strategies on USD majors such as EU or GU.. No trending move so far...it is what it is...just adapt :)
Do check out my stream video for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
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IOTXUSDT → The pair may rise to 0.065. Waiting for confirmation BINANCE:IOTXUSDT is showing bullish momentum amid a correcting cryptocurrency market along with the flagship. The price is trying to break trend resistance. What can come out of it?
On the high timeframe, the price forms a false breakout and a small correction relative to 0.04400. A retest is formed and the price returns to the resistance. On the background of pre-breakdown consolidation and another retest, the market has chances to break this line. Consolidation of the price above 0.04400 will show a bullish potential for purchases.
On H4 we see a local downtrend and the price going beyond the resistance, which is a good signal for the medium term. The next hurdle is to overcome 0.04400.
On H4, the price is trading above MA-50 and a retest of MA-200 is formed.
Support levels: MA50, 0.04110, 0.03900
Resistance levels: 0.0440, 0.04888
There is a signal for a possible growth of the cryptocurrency pair, but to confirm this signal the market needs to overcome 0.0440 and consolidate the price above this line.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Counter-trend correction and a target of 2050FOREXCOM:XAUUSD looks quite strong and on the background of growing dollar index does not give up its positions much. Consolidation in the range of 2069.8 - 2029.6 continues.
The dollar index feels overheated but still supported by the US FED & FOMC. Regulators are carefully trying to control the situation and stop any possibility of early interest rate cuts. As we can see, the dollar price is actively reacting to such comments. The index is squeezed between MA200 and MA50 and, in all likelihood, from the support may continue to rise in January-February to the trend resistance, which will have a corresponding effect on the forex market and gold.
Gold is trading within the descending price channel and on the background of unstable geopolitical situation, the price is trading calmly inside the range. The logical price reaction to a false break of trend support is a technical reversal is formed and we see a counter-trend correction to resistance. On D1 gold is forming a strong resistance zone formed by several highs ( 2150, 2085, 2070, 2063 ), on the global timeframe, technically and fundamentally the asset looks promising. The current geopolitical situation is affecting the gold price to the upside, but the market is correlated with the dollar index and as long as the latter is strengthening, gold will still react to it.
Gold may continue to rise at the beginning of the week for several reasons:
- the attacks on Yemen and the response to US vessels continued over the weekend
- dollar index closed Friday's session in the correction phase
- On the hourly timeframe, gold ended Friday's session with the end of the correction in the 2025 area. The price has consolidated above the psychologically and technically important level, respectively, it will favorably affect the price growth.
TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
Regards R. Linda!
AUDUSD → Change of mood and retest of a strong level FX:AUDUSD broke the uptrend earlier and is testing the strong historical level of 0.65800. Against the backdrop of a rising TVC:DXY , the Aussie could lose ground and head towards downside targets.
The dollar is strengthening and may show growth for the second week in a row thanks to the signs of stability of the American economy and cautious comments of central bankers' representatives on rate cuts, the index is seeing a clear recovery phase, which negatively affects the currency pair.
Technically, AUDUSD breaks the level of 0.65800 and tests it as resistance. There are 2 scenarios that can develop in relation to the level: the first one includes the continuation of the correction if the price breaks 0.65800 and consolidates above it. The target will be the resistance at 0.6666. And the second scenario is the bears' task to hold this level against the background of changing market sentiment. From 0.65800 a decline to 0.6523 is possible with the subsequent breakout and fall to 0.6352. Moving averages show a downward signal.
Resistance levels: 0.65800
Support levels: 0.6523
The trend is changing, bears are more serious, which may affect the pair's pricing. With greater probability I am waiting for the realization of the second scenario.
Regards R. Linda!
NZDUSD → Consolidation after support breakoutOANDA:NZDUSD continues to consolidate in a narrow range as uncertain sentiment is also seen in the dollar index amid a challenging fundamental environment.
The TVC:DXY has been consolidating below resistance for two and a half weeks, which in standard practice is a strong downside signal as resistance cannot be broken.
NZDUSD pair broke uptrend support earlier and consolidation is forming in the selling zone between 0.6250 and 0.6208. But, it is important for us to wait for the confirmation of the sell signal, which will be the breakout of 0.6208 and the subsequent consolidation of the price below the level, which will open for us the target in the form of support at 0.6086. Moving averages also indicate consolidation, which may be followed by a distribution phase.
Resistance levels: 0.6250, 0.6366
Support levels: 0.6208, 0.6180, 0.6086
There is a high probability that the currency pair on the background of the subsequent weakening of the dollar index can still break the support and head towards the target indicated by us.
Regards R. Linda!
🥇 GOLD → Capital inflows will strengthen the price Gold consolidates buyers due to global crisis linked to another armed conflict. The metal is increasingly attracting capital as a hedging asset in times of crisis.
I think the outlook for a few weeks is predetermined. We should expect a retest of 2150 in the near future.
Reasons for further increases:
1) Armed conflict on the world's main trade artery near Yemen will only drive gold prices higher
2) Upward trend of XAU
3) Consolidation is forming near resistance 2058 - this increases the chances of a breakout
4) A change of mood is evident in the market, the bulls are gaining strength
HelenP. I Gold can make one more movement up and then start fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. If we look at the chart, we can see how the price a few time ago rebounded from the support level, which coincided with the support zone and declined to 1930 points. After this, XAU in a short time backed up and even rose higher than the 1975 support level, thereby breaking this level and later starting to trades in consolidation. In this range, Gold first made a retest of the support level and then made a strong impulse up to the resistance zone, but when it reached this zone, it even rose higher than the top part of the consolidation, after which price in a short time declined back, making a fake breakout. Next, Gold fell to the support level back, after which at once rebounded and made an impulse up to the resistance zone, which coincided with the resistance level again. But a not long time ago, XAU started to decline and fell below, making fake breakout one more time. Also, recently, it turned around and started to rise, so possibly Gold will try to grow to a resistance level, after which the price can start to decline. Therefore I set my target at the 2010 level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Gold - Potential BreakoutHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Gold.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
With the beginning of 2013 Gold started to form a major higher timeframe rounding bottom formation. After the breakout in 2019 we then saw a bullrun followed by the current consolidation. Gold is now forming an ascending triangle which could lead to a massive breakout and I am waiting for a retest of the trendline mentioned in the analysis to add to my Gold longs.
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I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
Keep your long term vision.
BLUR Consolidating For Next Leg$BLUR
Price action is bullish remaining well above the 100ema and consolidating inside of the local range high/low.
Nothing wrong with this chart, even if we get some volatility over the coming days.
Failed reclaim of the range eq (red zone) for the 3rd time now. I like to see range eq's reclaimed as my version of 'confirmation' before taking an entry, so nothing different with BLUR.
More consolidating would be bullish imo, as we have already reclaimed a major level (green) which should set the base level for our next leg up.
Path on chart for what I anticipate.
Cheers,
Vatsik
XRP Long Term Bullish OutlookCRYPTO:XRPUSD long term is very bullish.
I measured that we will hit the target profit $27 around early to mid 2025 based on the previous 1 year pole. You can see the formation of rally-consolidation-rally with a bullish pennant consolidation. RSI is looking good too, i'm certain it will close with a crossing but you can wait until december closing to make sure.
Also outside of technical analysis, xrp or ripple is very good fundamentally and narratively. The narrative of CBDC will be major if the world government implement this globally, i think it will be implemented in 2024 or 2025. It's best to buy XRP now.
🥇 GOLD - The 2040 level plays an important role Gold does not update the minimum and maximum, forming consolidation, as the market is now undecided with the further direction. For the whole week, important news is published today, which the market is waiting for. Regarding the consolidation, we have 2 scenarios.
Because of the impending news, there are several scenarios:
1) 2040 resistance plays a key role
2) If the level is broken on the news, a price consolidation above the level will provide an entry point for a rise
3) But, if the news is bad for gold, a false breakdown could form
4) Local trend is bearish, global trend is bullish
🇬🇧 GBPAUD 🇦🇺 - Rising or falling? A breakthrough will determGBPAUD is forging a consolidation as market participants try to decide on the potential. The level of 1.9015 is an important zone for the participants. Overcoming the boundary of the consolidation range will form an entry point for price movement in one or another direction
Consolidation can lead to both ups and downs:
1) The market is testing a strong resistance level at 1.90150.
2) Consolidation is formed directly at the level of 1.90150.
3) Range boundaries are formed, the break of which will determine the further direction
4) Break of the support at 1.8939 - decline
5) Break of resistance 1.903 - growth
USDCAD → NFP may strengthen the currency pairFX:USDCAD is forming a local resistance level at 1.3364 and pre-breakdown consolidation before the news. There is a chance that price could consolidate.
On D1 we see the formation of a global sideways range. Hence, we are using a range trading strategy in the global perspective. A false break of support forms a signal that price is now heading upwards.
Yesterday, the TVC:DXY received fundamentally positive data that could strengthen the price, and also this data (Initial Jobless Claims, ADP NonFarm EC) is a prerequisite that today's Nonfarm Payrolls will also be bullish for the dollar.
In this case, the currency pair may break the nearest resistance at 1.3364 and continue its growth.
Support levels: 1.3315
Resistance levels: 1.3364, 1.3487
There is an empty space up to the target, therefore, if the nearest resistance is broken, the price will easily and quickly reach 1.3487
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → News ahead. The pound could fall, but...The pound sterling FX:GBPUSD declines in the first half to 1.2615, and on Wednesday the currency pair strengthens in anticipation of news in the US market. What should we prepare for?
Today we are in anticipation of strong news: ADP NonFarm EC, Initial Jobless Claims, SP PMI . Fundamentally, analysts expect the TVC:DXY to strengthen based on the expected data. This will have a corresponding effect on the forex market. The actual data can either meet or break these expectations. But, the Fed has recently said that they are fully prepared to raise interest rates, trying to keep the market in a tight grip.
Technically, the GBPUSD may head towards the support of the upside range of 1.2550 - 1.2506. A correction phase is forming after a false breakdown of the resistance. The area of interest is below 1.2615.
Until the news publication, until 13:15 - 14:45 the market may be in a neutral state.
Resistance levels: 1.2715, 1.2784
Support levels: 1.2615, 1.2506
Technically, the currency pair may fall after the price fixation below 1.2715. But, if the news comes out worse than expected, it may strengthen the pair and the currency pair may start to grow from this level.
Regards R. Linda!
DAX - those EMAs last intersected on November 6thHello Traders,
Following the New Year, the DAX has tempered its upward momentum. After the first significant correction in a long time, resulting in a 3.4% drop from the all-time high.
The price has fallen below the 32 EMA and the 82 EMA on the 4-hour time frame, leaving it sandwiched between the 200 SMA and the remaining pair of EMAs. The last time these two averages crossed was on November 6th, and today they intersect again for the first time since that period. Could this signal a weakening of the trend or even a reversal? Currently, I expect consolidation at these levels as the market seeks acceptance. However, in my opinion, the key will be the 16600 level. If it is positively accepted and the price bounces off from it upwards, I would anticipate a natural continuation of the upward trend.
Conversely, if the price breaks through this average at the 16600 level and is accepted from below, a reversal of the trend downwards is likely. In this scenario, I would consider short positions in the range of 15774 to 15352.
Very basic understanding of support and resistance areas (2 min)In trading, support and resistance are key concepts that help traders analyze price movements and make informed decisions. Here's a basic explanation:
Support:
Definition: Support is a price level at which a financial instrument (like a stock, currency pair, or commodity) tends to stop falling and may even bounce back up due to buyers.
Analogy: Think of support like a floor that prevents the price from falling further. It's a level where buyers are more inclined to enter the market, seeing the current price as attractive.
Resistance:
Definition: Resistance is a price level at which a financial instrument tends to stop rising and may face difficulty moving higher due to seller pressure.
Analogy: Picture resistance as a ceiling that prevents the price from going higher. It's a level where sellers may be more active, considering the current price as too high.
In summary, support and resistance are like psychological levels in the market where buying and selling interest tends to cluster. Traders use these levels to make decisions about when to enter or exit trades, set stop-loss orders, or identify potential trend reversals. When the price approaches support, traders may look for buying opportunities, while at resistance, they may consider selling or taking profits.
HelenP. I Bitcoin can break support level and fall to trend lineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Some days ago price declined to the trend line and then rebounded and in a short time rose to support 2, which coincided with the support zone. Soon, BTC broke this level and started to trades in consolidation, where it first rose to support 1, which coincided with the resistance zone, but at once rebounded back to support 1. Then price three time tried to rise, but only the third time, when BTC declined to the trend line, it rebounded and made a strong impulse up to 45850 points, thereby breaking support 1, and exited from consolidation. After this movement, the price made a correction to the 44650 - 45200 resistance zone, and not long time ago it rebounded from this zone. But now, BTC trades in this zone again, so I think that the price can fall to the support level and try to break it. If Bitcoin breaks this level, it will continue to decline, therefore I set my target at the 42550 level, which coincided with the trend line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Support held during sell offI like how the support held during the sell off last week. Start with a small position, it may take a few days to consolidate before going higher. Also it can pull back during consolidation.
SL below the right shoulder, wait for the weekly candle to close. Calls options are not expensive and always a good option with high volatility stocks like this one. But give it time, expiration 2 months from now.
EURUSD → Bulls can show good growth FOREXCOM:EURUSD is testing support in the upside plane. The support at 1.1017 plays a key role
On D1 we see the formation of a retest of 1.1000 level after its break. The market may test this area not only by touching it, but also by false breakout before further growth.
The TVC:DXY is likely to continue its weakening on the back of weak fundamental background, which will affect the forex market accordingly.
On H4 and H1 it is worth paying attention to the support area: 1.100 level and upward support in order to make further decisions.
Resistance levels: 1.108, 1.1142
Support levels: 1.107, 1.100, 1.0930
The price may test not only the nearest support, but also the one below. Everything depends on the price reaction to the mentioned levels. But at the moment we expect growth from 1.1017.
Regards R. Linda!