HAL: fake breakdown and a possible bullish move.Stock: Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd NSE:HAL
• Timeframe: 1-day candles (each candle represents one day of trading)
1. Consolidation Zone: A grey rectangular box highlights an area of "consolidation" starting from around May 14th. This means the stock price has been trading sideways within a relatively narrow range, not showing a clear uptrend or downtrend.
2. Fake Breakdown: An arrow points to a price dip below the lower boundary of the consolidation zone. The annotation calls this a "fake breakdown." This implies that the price temporarily moved below the support level, but then quickly bounced back up.
3. Potential Trade Setup: The chart suggests a potential long (buy) trade based on the fake breakdown and the subsequent recovery.
• Entry Point: Around 4,897.55 (labeled "ENTRY" on the chart) which is the price at which the stock could be bought.
• Stop Loss: Around 4,733.75 (likely intended to be the "4733.60")
This is the level below which the trader would exit the position to limit potential losses if the price moves against them.
• Targets: The chart identifies three potential profit targets:
* Target 1: 5,087.85
* Target 2: 5,305.15
* Target 3: 5,497.80
Consolidation
NZDUSD → Pre-breakout consolidation. One step away from a rallyFX:NZDUSD is consolidating, but the chart shows signs of readiness to shift to a distribution phase, which could lead to a rally.
Against the backdrop of a falling dollar, which is continuing its main trend, the NZD may break out of consolidation in a distribution pattern. Since the accumulation is quite large (taking into account the long squeeze), the trend may be strong.
A pre-breakout consolidation is forming relative to 0.6080, followed by the price breaking through the resistance of the global trading range. Consolidation above 0.6080 will confirm the breakdown of the structure, which could trigger distribution
Resistance levels: 0.6080, 0.612
Support levels: 0.6062, 0.604
The price may be supported by a bullish trend and a decline in the dollar. A breakout from the 4-month consolidation may be accompanied by a continuation of the uptrend until the intermediate high of 0.6355 is reached in the medium term.
Best regards, R. Linda!
SOLANA → BINANCE:SOLUSDT.P is consolidating after breaking through trend resistance. The market trigger is 148.0, and Bitcoin is provoking the market to recover...
The market is buying back all the losses. SOL breaks the local downward resistance and forms consolidation with a trigger of 148.0. The market has come to life following the rallying Bitcoin. If the general trend continues, SOL may break out of the accumulation zone and form a distribution towards 154.0
The latest retest of resistance is provoking a correction. Before rising, the price may test the zone of interest at 144 or the lower boundary of consolidation at 142.2. The ideal scenario would be a false breakdown of support at 142.2 before rising.
Resistance levels: 148.0, 154.2
Support levels: 142.2, 137.5
Fundamentally, the situation for the crypto market is improving. Technically, the market is also showing positive dynamics. SOL is consolidating after growth, which is generally a positive sign. Now we need to wait for the price to break out of consolidation and continue its growth. One of the signs of this is a rebound from the 0.5 range and a quick retest of resistance with a gradual squeeze towards the trigger.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BITCOIN → Pause for consolidation before growth. 115K?BINANCE:BTCUSDT focus on the structure on D1. The market is forming local resistance and consolidation after growth. The fundamental background is positive. BTC is following the SP500
The market is recovering in line with the stock market (SP500, NQ) after the de-escalation of the situation in the Middle East. The fall in the DXY is also providing support.
Technically, the focus is on the consolidation phase after the distribution triggered by a false breakout of 100K. The price stopped before the resistance at 108100 and rolled back to 106500, confirming the boundaries of the local trading range, the essence of which is a pause for a breather before a possible continuation of growth. The structure on D1 is compression towards resistance. The trigger is 108100, and a breakout of this level could trigger distribution towards 110500 and ATH.
Despite the fact that the market is under a cascade of resistance (resistance: 108100, 110400, 11900 (ATH)), an important nuance is that after strong growth, the price moved into accumulation in the 100K-110K range on D1-W1, and there are no reasons for a decline yet.
Resistance levels: 108100, 108900, 110400
Support levels: 106500, 104650
If the market structure within 106500 - 108100 remains unchanged and BTC continues to storm the consolidation resistance in the “compression to level” format and stick to the level, the chances of a breakout will increase. I do not rule out the possibility of a pullback to 106500, 105650 before a possible rise to ATH.
Best regards, R. Linda!
HelenP. I Bitcoin can drop from resistance levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. If we examine the chart, we can see that the price has approached a significant resistance zone between 108200 and 108800. This area previously acted as a ceiling for the price, and now coincides with the retest of the broken trend line from above. After a strong bullish push from the support zone near 103000, the price is currently consolidating just below resistance, which often signals hesitation and potential reversal pressure. Earlier, we observed a period of consolidation around the support zone, followed by a breakout that broke above the trend line. However, the current structure suggests that the breakout may have been temporary. With multiple signs of slowing momentum and price failing to break convincingly through the resistance, a bearish move from this level becomes increasingly likely. Given the context, I expect BTCUSD to reject this resistance and move downward toward the 103000 support level again. That is my current goal, as I anticipate the price to complete a corrective wave in line with the overall structure. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
EUR/JPY Analysis – Flag Breakout Signals Further UpsideHello Traders,
It's been a while. I trust you are good.
Kindly find below my analysis of EURJPY currency pair.
Overview:
EUR/JPY has been consolidating within a bullish flag pattern, characterized by lower highs and lower lows over the past few trading sessions. Price action has now broken above the flag’s resistance, indicating a possible continuation of the broader bullish trend.
Idea:
The breakout above the bullish flag suggests that bulls are regaining control. Price is currently hovering around 169.370, having just cleared the wedge’s resistance line.
Key levels to monitor:
1. Support Zone: Around 169.200–169.300
2. Resistance Level: 169.699
Trade setup:
Entry: On a successful breakout or break and retest of 169.200–169.300.
Stop Loss: Below 168.816 (beneath the flag's support and recent swing low).
Targets: TP1: 169.699, TP2: 170.000–170.200
Conclusion:
EUR/JPY has broken out of a bullish flag pattern, signaling momentum shift in favor of buyers. If price sustains above the breakout zone or clears 169.699 resistance, we may see an extended rally toward the 170.000 mark. Trade with caution.
Cheers and happy trading.
GOLD → Local bearish trend. Retest of support.FX:XAUUSD is technically looking a little weak. Support is being retested amid de-escalation of geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East. Interest in the metal is waning.
On Friday, gold remains under pressure ahead of data on the core PCE index, a key inflation indicator for the Fed. If inflation turns out to be higher than expected, this could strengthen expectations of a rate cut as early as July, supporting gold. The probability of a July cut is currently estimated at 21%, and 75% for September. Amid dollar volatility caused by rumors of a possible Fed chair replacement and trade negotiations with the EU and China, traders remain cautious, awaiting clarity on inflation and monetary policy
Technically, before falling, gold may form a correction to 3320 (liquidity capture).
Resistance levels: 3320, 3336, 3347
Support levels: 3293, 3271
If the fundamental background remains unchanged and gold continues to decline towards support at 3293 and break through this level, the breakout could lead to a fall to 3271. However, I do not rule out the possibility that after a sharp decline, a correction to 3320 could form before the fall.
Best regards, R. Linda!
USDCHF → Hunting for liquidity before the fallFX:USDCHF , against the backdrop of the falling dollar and the exit from consolidation, is forming another ‘bos’, which only confirms the market sentiment.
The fall of the dollar only increases pressure on the currency pair. The price has broken out of consolidation and is trading below the key level. USDCHF has broken through a fairly strong support level, which only confirms the bearish market structure. A correction is forming ahead of a possible decline (liquidity capture).
Resistance levels: 0.803, 0.8042
Support levels: 0.798, 0.79
Fundamentally and technically, the currency pair looks weak. The decline may continue after the liquidity capture phase and a retest of resistance. A false breakout of resistance will be a strong signal.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Within range. Retest resistance at 3347FX:XAUUSD continues to correct after a false breakdown of support at 3300. Due to uncertainty, the price may remain in the range of 3300-3340 for some time.
Gold is fluctuating amid a weak dollar and uncertainty over Fed rates. Gold is struggling to hold on after rebounding from weekly lows, despite the US dollar falling to multi-year lows. Pressure on the dollar has intensified due to Trump's criticism of the Fed and rumors of a possible replacement for Powell. However, gold is limited in its growth due to a pause in geopolitical tensions and hawkish signals from the Fed chair. Investors are awaiting key macro data from the US (e 12:30 GMT Durable goods orders, GDP, Initial Jobless Claims) and especially the PCE inflation report on Friday.
Technically, the focus is on key areas of interest: 3300, 3306, 3340, 3347. Until strong news emerges, an intraday trading strategy should be considered.
Resistance levels: 3347, 3357
Support levels: 3320, 3307, 3300
Technically, a false breakout of resistance at 3347 and a retest of the local liquidity zone at 3320-3307 are possible before growth continues for the reasons mentioned above. Targets could be 3347, 3364, 3372, and 3396.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GBPUSD → Pre-breakout consolidation. One step away from a rallyFX:GBPUSD is trading in consolidation. Against the backdrop of the falling dollar index, the currency pair is testing resistance at 1.3632 but is not yet ready to bounce down.
Against the backdrop of the dollar's decline due to fundamental reasons, the GBPUSD currency pair is strengthening. Technically, this could lead to the price breaking out of consolidation upwards. A pre-breakout base is forming relative to the upper boundary of consolidation. The price is compressing towards the level, volatility is decreasing, which in general could lead to a breakout of resistance - trigger 1.3632. The exit from consolidation may be accompanied by distribution. The liquidity zone with W1 can be considered as a target.
Resistance levels: 1.3632, 1.3743
Support levels: 1.3593, 1.3508
The global and local trends are bullish. After growth, consolidation is forming. Against the backdrop of the falling dollar, GBPUSD is testing resistance. The reaction to the false breakout of resistance is weak. The chances of a breakout are quite high.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Attempt to buy back the fall. Uncertainty factorFX:XAUUSD is falling within our expectations. After breaking through the trigger-level of 3340, the price fell to the liquidity zone of 3306. There is uncertainty in the market...
Gold is rising after a false break of support at 3300-3306, interrupting a three-day decline amid a weakening dollar and ongoing tensions in the Middle East. Investors are cautious due to the unstable truce between Iran and Israel, while the decline in USD/JPY after the Bank of Japan's statements and the rise in PPI in Japan are further supporting demand for gold. Powell's comments on the need for caution in monetary policy only temporarily strengthened the dollar. Now the market is focused on US housing data and the second day of Powell's speech
Technically, the price may consolidate at 3306-3347 for some time and only then show us (against the backdrop of the fundamental sentiment that has formed) which direction it will then take
Resistance levels: 3347, 3364, 3372
Support levels: 3319, 3307
The market is trying to buy back the decline. Tuesday's daily session closed with a long shadow, indicating interest in this price range. A pullback to 3320-3310 is possible before growth to 3340-3347.
Best regards, R. Linda!
SOONUSDT → The coin that gets killed...BINANCE:SOONUSDT.P is under pressure. The coin looks extremely weak against the backdrop of a bullish market, with key support ahead, separating traders from the panic zone and a sharp decline
This coin is being killed. The price is gradually consolidating and compressing before support - the trigger is 0.2332. Against the backdrop of the overall decline that the market has experienced after a slight impulse from 0.2332, shocks are forming with the aim of capturing liquidity (red check marks). This generally indicates that large players are gathering a bearish position. A breakout of the risk zone will trigger panic and distribution.
Against the backdrop of growth in Bitcoin and the top 10 cryptocurrencies (bull market), the SOON coin is gradually declining and contracting towards key support, which could be broken accompanied by strong sell-offs.
Resistance levels: 0.2478, 0.25777
Support levels: 0.2332
If the coin continues to contract towards the 0.2332 support and form a pre-breakdown consolidation, there will be little chance of survival. In the short and medium term, I expect prices to fall.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GBPAUD → Countertrend liquidity captureFX:GBPAUD is forming a countertrend correction within a global uptrend and testing the support level with W1-D1, forming a false breakdown...
Against the backdrop of the dollar's correction, GBP/XXX pairs are strengthening. On the weekly timeframe, GBPAUD is forming a retest of support at 1.067 (false breakdown) within an upward bullish trend.
Unable to continue falling, the price returns above 1.0673 and consolidates in the buying zone. A breakdown of the structure will confirm the bullish sentiment.
Support levels: 2.0673
Resistance levels: 2.0785, 2.0852
If the bulls manage to hold their ground above the 2.067 support level within the current structure, the currency pair will have a good chance of returning to the bullish trend.
Best regards, R. Linda!
EURAUD → Breakout and consolidation above key supportOANDA:EURAUD is trying to consolidate above the key support zone of 1.76 - 1.77. Within the uptrend, bulls have a fairly good chance.
The market continues to break of structure, confirming the bullish sentiment on the chart. A correction is forming from 1.7882. Before rising, the price may test support. The currency pair is supported by its own bullish trend and the falling dollar (especially against the backdrop of economic problems with the USD (DXY)).
Technically, the currency pair looks quite positive. After the formation of another ‘bos’, we are seeing a correction to the Fibonacci zone of 0.7 and support at 1.7696. If, during the retest, the bulls manage to hold their ground above the key support level, growth may continue in the medium term.
Support levels: 1.7696, 1.7629, 1.7463
Resistance levels: 1.7882, 1.7988
Locally, a reversal pattern is forming relative to the specified zone (as part of a correction). We need to wait for confirmation (price consolidation above the level). The potential within the bullish trend is quite large, and in the medium and long term, the price may test 1.85.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Declining interest. Retest of supportFX:XAUUSD experienced significant volatility toward the end of the US trading session. This was due to developments in the Middle East. The de-escalation of the situation is leading to a decline in interest in the metal.
The announced ceasefire between Iran and Israel has reduced demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, while falling oil prices have reduced its appeal as a hedge against inflation. Gold is supported by expectations of a Fed rate cut in July. The focus is on Fed Chair Powell's testimony before Congress and further developments in the Middle East.
Technically, the price confirms the local bearish structure. A continued assault on the 3340 support level could trigger a further decline.
Support levels: 3343-3340, 3320
Resistance levels: 3360, 3366
Focus on the trading range (consolidation) 3340 - 3400. De-escalation of the conflict in the Middle East may lead to a decline in interest in gold as a hedge asset, which may cause the price to break down of consolidation. If the retest of 3340 continues, the price will begin to contract before the level, in which case the chances of a breakdown and decline will only increase. The target will be the liquidity zone of 3320 - 3306
Best regards, R. Linda!
BALAJI AMINES PURE REVERSAL ON CHART.Balaji Amines Ltd. is a leading Indian chemical manufacturing company, primarily engaged in the production of methylamines, ethylamines, and their derivatives, along with specialty chemicals and pharma excipients. It holds a strong position in the aliphatic amines segment and is even the sole producer of certain specialty chemicals in India.
INVERSE HEAD & SHOULDER BREAKOUT AND CONSOLIDATION AT PULLBACKS SHOWS STRONG MOMENTUM FOR UPWARDS
A breakout above 1486 could trigger momentum toward 1524 and beyond towards 1775-1906
On the downside, keep an eye on support near 1330–1358.
ETHEREUM → Rally and liquidity capture. Up or down?BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P is strengthening following Bitcoin. This is a reaction to developments in the Middle East, namely Trump's comments on peace. But there are doubts...
The crypto market is reacting to the situation in the Middle East, namely Trump's statements about peace. But apart from him, no one else is talking about peace. No agreements have been reached, so the level of risk is quite high.
Another nuance hinting at the general mood in the market: 66% of the largest traders on Hyperliquid are currently shorting crypto — Cointelegraph
ETH, technically, has stopped in the trend resistance zone as part of a local rally in the Pacific session.
If there is not enough potential to break through the trend resistance and the price forms a false breakout of 2390, the local trend may continue
Resistance levels: 2433, 2475
Support levels: 2390, 2313
The inability to continue growth will confirm the fact of bearish pressure (market distrust of the bullish momentum). The past momentum, in hindsight, can be considered manipulation (liquidity capture). Consolidation below 2390 may trigger a decline.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Risk zone 3340. Sell-off after rallyFX:XAUUSD , after breaking out of its accumulation phase, rallied towards the 3400 zone of interest, but failed to reach liquidity and reversed, selling off its gains due to economic uncertainty.
In my opinion, the market is unexpectedly subdued and has reacted very weakly to geopolitical problems in the Middle East. The market has digested the news of US airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities and is awaiting PMI data from the US and the eurozone, Fed statements, US GDP and other macroeconomic data. The uncertainty factor has done its job... Participants fear further escalation of the conflict, but so far Iran has refrained from taking drastic steps, which has reduced demand for gold as a safe haven asset. Geopolitics and macro statistics remain in focus.
Technically, gold is trading above 3340 (in the buy zone). A retest of the liquidity zone is possible, and if buyers keep the market above 3340-3350, the price may continue to rise.
Support levels: 3347, 3342, 3320
Resistance levels: 3366, 3396
On D1, the key level is the 3340-3347 area. At the moment, we are seeing a sell-off and a move to retest support. Accordingly, a false breakdown and price holding above 3340, followed by a change in character and a breakdown of the bullish structure, will hint at growth. But if the reaction at 3340 is weak and the market continues to storm this support, then in this case, the metal could drop to 3300
Best regards, R. Linda!
ADAUSDT → Bear market. Support breakdownBINANCE:ADAUSDT.P is in the distribution phase after exiting consolidation. The coin continues to update local lows within a downtrend.
Technically, the cryptocurrency market is in stagnation/correction, as there is no bullish driver yet. Bitcoin is currently consolidating but continues to shoot local downward impulses, which generally has a negative impact on coins.
ADA is entering a distribution phase of accumulation formed in the range of 0.62 - 0.71. If the bears keep the price below 0.62-0.6, ADA may well test the intermediate bottom of 0.5364-0.51
Resistance levels: 0.61, 0.62
Support levels: 0.5993, 0.5364
Focus on 0.61 and the local level of 0.5993. Price consolidation below this zone could confirm the bearish nature of the market, which could lead to another decline.
Best regards, R. Linda!
EURCAD Bearish Setup | Trend Reversal Incoming?The EUR/CAD pair has been respecting a parallel ascending channel, with price recently touching the upper boundary and now showing signs of a potential sharp reversal.
🔹 Key Technical Observations:
Price broke out of a long consolidation zone (early June), followed by a strong bullish impulse.
Currently rejecting the upper boundary of the parallel channel, suggesting bullish exhaustion.
Bearish projection aims for a potential drop toward the 1.55400 support zone, aligning with channel midline or lower boundary.
📊 Trade Idea:
Watch for confirmation of rejection (bearish engulfing / break of minor support).
Short entries can be considered on break below intraday structure.
Target Zone: 1.55400
Invalidation: Clean break and close above 1.58500
⚠ Always manage risk and confirm with your trading strategy.
Cup of the Morning for DXYThe TVC:DXY seems to be forming a Cup and Handle Pattern on the 1Hr Chart!
Cup and Handle pattern is considered a strong Reversal Pattern where we should expect Bullishness for the USD.
After the 2nd or Equal High to the 1st was formed, Price made a Retracement to the 38.2% Fibonacci level and found Support to the begin forming the "Handle" or Consolidation Phase of the Pattern.
Price must Break and Close above the "Brim" or Equal Highs of the Cup @ 99.113 to Confirm the pattern!
Once confirmed, we can then look for price on DXY to rise up to the next level of Resistance in the 99.6 area!
BITCOIN → Possibility of retesting 100K. Buyer weakeningBINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is in consolidation after the rally stalled due to the exhaustion of the bullish driver. The price updates local lows and starts looking at 100K
Bitcoin is under pressure after the escalation of conflict in the middle east and after the FOMC speech. There is also another observation: large companies, politicians, funds and investors have long and aggressively motivate the crowd to buy, verbally confirming that they bought dozens and hundreds of bitcoins at a time for the balance, but bitcoin is standing still and updating lows. At the same time, various services such as "cryptorank" fix bullish sentiment at the lows. The market either lacks liquidity or something more unpredictable is happening (chart drawing????)
Technically, bitcoin is following the behavior of the SP500 quite strongly, which closes Friday's session quite weak and close to key support, which could trigger a continuation of the decline. Bitcoin won't stay on the sidelines and could also follow the index....
Resistance levels: 104K, 105K, 106K
Support levels: 102K, 100.6K, 97.5K
The price is coming out of the “symmetrical triangle” consolidation breaking the support, thus confirming the bearish mood. After a small correction after a false breakdown of 102500 the price may again return to storm (retest) the level under market pressure, which will only strengthen expectations of further decline. The target is liquidity 100600 - 100K. From 100K rebound and growth is possible.
Regards R. Linda!