Paychex (PAYX) Revenue miss... Is this the end?Hi guys! As always, im looking for macro trends/ signals and critical movements/ developments in the markets.
What caught my eye is PAYX.
Today it gets the focus as it had Q3 revenue miss and its down 6% pre-market.
With panic coming in, ill go over technical developments and the big picture.
Lets jump in. We are in the 1 week timeframe (note this weeks candle has not yet printed and can current develops can change throughout the week).
Currently, we are range bound between $100.00 and $133.00.
After the large bull run it had looking left. It is now in a period of accumulation/ consolidation in my opinion.
This pattern started December 2021. So its a long-term pattern. Which will take alot to break out of.
Breaking to upside would continue the bull run to new all-time highs.
Getting there though, will take time. And we must break other obstacles first.
First thing to break is the Short-term resistance trendline.
2nd thing to break is the upsloping channel highlighted, which is a intermediate trend.
If we get rejected from any of these obstacles, we can also continue down to test the lower border of the range.
Our first test of support would be the lower border of the sloping channel.
We must also watch VOLUME -> increase in volume would help us with breaking this obstacles and eventually getting us to the top of the range and an eventual breakout.
Watch also the 2 indicators i put up.
MACD -> We need a bullish cross with the lines moving ABOVE black horizontal trendline to form a higher high. This would help the case of breaking trends, moving above the consolidation range and to new highs.
If we get a bearish cross we can retest the support line of the ascending channel and lower range of the consolidation zone.
RSI - A HIgher high print is needed to continue upward and eventually out of the consolidation range. Notice however the resistance ABOVE us, depicted by the trendlines.
A bearish case is printing a Lower low, doing so may bring us down to the black support trendline. Depending on how low the RSI goes, will determine how far down we go as well.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
Stay tuned for more updates on PAYX in the near future.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
Consolidationzone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 4/2/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2024
- PR High: 18498.75
- PR Low: 18472.25
- NZ Spread: 59.5
Key economic calendar event
10:00 | JOLTs Job Openings
Prev session closed virtual flat, wide range
- Maintaining 2 week range
Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM)
- Weekend Gap: +0.21% (filled)
- Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 220.56
- Volume: 18K
- Open Int: 259K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -1.2% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 18675
- Mid: 18106
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Island Gaps and Hidden Accumulation: SONONASDAQ:SONO has a lot of Island gaps and another just in the past few months.
The compression of price into a sideways trend is a good pattern.
Also, the black candle that drops below the consolidation and the white candle the next day is a pattern to pay attention to. This means there is some hidden accumulation from Dark Pools at this new higher level of price. Institutional holdings is strong at 85%.
Doge Killer BUllish OutlookBITMART:LEASHUSDT is done consolidating, it seems. Breakout with a very high volume and a long wick to rediscover.
Leash is ready to 14x from here.
TP1: 1,292
TP2: 3,608
TP3: 10,000
SL: 500
Keep An Eye - COLPAL📊 Script: COLPAL
📊 Sector: FMCG
📊 Industry: Personal Care - Multinational
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 Script is trading at upper band of BB.
📈 MACD is giving crossover .
📈 Double Moving Averages is giving crossover.
📈 Stock is under Consolidation Zone highlighted into chart breakout is above 2624 level.
📈 Right now RSI is around 60.
📈 One can go for Swing Trade only above 2624.
BUY ONLY ABOVE 2624
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 2606
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
SAVMUSDT: Consolidation Breakout on the Horizon?The SAVMUSDT chart is currently exhibiting signs of a potential bullish breakout. While the price is currently within a consolidation zone, several technical indicators suggest an upward move might be imminent.
Key factors to consider:
Pivot Points: Both the weekly and daily pivot points are situated below the current price, indicating potential buying pressure.
RSI: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also supportive of a bullish move, suggesting that the asset is not yet overbought.
Daily Resistance: A decisive close above the daily resistance level could be a strong confirmation of a bullish trend.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
GBPUSD - Price going forwardWith a more Fundamental approach that was revealed recently, this is my own personal forecast going forward with this pair.
- Cutting NI tax
- Consumer prices slowly coming back down
- Energy costs coming down
We won't feel this impact for a while, over a few months or so when we see it in our Ingoings/Outgoings and have a bit more freedom to buy on luxuries.
I think we will see a new range of consolidation until later news reports reveal the growth of the GBP but before that point, I feel some market manipulation will occur so the Big Players can buy GBP at a much cheaper cost.
*The path drawn isn't to scale, the path is more for the bigger picture of things that we would see on the 4h or Daily TF*
consolidating 4//2/24still consolidating... Defensive industries are the sole Winners such as Pharmaceuticals, Real State development, and/or food.
Losers are USD hedge , High Net Debt absolute vlaue, and/or High YoY debt growth companies.
Basically its a defensive bullish market with strong Fixed Asset in Balance Sheet .
Bitcoin Is On Track With Last CycleDoing some cycle analysis today and looking at the bigger trends. One thing I have been noticing is the correlation that Bitcoin has with last cycle's action. To me, Bitcoin is on track with last cycle, sometimes you just have to zoom out to see it.
Too many times in crypto, people focus too heavily on the lower term time frames, trying to catch profit swings, or looking for the next memecoin to bounce, that we forget to zoom out and see the bigger picture.
Today, I had to do just that to get a better perspective of where we are in the markets before I get to trading this week. There has been a ton of activity and 'sell the news' action after the Bitcoin ETF, which I actually sat out trading, but observed the price action. It actually went the way I thought it would. Pump before the news, dump after. We will see it rise in the longer term simply due to the fact that Wall Street is now a major player, but for now, we have to wait it out and see.
What I am seeing when I zoom out to the weekly time frame, is that Bitcoin's price action resembles last cycle in very eerie ways. They say history doesn't repeat, but it rhymes, well, this is certainly true for this cycle. If you look at the chart you will see the similarities. We are in that same after bottom pump that we had in 2018-2019 where the price rose up after the market bottom and then settled back down through the block reward halving event before we went to this recent cycle highs.
I am not seeing much different, and especially after the way the price has risen over the last few months without a significant pull back, me may be seeing that form at this time. I thought is that we see a potential decline back to 36K-38K because that is the closes major level of support where Bitcoin found some consolidation for a while. This creates a shelf for it to revisit. But it's not a bad thing if you want to stack some cheap sats. Just saying. We might be ranging for the next few months until the block rewards are cut in half, then through the summer into the fall, we may need to be watching for some fireworks! Until then, it's going to be some ranging so I am going to be looking to take some short range swings and accumulate for the bigger cycle push!
Just got to sit back, be patient, and trade logically! Just my dudely advice, haha.
LINK in consolidation with bullish potentialCRYPTOCAP:LINK is consolidating in a bullish flag. I'm looking for a $17 entry mark, testing support and heading up to next resistance area.
If support broken, then I'm entering at the $5 lows for a long position with major potential for big gains in the future.
📊⤴️⤴️ EURUSD VIP BULLISH MOMENTUM LONG TRADE)⤴️⤴️📊Hello trader’s what do you think about eurusd)?
dear traders I think 4H trand line this week Cpi news soo I think eurusd fullback resistance levels my Postens open 01.09000
Long trade) bullish momentum)
Target 1.10357)
Target 1.10837)
Target 1.11657)
GBP/USD remained consolidative on Thursday, bid just above 1.26 and offered just above its 10-DMA at 1.2707, as traders cogitate over U.S. and UK rate pivots later this year, looking toward Friday's payrolls data and next Thursday's CPI data for clues about the timing and depth of Fed rate cuts.
For now, traders are reacting to Wednesday's slightly dovish Fed minutes, which noted prior rate hikes are having their intended effect reducing inflation and growth, and near-unanimity that rates will be lower by year-end 2024.
Sterling traders' reluctance to move GBP/USD out of its 1.26-1.27 range hints at consensus that both the BoE and Fed are at peak rate levels.
Though futures are pricing a near-80% chance the Fed will begin rate cuts in March 2024 (0#SRA:), ahead of the BoE expected in May 2024 (0#SON3:), the near-symmetrical rate paths foreseen for the two central banks in 2024 is keeping GBP/USD anchored near current levels.
U.S. jobs data on Friday could disrupt the current GBP/USD rate stasis. Should payroll and earnings data surprise to the upside, a delay in Fed cuts is likely to weigh on GBP/USD, putting multiple support levels in the 1.2630s in sharper focus.
FX:EURUSD
GBP JPY - Fresh supply since 2016, what now?G'day,
Firstly, welcome back to 2024. It's been a good start with some great consolidative moves within trading ranges, but now let's see the longer term movements for this pair of focus. GBP JPY.
Master Key for zones
Red = Three Month
Blue = Monthly
Purple = weekly
Pink = Consolidative box example (Daily)
Orange = Daily
Risk Warning
Trading leveraged products such as Forex, commodities and CFDs, carries with it a high level of risk and so may not be suitable for every investor. Prior to trading the foreign exchange, commodity or CFD market, consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. You should never risk more than you can afford to lose. If you fail to understand or are uncertain of the risks involved, please seek independent advice and remember to conduct due diligence as criteria varies to suit the individual.
Below are some of the take aways from the video - please listen again incase any detail is missed.
For simplicity purposes, terminology is provided in layman's terms to reach a wider audience.
Monthly
Weekly
Daily
Do you enjoy the setups?
Professional analyst with 8+ years experience in the capital markets
Focus on technical output not fundamentals
Focus on investing for long term positional moves
Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress.
If you like the idea, please leave a like or comment.
To all the followers, thank you for your continued support.
Thanks,
LVPA MMXXIV
Coinbase Gearing Up for its next MoveHi guys! This is an Update on recent Technical developments found for Coinbase (COIN).
I've successfully identified the Inverse Head & Shoulders Pattern. Check out that idea down below.
We have completed the Return Rally back to test Support on the Neckline. Now ive been assessing if there are signs that we continue the Inverse Head and Shoulders with our final explosive breakout move.
This analysis is done on the 1 day timeframe.
As you can see we have tested and CONFIRMED Support on the Neckline.
After doing so we have inched higher.
Notice now, we are ABOVE the 21 EMA.
With the last 3 days of candles, forming LOWER WICKS off the 21 EMA.
This is a great sign of SUPPORT.
We must continue to stay ABOVE the 21 EMA.
Being Above the 21 EMA on any timeframe indicates that we will most likely have an UPTREND in price.
Notice also the Orange Rectangle. This highlights a consolidation zone. This shows to me that we are building up momentum for our final rally of the Inverse Head & Shoulders Pattern.
A confirmation ABOVE the Upper Border of Rectangle, will indicate Rally may be starting.
To keep us on our toes, just remember that if price action goes BELOW the Lower Border of the Rectangle, we risk testing the Neckline again. Which is always a possibility . As long as we maintain the Neckline as Support, we good.
Watch VOLUME -> We need it to start picking up for indication of the major move.
This move will essentially lead to trend reversal for COIN, confirming the bottom.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
Stay tuned for more updates on COIN in the near future.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
ADA ANALYSIS🔮 #ADA Analysis 🚀🚀
💲💲 #ADA was trading in a descending triangle pattern and breakout the pattern with good volume. Right now #ADA is trading in a parallel channel. The greater the consolidation, the greater is the possibility of price increase in #ADA. 📈📈
💸Current Price -- $0.3926
📈Target Price -- $0.6900
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀💸
🏷Remember, the crypto market is dynamic in nature and changes rapidly, so always use stop loss and take proper knowledge before investments.
#ADA #Cryptocurrency #Consolidation #DYOR
QTUM ANALYSIS🔮 #QTUM Analysis 🚀🚀
💲💲 There is a breakout of Symmetrical Triangle Pattern in #QTUM. Currently the price is consolidating in a parallel channel. The greater the consolidation, the greater is the possibility of price increase. 📈📈
💸Current Price -- $3.211
📈Target Price -- $4.783
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀💸
🏷Remember, the crypto market is dynamic in nature and changes rapidly, so always use stop loss and take proper knowledge before investments.
#QTUM #Cryptocurrency #Breakout #DYOR
A Macro Analysis of TESLA: The Case For Being Range BoundHi guys and Welcome!
As a trader its empowering to overanalyze an asset you would like to trade.
To think of various potential associations or the direction that price action can have or go.
It reduces any surprises and allows for you to be ready and strategize adjustments.
And just NOTE: That this is just an idea/ theory and it does not have to play out as mentioned but i would urge us to atleast keep this idea in the back of our heads.
Things have been great this year, with many big names booming in price.
Many people calling for New ALL TIME HIGHS for many names.
This is also true for TESLA.
But what if we don't see all time highs in Tesla? What if in fact we are range bound, hitting the top of the range only to travel to the bottom of the range for a duration of time before we attempt new all time highs.
It sure is a possibility, as we have done so previously.
From July 2013 till the breakout in December 2019, we managed to stay in a RANGE.
(Roughly 2345 days or 6ish years).
This is not a bad thing per se. It helps the asset consolidate, create market structure and allows companies to stabilize, allowing them to fulfill the desires of investor sentiment, thus moving higher eventually.
If you can determine the levels of the range, it is also tradeable. More on that in future posts, as i will be monitoring TSLA like a hawk.
Now looking at our current RANGE. We've gone so far 1093 days. If history is any indication, we are about almost half way through our RANGE bound journey.
Note that if we are range bound, it doesnt have to mirror our previous data point.
Also that Investor SENTIMENT for TSLA is different now.
Also don't discount the fact that currently we are bullish in TSLA, so possibilities of seeing $400 sooner than later is likely, until proven otherwise.
Could we break out or do we double top/ stay range bound?
That would be the place to re-assess the situation.
One major factor in my opinion to help us determine what might happen is VOLUME.
I think for us to really solidfy this idea of making New ALL TIME HIGHS, volume has to continue to increase and really spike when we reach the $400, RANGE TOP.
We don't want to see volume below the PURPLE LINE DRAWN, but rather have it follow the GREEN arrow. Showing consistent growth and high volume.
Also another thing to watch is the RSI.
NOTICE the Black trend lines drawn.
When we broke out of our 2013-2019 Range, RSI broke past the Black trend line to continue into our HIGHS.
Come to current time, we are quite far off the Black Trendline drawn. This is something to watch.
Again, history does not have to repeat in current price action BUT it does provide data on what could potentially happen. As a trader it is important to always try to see different angles.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
Stay tuned for more updates on TSLA in the near future.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy
Bitcoin: Thoughts and AnalysisToday's focus: Bitcoin
Pattern – Range test
Support – 25,600 – 25,280
Resistance – 26,080 – 27,630
Today, we have run over Bitcoin. We have broken down current price action with our thoughts on what we see over the longer-term and short-term price structure.
Sellers continue to push at buyers in the short term after buyers made a quick push higher last week, and industry news continues to dominate momentum, with the USD not having such a big impact at present. Will we see buyers continue to hold consolidation and support, or could we see a new move by sellers making a new test lower?
Have a great day and good trading.
Is Oatly Dead? Is it going to 0?Hi Guys! This is a Technical Analysis for Oatly (OTLY), on the 3 Day Timeframe.
New candle starts today
So the question here is whether or not OTLY is dead and if its going to 0?
It may seem like that but when "Checking underneath the hood" with TA, things become clearer and you can understand whats going on objectively with a level head.
So we've come down signficantly from around the highs of $29, about a 95% drop to current prices.
And its been alooooong time we've been on this downtrend, about 781 days.
In my case though, the question i've been asking with Stocks such as OTLY or SPCE or BYND or CVNA (before the massive run) is whether or not there are signs of bottoming?
And with such a new stock, it can be a little difficult to assess since theres not as much data points to go with.
But you can still make do with what you got!
We are Currently 4 RED candles in, watch the size of our current candle. IF at the CLOSE of this current candle, the body of it is small, that can be an indication of BEARISH momentum decline.
Notice how we got our most recent DOWNTREND, it is due to the RED circle that indicates price hitting a convergence of Resistance:
1. the 50 Simple moving average
2. a RESISTANCE trend line from 08/2022.
We are now nearing our previous low of around $1.35. Which is MAJOR SUPPORT.
Notice the 2 GREEN CIRCLES -> Provided we don't breakdown below $1.35, this can be a DOUBLE BOTTOM pattern.
We have to watch the next couple weeks of how we interact with SUPPORT.
NOTE: This MAJOR SUPPORT hasnt had 3 touches, which in TREND theory, it states that usually a minimum of 3 touches are needed on trend lines for it to be significant.
So, this can be an area we BOUNCE from in the SHORT-Term -> back to the BLACK resistance line or RED Resistance line
There is also a RISK of a Descending triangle playing out, where we break below the "MAJOR SUPPORT". Measured Target would be $0.58-0.60 cent level.
But again TA is about taking it 1 step at a time. To even think about this i would need:
1. Candle close BELOW MAJOR SUPPORT
2. CONFIRMATION
-> In the form of candle patterns
-> Re-test of the SUPPORT turned as RESISTANCE and a Rejection back down.
It absolutely does not have to play out this way BUT a scenario could be that we bounce from here, test the 08/22 RESISTANCE and come back down to test MAJOR SUPPORT level.
It is also possible that we MOVE SIDEWAYS (Within ORANGE Rectangle zone). With the Volume currently in a DECLINE, marked by the BLUE moving average. This means volatility will come down, leading to the probability of sideways action.
Now Check out the RSI, we have printed a Lower Low. This could lead to further DECLINE of RSI. WE are also BELOW the BLACK RSI Moving average, which can be indicative of further price declines.
STOCH RSI, is making its way below the 20 level. We will have to see how long we stay once we get below it and how low we actually get. Longer we stay below, higher the probability of further declines.
MACD -> a momentum indicator, is currently printing RED histograms. This is a BEARISH Signal. We dont want the bars to get massively big in size.
CONCLUSION:
Price declines of massive proportions can be extremely scarey and a place for capitulation, where people give up. This often times leads to further decline of price. However through all that, if you stay level headed with TA, you consider or pose the question..... Yeah, but is it showing any BOTTOMING signs? OTLY is 95% from its lows, we are currently back to MAJOR SUPPORT. This can be indication of a DOUBLE BOTTOM but in my opinion, its still too EARLY to tell. Especially with indicators still showing signs of a chance for more downside. I would need to see confirmation.
Stay tuned for more updates on OTLY in the near future.
Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. When trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
PANW Cyber SectorPalo Alto Networks is a cybersecurity company that provides advanced security solutions to organizations worldwide.
I don't think they're going anywhere for a while and are very established already with multiple deals and have been on point with their financials and earnings.
We're looking for a break out of the consolidating 238-240 range which already happened as im typing this.
huge gap down on july 12th looking for a retest to 253. If it falls below 238 it needs to hold 236 level or will retest 232.
Lockheed Martin Closing Gap?Lockheed martin earnings play. This stock has my interest with multiple contracts with the government and missing 1 of the last 5 earnings.
Lockheed is no stranger to getting multiple contracts. A lot of constant contracts coming in with government agencies and commercial airlines.
For a month it has been consolidating jun-jul and recently broke out of consolidation.
coming up on earnings July 18th with price targets ranging from 498 to 579 and a strong out look from 1- 5 out of 5 its sitting at a 5 for earnings beat from Earnings whispers.
Im Bullish looking for at least a gap fill at $475
Trade responsible,
#TradeTheWave
PNB - Bullish Swing ReversalNSE: PNB is closing with a bullish swing reversal candle supported with volumes.
Today's volumes and candlestick formation indicates strong demand and stock should move to previous swing highs in the coming days.
The stock has been moving along the horizontal support for the past few days which is indicating demand.
One can look for a 8% to 12% gain on deployed capital in this swing trade.
The view is to be discarded in the event of the stock breaking previous swing low.
#NSEindia #Trading #StockMarketindia #Tradingview #SwingTrade