Construction
BUY $FLR - NRPicks Jul 05Fluor Corp. operates as a holding company. The firm engages in the provision of engineering, procurement, construction, fabrication and modularization, operations, maintenance and asset integrity, as well as project management services, on a global basis. It operates through the following segments: Energy & Chemicals, Mining & Industrial, Infrastructure & Power, Diversified Services and Government. The Energy & Chemicals segment focuses on opportunities in the upstream, midstream, downstream, chemical, petrochemical, offshore and onshore oil and gas production, liquefied natural gas and pipeline markets. The Mining & Industrial segment provides design, engineering, procurement, construction and project management services to the mining and metals, transportation, life sciences, advanced manufacturing and technologies sectors. The Infrastructure & Power segment provides design, engineering procurement, construction and project management services to the infrastructure sector. The Diversified Services segment provides asset services, asset integrity services, equipment solutions and staffing services. The Government segment provides engineering, construction, logistics, base and facilities operations and maintenance, contingency response and environmental and nuclear services to the U.S. government and governments abroad. The company was founded by John Simon Flour, Sr. in 1912 and is headquartered in Irving, TX.
HILL International UpdateHILL Intl. is one of the largest construction management firms in the US. Guess whats coming in October - infrastructure bill. Will it happen? I think so.
HILL Intl. should be a recipient of some this cash (hopefully). See previous post.
Side note: it has done absolutely nothing since I added it. Could have placed in much better places but whatever. Holding until it pops.
Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) for SHORT Signals
Position: short Entry price: 286
Target: 272 SL: 275
Indicators
RSI is reversing from a position of overbought: good time for a short
DMI - is reversing indicating a bearish trend
Both Keltner channel and Bollinger bands indicate a strong trend
Pattern
The price is bouncing between the support and the resistance lines and the bearish trend has been confirmed
Conclusions
SWH develops, manufactures, distributes and sells paint, coatings and related products to professional, industrial, commercial and retail customers. Mostly based in the US.
The number of of new residential sales has been decreasing since May 2020 in the US. The fundamentals of the company, the Q2 earnings released today and the candles themselves cannot carry to break the resistance.
Infrastructure & Alternative Energy I mean need I say more than the company’s name? Just wait for that bill to be signed! This company has a backlog of $2 billion! At the same price level that took it from $12 to $24! I got the funds in place!
Sector early indicator? Yes, the Hardware trade can be sometimesRelated to the Real Estate sector, trade in Hardware and Construction Materials - here represented by the twin titans of home improvement retailing, Home Depot (HD, in green) and Lowe's (LOW, in purple) - can sometimes act as an early indicator against the broader market (here represented by the DJIA in gray, and the NASDAQ in black)... falling from peaks in Feb 2007, Apr 2011, Mar 2015.
HILL International - Value PlayHIL is a construction consulting firm that has gone through restructuring and new management. New management is turning it around and stabilizing. There is ton of global infrastructure spending and HIL should be a recipient of it. Really good candidate for a buy out once stabilized.
Looking at a long term chart, breakout and re-test looks right. Monster potential.
Paul Evans (director) bought a number of shares in May which makes me believe insiders are seeing value so why not pajama pants traders follow?
Ktg running abc last wave ! Indicator show that double bottom boss keep collecting ticket and now running c wave ! hit resistant soon tp 0.4
Home Depot should be in your WatchListThere is a macro narrative underway that is wildly bullish for Home Depot.
The fuse being lit here under a MASSIVE bull run evident within the latest WSJ article. Get ready for a flood of improvements and investments in homes. Keep in mind how cash flush consumers are, and how pent up they have been in their homes. The WSJ certainly made the case when they said:
"The estimate represents a 52% rise in the nation’s home shortage compared with 2018, the first time Freddie Mac quantified the shortfall."
“We should have almost four million more housing units if we had kept up with demand the last few years,” Mr. Khater said. “This is what you get when you underbuild for 10 years.”
Housing my friends is about to get red red hot.
www.wsj.com
Let's also take a peek at flatbed capacity folks. Flatbeds provide capacity for the construction sector and massive commodities within the logistics sector. New truck sales are up ...gulp 424% in march!
www.ttnews.com
Demand is wild, but who are going to drive all of these trucks with a driver shortage underway at exactly the same time?
Load postings (loads shippers need transported) are up +129.9% Y/Y
Truck postings (trucks available to haul loads) -6.9% Y/Y
-Stats provided by DAT
Let's drill in a bit further folks! This upcoming ratio is a bit like saying... the average temperature in North America is 70.7 degrees Fahrenheit, or 21.5 degrees Celsius for our friends across the pond. Not very helpful if you are trying to zero in to the Florida market vs the Alaska market. But regardless this data is stunning as the current load-to-truck ratio for flatbed is over 80 loads per trucks. In some very hot markets it is well over 120 loads per truck. Think about what that means! The average driver has over 80 loads to select from before hauling his freight. This enables him to bid himself much higher. Obviously this cost to manufacturers and distributors or even those providing raw goods in lowlier verticals all can not just shoulder this costs - it must get passed on to consumers. Clearly this will result in further inflation pressure. It is stunning if you think of it that Dr Michael Burry predicted that the inflation pressures would be observed initially within supply chains...and yes he nailed it.
Citation of chart displaying Load-to-truck ratio:
www.facebook.com
There are many ways to monetize the current situation. And I recommend a plethora of strategies to diversify risk. And this includes exposure to transportation equity products, building materials, commodities, construction starts, and yes Home Depot.
The final comment I have - and please keep in mind I do not subscribe to political tribalism, I play it monk like focused on how we can be opportunistic in any environment-if Biden passes the infrastructure package again this would lead to a massive supply crunch in many of the areas outlined above. Especially flatbed capacity. Keep in mind flatbed seasonality typically does not kick up until May-June when housing and construction starts are heating up.
As always dear traders if you found this content helpful please be sure to like, share, and perhaps tell me what I may be missing in my content here.
Final content share that is a MUST READ. Manufacturing PMI is at 64.7% ... So for those unfamiliar with what that means if the PMI index is under 50 we are in a state of contraction, growth mode is evident with numbers above 50. A reading of 64.7% is frankly remarkable.
www.ismworld.org
Pivot Points
Bollingers/EMA/Volume
Can you see the trend friends?
Home Depot is great as well because keep in mind on days equities sold off in the broader market, they continued to march higher as well.
Let the roaring 20's commence! And please be sure to follow me on TradingView as I will let you know any helpful content I can find as we navigate through the rest of this decade.
Good fortunes to you dear traders!
Bull Case for PECK Looking at the highlighted green lines we can identify a strong up trend in PECK causing growth for the stock, as well as a retracement in the last few weeks which is a clear bull flag pattern. There is also a falling wedge after the strong uptrend which lead to the reversal that we saw causing the new price to break past the previous high of 10.50. There was a double top pattern but the price today has broken the previous high, and moving past the resistance level is a good indicator for this stock. Furthermore, we can identify a cup forming which means that if the price fluctuates and a handle pattern forms investors could average down their price at a discount while it rebounds soon. All in all the reversal from the falling wedge, strong uptrend with retracement, breaking the double top barrier and the possibility of a handle forming are all positive indicators for this stock. BUY!