Slow, Steady Growth in 2018 w/ Tech + China (PT: $183)It looks and feels like MCD will be hovering/consolidating around the $160 mark until more news comes in to spurt growth back into the $170 range. No major recovery from February has really taken place, even with the last quarter beats. Death Cross?
As a company embracing more technology, initiatives have already been taken in the first half to help grow the second half. Operations initiatives will be updated as more upgrades happen and the China refranchising will also be concluded. I think it will be slow, but steady going the rest of the year for MCD, but it's a long term stock for a lot of people, so accumulate around $156 and below when possible.
Previous ranges show a characteristic "top" to where the stock will head and wait for the next big thing. It's not much higher at $183 than the all time high this year of $178.70. Hence, why the growth is slow, but steady back up to where it was. MCD is a great value, with a great brand worldwide that won't go away anytime soon.
Consumer
Consumer Staples ETF (VDC) - Time to buy?Consumer Staples are breaking out of their highs, whilst the overall index driven by tech stocks is rallying on extreme momentum. Whilst the spread could widen further, the return to risk seems in favour of rotating into Consumer Staples, 30% behind in just 2 years. In 2007 to 2009 financial crisis, Consumer Staples fell only 30% against the broad market that fell 50% peak to trough.
ZAGGThe Current stock price is above both the 150 day and 200 day moving average.
The 200 day moving avg line is trending up (for at least one month) early in the year.
The Current stock price is trading above the 50 day moving average.
The current stock price is at least 30 percent above its 52 week low. (3.5x years low)
The current price is within 25% it's new high. (approximately with 10%)
The RSI: within the 30-70 range.
LONG VOXX FROM SMALL BASEAbout to go buy shares in VOXX due to the breakout from a small base with a pick-up in volume. This was on the radar previously due to a break from the much better base beforehand as marked. Strong sector also. Long-term target is $17 as highs back in 2013. All-time high is $72.
GBPAUD Long Entry Area - GBP-CPIThis entry area of 159.50-60 will be predicated on the GBP CPI driving price down to this level.
Once this level is hit I will look for a specific entry level and I will also post my price targets as well.
This is not a high probability trade..its ONLY valid if the CPI numbers drive the Cable lower.
We'll keep you posted.
XRT Retail Earnings POTENTIALRetail earnings are in full swing this upcoming week!
Here is a TA based version of my expectations for the week.
In previous quarters the strong USD and the slow down in Consumer Spending hit profits hard.
With retail sales up throughout the quarter and consumer confidence at 2016 high, all around beats are expected.
Driving retail market capitalization back to Q2 2015 level offers a short-term 8% return.
In the longer run, or collectively throughout the remainder of Q2, a 16% return is in the works.
above cloud consumer with volumestrong volume see why volume is important in our book on amazon-cci and percent r upper range-relative strength good-stop loss back in daily cloud-diversify-use limit orders
pennies to thousands strong candidate weak day consumercloud narrowing
above weekly cloud get our book on amazon importance of clouds
money flow strong
good group
relative strength strong
cci and percent r upper band
MACRO VIEW: XLP IN FIRM MACRO UPTRENDConsumer Staples SPDR ETF is looking good on both short term and long term basis.
On long term basis - XLP trades in both 5 and 10 year uptrend, as the price stands firmly above 1st upper standard deviations from both 5 and 10 year means It has tested its 5-year trend during the august selloff and held it successfully.
On short term basis - XLP shows no trends in particular, as the price is firmly within the 1st standard deviations from 1-year and quarterly means. It is a positive development, since nothing on short term basis stands in the way of long term trends.