Is Monster breaking out of a massive Ascending Triangle?Key Takeaways
The trendlines of a triangle need to run along at least two swing highs and two swing lows.
Ascending triangles are considered a continuation pattern, as the price will typically breakout of the triangle in the price direction prevailing before the triangle. Although, this won't always occur. A breakout in any direction is noteworthy.
A long trade is taken if the price breaks above the top of the pattern.
A short trade is taken if the price breaks below the lower trendline.
A stop loss is typically placed just outside the pattern on the opposite side from the breakout.
A profit target is calculated by taking the height of the triangle, at its thickest point, and adding or subtracting that to/from the breakout point.
This multi year ascending triangle pattern is similar to a previous one Monster created in approximately 2012.
The RSI is displaying a series of lower highs, meanwhile, the price continues to rise which is indicative of a divergence.
Divergence can occur between the price of an asset and almost any technical or fundamental indicator or data. Though, divergence is typically used by technical traders when the price is moving in the opposite direction of a technical indicator.
Positive divergence signals price could start moving higher soon. It occurs when the price is moving lower but a technical indicator is moving higher or showing bullish signals.
Negative divergence points to lower prices in the future. It occurs when the price is moving higher but a technical indicator is moving lower or showing bearish signals.
Divergence isn't to be relied on exclusively, as it doesn't provide timely trade signals. Divergence can last a long time without a price reversal occurring.
Divergence is not present for all major price reversals, it is only present on some.
FYI, price target of the ascending triangle breakout on a log scale is approximately $118.00 USD.
Additionally, I wouldn't be surprised to see Monster enter the cannabis space this year or early 2021. The company has expressed interest & the U.S is "potentially" going to get some clarity on the SAFE Banking or States Act, only time will tell.
Consumerdefensive
Bullish Flag or a Bullish Pennant for TNY?Bullish flag formations are found in stocks with strong uptrends.
They are called bull flags because the pattern resembles a flag on a pole. The pole is the result of a vertical rise in a stock and the flag results from a period of consolidation.
The flag can be a horizontal rectangle, but is also often angled down away from the prevailing trend.
Another variant is called a bullish pennant, in which the consolidation takes the form of a symmetrical triangle.
The shape of the flag is not as important as the underlying psychology behind the pattern.
Basically, despite a strong vertical rally, the stock refuses to drop appreciably, as bulls snap up any shares they can get.
The breakout from a flag often results in a powerful move higher, measuring the length of the prior flag pole.
It is important to note that these patterns work the same in reverse and are known as bear flags and pennants.
What is a Pennant?
In technical analysis, a pennant is a type of continuation pattern formed when there is a large movement in a security, known as the flagpole, followed by a consolidation period with converging trend lines - the pennant - followed by a breakout movement in the same direction as the initial large movement, which represents the second half of the flagpole.
Bullish pennants, just like its name suggests, signals that bulls are about to go a-charging again.
This means that the sharp climb in price would resume after that brief period of consolidation, when bulls gather enough energy to take the price higher again.
Pennants are often continuation chart patterns formed after strong moves.
After a big upward or downward move, buyers or sellers usually pause to catch their breath before taking the pair further in the same direction.
Because of this, the price usually consolidates and forms a tiny symmetrical triangle, which is called a pennant.
Higher lows on the RSI & it is trading at approximately 52. Traditional interpretation and usage of the RSI dictates that values of 70 or above suggest that a security is becoming overbought or overvalued and may be primed for a trend reversal or corrective price pullback. An RSI reading of 30 or below indicates an oversold or undervalued condition.
Keurig Dr Pepper $KDP $KDP is still consolidating and needs to break the down trend line. After breakout, $28 and $29.36 are the resistance needs to overcome.
Macro Ascending Triangle & Triple Bottom?It appears as though TNY may be trading in a huge ascending triangle on a 4-year chart.
Recently the RSI went to all-time lows, and since then we've seen a nice Triple Bottom & some bullish momentum.
Notice where I've placed the blue sideways arrows, there are three bottoms that coincide with a price range of roughly 23c in March 2017.
Again in late July & Aug 2017 at approximately the same price range.
And more recently we found a low of roughly 18.5c, which could potentially represent the third bottom of the Triple Bottom. We can see on this chart that there was a Triple Bottom that happened in late 2016 until late 2017, I have three blue arrows inside of a descending triangle patten that represent what I am refrencing.
A triple bottom is a visual pattern that shows the buyers (bulls) taking control of the price action from the sellers (bears).
A triple bottom is generally seen as three roughly equal lows bouncing off support followed by the price action breaching resistance.
The formation of triple bottom is seen as an opportunity to enter a bullish position.
There should be an existing downtrend in place before the pattern occurs.
The three lows should be roughly equal in price and spaced out from each other. While the price doesn't have to be exactly equal, it should be reasonably close to the same price, such that a trendline is horizontal.
The volume should drop throughout the pattern in a sign that bears are losing strength, while bullish volume should increase as the price breaks through the final resistance.
Bullish Pennant?Possibly a descending triangle?
A pennant is a continuation pattern in technical analysis formed when there is a large movement in a security, known as the flagpole, followed by a consolidation period with converging trend lines - the pennant - followed by a breakout movement in the same direction as the initial large movement, which represents the second half of the flagpole.
Pennants are continuation patterns where a period of consolidation is followed by a breakout.
It's important to look at the volume in a pennant—the period of consolidation should have lower volume and the breakouts should occur on higher volume.
Most traders use pennants in conjunction with other forms of technical analysis that act as confirmation.
Pennants, which are similar to flags in terms of structure, have converging trend lines during their consolidation period and last from one to three weeks. The volume at each period of the pennant is also important. The initial move must be met with large volume while the pennant should have weakening volume, followed by a large increase in volume during the breakout.
Is TNY trading in a Bull Flag?Since my previous two post about TNY trading in a bullish flag pattern & a ascending triangle; which both broke out to the upside, it appears as though Tinley is trading in another Bull Flag that may bring us over the 200 Day MA, and there's also a series of micro higher lows.
Only time will tell, but notice on the rsi TNY appears to have a bearish divergence?
Divergence can occur between the price of an asset and almost any technical or fundamental indicator or data. Though, divergence is typically used by technical traders when the price is moving in the opposite direction of a technical indicator.
Positive divergence signals price could start moving higher soon. It occurs when the price is moving lower but a technical indicator is moving higher or showing bullish signals.
Negative divergence points to lower prices in the future. It occurs when the price is moving higher but a technical indicator is moving lower or showing bearish signals.
Divergence isn't to be relied on exclusively, as it doesn't provide timely trade signals. Divergence can last a long time without a price reversal occurring.
Divergence is not present for all major price reversals, it is only present on some.
Is TNYBF trading in a Ascending Triangle?We've had the highest volume on the U.S side this year recently, along with the highest short on TNYBF on Dec 24th with 100% of the trades short, keep in mind it's not uncommon to see over 50% of TNYBF short, TNY on the CSE usually trades much higher volume, which is the Canadian ticker symbol.
Anyway, this recent move has put TNYBF over the MA50&200, and it also appears like we're trading in a Ascending Triangle.
Key Takeaways
The trendlines of a triangle need to run along at least two swing highs and two swing lows.
Ascending triangles are considered a continuation pattern, as the price will typically breakout of the triangle in the price direction prevailing before the triangle. Although, this won't always occur. A breakout in any direction is noteworthy.
A long trade is taken if the price breaks above the top of the pattern.
A short trade is taken if the price breaks below the lower trendline.
A stop loss is typically placed just outside the pattern on the opposite side from the breakout.
A profit target is calculated by taking the height of the triangle, at its thickest point, and adding or subtracting that to/from the breakout point.
Is TNY trading in a Bull Flag or Symmetrical Triangle?Bullish flag formations are found in stocks with strong uptrends. They are called bull flags because the pattern resembles a flag on a pole. The pole is the result of a vertical rise in a stock and the flag results from a period of consolidation. The flag can be a horizontal rectangle, but is also often angled down away from the prevailing trend. Another variant is called a bullish pennant, in which the consolidation takes the form of a symmetrical triangle. The shape of the flag is not as important as the underlying psychology behind the pattern. Basically, despite a strong vertical rally, the stock refuses to drop appreciably, as bulls snap up any shares they can get. The breakout from a flag often results in a powerful move higher, measuring the length of the prior flag pole.
It is important to note that these patterns work the same in reverse & are known as bear flags & bear pennants, but the bullish volume recently indicates that it's unlikely to result in a bearish outcome...
Only time will tell, and when it comes to Tinley Beverages, "My favorite time frame for holding a stock is forever."
Warren Buffett
On a Macro level Tinley has held their share price impressively well comparable to "any cannabis related stock" over the past 4 years boasting roughly 523% gains...
On a Micro level we're potentially seeing a trend change from bearish to bullish, indicators that support my narrative is the recent Triple Bottom pattern that's linked to this chart. Also, the increase in buy volume indicates that short sellers are either losing money in their positions to the downside, or they're running short on shares available to short, or they've simply reached their target buy in price...
Keep in mind hopium is a schedule 1 narcotic & has killed many Moon Boys in the cannabis sector during 2019.....
Triple Bottom for TNY?It appears as though $TNY may have formed a triple bottom where I have the red fingers pointing right on the chart.
In my previous post linked to this chart I spoke about the descending triangle & potentially testing .335c, clearly visible on this chart we can see .33c is about exactly where a new double bottom was created, and thus potentially creating the third bottom of a triple bottom. We will need to see continued bullish price action next week & break out of this pattern flush to the upside, maybe create a top at 44c & consolidate sideways before continuing, who knows, only time will tell.....
The RSI appears to be breaking out of a Bull Flag, and on 5 year & 1 year time frame the RSI is fairly low with lots of room to move to the upside, "if we're looking at a longer term trend reversal."
Key Takeaways
A triple bottom is a visual pattern that shows the buyers (bulls) taking control of the price action from the sellers (bears).
A triple bottom is generally seen as three roughly equal lows bouncing off support followed by the price action breaching resistance.
The formation of triple bottom is seen as an opportunity to enter a bullish position.
TNY Update.Tinley appears to be trading in a Ascending Triangle creating a series of "micro" higher lows & higher highs.
The 46c range would be ideal to hold because that's where we created our first "significant" higher high on a micro level that was representative of a potential trend change.
On the RSI we can clearly see higher lows & higher highs forming a Ascending Triangle as well.
Worth noting.
We've seen a double top where I have the two red gavels that coincides with an increase in short positions during this exact time period, but I wouldn't be surprised to see them cover if they didn't already with the pending news of Canadian expansion with two unkown LP's, one Big & one Small, IMO only.
Time will tell per usual.
TNY Update.200 Day MA is only 26% away at the time of posting.
Tinley has broken out of a ascending triangle, look at the rsi as well, very telling of a possible trend reversal after creating lower highs for months consecutive. Now Tinley is creating higher highs & higher lows on a micro level consistently. If we do see a retracement of any sort, I'd like to see 46c hold, which is the top of the ascending triangle, and one of the recent lower highs of the continued downtrend is at that level.
On a smaller time frame & chart attached to this one you can notice a bull flag pattern that broke to the upside as well.
TNY Update. Possible Bull Flag.Unless Tinley breaks above 47c in the next few trading sessions we're basically just looking at another lower high.
There's clearly a possible bull flag pattern that may play out.
The RSI was at an all time low on "all time frames" recently, which is reflective of the aggressive bounce we had in the share price.
On the RSI I've made some notes that may indicate a trend reversal.
On a five day chart I'll post attached to this chart you can notice the RSI bounce off the top of what was once a descending triangle, this may indicate the trend is changing due to old resistance becoming new support.
Time will tell per usual.
TNY Update.Today's move is nice to see everyone, but we're still looking at a lower high on a macro level since Dec 2018.
That may not seem macro to some investors, which is fine, but it's still important to note in regards to charting. All information helps, especially in hindsight when trying to learn new trading methods, I guess I'm speaking for myself.
Anyway, a follow up news release may still be required to prevent the shorts from playing whack a mole.
For a meaningful higher low I'd say the safest area is above the Dec low, and that's where we have a recent lower high as well. If we can get up to 47c in the next few trading sessions it would be a nice V shape recovery.
Time will tell per usual.
TNY Chart.Just a bunch of lower highs since late April / May PP.
Anytime we've tried to get over the 200 Day MA since April, we've been knocked back down like whack a mole.
In order for Tinley to change this trend they're going to need some material news, very simple... Otherwise, it will be a slow bleed down into the single digits, IMO.
Let's not forget that the entire cannabis sector has been bleeding for months on end, and surprisingly TNY has held up nicely in comparison to many other much larger companies... But we can only pat ourselves on the back for so long....
Time will tell per usual