$VRT Head and Shoulders Failure Signal Note: I am LONG NYSE:VRT
A Head and Shoulders failure pattern occurs when prices break below the neckline, suggesting a potential reversal to an up-trend; however, the move lower does not gain traction. Instead, prices drift higher until trading above the previously defined Right Shoulder high.
My long entry triggers when price > right shoulder high, which invalidates the bearish setup, and signals a continuation of the up-trend as trapped short sellers are forced to cover. Often times, this amplifies the momentum in the move higher.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Opinions are not positions, and vice versa.
Continuation
Trade Review - LUNR
When found in the screener, the stock showed a decent continuation pattern on the weekly chart. It was added to the watchlist to track a potential move, still were some distance to prior swing high.
Execution Chart.
Trade Overview
• Structure: Bullish Continuation
• Position: Near Mean
• Entry Trigger: Range Expansion
Entry Details
• Entry Price: 9.38
• Stop Price: 8.30
• Target Price: 12.36
• Expected Risk/Reward: 2.65 R
Exit Strategy
• Exit Price: Closed 50% into 1R and rest at 12.18.
Trade Review - WEST
When the stock showed up on the screener there was a bullish continuation setup on the daily chart and a potential overextension on the higher timeframe downtrend. Thus added to the watchlist to monitor for a move.
Execution – Entered late on a debatable Failure Test.
Trade Overview
• Structure: Bullish Continuation (D) / Downtrend Pullback (W)
• Position: Near Mean (D) / Far from Mean (W)
• Entry Trigger: Failed Breakdown (Late)
Entry Details
• Entry Price: 6.90
• Stop Price: 6.40
• Target Price: 8.46
• Expected Risk/Reward: 3.12 R
Exit Strategy
• Exit Price: Closed 75% of position into 1R and rest hit stop at breakeven.
Trade Review - NPWR
Found this stock on the screener showing a bullish continuation setup on the daily chart. On the higher timeframe downtrend, looked like the pullback had been played out. Despite it was added it to the watchlist to monitor.
Execution – Later Entry.
Trade Overview
• Structure: Bullish Continuation (D) / Bearish Pullback (W)
• Position: Near Mean (D) / Near Mean (W)
• Entry Trigger: Breakout / Range Expansion
Entry Details
• Entry Price: 9.92
• Stop Price: 8.91
• Target Price: 12.34
• Expected Risk/Reward: 2.36 R
Exit Strategy
• Exit Price: Closed 75% at 11.34 and 25% at 12.34.
Trade Review - DNA
When this stock was added to the watchlist, it displayed a bullish continuation setup on the daily timeframe. On the higher timeframe, there was also a potential for downside overextension, suggesting a possible pullback within the larger downtrend.
On the next chart, executions are shown. In anticipation of the trade, I look for a failed breakout against the trend—a failure test—where the price moves outside the lower boundary of an established consolidation. If it then closes back within the range, I sometimes enter before market close. For these trades, I often close a partial position as the price nears the upper part of the range, in case the range holds without a breakout.
Trade Overview
• Structure: Bullish Continuation (D) / Bearish Pullback (W)
• Position: Near Mean (D) / Extended from Mean (W)
• Entry Trigger: Failed Breakout (Opposite to Trend)
Entry Details
• Entry Price: 7.77
• Stop Price: 6.73
• Target Price (Range): 8.72
• Target Price (Measured Move): 11.62
Exit Strategy
• Exit Price: Closed 50% into 9.03 > Rest hit SL at 7.95.
Trade Review - AIRS
Daily chat showed a bullish continuation structure and weekly chart within a larger range (price inside of structure).
Above chart shows execution, showed up on active scan instantly but decided to enter with some reservation.
Trade Overview
• Structure: Bullish Continuation (D) / Range (W)
• Position: Near Mean (D) / Inside Range (W)
• Entry Trigger: Range Expansion / Breakout
Entry Details
• Entry Price: 6.42
• Stop Price: 5.54
• Target Price: 7.56
• Expected Risk/Reward: 1.3 R
Exit Strategy
• Exit Price: Closed all into 7.56 (Measured Move)
Performance Summary
• Result: 1.3R from a 17.75% move
Watchlist - Nov 10, 2024This is my weekend watchlist selected from the passive screener, primarily for monitoring potential setups. I didn't find many proper opportunities this time— few setups and most were lower quality, so mainly for observation. Most proper movers are already on the run.
List: PLCE, KYTX, DNA, NPWR, TTGT, OUST, ALGS, SNAP, EYE, APLS, LSCC, DHI, IBTA
Trade Review - UPST
Added UPST to the watchlist on October 27 due to a bullish continuation pattern on the daily chart. A quick look at the higher timeframe showed that the price was near the upper extreme of its range, with an earnings report date approaching as a precaution.
I closed the position within the measured move range (based on the assumption that the stock would maintain a similar range and volatility). However, expect that events or shifts in market behavior can move prices short of / outside this projection.
Trade Overview
• Structure: Bullish Continuation (D) / Range (W)
• Position: Near Mean (D) / Inside Range (W)
• Entry Trigger: Failed Breakdown (BIR) at EOD
Entry Details
• Entry Price: 50.26
• Stop Price: 45.41 (1.7 ATR)
• Target Price: 72.24
• Expected Risk/Reward: 4.55 R
Exit Strategy
• Exit Price: Closed 80% at 1R and rest into 72.24. Precaution into ER.
Trade Review - IBTA
Trade Overview
• Structure: Bullish Continuation (Daily) / Bearish Pullback (Weekly)
• Position: Near Mean (D) / Extended from Mean (W)
• Entry Trigger: Range Expansion / Breakout
Entry Details
• Entry Price: 65.38
• Stop Price: 59.55
• Target Price: 76.33
• Expected Risk/Reward: 1.88 R
Exit Strategy
• Exit Price: 76.24
Performance Summary
• Result: Total 16.5% move with a 1.88 R
Bear Flag w/Confirmed Bearish Break - EGHere I have EUR/GBP on the Daily Chart!
Price gave a Bearish Break to the Ascending Channel which confirms we are seeing a Bearish Flag.
-The Volume behind the Candle that Broke the Ascending Channel signifies that it was a Strong and Valid Break
Being a Continuation Pattern, I suspect we will see Price Retest the Break of the Ascending Channel and continue Downward!
-Looking for a retest in the ( .8430 - .8435 )
Indicators:
- Price trading Below 200 EMA
- RSI Below 50
- BBTrend Printing Strong Red Bars
- Volume showing Bears accumulating
LLC long to next levelLLC is in a 6 year decline, but above 150 day EMA.
Strong earnings caused an impulse move that then lead to a tight consolidation range.
Entered on BO, targetting PoC of next level.
Potentially a reversal on the weekly starting to form, but that will take a lot longer to play out. This is a simple swing trade targetting 7.70
NQ Futures Daily Bullflag to $22,000After a sudden drop from ATHs and a big rebound, a daily bullflag formed into month end setting September up for a very big run.
Upside PTs are: 20150, 20300, 20450, and 22000 if a break above the previous ATH to finish out the bullflag
SL would be invalidation of the flag
GBPCHF Down Trend ChannelGBPCHF is currently making lower lows, signalling a bearish trend. It recently hit the 50% retracement level on the daily timeframe and is now approaching significant resistance around 1.12500, near the upper edge of the channel. The price has been consolidating since April but has since broken out of that range. The market is now pulling back to retest the lower boundary of the former consolidation zone. This could be a classic breakout-pullback-continuation pattern. The last two daily candles are doji candles, indicating market indecision. If the price breaks below the lows of these doji candles, we could see an impulsive move down, reinforcing the bearish sentiment. The target is the support level at 1.09875
More drops to come; lowerr than 50K. Buy zone around 30K zomeNot going to say much but we all could be wrong or right .. correction isnt over and the sell confirmed for more drops and more correction.
Feeling will drop back down to low 50K again; perhaps it can lower than that; i found the support around in the low 30K area.. so might expect the correction to finish in the 30K zone before skyrocket to the new ATH.
The correction should be finish ill say around end of july into the beginning of august or mid-july and will bulls take off from there and should expect to hit 120K before november or into October.
Im not financial advisor; just the correction isnt finish yet so get reedy for more drops. What are your thoughts?
USDCAD: Thoughts and Analysis Today's focus: USDCAD
Pattern – Continuation
Support – 1.3715
Resistance – 1.3780
Hi, traders. Thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at USDCAD on its daily chart.
Looking back at price, we have evidence that a continuation is trying to form. After the first break higher, which broke out of the move lower, we saw consolidation, which has now also broken higher.
Will we see today's bar post a strong close, showing buyers are set to push through the rejection that we have seen in the last several sessions?
We want to see a firm close and a hold above support; otherwise, sellers could be setting up for a new test lower.
Good trading.
BENDOGUSDT | Ready for Continuation?Market Context
Is BENDOGUSDT primed for continuation? The price action suggests it's more than likely!
Chart Analysis
Both the daily and 4H timeframes are painting a promising picture. We've got momentum on our side, and the charts are aligning for a potential breakout.
Strategy
While nothing is ever certain in trading, this setup looks incredibly strong. I'm betting on a continuation and excited to see how this plays out.
Let’s watch BENDOG soar—stay tuned!
SG post-trade ReviewSG was a textbook continuation setup that we took last week. SG had a massive reaction to earnings in early May and had been flagging ever since. Our premium indicator printed a blue continuation bar and then the next day printed a continuation arrow. This combination of technicals with SGs relative strength compared to the rest of the market gave us the confidence to execute.
XU D Buy Idea 5/18/24I previously posted an idea "XU W Sell Reversal OR Sell to Buy Idea 5/4/24". Price did not sell and immediately continued bullish. Looking for price to still head to the -27% FIB area around 2555.32 for final TP from the previous trade idea. Currently in a buy with TP actually set for the -27%, while looking for another pullback on the daily to get another entry.
**This is for educational purposes only and this is not financial advice because I am not a financial advisor.**
BTC - Ready For Some Action?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
As per my last analysis, BTC rejected the $60,000 support and traded higher.
What's next?
Scenarios:
1️⃣ Bullish - Continuation
For the bulls to maintain control, a break above the $72,000 resistance is needed.
In this case, a movement towards the $80,000 resistance would be expected.
2️⃣ Bearish - Correction
In parallel, if the last low marked in red is broken downward, we expect the bearish correction to start leading to a movement towards $60,000.
Which scenario is more likely to happen first? and why?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr