LONG - XLM- Trading OpportunityA retest of previous bullish divergence breakout, looking into watching this develop.
Entry: 0.0000657
Target 1: 0.00000702
Target 2: 0.00000763
Target 3: 0.00000820
SL: 0.00000611
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Continuation
AAON Breakout to All-Time HighIn this chart we're looking at AAON on the 1D chart as price has consolidated into a rectangle. Price has broken out through the horizontal boundary at $52.50 and has confirmed the breakout by breaking through the $53.29 area.
This rectangle has a price target of around $61.67 for about a ~17.5% gain.
This chart pattern breakout is occurring above the 200EMA, so the probability for price continuing to the upside is even higher.
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SWN Breakdown to New Local LowsIn this chart we're looking at SWN on the 1D chart as price has consolidated into a rectangle. Price has broken down through the horizontal boundary around $1.78 and has confirmed the breakdown after printing a 1D candle through the $1.73 area.
This rectangle has a price target of around $1.11 for about a ~37% gain.
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PKI Breakout to All-Time HighIn this chart we're looking at PKI on the 1W chart as price has consolidated into an ascending triangle . Price has broken through the horizontal boundary around $98. After price prints a 1W candle through $101.28 breakout will be confirmed.
This ascending triangle has a price target of around $125 for about a ~27% gain.
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AUD/JPY: Great Continuation LevelAs we can see in the H1 chart, the price changed the momentum to bearish.
It seems the price now tends to reach the demand below.
At the moment, the price gets really close to touching the supply above which is a great level for sell position.
I'll sell at this supply at the first touch of the price and the demand below will be the final target.
NVO Breakout to All-Time HighIn this chart we're looking at NVO on the 1W chart as price has consolidated into an ascending triangle . Price has broken through the horizontal boundary around $58. After price prints a 1W candle (1 day left) through $59.77 breakout will be confirmed.
This ascending triangle has a price target of around $85 for about a ~46% gain.
Price has good momentum as it has found support on the 200EMA and is breaking out of its chart pattern boundary well above the 200EMA.
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$BDX Breakout to All Time HighIn this chart we're looking at Becton Dickinson & Co on the 1W chart as price has consolidated into an ascending triangle . Price has recently broken through the horizontal resistance around $263 with a strong weekly candle. Breakout was confirmed after price broke through $271. I just came across this company's stock this weekend, so I missed the initial breakout. Even though the initial breakout was missed, we had a small pullback and then another strong weekly candle to show this instrument has strength. There is still plenty of upside to be taken advantage of.
This ascending triangle has a price target of around $319 and we have already seen a small pullback before what seems to be continuation to the upside.
Nonetheless, if we see another larger pullback, I expect price to find support on the horizontal chart pattern boundary around $263.
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$CRM Breakout to All-Time HighToday we're looking at Salesforce.com on the 1W chart as price has consolidated into an ascending triangle. Over the past week price has broken through the horizontal resistance around $166 with a very strong weekly candle.
This ascending triangle has a price target of around $214.25 but we may see a small pullback before continuation.
If we see a pullback I expect price to find support on the horizontal chart pattern boundary around $166.
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EURNZD - SHORT PLANLooking to EURNZD, there is a good setup in this pair.
Based on EW, I would like to see the price getting higher to my "Area of Value" and I will go to lower timeframe to get into short opportunity.
We can call this intraday trade, in order to confirm my short bias of course I would love to see if the price makes a Lower Low in Daily TF before doing any pullback. In this case also, its finishing all impulsive waves.
Let's see how it goes.
AU shortNow that we have a clean impulse out of a very corrective ascending structure, I am looking for an entry on this continuation.
Need price to stay within the previous high and current low as it forms this counter trend move.
This small break out of structure can now potentially evolve into a simple fake out and price could now fall all the way back into the pattern.
AU shortNow that we have a clean impulse out of a very corrective ascending structure, I am looking for an entry on this continuation.
Need price to stay within the previous high and current low as it forms this counter trend move.
This small break out of structure can now potentially evolve into a simple fake out and price could now fall all the way back into the pattern.
EU shortPrice has given us a very nice impulse out of a corrective ascending channel. This was forecast in a previous post.
All we need now is clean continuation within the previous high and current low and i will be entering this position with 2 trades one to manage aggressively and one to
hopefully hold for the larger move to the downside.
EU shortPrice has given us a very nice impulse out of a corrective ascending channel. This was forecast in a previous post.
All we need now is clean continuation within the previous high and current low and i will be entering this position with 2 trades one to manage aggressively and one to
hopefully hold for the larger move to the downside.
$MDU Consolidation Before BreakoutTo wrap up the year I'm going to leave you all with one more idea I have my eyes on. In this situation, we're looking at $MDU.
MDU Resources Group is a stock that we have seen consolidate into two different patterns over the course of the last nine years. Both respective patterns have yielded excellent results as both have reached their respective targets. Now it is almost time for our third pattern to breakout.
This time we are seeing price consolidate into a three and a half year long rectangle.
I'm looking for a clear break (1W candle close) above the price of $30 (dotted purple line.) After we get a clear breakout above that level, I'm looking to enter a long position targeting the price of $36.20 for a gain of ~22%.
To further support the idea of a bullish breakout, we can see the 200 EMA resting below the breakout level, which adds to my conviction that we will see a breakout to the upside.
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$INTC Bullish Consolidation Before Possible BreakoutAs this week of trading is nearing an end, I wanted to share another potential trading setup I've had my eyes on. In this setup we're looking at Intel Corp.
Back in late 2014/early 2015 this instrument began consolidating into an ascending triangle (bullish continuation pattern) and sure enough, price broke through the top side of the triangle and continued heading up to the point we're at now. Following the breakout of the previously mentioned ascending triangle, we can see price is now consolidating into a rectangle.
The 200 EMA has been resting comfortably below both setups as added support - giving me more conviction that we're about to see another break upwards.
I'm looking for a clear break and close above the $59.50 (dotted purple line) area.
Price is attempting to break that boundary with this week's 1W candle close.
If we get a clear close above this chart pattern boundary, I'm targeting price to reach previous all-time highs around $72.50
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Confusing market? let me make it easy on you... bear power!Most of you who've been following my market weekly analysis (Also my fav' TF since it ignores all the news in the background) for the past few months know how I like chaotic messy rainbow colored charts ^_^ but also that I been super bearish since top to bottom =D
I love to see many basic but important TA/PA elements on my charts and thus I have to break it into parts for you guys <3, so lets begin:
1. The big trend:
- Main/noise -
The main obvious trend is bearish, and thus the main focus should be on shorts at important resistance levels as this way you catch all/most of the really big moves.. I already seen many groups/socialPeople talking about that we hit bottom, sure rare few of them have some valid points but until there aren't confirmations for the bull run it is all just a guess which is followed by the noise of smaller TFs which is caused by corrections to the downtrend/bull traps/SLHunts.. these groups/people tend to say we bottomed on almost every rise we had so far, while ignoring the bigger picture..
- Fibunachi:
I tend to say that a parabolic run should correct itself to around 0.7'-1' (3880-6k$) fib' levels, why?
because fundamentally a parabolic run isn't healthy/natural growing market, it brings to much money without real worth and can be very aggressive when panic sells going out..
and sentimentally the buyers are very hesitating and aren't rushing in when a market is falling..
thus a parabolic correction will never be good correction at the regular 0.6', 0.5', 0.3' fib levels, it will be much more aggressive..
* bearish/correction? - parabolic runs from my perspective usually end up in bearish market, BUT! from my perspective this can also be defined as a 'more aggressive correction' with expected results... my main target is 5.5k and I do expect the price to stop somewhere between 5-5.5k (Very strong S/R zone for last and current parabolic), it dosn't mean we can't spike below that, but if we go below 3880k for more then a couple of days? then even I have no idea and can't expect where the market will stop..
- trend lines -
Basic and yet the most important PA from my perspective... these are the guide lines to see how strong is the overall vibe/more of the market, this was also one of my main reasons to call the top on last parabolic run at around 15-20k, and this current parabolic run since 12-14k, notice how the market reacts when we go below a trend line that the bull run created, everytime we break a treanline its more likely to try and find support on the next one, I tend to think that for a new bull run to happen after a parabolic run then we need to reset that parabolic run, how we do that? by breaking all the trend lines which were created above the first one, thus I believe we will also break below the 5th trend line before we can really start the next bull run.
- MAs - e21 was one of the final confirmations for this bear run, staying below e21+e50 is very bad and leads to very strong death cross (while both E's on down trend) which if will happen then expect a whole 6 months of bear run (which also fits to my idea about that we will start the bull run only 4-6 months after the halving)...
- Ichinoku cloud -
Tenken and Kinjun death crossed (on a down trend) which is another confirmations for the big bear trend
also the Chinkou also went below the overall market movement which shows long term bear trend
and I overall as I mentioned on my last updates that if we won't see any strong push up at the 16/12 above the cloud then continuation for a bear run is more likely under the cloud until we see any sort of recovery...
- S/R zones -
I showed here all the important S/R zones we need to deal with before next bull run, these zones are ideal to plan positions with market direction...
If we enter below the red S/R again, it will turn to a very strong resistance and most likely push us to 6900 line, touching this line 4-5 (1-2 more to go) times will create a very strong move crush towards the next support zones..
2. Pattern:
- Falling wedge -
Yep, falling wedge is a bullish reversal/continuation pattern, so in the end we should break it at some point (with confirmed volume, and confirmed new trend after the breakout), I suspect that the best area to do so is my target support area..
3. Volume:
- Volume - if we break the bearish trend line it must be confirmed with volume,we are getting close to breaking the descending volume activity... successful break should also be high enough above the the red volume candle.
- OBV - or as I love to call it as volume buying power, should confirm next bull run, without it we will run breakouts without active fuel to push the price up and thus if we dont have enough then we won't hold higher interest price levels.
- VPVR - showing that we are at good price interest area for liquidity, this actually a big confirmation for accumulation and very important for our next bull run.
* Conclusion: It looks like we still 'might' have a strong manipulation push trend up (with PA rules) all the way to 7840 (e50 weekly + e21 3d), if we break these then the next target is 8230-8325 (e21 weekly + e50 3d), but do remember: this type of market movement is just a natural noise of correction/bullTrap/slHunts, and is there to divert your attention form the big picture, on a bearish market you which was forming since 12-14k which I warned about since then and which was confirmed by many aspects until now, you should focus on shorts at critical resistance areas, and even if your sl hits don't panic, just move your next position to the next resistance, this is how I always catch up all the main big moves, as simple as that... don't fall for this 'btc botomed' crap as long as it wasn't confirmed and proven otherwise, our main target should remain as 5-5.5k unless we really confirm the next bull run.
my current laddering short positions are focused around 7535-7835 zone (sl: 7845), so if we come back to that area I might ladder more positions to my existing ones as well.. and another focus for me is to trade a breakdown point under 6880..