$ITV - Continuation swing with +10% to +40% upsideTechnical Analysis
Price bottomed out 3 weeks ago and the RSI + William %R
Price broke out the daily channel last week and has been consolidating above the 1D 50EMA. There is a good zone to buy before a further push above 76 and potentially 90
Price Target
Entry: 71-73
Target 1: 76 (+5%)
Target 2: 88 (+20%)
Analyst Targets: 101 (+40%
Financial Metrics
High quality as shown by the financial metrics. Undervalued with high upside/growth potential.
Continuationpatterns
AUDJPY Correction and More Downside!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
**AUDJPY - Listen to video!
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NZDUSD, buyers building for a break higher? Hello to our subscribers and to the TradingView community. Welcome to Thursday’s update. Focus today is on the NZDUSD. Price failed to launch our consolidation after yesterday’s FOMC, but the pattern remains, and we continue to wonder if secondary momentum will see buyers confirm a breakout.
Early this morning, the FED increased rates to 2.50%. The statement seemed to reassure buyers and set off a sharp risk rally that covered most markets and sent the USD lower. Powell said they didn’t see the economy in a recession, and action showed that the FED is committed to fighting the current inflation issue. The Fed also advised that a time will come when rates rise slowly to assess their impact. This could have been seen as a hint that an end to the cycle could be nearing.
Regardless, we can’t take away from what happened this morning, and that was that risk markets liked what they heard and acted accordingly—strong upswings were seen across stock indexes, forex pairs, gold, oil and cryptocurrencies.
The NZDUSD rallied after the FOMC but remained capped at 0.6260 resistance. Today we’re seeing buyers test that level with a move outside, starting to push at a breakout. Yesterday’s candle was a failed break lower and, after holding, reconfirmed the new uptrend line. We have also seen a break of two down trendlines.
The OBV is also quite interesting at the moment. We haven’t seen a true breakout by price, but we are seeing a consolidation break on the OBV. Could this be a lead in volume increasing before price moves higher?
We will continue to watch price to see if buyers can take the next step.
AUD JPY on target to 100+G'day,
Previous analysis attached below back in June 7th. Enjoy.
Breakdown:
1. Note
2. Contents
3. Research breakdown
4. Education recap
5. Information on Lupa.
A note before reading - this is a forecast analysis - based upon our trading strategy. This is tagged Neutral, however, as outline below - will be buying until the OL, offers a highly probable zones where a confirmed sell break and a confirmed sell from the Original level. Starting the supply and demand imbalance. Overall, where an imbalance is formed and sellers have completed the changing of hands due to purchasing further increments the exhaustive sellers.
Please do not take this as face value and conduct the relevant investment strategy to successfully trade the probabilities. However, note, at current we are awaiting confirmation of a Bearish move (positional trade).
Master Key for zones
Red = Three Month
Blue = Monthly
Purple = weekly
Orange = Daily
Risk Warning
Trading leveraged products such as Forex, commodities and CFDs, carries with it a high level of risk and so may not be suitable for every investor. Prior to trading the foreign exchange, commodity or CFD market, consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. You should never risk more than you can afford to lose. If you fail to understand or are uncertain of the risks involved, please seek independent advice and remember to conduct due diligence.
Monthly
Re-mark:
January 2018, has a new Monthly imbalance - where price has broken through as structure here was weak, however offering a strong monthly bearish engulfing candle.
Price action between Oct 2021 - February 2022 offers a huge opportunity for price to break through this part of the curve (structure left) and react to the lower imbalance at 94.5 Mid candle - (note the candle ranging for the lower imbalance here at 92.7X - 97.00).
Original marking - aligned monthly imbalances marked and align better with the market structure.
Weekly Chart - as shown - technical mark up is provided.
Weekly with Fibonacci
Daily chart pushing towards the OL
Price fell towards the daily trendline and respected it at 87.9X - furthermore - netted out the imbalance on the 3day chart
Then from the imbalance drawn - showed a strong pattern to the arrival from the destination with little to no opportunity to sell - this created a short term strong curve, which needs to pivot back to a level.
Outcome from the Above June 7th chart.
From the establish high formed, price has now broken into the FL below the Monthly Original level (monthly timeframe)
The curve was broken from the Fresh high created, creating a FL on the daily. Price using a confirmation - created the low (pivot), retest of zone and then subsequent sell down towards the Demand imbalance.
Despite not reaching the sell imbalance price did however revert to a pivot for the Fibonacci Sequence at 70.5%. (revert to cleaner chart below).
Where price is heading?
Use confirms from a CP or PCP level.
Buying opportunities
Ideally looking towards a retest subject to confirmation at a tap of 93.XX
Selling opportunity
Awaiting the PCP level at the FL high at 97.XX
or subject to a downturn and <92 is taken with a daily close - confirming a sell upon a break of structure. (not in favour at present)
Do you enjoy the setups?
Professional analyst with 5+ years experience in the capital markets
Focus on technical output not fundamentals
Focus on investing for long term positional moves
Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress.
If you like the idea, please leave a like or comment.
To all the followers, thank you for your continued support.
Thanks,
LVPA MMXXII
USD CHF - Strong move towards the arrival zoneG'Day Traders and Analysts,
Breakdown:
1. Note
2. Contents
3. Research breakdown
4. Education recap
5. Information on Lupa.
A Note before reading - this is a forecast analysis - based upon our trading strategy. This is tagged short, until the opportunity for a close reaches the profit taking zone. This will be activated as long, where an imbalance is formed and sellers have completed the changing of hands due to purchasing further increments the exhaustive sellers.
Please do not take this as face value and conduct the relevant investment strategy to successfully trade the probabilities. However, note, at current we are awaiting confirmation of a Bearish move.
Master Key for zones
Red = Three Month
Blue = Monthly
Purple = weekly
Orange = Daily
Please see the original idea posted below, June 11th.
Update to the Daily Chart of the highly probable moves of USD CHF.
Looking for a reactive tap within the Daily supply as it is a FL.
Ample opportunities as this pair is slower in terms of price action, however when price does commit to the large engulfing candles, the volatility is clear.
Well this happened, and price tapped the FL
Based upon a High curve, where price double topped upon the Daily and weekly zone.
Weekly zone - had a reactive move which hit the psychological parity of 1.000
From here price, reacted creating a strong 1st test of the supply imbalance. Where price has a strong previous case, as is seen with alot of currency pairs being analysed at present, these large engulfing 4,5 strong candles with the probability of <50% of a pivot as a breather allows the high probability of a PCP formation when looking for a sell or buy. (in this case sell).
Weekly
Before;
Expected price to remove the long await break of trend.
Once broken, clear pathway for bullish moves from the arrival to the new departure forming between 0.912-0.928, which successfully retested.
Why did USD CHF exponentially move?
From a technical view, DXY moved strong in correlation, along with SPX500 falling from a supply (but this is not causative or correlated).
USOIL also as a fundamental pivoted and has shown a strong dominance in price with clear structure.
The upside potential was clear, with looking left shows two zones where price could revert on the daily, weekly chart (upon this reversion, provide a clear opportunity for a PCP move).
Present
Well price did the exact.
Why did price suddenly sell off?
Highly reactive FL (check weekly). Price was overbought and the FL level had not been breached since May 2019.
Sell off was needed as highly reactive psychological levels and arrival zone tap, follows the rules of imbalances and Departure from a supply confirm.
Monthly
What to expect, well the weekly shows a strong PCP level for sells (using PCP rules within supply and demand rules).
With the strong probability of the reactive zone, price is looking to pivot, but as the structure of the market left offers no opportunities of a buying pivot. Sells are still strongly suggested.
Any pullbacks are relief of pressure from bearish moves as it heads to target.
Looking for Daily closures of head and shoulder pattern forming or a consolidative CP level forming.
Do you enjoy the setups?
Professional analyst with 5+ years experience in the capital markets
Focus on technical output not fundamentals
Position and swing trades
Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress.
If you like the idea, please leave a like or comment.
To all the followers, thank you for your continued support.
Thanks,
LVPA MMXXII
EURJPY Continuation TradeHi Traders,
I am looking at a very simple setup on EURJPY today, We have basic price action creating lower lows and lower highs, Price has also rejected the current resistance level and I would like to see the continuation to the downside,
I would 1st like to see the current h4 Candle close Bearish, Once this happens I would monitor the next h4 candle to see if price will continue the bearish push.
Keep in mind that tomorrow we have the FOMC and this may affect how price moves tomorrow so be prepared for anything. My target would be around 139.0 On this pair and would expect even further push down. For now, let's see how price plays out.
Renaldo Philander
🐻XAUUSD SHORT(follow up)The previous setup on Gold that was shared has not played out as thought.
There was no entry trigger which was a break below the support, but of course we didn't expect it to break right then and there, though it is taking longer than expected.
We see the chance of a double bottom bullish continuation playing out, but there is still a bearish continuation that I have drawn up.
There are 2 situations here and both marked up.
if price breaks above the major resistance then my confidence in buys will be restored.
EURAUD CONTINUATION PATTERNEURAUD has stuck to the current bearish trend line for months now and we are finally seeing another bounce from the pair. On top of that, we can see price has also bounced off a very significant level of support turned resistance showing us that trend will be continuing. Targets are around 700 pips as we reach for the weekly swing low
🐂EUR/JPY LONGEUR/JPY has been bullish for some time, giving positives on a previous setup we shared.
Price broke out of a resistance and moved higher impulsively, the analysis to this setup is linked below.
On the 1H chart, price has now presented a continuation pattern in the form of a flag.
We should look to long when price touches the supporting trendline for the third time and changes structure.
OANDA:EURJPY
XAU / USD 1948.13 - 0.83 % SHORT IDEA * CONTINUATION & PTTNSHEY EVERYONE
HOPE EVERYONE IS DOING GOOD HAVING A GOOD ONE,
AN IDEA ON THE GOLD METAL THIS WEEK.
* The metal has been Correcting for a couple of weeks now, seems we have entered some slowing down in momentum with the bears as we ranged in a Bear flag possibly signaling continuation.
- Short term the METAL has currently Rallied with a down trend as WE broke below on the 4h chart. hitting ( LH , LL ), looking for a continuation of this trend with the bears.
- Looking for SHORT entries on the METAL this week should all the rules of the formation be met, A break above of the marked structure and close CANCELS the trade should the bear flag / ascending channel come into play again could be just a delay to retest another resistance just above there.
SCALLING DOWN
lets see how it goes
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🐻US30 LONGUS30 has been bullish on higher timeframes.
A pennant has presented itself on the 1H timeframe, signifying continuations to the upside.
There are two ways in which this continuation will likely play out, and I have presented them on the chart
CURRENCYCOM:US30
Three Rising Methods with Volume Confirmation: Short NZDCADFundamentals:
Rising oil prices will contribute to strengthening the CAD, as it tends to fall in line with oil. What's more, Canada is experiencing economic growth overall.
Technicals:
The "Three Rising Methods" candle pattern on the daily chart comes with lower volume interest with each end of day daily sessions. On top of that, each session had wicks long enough to give extra weight to this selling pressure.
The days before this rising candles the selling pressure was great with a wide spread bar.
Conclusion :
Sell NZDUSD
🙌EUR/USD NEUTRALEUR/USD has been very bearish for a long time.
Price tested a supporting trendline on the weekly for the third time.
I am now expecting deeper corrections but price broke out of the rising flag after third touches.
There is a strong possibility for both of these to play out but most likely price will go up in the near future as EUR inflation rises.
Interest rate hikes are expected so we could see the market go higher.
The best setup could be the double bottom if it presents itself.
OANDA:EURUSD
🐂NZD/USD LONGNZD/USD had been in an uptrend on the daily chart.
Price started to correct deeply and no that correction seems to have finished of with an inverse head and shoulders.
To add to this, the Elliot wave sequence has completed for this correction and we can expect a reversal of it, hence a continuation to the upside.
Price broke the neckline of the Inverse Head and Shoulders and now is giving us a bullish continuation pattern right below key resistance.
This signifies a break out build up.
We should expect price to break soon but it can come down and then later go up, I'm sticking to longs for now.
We should long when price breaks the resistance and target the price marked in green
OANDA:NZDUSD
🐂EUR/JPY LONGEUR/JPY Has been a ranging market for the most part.
Price has been ranging since May 2021.
this range turned to be a bullish flag, and price was in an uptrend in the weekly.
This gives us strong reason to long this market.
We recently broke out of the daily trendline and should look for continuations to the upside.
I expect price to retrace and respect previous resistance and let it become support, this is where we should look to long with our targets market in green.
OANDA:EURJPY