Quadruple Witching: What Retail Traders Should Know█ Quadruple Witching is Happening Today: What Retail Traders Should Know!
Today marks Quadruple Witching, a pivotal event in the financial markets that occurs four times a year—on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December. During Quadruple Witching, four types of derivative contracts expire simultaneously:
Stock Index Futures
Stock Index Options
Single Stock Futures
Single Stock Options
When all four of these contracts expire simultaneously, it can lead to increased trading volume and heightened volatility in the markets. The term "witching" is derived from the "Triple Witching" event, which involves the simultaneous expiration of three types of contracts (stock index futures, stock index options, and single stock options). Quadruple Witching adds the expiration of single stock futures to this mix.
This convergence leads to a surge in trading activity and heightened market volatility as traders and investors adjust or close their positions.
█ When Does Quadruple Witching Occur?
Quadruple Witching takes place on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December each year. These dates align with the end of each fiscal quarter, making them significant for various market participants.
█ What Retail Traders Should Be Aware Of
⚪ Increased Volatility
Price Swings: Expect more significant and rapid price movements in both individual stocks and broader market indices.
Unpredictable Trends: Sudden shifts can occur, making it challenging to anticipate market direction.
⚪ Higher Trading Volume
Liquidity Peaks : Trading volumes can spike by 30-40%, enhancing liquidity but also increasing competition for trade execution.
Potential for Slippage: High volumes may lead to slower order executions and potential slippage, where trades are executed at different prices than intended.
⚪ Potential for Market Manipulation
Large Institutional Trades: Institutions managing vast derivative positions can influence stock prices, creating opportunities and risks.
Short-Term Opportunities: Retail traders might find short-term trading opportunities but should exercise caution.
⚪ Emotional Discipline
Stress Management: The fast-paced and volatile environment can be emotionally taxing. Maintain a clear trading plan to avoid impulsive decisions.
Risk Management: Use stop-loss orders and position sizing to protect against unexpected market moves.
█ Historical Perspective and Market Behavior
Historically, Quadruple Witching days have been associated with noticeable market movements.
⚪ Price Trends
Some studies suggest that markets may trend in the direction of the prevailing market sentiment leading into the expiration day.
⚪ Volatility Patterns
Volatility tends to spike during Quadruple Witching, especially in the final hour of trading, as traders finalize their positions.
⚪ Volume Spikes
Trading volumes can increase by 30-40% compared to regular trading days, reflecting the high level of activity as contracts expire.
█ Tips for Navigating Quadruple Witching
⚪ Avoid Trading
Some traders prefer to stay out of the market to avoid unpredictable price movements and potential losses.
⚪ Stay Informed
Market News: Keep abreast of financial news and updates that may influence market sentiment.
Contract Expirations: Be aware of which contracts are expiring and their potential impact on specific stocks or indices.
⚪ Focus on Liquidity
Trade Liquid Stocks: Opt for highly liquid stocks and ETFs to ensure smoother trade executions and tighter bid-ask spreads.
Avoid Thinly Traded Assets: Steer clear of stocks with low trading volumes to minimize execution risks.
⚪ Use Limit Orders
Control Entry and Exit Points: Limit orders allow you to set specific prices for buying or selling, helping manage execution prices amidst volatility.
⚪ Monitor Key Levels
Support and Resistance: Keep an eye on critical technical levels that may act as barriers or catalysts for price movements.
Volume Indicators: Use volume-based indicators to gauge the strength of price movements.
⚪ Maintain Discipline
Stick to Your Plan: Adhere to your trading strategy and avoid making decisions based on fear or greed.
Manage Risk: Implement strict risk management practices, such as setting stop-loss levels and not overexposing your portfolio.
█ Key Takeaways
⚪ Frequency: Occurs four times a year on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December.
⚪ Impact: This leads to increased trading volume and volatility due to the expiration of four types of derivative contracts.
⚪ Strategies: Traders may choose to avoid trading, focus on liquid assets, implement strict risk management, or exploit short-term volatility.
⚪ Risks: These include unpredictable price movements, liquidity issues, execution challenges, and emotional stress.
█ Conclusion
Quadruple Witching can significantly impact market dynamics, presenting both opportunities and challenges for retail traders. By understanding the mechanics of this event and implementing strategic measures, traders can better navigate the heightened volatility and make informed decisions. Remember to stay disciplined, manage your risks effectively, and focus on liquid assets to optimize your trading performance during Quadruple Witching days.
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Disclaimer
This is an educational study for entertainment purposes only.
The information in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell securities. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on evaluating their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Contracts
Stellar XLM The biggest Moon 14.00 +XLM BULL PENANT/FLAG
This is just and idea. Why so stagnant? For years after years in regards to new ATH?! Because the pole upwards is coming!
XLM has been working and building in the background. Lately with the new Soroban contracts phasing out. XLM is becoming a Real World Assets commodity. The project and foundation has kept an ear to the damn US government in regards to compliance and regulation. In price action terms XLM is considered dead because it’s brewing up ready to blow off.
Don’t be deterred nor discouraged. I believe we are in a super cycle. If the pole breaks upwards and you held, though you may have traded the last bull run. You have to hold XLM’s bottoms on the pennant/flag.
The highest hopium is the highest risk. If it pays off, you’re rich.
$EVLV Bullish (National Security)As politicians use fragile child lives as a trojan horse for their orwellian gun laws- the answer to the problem still remains clear- metal detectors. How many more children will get fish in a barreled'd until some safety measures are put into place. Not LA, not Chicago, they already have proper safety measures- this needs to be a nationwide child safety movement with government sponsorship. There is nothing more important than our youth, especially Ukraine when it comes to the B word (billions).
If anyones aware of any other stocks like this let me know. I think the whole AI thing is a waste of time and also a trojan horse but nonetheless.
America first.
www.businesswire.com
WALTHAM, Mass.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Evolv Technology (NASDAQ: EVLV), the leader in AI-based weapons detection security screening, today announced that Peter George, the Company’s President and Chief Executive Officer and Mark Donohue, the Company’s Chief Financial Officer, are scheduled to present at the Credit Suisse Technology Conference on Tuesday, November 29, 2022 in Scottsdale, Arizona. The Company will webcast the presentation live at approximately 5:05 p.m. Eastern Time. All interested parties can access the webcast live on the Company's investor relations website at ir.evolvtechnology.com.
Evolv is committed to creating weapons-free zones across the world. The Evolv Express® system, which uses a powerful combination of artificial intelligence, advanced sensors, and comprehensive analytics, screens nearly 750 thousand people each day– and as many as 1.25 million a day on weekends. Since January 2022, Evolv has detected and stopped over 30 thousand guns and 27 thousand knives, excluding law enforcement, from entering its customers’ venues, including schools, performing arts centers, casinos, stadiums, arenas, hospitals and other workplaces. These numbers represent approximately a third of customers who are currently tagging the threats by utilizing Evolv’s analytics platform, called Evolv Insights.
Partnering with customers, Evolv Express® systems have stopped potential mass casualties in areas that are intended to be weapons-free. In the past few months alone, two incidents have taken place where the Evolv Express® systems prevented a loaded gun from entering a hospital and a school where, in each case, it was believed there was intent to do harm and law enforcement was engaged.
In the six months ended June 30, 2022, the Company has added nearly 100 new customers, including Gillette Stadium, Hard Rock International, AO Arena, Distrito T-Mobile, Dollywood Theme Park and Champaign Unit 4 School District. Further, Evolv has now screened over 350 million people, second only to the U.S. Department of Homeland Security’s Transportation Security Administration (TSA). Evolv has deployed over 1,100 of its Express systems in iconic venues throughout North America and the United Kingdom as well as in schools, hospitals, and public spaces, securing its position as the leading provider of AI-based concealed weapons screening technology in use today.
“At Evolv, we believe that safety is a basic human right,” said Peter George, CEO of Evolv Technology. “Over 350 million people is an important step in our quest to keep people safe where they gather, as is stopping over 50 thousand weapons from entering the places where they work, learn, play and live. We partner with our customers to create weapons-free zones and, we believe, provide peace of mind to visitors and staff as well as to the community at large. If we can prevent or deter one potential loss of life, we are doing our job.”
The Company achieved year over year growth in the following measures during the six months ended June 30, 2022:
152% year-over-year increase in new customers
366% year-over-year increase in total people screened
193% year-over-year increase in Evolv Express units deployed
news.yahoo.com
A new multi-million-dollar safety plan has just been approved for some Duval County Schools.
The school board voted yes to spend almost $9 million on metal detectors for all high schools. For Duval County Public Schools board members, it was a quick yes vote with all 7 board members in favor.
>>> STREAM ACTION NEWS JAX LIVE <<<
Duval County Public Schools said this was necessary because it adds an extra layer of security to your child’s classroom.
The metal detectors made by Evolv’s Technology Express will be in all 19 DCPS high schools, costing the district $8.7 million dollars. It’ll be paid for with capitol money.
DCPS Chairman Darryl Willie explains why the county is focusing on high schools.
“A lot of the time when we do find weapons on campus, it’s generally in our high schools,” Willie said.
RELATED: Duval school board to vote on $8.7 million metal detector contract for high schools Tuesday
As far as Duval’s elementary and middle schools DCPS Police Chief Greg Burton said officers will continue to do security checks with wands.
In addition to the metal detectors there will be cameras, extra lighting, fences and badges required to enter and exit the building.
DCPS thinks these metal detectors are good for a number of reasons. One being that students won’t have to empty their pockets or bags while being screened. Instead, these metal detectors can actually show where exactly a weapon might be located on a body.
Bearish Pennant 24HR TF Bearish Pennant forming RSI peaking at 50 before news from Fed regarding Job Opening/Manufacturing PMI reports looking at negative inflation reports. Fed Meeting minutes at 2:00PM gives more insight into monetary policy and rate hike forecasts. Labour market strong but might be forced into an Fed induced recession.
Looking for steep correction to recent price action my TP @ 1000$ per ETH.
High volatility expected.
$BTC | We are going lowerThe dead cat bounce was retraced last week along with all other markets and hit the trend line nicely. If we break the support zone highlighted (which is a major leve) the next stop is around the $16,000 area (which isn't a strong level at all) and then $11,000. We haven't cleared any trend line and have respected the 50 EMA for over 5 months now.
For investors, this is fantastic news. For traders and who are shorting, this is fantastic news.
Time to load up on privacy coinsIt's time to load up on privacy coins.
My picks are:
XMR - everyone knows about Monero
DERO - Got some exciting things coming out
XTA - Rebranding into SYFER with homomorphic encryption, privacy network with privacy smart contracts! at only 70.000 USD Marketcap it is a steal!
Are PYPL Leap Contracts Free Money Right Now?What's going on fellow traders, hope everybody enjoyed their long weekend. I just wanted to drop this here and see what your thoughts are on what I believe to be a no brainer.
As you've probably noticed, $PYPL has had an insane sell off that's been ongoing for what feels like an eternity at this point. Historically, you can see that there has been pretty solid support at the $100 level since the summer of 2018. That being said, given today's market conditions I wouldn't be surprised if $PYPL gets bullied a bit more subsequently dipping into the sub -10 RSI level. I believe pretty much any more selling pressure in the next 1-2 weeks could force the stock back into the high $80s mid $90s. From there it should be completely bottomed out and a fantastic time to load up on leaps as close to the money as possible. I'll be waiting to see if we can get in at an even bigger discount and will be targeting contracts within the <$95 zone and as soon as Oct 21 to Sep. 15, 2023.
The yellow drawn in trend line represents a rough trajectory of the price that I could see happening if $100 support is cracked. (just a guess)
Let me know what you guys think, and please send me any of your own picks that you like.
- Premium Flippa
PLTR Buying Opportunity, 52 Week RSI Bounce Incoming. How's it going fellow investors. I don't know about you guys but something I love to do during downtime is looking for buying opportunities like this across the markets. I feel pretty solid about this projection, and hope that you find it helpful. As you can see we have been in a sell off since the week off Nov. 1st (EMA Crossed). Their most recent earnings report reported last week contributed significantly to this down trend as well as they missed their earnings and shares fell 15%. Here are the specifics if you missed it. "Earnings per share (EPS): 2 cents, adjusted vs. 4 cents estimated, according to a Refinitiv survey of analysts" and "Revenue: $433 million vs. $418 million estimated, according to Refinitiv"
I believe we are going to see a lot of buying pressure and resistance at the 10 dollar level and will likely catalyst off of news or their earnings call in May (Exact date has not been confirmed yet).
Let me know what your thoughts are, or any other stock ideas you may have. I love to hear other people's ideas.
Cardano VS BNB Smart Contract Launch Price Prediction - $63 ADAIf Cardano sees the same success that Binance Smart Chain did after launching smart contracts in September 2020, we could see a similar move in Carddano. BNB pumped 3,300% after launching smart contracts. When the Alonzo fork launches towards the end of August and all these projects are building (they are already waiting) on Cardano the ecosystem has the potential to explode and see a similar move to BNB. Bringing a price target of $63 by April 2022.
This is one measurement, and there are other chains to compare against such as Polygon. If you'd like to see this comparison give me a like and follow and I'll put this out for the public also.
$TRIP Surge in travel comingHello,
A number of reports have been released in recent weeks that hint at travel becoming red hot as the world pulls out of the covid crisis. With 50% of US adults now vaccinated expect people to use those stimulus checks to book trips and travel. We've all been pent up inside. This is one of the trades I am most excited about For June - August. My personal price target is between 46-52.
Beyond the reports we see the usual hallmarks of bulls attempting to regain control.
1) OBV has flipped the average and accumulation has started to occur
2) CMF has halted the downward decline as buying pressure from the accumulation is taking hold -- meaning that people now believe it may be worth more in the future where as two weeks ago they though it would be worth less.
3) the MACD short term has crossed over the MACD long term. Meaning that suddenly the average price is eating away at that 'negative average loss per day' and is pushing back towards a neutral 0 but with bullish momentum behind it.
This trade is still early on, but it's a good entry price if you're looking for a travel option. I looked at a large number of cruise lines, airlines, and other travel associated tickers. This one looks appealing because it's close to a recent low, has cheap options, and has a good chart--imo.
As always, control your risk, trade carefully. I am not responsible for your trades, gains, or losses. I just find ideas and present them.
Best of luck.
HIGH ETH GAS FEES = MIRGRATION TO TRX CHAIN FOR SMART CONTRACTSEveryone is being told that Ethereum 2.0 proof of stake Blockchain is two months away. I have even seen reports of two weeks away! The Ethereum developers are the most conservative out of any chain. Why? They have the most to lose, being the number two crypto on the market by "market cap".
The number of projects built on top of the ETH Blockchain has swelled due to a big shift toward decentralised applications in finance, gambling and smart contract matrices because this removes the risk of bad actors 'exit scamming " with your money.
The combination of these factors and BRRRRRRRRRR of printing presses skews my fundamental analysis toward a bullish crypto outlook, albeit with very short lived pullback.
Cardano on the next bitcoin spike 2022/2023My opinion only on the future value of ADA on the next Bitcoin spike price going into 2022 possibly into the beginning of 2023.
We have two prices: one where ADA reaches a value of $25.00 (0.0028) and or on a Super Cycle event where Bitcoin reaches a value of $550.000 then ADA could possibly reach a value of $50.00 (0.0058).
Gold Price Analysis after Trump contracts coronavirus The world is in shock after President Donald Trump tweeted that he tested positive for coronavirus. Stocks markets fell, and gold finally broke free of the correlation with equities and advanced above $1,900.
The bombshell development continues grabbing the headlines and casts questions about fiscal stimulus, the elections, and other topics.
As investors continue watching the latest developments, how is the precious metal positioned?
Looking up, gold faces its first noteworthy cluster of resistance at $1,910, which is the meeting point of the Bollinger Band 4h-Upper, the previous daily high, the BB 15min-Upper, and other lines.
The upside target is $1,928, which is the confluence of the Pivot Point one-day Resistance 2 and the PP one-week R1.
USDWTI H4 - Long Trade SetupUSDWTI H4 - Those that watched the weekly watchlist will be familiar with this setup, we mentioned we would like to see a double bottom from support. Potentially what we may be seeing here, but we haven't test the actual support zone, just shy of, where the candle bodies previously closed last week. Still 1:3, let see how this active H4 closes.
Xau/UsdMy analysis until June 19th. With futures contracts expiring on the 19th i expect gold to either retest this 1763 area or even break higher until 1772 with strong seller rejection back at this level in 2012. Gold continues to stay above the 200 ma waters but is at small momentum and will ultimately lose a bit on possible profit taking during expiration of contracts. This leave will leave opportunities on the table for all institutions of traders to get in on price action before volatility explodes to either side. Am overall bullish but always staying optimistic at key levels. :)
$QALB 2ND Major Leg Gears Up on Techs as Pink Current/PRs LoomMajor PT of $10 still intact after massive DD uncovered after talks with management. DD can be seen in previous tagged posts and on iHub:
investorshub.advfn.com