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Convergence

DXY 1W Forecast until March 2025Consolidation below 106 will last until October 2024. Breakout will happen in October peaking at 111-112 followed by a retest (mid November 2024 - January 2025). Further upward movement + correction will happen in January-March 2025 between the top of 113-114 and the bottom of 105-ish. Consecutive HH and HL will be followed by rapid increase in pace of changes: time will shrink and levels will expand. This will mark the start of hard times of Greatest Depression in March 2025 sending all markets down and making USD the king.
INDEX:DXY
by discarding
LONG: Mahindra & Mahindra on the Rise: Targeting New Highs!🔍 Technical Analysis Report: NSE:M_M Current Overview: 📈 NSE:M_M have shown a strong reversal from its recent low of ₹2,665.55. This recovery is significant as it has crossed the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, with the highest reference point being the level 1 Fibonacci at ₹3,214.95. Key Observations: Volume Analysis: Over the past 3-5 trading days, the stock has displayed consistent positive volume, indicating sustainable upward movement. 📊🔼 Critical Resistance: Since mid-June, the stock has been approaching a key resistance level. It briefly breached the 0.5 Fibonacci level yesterday but closed near the 0.382 Fibonacci level. 🚧 Price Movement: Today, the stock opened around the 0.382 Fibonacci level at ₹2,827.10 and is inching upwards. 📈 Technical Indicators: MACD Analysis: The current MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) shows an impending buying crossover. If market conditions stay favorable, we anticipate the MACD histogram turning green tomorrow, reinforcing the bullish trend. 🔄🟢 Target Levels: 🎯 First Target: ₹2,942.15 🎯 Second Target: ₹3,005.10 🚀 Extended Target (if resistance is broken): Around ₹3,100.00 Risk Management: Primary Stop-Loss: ₹2,800.00 to protect against downside risk. ⚠️ Extended Stop-Loss: ₹2,720.85 for those accommodating broader market volatility. 📉 Conclusion: 🟢 If M&M opens in the green tomorrow, this will confirm the buying trend, potentially reaching the target levels mentioned above. However, cautious trading is advised, particularly around the set stop-loss thresholds, to manage inherent market risks effectively. ⚖️ #Hashtags: #MahindraAndMahindra #StockAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #FibonacciLevels #MACD #TradingInsights #StockMarketIndia #BullishTrend #InvestmentStrategy #RiskManagement #FinogentSolutions Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NSE:M&MLong
by finogent
NZDUSD Possible retest and continuation to the downsideThe price recently broke out of the ascending channel (4H) and went on to retest the recent swing high, creating an Equal High (EQH). It then rejected the wedge (W) and downtrend line (M) resistance convergence and continued to push downward. Currently, the price is converging with resistance and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. We anticipate that the price may continue to reject this resistance area and push further to the downside. **Rationale:** ~ Wedge (W) and downtrend line (M) resistance convergence ~ Multiple rejections of resistance ~ Shallow pullback (Fib 38.2%) resistance convergence ~ Possible retest ~ Possible lower low formation **Disclaimer:** My trading ideas are market predictions and therefore should be viewed as such. As an intraday trader (scalper), I use my observations to identify potential trade opportunities on the higher time frames. I then aim to pinpoint key entry points on the lower time frames. Entries should always be verified by additional confirmations. --- #scalping #intraday
Short
by Forexity
UNG ( Natural Gase Futures ETF) Swing trade Short then LONGUNG is shown here on the 15 minute chart with text box comments showing the three trades over 8-9 trading days yielding 25% overall first two trades short then a one day long trade at what may be an early reversal. A pair of hull moving averages 49/140 ( multiples of 7) are used to generate buy and sell signals in golden and death cross fashion. A dual TF RSI indicator is used to support those signals. As swing trades with typical stop losses these were quite profitable with low risk. As an alternative if a trader has options charting available the same strategy/ method can be applied for significantly higher profit with less capital in each trade.
AMEX:UNG
by AwesomeAvani
2
Convergence of PatternsTraders, I've spotted a compelling shorting opportunity on AUDCAD, presenting itself differently across various timeframes. Specifically, the daily chart indicates a trend trading setup, showcasing the convergence of both the Bearish Shark and Bearish Crab Patterns in the same region. My strategy involves waiting for the market to reach the 0.9000 region before considering engagement. At this level, I anticipate price action traders joining in, amplifying the trade potential. What are your thoughts or trade plans for AUDCAD? Share your insights or potential strategies below!
Short
by RaynLim
1
MACD-Divergences: Assessing Present Varying Exemplifications!_____ Hello Traders Investors And Community, _____ Welcome to this tutorial in which I will analyze the MACD-Divergence and its various types that can come up in the market movements. The MACD is an indicator developed in 1986 and since then established as a primary indicator in the oscillator types besides the RSI or stochastic. The indicator mainly has the function of spotting reversals and potential entry points into the market to catch the appropriate values and upcoming reversal developments. Although the indicator can be used as a single signal for market action only it is best combined with other technical analysis aspects such as candlesticks or volume. The main timeframe to apply the indicator should be the daily timeframe, it can be also applied to higher timeframes such as the weekly to assess broader trends. The indicator can also be applied on lower timeframes such as the 4-hour or hourly however in this case the fake signals getting higher. The MACD consists of 3 main elements, the first is the MACD-Line marked in my chart in orange which is calculated by the 12-day EMA (Exponential-Moving-Average) minus the 26-day EMA. The second element is the signal-line which is a 9-day EMA. Further comes the histogram which measures the distance from the MACD-Line to the signal line and the histogram is positive when the MACD-Line is above the signal-line as well as negative when it is below. The main signal happens when the MACD-Line crosses the signal-line when it crosses from the downside to the upside this is typically seen before a bullish reversal takes place and the same in reverse with the MACD-Line crossing the signal-line down when a bearish reversal takes place, in both cases also the histogram changes from positive to negative or negative to positive. In any case, it is always necessary to combine the MACD with the current price-action happening as in this case comes the interesting part with the divergences happening that can lead to dedicated signals. These divergences happen when there is a discrepancy between MACD and the actual price-action happening indicating a potential change in direction of actual price-action as the MACD shows up with these signs. In any case, it is unavoidable to consider the price-action together with the MACD as otherwise, it can lead to catching a fake-out and getting stopped out of the position what should be avoided in trading. The MACD also does not typically spot overbought or oversold conditions as it is an indicator consisting of EMAs it represents the previously developed price-actions in relation to the ongoing and upcoming price-actions. _____ Regular MACD Divergences: __ Classical MACD Crossover - The Classical MACD Crossover comes up when the MACD-line crosses the signal-line either from the upside to the downside or from the downside to the upside. Both versions can indicate a reversal into the direction the MACD-line crossed the signal-line however the timeframe and structure is important here. When this crossover happens on the lower timeframes below 6-hours it can happen that there are many fake signals with several crossovers behind each other while the price-action is actually trending into one direction. The higher timeframes such as the daily are therefore the best to apply this regular classical MACD crossover. Classical MACD Histogram Divergence - This divergence occurs when the histogram has formed a new high together with the price-action, for example, the histogram forms the new high at 0.3 in the MACD-histogram then the price-action moves further and forms a higher high exceeding the previous one however the MACD-histogram does not do a higher high also while staying below the 0.3 level. This indicates that the market is likely to reverse into the other direction because the histogram does not correspond with the actual price-action and therefore forms a divergence. This can be applied in the reverse direction as well and a good combination would be to look also at the volume or overbought and oversold conditions. Histogram Divergence Fakeout - In this case, it is the crucial part of the histogram divergence. The price-action and MACD fulfilled the initial requirements for a classical MACD histogram divergence and the price-action should markdown after forming the final high and the divergence, however in this case it does not happen instead the price-action moves lower a little bit signaling the possible normal development after this signal and then moves up again exceeding the previous high and stopping out traders who may have entered the market because of the divergence, after that the price-action can markdown finally and move lower, therefore it is necessary to look at the price-action also and see if the market is really ready to markdown after the signal. __ Bearish Regular Divergence Ⅰ - The Bearish Regular Divergence Ⅰ is a divergence in the price-action that marks two important confirmations including this a technical confirmation in the MACD normally seen in price-action. In this divergence, the price-action marks consecutive higher highs while the MACD forms a double-top with the rejection at the upper baseline confirming the double-top. This divergence is likely to reverse the previously established bullish trend to the downside and continue with bearish determinations. It is important to watch out for fakeouts before potentially entering and when this possibility is low it can be a good entry. Bullish Regular Divergence Ⅰ - This is the counterpart to the Bearish Regular Divergence Ⅰ. In this case the price-action marks lower lows in the structure in the best case also with falling volume and momentum while the MACD makes a double-bottom which is a good sign when both form that the price will likely reverse into the bullish direction. A trendline breakout of the previous established lower highs in the downtrend can also add additional confirmation to the final bullish reversal. __ Bearish Regular Divergence Ⅱ - This is a very interesting divergence as it combines the classical price-action formation double-top with the lower highs forming in the MACD. A confirmed double top alone can also be a strong signal for a reversal nevertheless with the additional MACD making lower lows this can add to the main bearish reversal coming in and accelerating it. A valid confirmation will take place when the price-action regularly confirms the double-top with the neckline breakout to the downside. Bullish Regular Divergence Ⅱ - Here is another divergence in which the price-action forms a reliable reversal-formation, in this case, a double-bottom which also can alone be the decisive factor for the final reversal, together then with the higher lows forming in the MACD it is a strong signal to reversing the trend into the bullish direction and similarly to the Bearish Regular Divergence Ⅱ it finally confirms with the neckline breakout by the established double-bottom with proper volume to the upside. __ Bearish Regular Divergence Ⅲ - This divergence has a good and appropriate application in the market formations to form. In this divergence, the price-actions form higher highs while the MACD forms lower lows signaling a bearish reversal to take place. A good confirmation occurs when the price-action closes below the lastly established lows and after that continues also further to form further bearish continuations, it can be a good point to spot the final reversal when the MACD looks like it develops the next lower high. Bullish Regular Divergence Ⅲ - This is the exact counterpart of the Bearish Regular Divergence Ⅲ while the price-action forms lower lows in the structure the MACD develops higher highs showing this given divergence and likely to indicate the bullish reversal to take place sooner or later. Additionally, a falling volume and momentum in the actual price-action will lead to more increased validations followed by an upcoming rise in volatility above previously lower highs, these structures and developments are always also important. _____ Hidden MACD Divergences: __ Bearish Hidden Divergence Ⅰ - This divergence is actually the counterpart to the Bearish Regular Divergence Ⅰ and in this case, the MACD also forms a double top in the structure however unlikely as in the Bearish Regular Divergence Ⅰ in this case the price-action forms lower highs in the structure showing the exceptional weakness of the bulls as the price-action does not manages to maintain further higher highs, this is why the formation is finally likely to confirm bearishly to the downside and the reversal took place. Bearish Hidden Divergence Ⅰ - In this divergence the MACD forms a double-bottom with both lows forming a lower baseline in the MACD-histogram structure while the price-action forms higher lows which is very important here as such a constellation is normally defined as bullish with the possibility to reverse, the double-bottom in the MACD then confirms the further bullishness to establish and likely bullish volatility to show up in the structure, the requirement is that the established uptrend-line does not invalidate to the downside. __ Bearish Hidden Divergence Ⅱ - The next divergence is forming a classical reversal-development with the formation of a double-top in the price-action as the two highs form a horizontal baseline where the price-action rejects while the MACD is developing higher highs in the structure. In this case, the final confirmation sets place when the price-action breaks out below the neckline of the double-top in the structure which is the set-up for the further continuations bearishly to the downside, the best is to wait on the final confirmation before considering moving into. Bullish Hidden Divergence Ⅱ - This classical bullish reversal-formation marks out the potential stopping of the downtrend with two lows building the baseline of a potential double-bottom while the MACD is establishing this lower low structure it is the proper further confirmational part to develop a sufficient bullish reversal which will finally take place when the price-action breaks out above the upper neckline of the double-bottom to complete it and show up with further continuations to the upside. __ Bearish Hidden Divergence Ⅲ - When the price-action forms lower highs that do not maintain new higher highs in an uptrend it is always a sign that the uptrend is struggling and that it is likely to reverse together then with the higher highs divergence in the MACD to form the final bearish reversal has a high possibility to emerge which will validate when price-action moves below the previous lows in the uptrend and continues to the south. Bullish Hidden Divergence Ⅲ - With this form the uptrend and the higher highs structure that developed in the price-action have a tendency to reverse as the MACD forms the lower lows in the structure signaling that the MACD is already doing the markdown that follows also in the price-action. In this case the final confirmation will take place with a breakout below the established ascending trend-line after which a bearish continuation will likely follow up. _____ Therefore moving through all these important different forms the MACD can be a substantial indicator for spotting reversals in the structure when done right. It is always necessary to maintain the objection to the current situation and further technical factors to apply the MACD-divergences rightly. In this manner, thank you everybody for watching, support the idea with a like and follow or comment, have a good day as well as weekend, and all the best to you! Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets. _____
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PEducation
by VincePrince
20
Netflix Weekly Support Convergence Test so far so goodHi guys. This is a MACRO Technical Analysis on Netflix (NFLX) on the 1 Week TImeframe. This week we have TESTED Support on the 21 EMA and the Support trendline of the UPTREND channel. Netflix is heavily supported not only by these 2 mentioned SUPPORT lines but also a 3rd Support, the black horizontal support line as well. Everytime we've touched the Support line of the Channel, we've bounced to the Top of the Channel. EXCEPT our most recent touch, that took us only half way before printing a Topping Tail Candle and selling off. Watch how we close this weeks candle. If we close around or above $428. That would be the best case scenario, as that would indicate an Engulfing Bullish Candle. This could invalidate the Topping Tail Bearish Momentum. BUT for now we need to watch what happens. Keep in mind that the Topping Tails can cause further price DECLINES. AND we absolutely don't want a UPPER WICK for our current weekly candle. This would imply selling pressure and may indicate continuation of the TOPPING TAIL. Watch also the VOLUME -> From here we should see increasing volume and or SPIKE in volume so price can continue up the channel. For whatever reason if we BREAK DOWN from this SUPPORT CONVERGENCE area, the next level would be the 50 SMA. Also NOTE, along with Topping Tail Candle, indicators are showing BEARish signs. MACD has crossed BEARISH RSI Broke BELOW Support Trendline. For us to continue our UPTREND MACD needs to CROSS BUllish and print green bars RSI cannot print below the Horizontal Black line, as that would indicate a Lower low. And Ideally, get back above the Support Trendline and or continue UP. __________________________________________________________________________________ Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again. Stay tuned for more updates on NFLX in the near future. If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
NASDAQ:NFLX
by SafofAllTrades
2
Convergence & DivergenceOne of the important concepts that traders should understand is the difference between divergence and convergence, two terms that are often used interchangeably but have distinct meanings and implications for trading. Convergence refers to a situation where both the price of an asset and a technical indicator are moving in the same direction. For example, in a situation in which both the price of an asset and an indicator show an uptrend, there is a high probability that the trend will continue. So, here, the price and indicator CONVERGE (follow the same direction), and the trader may hesitate to trade in the opposite direction, as this is often seen as confirmation that the price movement is strong and likely to continue. Divergence refers to a situation where the price of an asset is moving in one direction while a technical indicator is moving in the opposite direction. For example, if we again consider the situation when the price of an asset shows an uptrend and, this time, the trend of a technical indicator is falling, there is a high probability of a trend reversal. So, here, the price and indicator DIVERGE (go in opposite directions). This is often seen as a warning sign that the price movement may not be sustainable and could soon reverse. To further understand the difference between convergence and divergence, let's look at some of the most commonly used technical indicators in trading: Relative Strength Index (RSI) RSI measures the strength of an asset by comparing the average gains and losses over a specified period of time. When the RSI value is above 70, it is considered overbought and is seen as likely to reverse soon. When the RSI value is below 30, it is considered oversold and is seen as likely to rebound. RSI Convergence RSI Divergence Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) MACD measures the difference between two moving averages of an asset's price movements. Traders use the MACD to identify when bullish or bearish momentum is high. There is usually one short-term moving average and one long-term moving average. When the short-term moving average crosses above the long-term moving average, it is seen as a bullish signal, while a cross below the long-term moving average is seen as a bearish signal. MACD Convergence MACD Divergence Commodity Channel Index (CCI) CCI measures the difference between an asset's price change and its average price change. High positive readings indicate that the asset's price is above its average, which is seen as a bullish signal. Low negative readings indicate the asset's price is below its average, which is seen as a bearish signal. If the CCI value is above +100, this is seen as a signal of the start of an uptrend. If the CCI value is below -100, this is seen as a signal of the start of a downtrend. CCI Convergence CCI Divergence It is crucial to note that convergence and divergence are not guaranteed indicators of future price movements. Traders should use them in conjunction with other technical and fundamental analyses to aid their trading decisions. Traders should also be cautious of the fact that all indicators are lagging behind the current price action, and therefore they must be prepared to adjust their strategies accordingly. Trade safely and responsibly. BluetonaFX
Education
by BluetonaFX
4
EURAUDHi EURAUD has been examined in different dimensions: 1- Strong supply and demand levels that I identify with my own indicator and system. 2- The structure of recently formed waves 3- Current market momentum 4- The structure of classical and price patterns In this idea, I identified the direction of the market in different ways and in the second step, I analyzed the potential of continuation or reversal. Usually, paying attention to the trend and strength of the trend can greatly increase the accuracy of the analysis. In general, I tried to describe the continuation of the movement in the simplest possible way in the diagram. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a personal opinion and you are responsible for any trading decisions.
Short
by HamidRamezani1992
BTCUSD Bullish divergence❤️ Show me some love! This is my first post on TV since joining 6 years ago! ❤️ BTCUSDis trending downwards, but the momentum indicator is trending upwards. This pattern suggests that BTCUSD may be poised for a reversal, with the price potentially increasing intraday (and for the coming week). To confirm the bullish divergence pattern, we can see that the MACD has made a lower low and crossed on 15m timeframe. I'm expecting volume to increase during the upswing, indicating that more buyers are entering the market. Secondly, we might be on the lookout for a breakout above the previous resistance level, which would indicate a potential trend reversal. If these additional signals are confirmed, I would consider this a strong buy signal for the coming week. Trade safely and good luck!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by foxvolta
5
Let the FOMC front running begin.It's not Deja Vu that brings us back here. It certainly feels like Ground Hog day in the markets every time Jerome Powell speaks. All the Trend Lines and Moving Averages Converge for the next FOMC meeting. Bond Bears are calling this latest move in markets as a mistake to price in 2 rate cuts in 2023. The game has changed in the past year. In fact, It's no longer a game but a single flat line at 4k Hedged Equity Funds are positioned with supportive flows. And S&P Dealer Directional Gamma Exposure remains supportive and consistently positive. A Pull back overnight in Futures indicates to me that FOMC will be done at around ~3960 ES. At or around the 20D converges with 50D and 200D. 9D VIX has been telling a different story than stocks and this pullback was expected days ago. 9D VIX is up 50% in the last 7 days from a Low of 14.82 up to 21.84 30D Vix is down 10% in the last 7 days from a High of 21.21 down to 19.19 Naive SPX (total open interest) gamma is 3990 and should be considered a volatility trigger below. Volatility is expected below 4000 and I'll update if S&P dealer directional gamma exposure goes negative this week.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by SPYvsGME
SPX (S&P500) Subscribe and get a free trading strategy for Bitcoin and other every day! Afternoon ladies and gentlemen 👋😃 Let's check an SPX today🧐. But I'd like to show you a local pattern. It can push the price higher because the last Lower Low has higher numbers at the RSI indicator. It calls a convergence. I don't expect any powerful growth from this place but It's a nice example for the higher timeframe. Let's see how it shows after an American session will open P.S I do not adhere to a time frame in my analysis of the instrument, a reaction in the instrument may occur earlier or later. It is important to understand the price movement when reacting to the level, as well as the buyer and seller reactions. Well, and a few more secrets, this material is not a trading recommendation )))
TVC:SPXLong
by Anton_t_t_t_eng
ROKU setting up a SHORT TRADE ROKU double topped on November 14 and December 2 and then dropped in a downtrend until 12/28 and reversed. The mid Fib levels of the retracement a drawn onto the chart are being approached. I look for ROKU to bounce down off the Fib Level at 52. 2 and drop to approach the SMA 200 ( Red Line) after first crossing under the SMA 100 ( Blue Line ) and then to the POC line of the volume profile where buyers should take over and support price. Overall three targets ( SMA 100, SMA200, POC) and a three tier take profit scheme for a very conservative trade.
NASDAQ:ROKUShort
by AwesomeAvani
BTCUSDT short up-to-dateSome correlations between Fibonacci ratios on retracement and AB=CD with oscillators Ehler's Smoothed Stochastic and Even Better Cinewave . Price action below weekly Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA-20) is a strong bearish signal to look forward to a bear trend continuation, assuming that we have an intraday upthrust (distribution) movement and a potential bearish breakout That's a very good point of entry for shorts in the crypto market. I'm maintaining my 14.6% Fibonacci target to the expected Head and Shoulders correction.
Short
by firmestudio