High bullish momentum, it may be close to a consolidation or price correction
Time for some mean reversion play. COP is the sore thumb sticking out amongst the oil plays with the stock making new highs post Feb crash. With results coming up and WTI completing its own 3-Drive formation as the pipes out of the Permian get clogged, it would be a good idea to put on some downside directional trade on COP. Given the out performance vs. the...
I was expecting COP to drop soon, did not think it would be so quick nor a one day event. If yesterday was truly the bottom and wave 4, we should be on our way to 63 level and beyond. This should occur within 2 weeks
OIL Play. COP broke out of coil recently on daily chart. Break of horizontal resistance around 58 ish can get this up to 62 (based on depth of W pattern). Notes on chart.
Stock should move to at least 63.5 over next few months to finish a few wave 5s.
BRAZILS RISK PREMUM IS STRETCHED See "Summary Statistics" in doc below www.bcb.gov.br BRL's risk premium (currently highest across EM peers) looks stretched, given a continued pick- up in growth and reducing near-term political risk. COP's recent rally was likely driven mainly by a reversal of heavy short positioning, without a material shift in the country's...
My Cycle wave 3 top appears to have been originally off by 7 trading days. This does not appear to impact the pending drop. The estimated upcoming bottom for COP is around 56.20 on March 5, 2018.
In assuming Cycle Wave 3 topped out on January 12, we have laid out estimated points for Waves 4 and 5. Wave 5 will also end Supercycle Wave 3. We have broken it down more on our site.
We have identified the Macro waves and pointed out the most recent minor waves. I believe we just completed Wave 3 of a Cycle Wave, as well as Wave 5 of a Primary Wave.
ConocoPhillips should rise at least 45% by the end of 2019 from Friday's close. Can you beat 45% gain in 20 months? In the short-term the stock should zig-zag to this point. Stock will most likely: drop toward 55.93 rise toward 70.07 drop toward 59.75 rise toward 87.00 to close out its Elliott Wave Grand Supercycle and achieve at least a double top. I will...
ConocoPhillips has climbed quickly in the previous month. The stock should not remain at such a high level according to technical indicators and historics, Will it head south with strong action around the 46 level? When we look at technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 65.6636. RSI tends to determine trends, momentum, overbought and...
I believe that successful trading strategies rely heavily upon identifying consolidation zones. Consolidation zones provide us the right direction of the market. Consolidation happens when a market move sharply upside or downside. Later, a trader can use these consolidation zones to identify patterns, whether it be a continuation or reversal. It requires...
I am waiting to see if $COP price action shows that buyers are continuing to outpace sellers(longterm uptrend). For me to believe this is true the price must close above the current trendline.
I think oil is set to blast off. The indications are clear in the prices but I also think fundamentally - not based on the current ratio supply and demand of oil necessarily but in the geopolitical uncertainty that lies ahead. If the USA proceeds with "defending" the South China Sea as promised by the leadership, we will see oil prices react.
This track is on repeat. We are seeing oil stock prices breaking out of consolidation. The time is nigh.
It's been about seven sessions since we first issued our real time rating on XLE as bearish, and we still believe there will be opportunity to the downside. Volatility should continue as headline risk prompts uncertainty in the markets. Even if Saudi Arabia did happen to freeze or reduce production, it could not be enough in the long-term to offset production by...
We have been watching the us energy stocks and looking for signs of a break down. COP is one that appeared to be in correction and has just recently broken down out of the triangle. We're watching for a retest & rejection and then will be selling.