Tracking Economy with this Ratio – Copper vs Gold RatioThe Fed is using the Copper / Gold ratio in tracking economy and its growth.
Currently, the copper / gold ratio is still trending downward, which indicates that the economy may not be recovering that soon.
Copper Oil Futures & Options
Ticker: HG
Minimum fluctuation:
0.0005 per pound = $12.50
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Copper
Copper is Next to Move, Why?Copper is next to move because the Chinese consumers may be coming back.
In last December's tutorial, we discussed how Gold was breaking above $2K and set to move higher, which it did. In April, we anticipated that Silver would soon catch up, and it did as well. Now, I believe Copper will be next, not just based on technical but also on fundamentals.
Micro Copper Futures
Ticker: MHG
Minimum fluctuation:
0.0005 per pound = $1.25
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Smart Money Positioned to LONG Copper - COT StrategyDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence.
COT Strategy
LONG
Copper (HG)
My COT strategy has me on alert for long trades in HG if we get a confirmed bullish change of trend on the Daily timeframe.
COT Commercial Index: Buy
Sentiment: Advisors very bearish is actually...bullish.
OI Analysis: Multi week down move has seen OI decrease drastically while Commercials have added to longs = bullish.
Valuation: Undervalued vs Gold & Treasuries
Bullish Spread Divergence
Supplementary Indicators: Acc/Dist & %R
Remember, this is not a "Long Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the upside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the upside.
Good luck & good trading.
Gold, copper, silver: A hard or soft-landing conundrumMetals were all lower on Tuesday as investors braced for a hard-landing scenario. But not all metals fell equally. We take a look at gold, silver and copper to sort the longs from the shorts, depending on which variant of an economic landing we could be facing.
Copper & Oil : Are commodities about to surge? Copper is showing great pattern consolidation.
it appears to be putting in a daily bull flag pattern that looks poised to breakout.
If copper follows some of the other recent price action in the commodity space it makes it even more likely to surge.,
You're seeing #gold #uranium #oil and other all performing well.
Will this dampen and slow down the dis inflation expectations? Perhaps.
I am long SCCO with members and have already secured some profits today with members.
I do think there is more strength to come in copper.
Why are Interest rates falling? Time to buy? We have seen an amazing fall in interest rates.
Bonds have looked to put in a local bottom.
Why are bonds showing signs of accumulation?
Is the bond market pricing in a recession?
I believe the recent decline in yields is due to commodity weakness.
Yields have soften because energy & base metals have become cheaper.
This drives the disinflationary narrative.
I think its to early to tell whether this decline is from demand or global weakness.
MEGA TRADE: Copper Short SqueezeCopper has had a monster run to the upside.
Its clearly going to affect aspects in the economy by applying upward pressure on inflation and downward pressure on home builders and construction.
Copper surging shows resilience in the global economy but simultaneously high copper prices could cure this rushing demand.
Copper technicals are screaming a pullback, a short setup is looming.
Copper RSI Divergence Threatens Bullish BiasTechnicals
Prices hit fifteen-month highs this week, extending the recent rally. Copper is on the verge of another breakout, eyeing the January 2023 highs (4.356), which could open the door for further gain towards 4.579.
On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) did not follow the price action and diverged lower on the H4 chart. This can lead to pullback, but the downside appears well-protected, starting with the EMA200 (at around 4.020). Daily closes below it are needed for the bullish momentum to pause, but that need strong catalyst.
Fundamentals
The improved supply-demand dynamics have fueled the rally and favor further upside. Optimism around China from recent data boost demand prospects midst the supportive green energy transition and the rebound of the chip industry that is largely fueled by the AI revolution. At the same time major mining companies have slashed their 2024 output outlook.
However, China’s recovery is bumpy and the critical property sector remains in distress. The US economy is performing very well, but along with sticky inflation and robust labor market, there is risk for fewer Fed rate cate cuts that could create headwinds.
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Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
Copper Equities Breaking Down, Is tthe economy?Copper is very close to losing criyical support.
If this daily chart trendline breaks, there is a big move down into the next support.
Copper Equity stocks are already teing us aa likely breakdown in the commodity is coming.
Is this base metal signaling weaker economic demand & growth?
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 1/08US and European markets saw a relatively tame session to end the month. Major indexes remain buoyant and edge higher even as the USD gains and US Bond yields hold around long term highs. While traders focus on the end of a global interest rate rising cycle, share markets remain risk on. For me, the technical view remains positive for now with focus today on the RBA rate statement today in our local market and then it will shift to the US Key employment data at the end of the week.
Expecting a stronger open in Asia with the ASX200 to open up 25 pts, the Nikkei to open flat and Hang Seng to open up 210 pts.
Traders will be keeping an eye on coming employment data and rate Statements from the RBA today and BOE later in the week, for an updated outlook for Global interest rates and inflation.
Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 26/07US and European markets continue the grind higher as focus remains on coming earnings from big Tech in the US. Overall, major indexes are extended so I feel that it will not take much to prompt investors to unwind and take some profits. In saying that, the trend remains up in the near term so there is no reason to close positions at the moment. The USD has been pushing higher while Gold is under pressure and Copper rallies. The previous few sessions US bond yields have been moving up ahead of FOMC statement due out tomorrow night where rates are expecting to be lifted.
Expecting a mixed open in Asia with the ASX200 to open up 20 pts, the Nikkei to open flat and Hang Seng to open down 100 pts.
Traders will be keeping an eye on inflationary data (AUS CPI out today) and US Rate Statement from the Feds, for signs that inflation is still easing. Whether that translates into lessening pressure on the wallet and the cost of living, I expect will take some time to play out.
Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
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Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 29/05European and US Indexes bounced into the weekend setting up for a strong open for the Asian session. Some debt ceiling optimism and stronger than expected economic data helped bulls squeeze out recent sellers for the drive higher. The data showed strength in inflation and the US consumer which points to a resilient economy...but it also points to sticky inflation and more interest rates rises to come.
Expecting a very strong open to the Asian session with the ASX200 set to open up 70 points, the Nikkei is very extended and is set to open up 650 points while the Hang Seng has some catch up to do and open up stronger off support.
I expect that there remains major concerns over the US economic slowdown brewing, and how the US is going to fund its debt with GDP easing. Longer term trends are for interest rates to level out but potentially later rather than sooner which will put more pressure on the economy.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
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Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 26/05A handful of AI related Tech stocks supported the broader market in the US while the DOW continued to edge lower into a longer term support zone. US Debt ceiling talks took a step in the right direction albeit a very small one...I do not expect a deal until the last minute as US Politicians enjoy the limelight. The USD continued higher putting pressure on dollar denominated currencies and commodities while US Bond yields continued to re-adjust higher and factor in sticky inflation.
Expecting mixed open in Asian markets with the ASX200 expected to start flat while the Hang Seng expected to open down 180 points and the Nikkei to open up 180 points.
I expect that there is major concerns over the US economic slowdown brewing, and how the US is going to fund its debt with GDP easing. Longer term trends are for interest rates to level out but potentially later rather than sooner which will put more pressure on the economy.
KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
** If you like the free content then follow my profile to get more daily ideas and learning material **
** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. **
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 24/05Major indexes go into risk off mode as traders get nervous over the US debt ceiling deadlock. Economic news also weighed on share markets as numbers came out in line or, in some cases, stronger than expected which translates into 'sticky inflation' and further potential interest rates rises. US bond yields edged lower after pressuring higher for the past few weeks but remain in a uptrend.
Expecting weaker open in Asian markets with the ASX200 expected to start down 37 points while the Hang Seng expected to open down 130 and the Nikkei to open down 170.
I expect that there is major concerns over the US economic slowdown brewing, and how the US is going to fund its debt with GDP easing. Longer term trends are for interest rates to level out. But if the economy cools while inflation remains elevated, then it is difficult to cut rates to stimulate growth...we will see how things play out soon I suspect.
KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
Review of KEY DAILY LEVELS on major Indexes and CommoditiesMajor indexes continue to show resilience to inflation and rate rises as many have pushed up into new all time highs. Traders have been faced with many ups and downs making investing difficult and share positions constantly flow from gains to losses and back again.
We always need to focus and review the bigger picture timeframes to build into our overall trading plan or simply to gain a clearer perspective. So, as we wait for more news on the US debt ceiling, it is a good time to review our Daily charts to build that picture.
In the video below I will review my take on the key technical levels on major Indexes along with my major commodities.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 22/05Major indexes in the US were weaker as Debt ceiling concern weighs on bulls. European markets ended the week in the green while Asian markets were mixed. Traders will be closely watching news for some sort of agreement on the US debt ceiling once Congress finishes playing politics. For now, I expect a tentative Asian market open and for major risk to remain on the sidelines.
Expecting tentative open on Asian markets with the ASX200 and Hang Seng expected to open flat while the Nikkei to open slightly lower.
Debt ceiling talks and coming economic data will remain the major focus as traders look to anticipate the end to interest rate rises. I expect that the debt ceiling will be raised once again as if they do not, volatility will spike hard and investors will drive Indexes lower.
Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 17/05Major indexes in the US and Europe come under fire on concerns for a global economic slowdown and the US debt ceiling fiasco. Traders went risk off as retail sales pointed to a slowdown in consumer spending while uncertainty over interest rates also weighed on sentiment. I expect that the same theme will weigh on the share markets today and into the coming European and US sessions.
Expecting a weaker open on Asian markets with the ASX200 expected to open down 37 points while Hang Seng set to open down 30 points and the Nikkei to open slightly higher.
Coming economic data will remain the major focus as traders look to anticipate the end to interest rate rises. I feel that any end will only mean major economies are slowing which I do not expect will be good for the share market.
Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 16/05European and US markets edge higher to end with minor gains after a solid Asian session to start the week. US bulls are remaining on the sidelines for now as the Government once again argue over raising the debt ceiling. Economic data came out weaker than expected in the US again pointing to a slowing economy which I feel will be longer term negative for the share market but good for the end to the rate rising cycle. All in all, the market is not very enthusiastic as US earnings come to an end.
Expecting a strong open for the Asian session with the ASX to open flat, Hang Seng to open up 250 points and the Nikkei to open up 200 points.
Coming economic data will remain the major focus as traders look to anticipate the end to interest rate rises. I feel that any end will only mean major economies are slowing which I do not expect will be good for the share market...for now, expect more chop.
Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 12/05Markets came under pressure again on concern of an economic slowdown. Europe was hit lower with the DAX and FTSE100 looking weak. US data out weighed on the US open to pressure key indexes lower although tech and the Nasdaq remain relatively strong. US data out was mixed with unemployment claims higher and PPI showing strength. The uncertainty sent USD higher and commodities lower with Copper taking a hit.
Expecting a mixed open for Asia with the ASX200 to open slightly weaker while the Nikkei and Hang Seng set to open up.
If inflation is truly remaining 'sticky', coming economic data will be the major focus and I expect this will translate to choppy markets or further pressure from sellers looking to lock in some gains.
Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 11/05Markets came under pressure in European and US trade although there remains some bulls happy to provide support to big tech and the Nasdaq. US inflationary CPI data came out relatively inline with expectations which, to me, highlight the continued 'sticky inflation' concerns. The US futures initially reacted higher to trap some buyers into the US open but then the indexes moved lower and give back the opening gains. I expect that the market will remain tentative as the USD holds major support, and Copper and Oil show concern for global demand.
Expecting a relatively flat open for the ASX200 and Hang Seng while the Nikkei is set to open slightly weaker off major resistance.
If inflation is truly remaining 'sticky', coming economic data will be the major focus and I expect this will translate to choppy markets or further pressure from sellers looking to lock in some gains.
Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper