Copper remains positive.XCUUSD - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 3.851 (stop at 3.811)
Our short term bias remains positive.
The sequence for trading is higher highs and lows.
A lower correction is expected.
We look to buy dips.
50 4hour EMA is at 3.846.
Our profit targets will be 3.951 and 3.971
Resistance: 3.900 / 3.914 / 3.930
Support: 3.875 / 3.860 / 3.835
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Copper
Get to the copper! 🐻🚁The industrial metals market often goes unnoticed by many traders, although some excellent trading opportunities are often to be found here. And with that, we say, "Get to the copper!" For things should get moving here quite soon. The completion of wave (ii) in magenta should be imminent here, the copper price should therefore initiate a bearish trend reversal in our target zone (highlighted in blue) and then indulge in extended sell-offs. Thus, depositing short positions between $3.89 and 3.96 should present an excellent opportunity to profit from the lift-off of the bearish chopper - which is, of course, headed south. We anticipate a significant sell-off before wave (iii) in magenta will at some later point be completed, at which point the bulls are expected to report back.
Copper (HG) Low Likely in Place with 5 Waves RallyShort Term Elliott Wave in Copper (HG) suggests the metal ended wave ((2)) pullback at 3.54. The metal has turned higher in wave ((3)). Rally from wave ((2)) low is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave ((2)), wave (i) ended at 3.618 and pullback in wave (ii) ended at 3.578. The metal extends higher in wave (iii) towards 3.694 and pullback in wave (iv) ended at 3.667. Copper then extends higher again in wave (v) towards 3.711 which completes wave ((i)).
The metal then corrected in wave ((ii)) towards 3.622 with internal subdivision as a zigzag. Down from wave ((i)), wave (a) ended at 3.627, wave (b) ended at 3.694, and wave (c) lower ended at 3.622. This completed wave ((ii)) in higher degree. The metal then extends higher in wave ((iii)). Up from wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 3.656 and pullback in wave (ii) ended at 3.624. The metal rallies higher in wave (iii) towards 3.7315 and pullback in wave (iv) ended at 3.676. The metal extends higher again in wave (v) towards 3.789 which completed wave ((iii)). Pullback in wave ((iv)) ended at 3.686. Wave ((v)) higher unfolded as a diagonal and ended at 3.833. This completed wave 1 in higher degree. Wave 2 pullback is in progress now as a zigzag structure. Down from wave 1, wave ((a)) ended at 3.735. While rally in wave ((b)) fails below 3.833, expect the metal to turn lower in wave ((c)) to complete wave 2. As far as pivot at 3.54 low stays intact, expect pullback to find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside.
XCUUSD - Copper Demands On The Decline?Analysis:
Looking at the technicals on Copper we can see a clear downwards trend. Price is forming lower lows and lower highs which confirms that we are in a downwards trend. Price has also been respecting a downwards trendline which again shows us that we are in a downwards trend. We're currently sat at an area that we're interested in as price has held this area multiple times in the past so we expect that it will again. To give us more confidence with this setup, at our area we also have the 50% fib retracement level which we suspect bears will be wanting to hold and push price to the downside which favours our idea. We've also got the downwards trendline close by which if price reaches we'd expect to hold and to further help push price to the downside as bears will be waiting at this area. Fundamentally the USD is gaining a lot of strength in recent times and it continues to, until we see this change we are bullish on the USD, so this goes with our idea. Copper demands have decreased recently meaning that Copper prices will decrease. Comparing the decreasing demand for Copper against the strengthening USD it's clear to see that we want to be shorting this pair which is why we have a short bias.
Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read. We appreciate it all.
Stay Safe - JPI
Disclaimer:
This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does to. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 29/05European and US Indexes bounced into the weekend setting up for a strong open for the Asian session. Some debt ceiling optimism and stronger than expected economic data helped bulls squeeze out recent sellers for the drive higher. The data showed strength in inflation and the US consumer which points to a resilient economy...but it also points to sticky inflation and more interest rates rises to come.
Expecting a very strong open to the Asian session with the ASX200 set to open up 70 points, the Nikkei is very extended and is set to open up 650 points while the Hang Seng has some catch up to do and open up stronger off support.
I expect that there remains major concerns over the US economic slowdown brewing, and how the US is going to fund its debt with GDP easing. Longer term trends are for interest rates to level out but potentially later rather than sooner which will put more pressure on the economy.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
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Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 26/05A handful of AI related Tech stocks supported the broader market in the US while the DOW continued to edge lower into a longer term support zone. US Debt ceiling talks took a step in the right direction albeit a very small one...I do not expect a deal until the last minute as US Politicians enjoy the limelight. The USD continued higher putting pressure on dollar denominated currencies and commodities while US Bond yields continued to re-adjust higher and factor in sticky inflation.
Expecting mixed open in Asian markets with the ASX200 expected to start flat while the Hang Seng expected to open down 180 points and the Nikkei to open up 180 points.
I expect that there is major concerns over the US economic slowdown brewing, and how the US is going to fund its debt with GDP easing. Longer term trends are for interest rates to level out but potentially later rather than sooner which will put more pressure on the economy.
KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
** If you like the free content then follow my profile to get more daily ideas and learning material **
** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. **
HG1! One word - CLEAN!COMEX:HG1! One word - CLEAN!
What a beautiful chart for copper! Technically it's ever so clean, when it comes to set ups like this - Be careful of fake breaks.
Pattern - Triangle/Pennant
Highs: 4.2100
Lows: 3.8255
A break of highs I expect: 4.3550 & 4.5570. However, a break of the lows I expect: 3.6740 & 3.5040 and perhaps lower!
Currently, as long as we within this channel and within these ranges... until break either side!
Have a great week ahead & it's a long weekend for some of us!
🔆 Trade Journal 🔆
Big divergence between $SPX & $CPERThis probably is not a good sign for the SP:SPX , as these assets are highly correlated (0.88) and normally AMEX:CPER leads the business cycle.
Also, the TVC:VIX is back above 20 and NASDAQ:TLT hasn't resume its downtrend.
Even the dollar AMEX:UUP is showing strength again.
I'm 87% in cash and also have tighten all my stops.
Let's wait and see if the SP:SPX holds or breaks down.
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 24/05Major indexes go into risk off mode as traders get nervous over the US debt ceiling deadlock. Economic news also weighed on share markets as numbers came out in line or, in some cases, stronger than expected which translates into 'sticky inflation' and further potential interest rates rises. US bond yields edged lower after pressuring higher for the past few weeks but remain in a uptrend.
Expecting weaker open in Asian markets with the ASX200 expected to start down 37 points while the Hang Seng expected to open down 130 and the Nikkei to open down 170.
I expect that there is major concerns over the US economic slowdown brewing, and how the US is going to fund its debt with GDP easing. Longer term trends are for interest rates to level out. But if the economy cools while inflation remains elevated, then it is difficult to cut rates to stimulate growth...we will see how things play out soon I suspect.
KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
Copper: Like a Lead Weight ⚖️No worries – we didn’t confuse our metals! However, like a lead weight, copper should continue to sink further, heading for the green zone between $3.08 and $2.59 in the south. Already the price has broken free from the recent sidewards movement and has developed a new low, showing more and more downwards momentum. Once copper has arrived in the green zone, it should complete wave 2 in green, marking a distinctive low, which should then introduce a strong upwards movement.
Review of KEY DAILY LEVELS on major Indexes and CommoditiesMajor indexes continue to show resilience to inflation and rate rises as many have pushed up into new all time highs. Traders have been faced with many ups and downs making investing difficult and share positions constantly flow from gains to losses and back again.
We always need to focus and review the bigger picture timeframes to build into our overall trading plan or simply to gain a clearer perspective. So, as we wait for more news on the US debt ceiling, it is a good time to review our Daily charts to build that picture.
In the video below I will review my take on the key technical levels on major Indexes along with my major commodities.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 22/05Major indexes in the US were weaker as Debt ceiling concern weighs on bulls. European markets ended the week in the green while Asian markets were mixed. Traders will be closely watching news for some sort of agreement on the US debt ceiling once Congress finishes playing politics. For now, I expect a tentative Asian market open and for major risk to remain on the sidelines.
Expecting tentative open on Asian markets with the ASX200 and Hang Seng expected to open flat while the Nikkei to open slightly lower.
Debt ceiling talks and coming economic data will remain the major focus as traders look to anticipate the end to interest rate rises. I expect that the debt ceiling will be raised once again as if they do not, volatility will spike hard and investors will drive Indexes lower.
Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 17/05Major indexes in the US and Europe come under fire on concerns for a global economic slowdown and the US debt ceiling fiasco. Traders went risk off as retail sales pointed to a slowdown in consumer spending while uncertainty over interest rates also weighed on sentiment. I expect that the same theme will weigh on the share markets today and into the coming European and US sessions.
Expecting a weaker open on Asian markets with the ASX200 expected to open down 37 points while Hang Seng set to open down 30 points and the Nikkei to open slightly higher.
Coming economic data will remain the major focus as traders look to anticipate the end to interest rate rises. I feel that any end will only mean major economies are slowing which I do not expect will be good for the share market.
Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 16/05European and US markets edge higher to end with minor gains after a solid Asian session to start the week. US bulls are remaining on the sidelines for now as the Government once again argue over raising the debt ceiling. Economic data came out weaker than expected in the US again pointing to a slowing economy which I feel will be longer term negative for the share market but good for the end to the rate rising cycle. All in all, the market is not very enthusiastic as US earnings come to an end.
Expecting a strong open for the Asian session with the ASX to open flat, Hang Seng to open up 250 points and the Nikkei to open up 200 points.
Coming economic data will remain the major focus as traders look to anticipate the end to interest rate rises. I feel that any end will only mean major economies are slowing which I do not expect will be good for the share market...for now, expect more chop.
Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
Will Copper find sellers at previous support?XCUUSD - 24he expiry - We look to Sell at 3.828 (stop at 3.868)
Our bespoke support of 3.820 has been clearly broken.
Our short term bias remains negative.
Previous support, now becomes resistance at 3.820.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
We look for a temporary move higher. A lower correction is expected.
Our profit targets will be 3.728 and 3.708
Resistance: 3.744 / 3.770 / 3.820
Support: 3.700 / 3.671 / 3.640
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 12/05Markets came under pressure again on concern of an economic slowdown. Europe was hit lower with the DAX and FTSE100 looking weak. US data out weighed on the US open to pressure key indexes lower although tech and the Nasdaq remain relatively strong. US data out was mixed with unemployment claims higher and PPI showing strength. The uncertainty sent USD higher and commodities lower with Copper taking a hit.
Expecting a mixed open for Asia with the ASX200 to open slightly weaker while the Nikkei and Hang Seng set to open up.
If inflation is truly remaining 'sticky', coming economic data will be the major focus and I expect this will translate to choppy markets or further pressure from sellers looking to lock in some gains.
Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 11/05Markets came under pressure in European and US trade although there remains some bulls happy to provide support to big tech and the Nasdaq. US inflationary CPI data came out relatively inline with expectations which, to me, highlight the continued 'sticky inflation' concerns. The US futures initially reacted higher to trap some buyers into the US open but then the indexes moved lower and give back the opening gains. I expect that the market will remain tentative as the USD holds major support, and Copper and Oil show concern for global demand.
Expecting a relatively flat open for the ASX200 and Hang Seng while the Nikkei is set to open slightly weaker off major resistance.
If inflation is truly remaining 'sticky', coming economic data will be the major focus and I expect this will translate to choppy markets or further pressure from sellers looking to lock in some gains.
Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper