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Copper

Copper Futures ( HG1!), H1 Potential for Bearish DipType : Bearish Dip Resistance : 4.7660 Pivot: 4.7370 Support : 4.6840 Preferred case: We see the potential for a bearish continuation from our pivot at 4.7370 in line with 78.6% Fibonacci retracement our 1st support at 4.6840 in line with 50% Fibonacci retracement and 78.6% Fibonacci projection. Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break our pivot structure and head for 1st resistance at 4.7660 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci projection and 138.2% Fibonacci extension. Fundamentals: No major news.
COMEX:HG1!Short
by Genesiv
Copper Futures ( HG1!), H1 Potential for Bullish BounceType : Bearish Dip Resistance :4.7220 Pivot: 4.6690 Support : 4.6145 Preferred case: We see the potential for a dip from our pivot at 4.6690 in line with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 78.6% Fibonacci projection towards our 1st support at 4.6145 in line with 78.6% Fibonacci projection and -27.2% Fibonacci expansion. Our bearish bias is supported by price trading below the Ichimoku cloud indicator. Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break our pivot structure and head for 1st resistance at 4.7220 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and 100% Fibonacci projection. Fundamentals: No major news.
COMEX:HG1!Long
by Genesiv
Copper Futures ( HG1!), H1 Potential for Bearish DipType : Bearish Dip Resistance :4.7220 Pivot: 4.6690 Support : 4.6145 Preferred case: We see the potential for a dip from our pivot at 4.6690 in line with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 78.6% Fibonacci projection towards our 1st support at 4.6145 in line with 78.6% Fibonacci projection and -27.2% Fibonacci expansion. Our bearish bias is supported by price trading below the Ichimoku cloud indicator. Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break our pivot structure and head for 1st resistance at 4.7220 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and 100% Fibonacci projection. Fundamentals: No major news.
COMEX:HG1!Short
by Genesiv
HGK2022 (Copper Futures) | H1 Bullish PressureType : Bullish Pressure Resistance : 4.8270 Pivot: 4.7060 Support : 4.6830 Preferred Case: Price is near pivot level of 4.7060 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Price can potentially rise up to the 1st resistance level at 4.8120, in line with 138.2% Fibonacci extension and 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Our bullish bias is further supported by the stochastic indicator where it is at support level. Alternative scenario: Price might also dip towards the 1st support level of 4.6830 in line 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
COMEX:HGK2022Long
by Genesiv
Copper Futures (HGK2022), H1 Bullish BounceType : Bullish Bounce Resistance : 4.8060 Pivot: 4.7385 Support : 4.7020 Preferred Case: Price is near pivot level of 4.7385 in line with 50% Fibonacci retracement and 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Price can potentially bounce up to the 1st resistance level of 4.8060, in line with 100% Fibonacci projection and 127.2% Fibonacci extension, along with a graphical swing high resistance. Our bullish bias is further supported by price trading below the Ichimoku cloud indicator. Alternative scenario: Price might continue to drop towards the 1st support level of 4.7020 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Fundamentals: No Major News
COMEX:HGK2022Long
by Genesiv
HGK2022 (Copper Futures) | H1 Bullish PressureType : Bullish Pressure Resistance : 4.7730 Pivot: 4.7000 Support : 4.6415 Preferred Case: Price is near pivot level of 4.7000 in line with 50% Fibonacci retracement. Price can potentially rise up to the 1st resistance level at 4.7730, in line with 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and 78.6% Fibonacci projection. Our bullish bias is further supported by the stochastic indicator where it is at resistance level. Alternative scenario: Price might also dip towards the 1st support level of 4.6415 in line with a graphical swing low support. Fundamentals: No Major News
COMEX:HGK2022Long
by Genesiv
2D Copper chart shows that Dr. Copper is still in down trendCopper is an indicator of world economy, during recession period it goes down along with the stock market. Copper peaked in last few days while the stock market around the world was falling or extremely volatile. However in 2 Days time frame it does clearly shows a pin bar which was a Lower High in series of Lower Lows and Lower Highs. I think copper may continue its down trend if the war situation starts affecting world economy.
Short
by spranav
COPPER, THE MATERIAL THE FUTURE IS MADE OF, MACRO TRADESee chart. COPPER on the verge of a multi DECADES break out. I cant see any better long term investment. EVERYTHING ABOUT ENERGY IS MADE OF COPPER. Every single TESLA will use lot of copper. Every Internet of Things will be made of copper. Semi-conductors.. shortage? it rhymes with copper shortage as well! Hell even BITCOIN is basically copper made. And guess what... copper is not that easy to dig as well. Join the beautiful people club, trade commodities, trade COPPER! Target= multi years returns, no target, just a long term holding. PS: Dont expect it will double in one night, it wont! Follow the dollar to buy the dips.
COMEX:HG1!Long
by Ankel-ssj
Copper Makes Record High For March!Copper created record highs this month, where it peaked at a high of $5.0395, breaching the previous all-time high from February 2011 once again. The previous all-time high is proving to be a strong level of resistance as price is unable to remain above this level for lengthy periods of time. There is now a long wick above this month’s candle as the sellers have pushed price down, but the candle's body remains bullish. $4.6495 is now a support level and should price decline further, it could hold price up, giving price enough momentum to make a new all-time high. See below for more information on our trading techniques. As always, keep it simple, keep it Sublime
COMEX:HG1!Long
by Sublime_Trading
Famine and food shortages. How do we invest? RJA and RJIFamine and Food Shortages are the talk over the last month as Russia invades Ukraine. How are we playing this? Where can people look to hedge inflation and war? Here are two simple methods we take a look at to play commodities and agricultural commodities. RJA and RJI by Jim Rogers we believe will continue to rise due to inflation and war. A little fast recently due to war but we expect more corn, wheat, oil, and safflower oil shortages in the next year or two simply based on this war. These commodities will and some are, being used as weapons at this point. I would ask myself, what's more important? Access to a world financial system that I can work around or food for my citizens? I would go with the latter as those with real "stuff" usually have the upper hand. I am not allowed to advertise other social media on TradingView but I can say there is a longer version and more detail out there. Watch, like, share, comment.
RLong
by DefyingFinance
1
$SCCO Bullish Copper ChartSCCO is a nice setup in my opinion. After a nice +250% rally, SCCO has formed a solid VCP pattern with nice rounded base and appears to be ready for the next leg up. Started a position here and will add on a break above 80. For those looking for less, risk can alarm the breakout and go long there, as we may get one more dip to shake out weak hands before more upside. I'm long the JUN 90 calls to give this trade time to work , with 2,300 OI First price target $96
NYSE:SCCOLong
by FriscoTrades
Vox Royalty Smoothes Out VolatilityHaving multiple royalties within a portfolio means Vox Royalty has enough diversification to clearly smooth out the volatility. High inflationary environments are great for commodities and equities, but for miners, there is an increase in costs and CapEx. Not so with the royalty company. Their expenditure doesn't change but they have access to the widening profit margins when each of the producers realise their gains. TORONTO, ON / ACCESSWIRE / March 8, 2022 / Vox Royalty Corp. (TSX.V:VOX)(VOTCQX:VOX) ("Vox" or the "Company"), a high growth precious metals focused royalty company, is pleased to provide recent development and exploration updates from royalty operating partners Gold Standard Ventures Corp. (TSX:GSV) ("Gold Standard Ventures"), Genesis Minerals Limited (ASX:GMD) ("Genesis"), Develop Global Limited (ASX:DVP) ("Develop"), Norwest Minerals Limited (ASX:NWM) ("Norwest"), and Alamos Gold Inc. (TSX:AGI) ("Alamos"). Spencer Cole, Chief Investment Officer stated: "The past month of royalty operator newsflow includes the exciting release of the South Railroad feasibility study, ongoing exploration success at Sulphur Springs, Puzzle North and Bulgera, capped off by consistent development guidance for Lynn Lake. Each of these projects are being aggressively progressed by well-capitalized operators towards near-term resource updates and development decisions. 2022 continues to be shaping up as a record year for the Vox royalty portfolio based on these developments." Key Development Updates Robust feasibility study released for the South Railroad gold project in Nevada by Gold Standard Ventures; Exceptional drilling results set to underpin growth at Puzzle North gold project by Genesis; Strong drilling results at the Sulphur Springs copper-zinc project by Develop are likely to result in a significant resource upgrade; Positive drilling results at the Bulgera gold project by Norwest; and Significant capital budget planned in 2022 by Alamos for the Lynn Lake (MacLellan) gold project. South Railroad (Pre-Feasibility) - Robust Feasibility Study Released(1) Vox holds a 0.633% net smelter return royalty with advance minimum royalty payments over key portions of the South Railroad gold project, which is located in the prolific Carlin Trend of Nevada; Vox has been receiving advance minimum royalty payments from Gold Standard Ventures since October 2021; On February 23, 2022, Gold Standard Ventures announced the following feasibility study results: After-tax IRR of 62% and NPV5 of US$487M at Spot Gold Price (US$1,899.20 per ounce) and after-tax IRR of 44% and NPV5 of US$315M at US$1,650 per ounce gold ("Base Case Gold Price"); Payback of 1.6 years at Spot Gold Price and 1.9 years at Base Case Gold Price; 29% increase in Mineral Reserves to 1.6 million gold ounces; 10.5-year operating life with total gold production of over 1 million ounces, with an average gold production of 152,000 ounces over the first four years; Launch of construction financing process, targeting 75% from non-equity sources, to be completed this year in advance of final construction permits; and Orion Mine Finance to provide Gold Standard Ventures with a term sheet of up to $200 million to support the construction of the South Railroad Project. Vox Management Summary: These compelling feasibility study results closely match Vox management's estimates formed during due diligence for the South Railroad rancher royalty. This high-return project is being fast-tracked towards a first production target in 2024, based on Gold Standard Ventures management guidance. Kookynie (Pre-Feasibility) - Exceptional Drilling Results at Puzzle North Discovery Vox holds a A$1/t production royalty on part of the Kookynie gold project(2); On February 3, 2022, Genesis announced: Outstanding new results from reverse circulation ("RC") drilling across multiple areas, confirming potential to expand the mineral resource at the Ulysses Gold Project near Leonora in Western Australia; Broad, high-grade zones of gold mineralisation intersected from shallow depths in RC drilling at the Puzzle North Discovery, including: 21USRC1186: 27m @ 8.18g/t Au from 30m; 21USRC1190: 34m @ 13.36 Au from 42m, including 1m @ 382.6g/t Au from 68m; and 21USRC1192: 29m @ 2.91g/t Au from 52m; Drilling at Puzzle North has now defined mineralisation over 600m of strike and up to 100m width, with the mineralisation remaining open both at depth and along strike; Mineralisation at the southern end of the Puzzle pit extended over 200m south with results including: 21USRC1114: 11m @ 2.20g/t Au from 82m; 21USRC1119: 4m @ 9.07g/t Au from 92m; 21USRC1123: 5m @ 5.98g/t Au from 79m; and 21USRC1127: 47m @ 1.07g/t Au from 95m; A large drilling program is currently being planned for the Puzzle North to Puzzle corridor. Vox Management Summary: This exciting gold exploration royalty that Vox acquired for less than A$150k in 2020 is being rapidly drilled to include the royalty-linked Puzzle North discovery in an expanded feasibility study at the Ulysses gold project. The potential development timeline for this project from exploration to development continues to exceed Vox management expectations. Sulphur Springs (Pre-Construction) - Strong Drilling Results Point to Significant Resource Upgrade Vox holds a A$2/tonne production royalty (capped at A$3.7M) on the Sulphur Springs copper-zinc deposit and an uncapped A$0.80/tonne production royalty on the Kangaroo Caves deposit, which is part of the combined Sulphur Springs project; On February 10, 2022, Develop announced: It has now received ~60% of the assays from the A$10M resource infill and exploration drilling program at Sulphur Springs; The drilling has been highly successful, with numerous high-grade mineralisation intersections of more than 50m, significantly thicker than anticipated and with two of the intercepts being the thickest intersections achieved in the project's history; The results point to a substantial conversion of Inferred Resources to the higher confidence Indicated Resource classification; The upgrade in Indicated Resource classification will pave the way for Develop to update reserves, mine development plans, project costings and to finalise funding options; Exploration drilling has also returned outstanding results, paving the way for an increase to the total resource; A resource update is scheduled for mid-2022; and Preparations for construction of the exploration decline are proceeding rapidly with the approval request submitted. This will be pivotal because it will enable drilling to be conducted faster, and cheaper and brings forward capital/access to the underground deposit. Vox Management Summary: Under the new leadership of Northern Star Resources founder Bill Beament, the Sulphur Springs project is on track to be expanded in resource size and fast-tracked into underground decline development within the next 12 months. This drilling success indicates that the potential economics of this high-grade copper project are improving month to month. Bulgera (Exploration) - New High-Grade Drilling Results Vox holds a 1% net smelter return royalty over the Bulgera gold project; On February 3, 2022, Norwest announced: The first three of seven diamond drill holes extend new high-grade gold lode to beyond 400m down dip of the shallow Bulgera open pit; Drill results included: BDD21003: 11.3m @ 3.25g/t gold from 260m (downhole), including 4m @ 4.5g/t Au from 260m and 3.3m @ 5.3g/t Au from 268m; BDD21001: 16.5m @ 1.20g/t gold from 128m and 3m @ 4.10g/t gold from 166m; BDD21002: 6m @ 2.07g/t gold from 195m; It is sourcing a drill rig to undertake the Phase 2 diamond drill program (targeting March/April 2022) which will test mineralisation to ~700m down-dip of the Bulgera open-pit; and Norwest's CEO, Mr. Charles Schaus commented: "Assay results from the first 3 diamond holes confirms that strong gold mineralisation extends beyond 400 metres down dip of the shallow Bulgera open pit. Once the gold assays from the remaining 4 diamond holes are received (over the coming weeks), the Company will commence re-modelling the Bulgera gold resources which should add considerably to the current, 94,000-ounce, gold resource reported in April 2020". Vox Management Summary: Norwest management are now guiding towards a remodelled and expanded resource estimate for the past-producing Bulgera gold project which would increase the value of Vox's royalty. Oxide ore from Bulgera was last processed at the nearby Plutonic gold mine in 2004 and given the haul road remains in place, credible near-term development options are available for Bulgera. Lynn Lake (MacLellan, Feasibility) - 2022 Capital Budget Vox holds a 2% gross revenue royalty (post initial capital recovery) on part of the MacLellan deposit at the Lynn Lake gold project; On February 23, 2022, Alamos announced: the total capital budget for Lynn Lake in 2022 is US$14M, including US$11M for development activities and US$3M for exploration; Development activities will be focused on environmental work in support for permitting detailed engineering and other site access upgrades; and The approval of the Environmental Impact Statement for the project is expected in the second half of 2022, following which Alamos expects to make a construction decision. Vox Management Summary: Alamos management has been very consistent in guiding towards a 2022 construction decision at Lynn Lake and is currently guiding investors towards 2025 first production in its corporate presentation. Alamos' 2022 capital budget further supports its consistent project development guidance. Qualified Person Timothy J. Strong, MIMMM, of Kangari Consulting LLC and a "Qualified Person" under National Instrument 43-101 - Standards of Disclosure for Mineral Projects, has reviewed and approved the scientific and technical disclosure contained in this press release. About Vox Vox is a high growth precious metals royalty and streaming company with a portfolio of over 50 royalties and streams spanning eight jurisdictions. The Company was established in 2014 and has since built unique intellectual property, a technically focused transactional team and a global sourcing network which has allowed Vox to become the fastest growing company in the royalty sector. Since the beginning of 2019, Vox has announced over 20 separate transactions to acquire over 45 royalties.
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by TH_Analysis
THREAD #2 : Commodities Update ‼️How it works ? Ask me in comment my chart analysis of the asset you want if it didn't have already done under. If I find something intersting to say and show, I will update the idea with it. A comment of each asset expose will be post under, come react about it or debate. Before to start I want to remind that we are in a period of conflict and news can emerge at any moment with strong effect and reaction on market. So invest carefully on this hard times and reduce your loss exposition on market when you can. Don't forget to take profit too. "Making money in trading is math and respect of strategy, so never let your emotions guide you in uncomfortable positions" As I've already done ideas on copper last months, let's start with it. COPPER ✅ First of all, if you follow my ideas you can see it's the same chart than the 29th of December when I posted it and the 20th of January for the trade. It is attached under and I invit you to see it because it will be the continuation of these analysis. So we are always in the Wyckoff Accumulation which have been developped, pullback on creek is done, and SOS too. Unfortunetly SOS failed so for me it's an end of the pattern. By consequence major part of my position have been closed and I will explain next why I keep a little which I not do usually. Why SOS is a fail ? Simply because we have selling volume, on the resistance area, on a primary resistance (yellow line) and because we have also selling pressure in it. The work have been done for the pattern, we took profit but can't project anymore in a term of "Wyckoff accumulation" of a bull continuation. So what to expect now from it ? The standard expectation after a failed SOS is to go back on the support area, usely rapidly and strongly, and invert the pattern in a way that we will now test the buying strenght on support. So we can expect a retest of support with an SOS to see, if it succeed, a bear continuation. That my scenario (a), and technically the most probable for me. BUT we have to live with our time and with the macroeconomic dynamic that we deal with. I will not hide that if the conflict between Russia-Ukraine continu and maybe gets worse, this will be a boost for every metals assets. That why I closed only 80% of my position, I can't advise to take long position anymore but it's could be wise to take profit and keep a part of your position if you are already in it. We can handle the technics evolutions but we can't handle the macroeconomic evolutions. If it this scenario (b) happen, we will see the construction of an LPS around $4.60 before to break up to the target around $5.70 in a first time. Take care of volatility, it will swing. GOLD ✅ Like for the copper, the chart don't have change since the commodities update of the 20th of January. We are coming to the end of the bull scenario. I invit to take profits on the conjoncture of the resistance area and the (2c) resistance. There is no interest to sell a refuge asset like gold, even more in this time of conflict. So if there is selling signals take it like an opportunity to buy it lower. Especially here, we will wait for buying signals on the (1b) or (1a) support and the best case would be the support area of $1,700 - $1,675 but far from now. For peoples already exposed on it, if it continu is bull movement and breakout the resistance area, we will be in price discovery so it's always hard to find targets in it because of volatility, but I don't expect it to go higher than $2,500 - $2,600 where we will probably find a big selling pressure. SILVER ✅ Like targeted in the last commodities update we are now on resistances of the downward channel. I don't expect a breakout of (1b) and the resistance area, so for me we will see the construction of a range between them around $27 and $29. The biggest probability for me is a bull outcome of the range to target the (1c) resistance (scenario A) and probably more after. If we reject the resistance strongly after lateralization I expect price to go deeply retest the (1a) support around $20 (scenario B). And finally if we see a reject of (2a) / (1b) soon, we could expect a short consolidation to (2b) before to go back again to the resistance area (scenario C). Like every metals, It would be dumb to expose yourself on the bear side in a period of conflict. More wise to wait consolidation and signals around the orange circles areas. PALLADIUM ✅ Palladium is another successfull prediction we had in the last commodities update. In term of evolution now it is very close from the copper analysis because we made an SOS which has also failed. So technically, the biggest probability is to see it go down on the (2b) line in a first time (scenario A) maybe more with (1a) before to retest the resistance (1b). If the macroeconomic dynamic bring it higher we could see an interesting area to enter on a buying signal on the pullback on (1b) (scenario B). Else we could go straight to (1c) around $4,500 - $4,600 before to see a strong selling pressure on price discovery. PLATINUM ✅ Platinum is also targeting the prediction of the last update. In term of perspective now it's more blurry for it. The most interesting pattern that we could see is for me a reject of (2a) to go down to (2b) which could be a nice entry on signal around $950. Else, probabilities to see it continu on the bull side are strong but I'm not confident on any areas, except the support of $860, to target entries once we will reach the resistance area of $1,340 - $1,270. CRUDE OIL ✅ I said in last update : "If I had an advice to give : stay away or be on short timeframe on this asset. Too much risk to see price manipulated by news on this public interest asset." and so after +30% in a week we have to look back on montly timeframe to search resistances. I believe in the fact that it will fall as rapidly as it surged and I also believe in the fact that we will not stay a long time at this level. Oh .... wait ! Just don't take care of what I just said, like the last commodities update it's just a manipulated asset and price will go where OPEP want to see it. So stay away of it. For those who really want my technical analysis it is : I think we can do an ATH just to say : "It's all time high !" but we will find a strong selling pressure because of (1b) and fall down rapidly. WHEAT ✅ Similar to oil technically, boosted by the macroeconomic context we did a new ATH and seen a strong selling pressure. However I don't think it's wise to sell it. We totally outbreak the range we was looking to in the last update, now if we break the resistance it could go really high but you will be attached to macroeconomic news so I advise to also stay away of it in both side.Take profits if you are exposed on it. SUGAR ✅ Rectification from the last update : we are always in the Wyckoff reaccumulation. I thought it failed because of the candle of the 10th of January but it seems to be an anomaly of market and the structure around the 28th of February confort me in the fact that it is a spring. Now we have jumped over the creek so the best area to target entry is, like for the copper pattern, the pullback on the creek. It's exactly the same pattern that we had on copper now, so just wait signals. If it go straight without pullback just let it go and don't buy in the resistance area before a breakout, there is a lot of resistances which will bring many pressure I think for the SOS. 🛑 Like, follow or comment if you like, it give me some strength to continue! 🛑
COMEX:HG1!
by Kentg
26