Sell COPPER As a basic observation in The Monthly chart of copper Futures (HG1) . Copper reached during the last year it's highest levels since 2011 breaking its all time high . As a result of the high demand from china in 2020 and the lower production from the miners in Chile and Peru .
In the other hand the Chart has shown selling configuration .There's a high probability that the prices might visit the 4.7 level before it starts dropping down and visit some of the lowest levels passing by $3.5 - $3 as first target in the next few month and if the price breaks down this level then the target will be $2.5 , and there is a lot of fundamental reasons .
-Lately the Li Keqiang Index has dropped down as sign of china's Industrial situation . and as known the high correlation between Copper and the Li Keqiang and it lower the demand on copper in 2022 .
-Chile started rising its production rate so this will affect the supply in the market .
-The US federal Bank has been declared that they will rise The Interest rate by the end of March and it will affect all industrial and technological sectors.
Copper
BULL ANALYSIS (Wyckoff Reaccumulation) - COPPER (HG1!) - 1DWHAT WE HAVE
Daily Wyckoff Reaccumulation pattern
Monthly / weekly linear up trend
Bull monthly channel (waiting for contact with resistance)
WHAT I THINK
One of the best view we can see here for a reaccumulation and continuation setup. This isn't a signal for entry on market for the moment but here we have the context.
Should we expect a spring ? No, I don't think so, volumes decrease during all the reaccumulation, furthermore creek have been already jumped. So I will more expect a retest of the creek support. With a signal in it, it should be a nice entry spot, but if you prefer wait for a spring and doesn't happen, don't jump in market desperately. You will have to wait signal on the last point of support after SOS like I will do if we don't have signal around the creek support. It's always frustrating to buy the top of the range but it's always better to enter in a strategy pattern than on emotional reaction.
What should we target if plans happens ? First target should be the top of the monthly channel with profit taking. Before that always secure your losses to breakeven. If you enter around creek support or on a spring, it's important to be breakeven at the moment you see the SOS appears (it's not fool to take profit on it too). Market can always reject the price and go down again to the support or even worse go for a more deep consolidation. After that, if we reach the top of the channel : if you see short signals on it, close your position ; if we break it, just let run your profits to higher targets.
Macro economically we have a good setup to see the materials sector growth, we are in an up trend on every higher timeframe, we have continuation pattern, stars are aligned to see nice move in this way.
Like I say frequently : "Making money in trading is math and respect of strategy, so never let your emotions guide you in uncomfortable positions" . Here we have probabilities and strategy so don't let your emotions guide you and follow your plans.
PS : Apologize for my english, I do my best. I wish you all success you need for 2022, on every side !
Commodities - What are they and how do they work?This article is continuation to the series of educational articles on basic fundamentals in regards to particular asset classes.
If you have not read our previous article on stocks, feel welcome to do so:
In order to read the article click on the chart above.
Commodities are basic goods used in commerce that are interchangeable with other goods of the same type. They are usually refined or used for production of other goods. Commodities can be traded privately or on public market exchange where they must meet specified minimum standards like quality, weight, type, etc. They are great speculative investments which tend to be ruled by cycles and interaction between supply and demand.
Classification of commodities
In order to distinguish between particular characteristics of each group, commodities can be categorized according to their type and origin. Commodities that are mined or extracted are called hard commodities (oil, gold, silver, etc.) while commodities that are grown are called soft commodities (wheat, rice, livestock, etc.). Though, commodities can be sorted even further into smaller sub-categories. For example, metals can be divided into industrial metals (copper, nickel, iron, etc.) and precious metals (silver, gold and platinum). Additionally, the agricultural sector can be divided into livestock and grains; and the energy sector can be divided into oil, coal and natural gas. Other commodity sectors can be subcategorized in the similar fashion.
Raw materials
Primary commodities which are unprocessed and serve as input for production of other goods are also called raw materials. Raw materials involve, for example, crude oil, copper, iron, wheat and corn.
Commodities exchanges include:
Asia Pacific Exchange (APEX) - Singapore
Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) - United States
Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) - United States
Dalian Commodity Exchange (DCE) - China
London Metal Exchange (LME) - United Kingdom
National Commodity Exchange Limited (NCEL) - United States
New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) - United States
Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGEX) - China
Correlation
Some commodities tend to show correlation with other assets. Such correlation can be positive or negative. Positive correlation means that two assets behave in a similar way. For example, when gold rises then mining stocks rise as well. Contrary to that, negative correlation describes such behavior in which assets move in the opposite direction to each other. For example, when USD/EUR rises then gold in USD tends to decline.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration above shows the monthly chart of USOIL. It also shows USDEUR (orange line). Negative correlation between these two assets is observable. When USDEUR falls then USOIL tends to rise.
Participants, spot market and derivatives market
Commodities are great anti-inflationary assets which are often sought by producers and speculators alike. Producers tend to use commodities with purpose to hedge their risk; furthermore, they often demand delivery of physical goods. Speculators, instead, try to exploit volatile price movements in commodities with the goal to profit from it. Commodities can be bought and sold through the spot market or derivatives market. Spot market simply means buying or selling cash positions while derivatives market involves investing in futures, options, ETFs, etc.
Seasonality
Some commodities are prone to seasonal cycles which means that they tend to show the same or very similar behavior based on a particular calendar season. For example, in some countries, production of a certain crop may vary during the wet season and drought season. Similarly, heating prices tend to increase during the harsh winter as opposed to during the hot summer. Concept of seasonality is also applicable to commercial and industrial trends.
DISCLAIMER: This content serves solely educational purposes.
FIRST QUANTUM MINERALS - LONG TERM BULLISHFirst Quantum Minerals shows an interesting long term chart pattern. On lower timeframes, FM completed its corrective wave (2) at 50% of the fib retracement and price has broken the terminus of wave (1). This provides confirmation that an impulsive wave (3) in now occurring and we could expect the next target levels.
1. CAD$ 58/share
2. CAD$ 74.45
Disclaimer: This technical analysis is intended for educational purposes only and must not be taken as investment advice.
Copper XCU/USD (It is melting UP) View On Copper XCU/USD (25 Nov 2021)
Copper is good UP gradually and the main momentum is in the LONG side.
As a trader we shall stick with the main trend, while we scout for the best possible entry,
As long as the price of Copper doesn't go below $390 again, it is a better bet to be on the buy side.
It shall retest $460 soon. $485 and $500 will be the next.
DYODD, all the best and read the disclaimer too.
Feel Free to "Follow", press "LIKE" "Comment".
Thank You!
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Trading foreign exchange or CFD on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors.
The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite.
The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose.
You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor.
DISCLAIMER:
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information discussed in this presentation or linked to from this presentation are provided as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice.
Sonicr Mastery Team does not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
#COPX #DRCOPPER Copper miners about to rip?Keep an eye on the copper x etf which tracks miners which are engaged in the mining of Copper. Every time we've seen a heavy spike in volume this year has resulted in a corresponding top or bottom for Copper miners. My guess would be another bottom could be forming here...
NCZ catching up with the largest Zinc producersNCZ is now somewhere around 12th largest zinc miner in the world so it's worth comparing with the top zinc miners. Chart starts at COVID stock recovery date.
High volatility but catching up.. Can't wait till the announcement of starting to mine Copper in Tasmania.
Will the price reach the green line before the next quarterly earnings meeting? Bets please
HG ( COPPER ) MAKING A TRIANGLEHG ( COPPER ) making a triangle on a Primary degree 4th. We are on a D wave of the triangle. Most probably we finish A wave of D wave as a preferred count (Projected by the black line) and we are coming down to making a B wave. On another side of the analysis as an alternative (projected by the red line)we are on an A wave and we are going upside a little bit and we finish the A wave then we will come for a B wave. Copper take more time to finish the triangle and after that, we can see a new high on an HG for primary degree 5th.
DISCLOSURE - Please be informed that the information I provide is not a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of my work is for educational purposes only. All labeling and wave count have been done by me manually and I will keep changing according to the LIVE MARKET PRICE ACTION. So don't bias, hope on my trade plans. Try to learn Elliott Wave or other strategies and make your own strategy. Following is not that much easy. I am not responsible for any losses if u took the trade according to my trade plans.
#HG #COPPER
HG1! - Copper and CornersSo, is this what means: A market is cornered? ;-)
OK...let's get serious...they observe us hehe...
The very old top acts as a perfect resistance.
Now, focus on the white pitchfork.
The market overshooted the U-MLH (upper line). This is a huge stretch. In fact, if the power where there, price had to go to the next extension of the Pitchfork. But so far it mised it (HAGOPIAN) and it's just dancing on the U-MLH.
What does this mean?
It means, that
a) the potential to take off is still in place
b) the market could tank very hard and reaching at least the white centerline. The extended version of a target is simply the grey centerline.
Anything else?
Jep, Santa is comming! §8-)
Copper Long Idea After Copper managed to rise to the 4.775 area in late october, the price has been range bound and in a slight downtrend. Price has been trading between 4.19 and 4.50 since this time, Copper is currently trading at 4.294 and appears to be moving to up to potentially retest the 4.42 area and beyond. The RSI indicators on the 4hr chart are around oversold terrorties at 37, but its the price action that has formed on the trend line that indicates to me other buyers are looking to go Long from this point. Since the 17th of Novemebr the price has been forming higher lows and respecting the upwards trend line. The stop loss area for this trade is at -2.45%, around the 4.195 area.
$LODE sniper edition #5*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management*
Recap: My team entered $LODE on November 8, 2921 at $2.25 per share and plan to take profit at $3.00
My team averaged down on our position today at $1.60 per share bringing our share average down to $1.92.
!!This is a high-risk trade. Proceed with caution!!
OUR FIRST ENTRY: $2.25
OUR 2ND ENTRY: $1.60
TAKE PROFIT 1: $3.00
TAKE PROFIT 2: $4.50
If you would like to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
COPPER Buy signalPattern: Channel Up on 1D.
Signal: Buy as the price is rebounding on the Higher Lows (bottom) trend-line of the Channel Up while the MACD just formed a Bullish Cross.
Target: 4.980 (the 1.236 Fibonacci extension).
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Copper Triangle BreakoutCopper had a triangle breakout few days ago, it is providing a long entry again as the price is currently retesting the breakout post having a minor correction. Risk reward remains highly favorable given the current setup.
BTCUSD Can Turn Into Pullback; + GOLD/COPPER and SP500 Charts Hey traders.
It's been a while since I looked at BTCUSD so here is my take.
BTCUSD has 5 up, correction can be seen
BTCUSD volatility is at the low; an increase usually occurs when price drops
GOLD/COPPER ratio is at support; rally will suggest limited upside for stocks
Lower stocks may trigger a weakness on Crypto.
For more details, please check the video.
I would appreciate if you leave me your feedback in the commentary below.
Take care,
Grega