Copper Breakout: Bullish Trend After 0.6Fib RetracementI’ve initiated a long position in Copper after a successful retracement to the 0.6 Fibonacci level, which triggered my entry. The bullish trend looks solid, and I am targeting the 0.7 Fibonacci level for my take-profit (TP), aligning perfectly with my point of interest around the 4.800 level. As of now, Copper is facing resistance in the 4.300–4.400 price zone, but a breakout here will prompt me to adjust the stop-loss (SL) and take partial profits. Until the breakout occurs, the trade criteria remain as shown in the chart.
Technical Analysis:
• Entry: Near the 0.6 Fibonacci retracement level.
• Target (TP): 4.800 (aligned with the 0.7 Fibonacci level).
• Stop-Loss (SL): To be adjusted after a clean breakout above 4.400.
• Market Structure: The price has respected the Fibonacci retracement levels and is set for a potential breakout to the upside. The bullish trend remains intact, supported by clean retracement patterns.
Fundamental Outlook:
Copper prices have been fluctuating due to external factors, including China’s economic measures, which have helped support the market. However, half of those gains have retraced as market participants begin to question the scale of the stimulus. Despite this, the long-term view for Copper remains bullish, especially with solid demand linked to the energy transition and rising input costs.
Additionally, factors like U.S. rate cuts and China’s fiscal policies will play a key role in driving future demand. The current short-term outlook remains dependent on stimulus from China, as well as the timing and impact of U.S. rate cuts. Should demand recover, Copper could potentially rally towards the 4.800 level as targeted.
Risk Management:
• The SL will remain flexible, adjusted accordingly based on the price action and breakout strength.
• Partial profits will be taken in the 4.400 range, with the remainder held for the final target at 4.800.
• The position is managed carefully to avoid exposure to market volatility in the lower ranges.
Always remember to Pay Yourself by taking partial profits when the trade moves in your favor!
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Copperanalysis
Copper (HG) - Look for Longs?While the decline in copper persists, @HG is nearing areas of previous demand on intermediate-term timeframes. Specficially, we will be watching the industrial metal's action between the prices of 4.1130-4.0605 (with hypothetical stop lower @ 4.0250). Given the current momentum and potential add'l downside per larger timeframes, we recommend watching for micro-TF trend violation/reversal confirm signals before establishing positions. This idea is bolstered by a backdrop more broadly of metals having pulled back and a AMEX:USD that looks vulnerable vs. physical assets over the longer-term. Of course "Dr. Copper" is more closely linked to the global economy vs. GC (which we like better), but price, ultimately, remains undefeated + copper will become a value buy at some point...
Godspeed,
JHart