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Copperforecast

Copper: Like a Lead Weight ⚖️No worries – we didn’t confuse our metals! However, like a lead weight, copper should continue to sink further, heading for the green zone between $3.08 and $2.59 in the south. Already the price has broken free from the recent sidewards movement and has developed a new low, showing more and more downwards momentum. Once copper has arrived in the green zone, it should complete wave 2 in green, marking a distinctive low, which should then introduce a strong upwards movement.
COMEX:HG1!
by MarketIntel
Copper analysis: Has the bear market rally ended already?After a 37% decline from its peak of $5.03 per pound in early-March 2022, copper has risen 14% since July's lows. However, the metal has recently been unable to overcome key resistance levels represented by the 50-day moving average and the descending channel trendline, as fresh worries about global growth slowdown and monetary policy tightening reemerged this week. Key macro events of the week: China, the world's largest consumer of copper, unexpectedly lowered lending rates in an effort to boost demand after reporting weaker-than-anticipated July numbers for industrial production (3.8% vs 4.6% expected), fixed asset investments (5.7% vs 6.2%), and retail sales (2.7% vs 5%). In the United States, the New York Empire State Manufacturing Index plunged to -31.3 in August of 2022, from 11.2 in July. This is the lowest reading since May of 2020, and it indicates that business activity is weakening as a result of a collapse in new orders and shipments. Germany's ZEW economic sentiment index has fallen to its lowest level since October 2008, and the UK inflation rate has risen to double digits, the highest in 40 years, adding fuel to the fire and reigniting fears of a global recession. Ultimately, the Minutes of the FOMC's July meeting revealed that there is still a long way to go before declaring the war on inflation won, with members indicating that adopting a more restrictive policy stance was critical to avoiding a worsening of inflation expectations. This implies that the Fed's tightening is far from over. Copper technical analysis A bear market rally that is nearing exhaustion can be seen on the copper daily chart. The price action this week has been unable to break above both the bearish channel and the 50-dma, the RSI has tilted to the downside, and the MACD is getting close to a bearish crossover. A similar pattern occurred earlier this year, in the first week of June. After a 14% rebound from May's lows, copper briefly surpassed the 50-day moving average before beginning a severe, steep decline that lasted until mid-July. The RSI and MACD indicators both showed similar patterns to what we are seeing now. Bottom line, a copper's short-term pullback to the bearish channel's midline in the $3.2-3.3 area seems more likely, given the current technical setup. Breaking decisively the 50-dma and bearish channel resistances would invalidate the thesis and raise the odds of a $4.00 per pound test. Idea written by Piero Cingari, forex and commodity analyst at Capital.com
CAPITALCOM:COPPER
by Capitalcom
HG ( COPPER ) MAKING A TRIANGLEHG ( COPPER ) making a triangle on a Primary degree 4th. We are on a D wave of the triangle. Most probably we finish A wave of D wave as a preferred count (Projected by the black line) and we are coming down to making a B wave. On another side of the analysis as an alternative (projected by the red line)we are on an A wave and we are going upside a little bit and we finish the A wave then we will come for a B wave. Copper take more time to finish the triangle and after that, we can see a new high on an HG for primary degree 5th. DISCLOSURE - Please be informed that the information I provide is not a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of my work is for educational purposes only. All labeling and wave count have been done by me manually and I will keep changing according to the LIVE MARKET PRICE ACTION. So don't bias, hope on my trade plans. Try to learn Elliott Wave or other strategies and make your own strategy. Following is not that much easy. I am not responsible for any losses if u took the trade according to my trade plans. #HG #COPPER
COMEX:HG1!
by anantadhungana
3