ridethepig | Copper Quarterly Update (via Supply Side Shortages)📍 Changing Directions...
Let us first look at the previous charts for the flows we were tracking in the typical Copper flows inside a crisis:
a) Confirming the correction, which is set from an abc retrace
b) Momentum is in play here
In the lows at 2.1 - 2.3 the clear move was loading on the lows. This was followed by an immediate slingshot out as smart money outguessed the shortages coming on the supply side. First to go as confirmed at the weekend, Chile, Covid has hit mines hard and most are back to 60% capacity AT BEST!! Chile is now a virus hot spot... it is sadly only going to end in one way.
The slingshot carried out here is going to be effective at taking out the highs - a commodity shortage is a prelude to the monetary crisis which is cooked for year-end. Those V shapers have clearly not checked the most important chart that ironically begins with a V... VIX above 30 does not imply everything is fine...
Thanks as usual for all those keeping the feedback coming in the comments... 👍 or 👎
Copperfutures
Gap breakoutThis thing is likely shoot good. Good breakout with gap. Bullish rejection from monthly pivot.
When price breaks away the trend line with gap it rarely makes a trendline retest.
Does this mean that oil might rise? Copper and oil have had a strong positive correlation at 0.84.
THIS IS NO FINANCIAL ADVISE.
Copper: First Corrective Wave TargetIn "Copper Tempest" (see related ideas), I analyzed the macro-view on Copper. Now it's time to act.
My trade starts from 2.8462 with final target of 2.8125 (end of first corrective wave). Stop Loss set at 2.8537.
Disclosure: My ideas contain statements and projections based on assumptions on capital markets, and therefore inherently subject to numerous risks and uncertainties.
Before buying or selling any stock you should do your own research and reach your own conclusion or consult a financial advisor. Investing includes risks, including loss of principal.
I am not a financial advisor.
Copper Tempest: The Bear before the BullIf you like this idea, don't forget to hit the Like Button and to Follow Me!
Exciting days for Copper. The brown metal reached the $2.8575 level. I'm confident that copper price will rise in the long run if copper demand, especially for China (largest copper consumer), will continue to record highs (527,000 tons in December 2019).
However, we still live on planet earth, and we need to make a deal with technical analysis. I believe Copper has terminated an Elliot wave impulse, with wave 5 hitting today's high ($2.8575). I will expect in the next days the A, B, and C corrective waves.
This theory is enforced by Volume Profile analysis (performed on Elliot Impulse Range) that shows POC support at $2.6436, and an exciting volume development around $2.7947. I expect corrective wave C to touch this support to bounce back for a new impulse wave 1 (If the market will let it).
Stochastic still confirm this analysis. The indicator showed no reversal for this cycle, and it is approximating the overbought area, by the way, again with a bullish setting.
Disclosure: My ideas contain statements and projections based on assumptions on capital markets, and therefore inherently subject to numerous risks and uncertainties.
Before buying or selling any stock you should do your own research and reach your own conclusion or consult a financial advisor. Investing includes risks, including loss of principal.
I am not a financial advisor.
Copper Buy & SellCopper is currently a sell but not long before buyers come back in. My labelled zones are only a rough idea of where i think the market may touch before turning around. Decide on your own Entry & Exit. If you do decide to enter a sell from this point, then i would put a SL around 10pips about zone A because market can always go back up to A again before coming back down to B.
DISCLAIMER
Please note that this chart is an opinion based chart only. Please trade at your own risk
Copper: How far will it fall?I have two ideas in mind, bounce at 2.84 ....or bounce at 2.74 (for the optimist bear (me!))
I hope my thinking is clear from the graph (ignore the memelines from earlier, i usually don't publish).
In conclusion, i see a solid trend brake and no support in sight
Please share your thoughts with me so i can improve :D
I have moved my stop loss for my short to 2.88, and i began at 2.9 if anyone cares.
WARNING: I am not very experienced
HG1! Is Copper ready to make a move?HG HG1!
Copper has been bottoming for quite some time. Economic trends are plumbing/housing, electronics, and EV vehicles, so let's step back and review.
* Oversupply for quite some time.
* Copper prices are historically peak in December.
* Housing/construction build rates for SF/MF/5+units is steady Yr/Yr for 5-yr and slight growth if any.
* Electronics is in steep decline from overstock parts and US-China trade war
* Electric vehicles are the new growth at 150+ lb. / vehicle for motor windings for copper, trend to continue as EV Class 8 heavy trucks will use 300+ lb. / truck (TESLA/NAV)
* Current chart showing upward movement from 618fibretracement to 500fibretracement as positive.
Maybe a micro trend without larger scope of current global economy, but something to watch for safe haven opportunities. VIX
The yuan hit a fresh 21-month low against the U.S. dollar Thursday, and the Shanghai Composite Index has lost about a quarter of its value so far in 2018.
ASX:KRC NSE:HINDCOPPER ASX:NZC OTC:CPPMF AMEX:COPX NYSE:SCCO ASX:CCZ TSX:NCU FWB:COQ OTC:HDRSF CCJ
Copper Elliott Wave View: Next Extension Higher May Have StartedHello Traders,
In this analysis, we will have a look at the metal Copper in the 1 hour chart.
Short-term Elliott Wave view suggests that the pullback to 3.0101 on 5/30/2018 ended blue wave (2). The internals of blue wave (2) unfolded as an Elliott Wave double three structure where red wave W ended at 3.0195 and red wave X ended at 3.1485 high and the decline to 3.0101 low in wave Y of (2).
Above from there, the metal has started the next extension higher in blue wave (3). The rally looks to unfolding as an Elliott Wave impulse structure with extension in red wave 3 higher.
Up from 3.0101 low, the rally to 3.093 high ended in red wave 1. Afterwards, the pullback to 3.046 low ended in red wave 2 and red wave 3 ended at the peak of 3.3165. Red wave 4 pullback can already ended at 3.2585 low and can now extend higher in red wave 5.
As long as Copper stays below red wave 3 peak, a double correction lower in wave 4 can't be ruled out before the metal extends higher again in red wave 5 to complete the 5 waves impulse structure from 3.0101 low within blue wave (3) higher. We don’t like selling the metal and like to stay on the sidelines for now. However, the right side remains to the upside.