Copperfutures
Gap breakoutThis thing is likely shoot good. Good breakout with gap. Bullish rejection from monthly pivot.
When price breaks away the trend line with gap it rarely makes a trendline retest.
Does this mean that oil might rise? Copper and oil have had a strong positive correlation at 0.84.
THIS IS NO FINANCIAL ADVISE.
Copper: First Corrective Wave TargetIn "Copper Tempest" (see related ideas), I analyzed the macro-view on Copper. Now it's time to act.
My trade starts from 2.8462 with final target of 2.8125 (end of first corrective wave). Stop Loss set at 2.8537.
Disclosure: My ideas contain statements and projections based on assumptions on capital markets, and therefore inherently subject to numerous risks and uncertainties.
Before buying or selling any stock you should do your own research and reach your own conclusion or consult a financial advisor. Investing includes risks, including loss of principal.
I am not a financial advisor.
Copper Tempest: The Bear before the BullIf you like this idea, don't forget to hit the Like Button and to Follow Me!
Exciting days for Copper. The brown metal reached the $2.8575 level. I'm confident that copper price will rise in the long run if copper demand, especially for China (largest copper consumer), will continue to record highs (527,000 tons in December 2019).
However, we still live on planet earth, and we need to make a deal with technical analysis. I believe Copper has terminated an Elliot wave impulse, with wave 5 hitting today's high ($2.8575). I will expect in the next days the A, B, and C corrective waves.
This theory is enforced by Volume Profile analysis (performed on Elliot Impulse Range) that shows POC support at $2.6436, and an exciting volume development around $2.7947. I expect corrective wave C to touch this support to bounce back for a new impulse wave 1 (If the market will let it).
Stochastic still confirm this analysis. The indicator showed no reversal for this cycle, and it is approximating the overbought area, by the way, again with a bullish setting.
Disclosure: My ideas contain statements and projections based on assumptions on capital markets, and therefore inherently subject to numerous risks and uncertainties.
Before buying or selling any stock you should do your own research and reach your own conclusion or consult a financial advisor. Investing includes risks, including loss of principal.
I am not a financial advisor.
Copper Buy & SellCopper is currently a sell but not long before buyers come back in. My labelled zones are only a rough idea of where i think the market may touch before turning around. Decide on your own Entry & Exit. If you do decide to enter a sell from this point, then i would put a SL around 10pips about zone A because market can always go back up to A again before coming back down to B.
DISCLAIMER
Please note that this chart is an opinion based chart only. Please trade at your own risk
Copper: How far will it fall?I have two ideas in mind, bounce at 2.84 ....or bounce at 2.74 (for the optimist bear (me!))
I hope my thinking is clear from the graph (ignore the memelines from earlier, i usually don't publish).
In conclusion, i see a solid trend brake and no support in sight
Please share your thoughts with me so i can improve :D
I have moved my stop loss for my short to 2.88, and i began at 2.9 if anyone cares.
WARNING: I am not very experienced
HG1! Is Copper ready to make a move?HG HG1!
Copper has been bottoming for quite some time. Economic trends are plumbing/housing, electronics, and EV vehicles, so let's step back and review.
* Oversupply for quite some time.
* Copper prices are historically peak in December.
* Housing/construction build rates for SF/MF/5+units is steady Yr/Yr for 5-yr and slight growth if any.
* Electronics is in steep decline from overstock parts and US-China trade war
* Electric vehicles are the new growth at 150+ lb. / vehicle for motor windings for copper, trend to continue as EV Class 8 heavy trucks will use 300+ lb. / truck (TESLA/NAV)
* Current chart showing upward movement from 618fibretracement to 500fibretracement as positive.
Maybe a micro trend without larger scope of current global economy, but something to watch for safe haven opportunities. VIX
The yuan hit a fresh 21-month low against the U.S. dollar Thursday, and the Shanghai Composite Index has lost about a quarter of its value so far in 2018.
ASX:KRC NSE:HINDCOPPER ASX:NZC OTC:CPPMF AMEX:COPX NYSE:SCCO ASX:CCZ TSX:NCU FWB:COQ OTC:HDRSF CCJ
Copper Elliott Wave View: Next Extension Higher May Have StartedHello Traders,
In this analysis, we will have a look at the metal Copper in the 1 hour chart.
Short-term Elliott Wave view suggests that the pullback to 3.0101 on 5/30/2018 ended blue wave (2). The internals of blue wave (2) unfolded as an Elliott Wave double three structure where red wave W ended at 3.0195 and red wave X ended at 3.1485 high and the decline to 3.0101 low in wave Y of (2).
Above from there, the metal has started the next extension higher in blue wave (3). The rally looks to unfolding as an Elliott Wave impulse structure with extension in red wave 3 higher.
Up from 3.0101 low, the rally to 3.093 high ended in red wave 1. Afterwards, the pullback to 3.046 low ended in red wave 2 and red wave 3 ended at the peak of 3.3165. Red wave 4 pullback can already ended at 3.2585 low and can now extend higher in red wave 5.
As long as Copper stays below red wave 3 peak, a double correction lower in wave 4 can't be ruled out before the metal extends higher again in red wave 5 to complete the 5 waves impulse structure from 3.0101 low within blue wave (3) higher. We don’t like selling the metal and like to stay on the sidelines for now. However, the right side remains to the upside.
Copper short target 3,01818. Fib 0% tested not broken!I invest in Crypto currencies and I trade CFD's. When you want to invest in crypto, I advise you to buy 'real coins' because on long term that will give you far more profit than speculate the chart with CFD's. I have bought XRP-Ripple, Bitcoin, Bitcoin Cash, Ethereum, ReddCoin, FeatherCoin, Adcoin ( ACC ), Bunny Token and looking for NEO!
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What about my ' Cycle phenomenon' ? read here:
My main strategy is called 'cycle-trading'. After years of learning and practicing after I bought a teaching-package from a visionair, I found a way of how to trade successful with CFD's on the stock-market. Every stock is following an certain cycle which repeats itself. So, movements are often appearing in the same percentage, aswel long as short. This cycles appear at all levels; when you analyse the chart at 1 month, 1 week, 1 day, 1 hour. (others I don't use). This is the case, because all in life is build by the fibonacci sequence. When you analyse the chart, you'll also see the stock market is behaving itself as the fibonacci sequence. But, still the most difficult part and what it's all about, is where does a long or a short start? and which point is telling you that the cycle is started, so that you know it will probably go to the next fibonacci resistance? .... therefore I have developed some own indicators!
The exact positions of where to open, to close and the stop loss position and take profit position is very important to be successful with trading!
My strategy is to never trade on volatile markets. You will lose your money when you do! Trade on technical-chart analysis! not on news and volatility!
One of my other strategies is that trades are only interesting and ‘safe’ to open when: you can possibly lose 1/3rd of the possible profit. So; when you set the indicators after analysing resistances, and you can lose 100 but win 300, it is worth the try!
How do I decide to open a position or not? First I analyse:
- sentiment on the market > are people in buy mode or short mode
- I have some own created indicators, some I show in my charts. Therefor I use the fibonacci sequence. My indicators tell to open a position or not and in combination with other own created indicators I decide where to place the stop loss and take profit positions.
- and this own indicators tell me when probably a new long position starts or a new short > these are the positions where I place my orders! or open directly.
- and again other own created indicators tell me how far long or short it probably goes. The take profit and stop loss positions are other positions than the resistances in the market!
- the moving-averages and bollinger-bands are very important indicators also. They are helping a lot! by making decisions.
And that is Why I win more than I lose in the end. Patience is everything, we’ll wait for the right moment! But don't forget; trading means investing. Sometimes you lose more than you win in the beginning of a period!
Most of the times the sentiment changes on Monday! please consider that when you start a position on Monday. Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday are on steady markets normally calm trading days. Than, my strategies work at their best!
Don't forget to follow me, so you get updated when I post new analysis. Also read my account and the 'status updates' to be informed.
Thank you for following and Succes with trading !
Richard from Rich.Exclusive.Trading