Copperlong
Copper: The Next Big Boom - Prices Could Skyrocket to $40,000Hedge fund manager Pierre Andurand predicts that copper prices could surge to $40,000 per tonne in the coming years due to soaring demand. Currently priced at around $11,000 per tonne, copper has already seen a 20% increase this year. The demand is driven by the electrification of various sectors, including electric vehicles, renewable energy sources, military uses, and data centers.
Andurand, who manages approximately $2 billion in assets at Andurand Capital, forecasts this dramatic rise based on the doubling of demand growth for copper. He acknowledges that although a supply response is expected, it will take more than five years to materialize. This sentiment is echoed by former Goldman Sachs executive Jeff Currie, who also predicts significant price increases, albeit to a more conservative $15,000 per tonne.
The transport sector's copper demand is projected to grow over 11 times by 2050, with electric vehicles alone requiring substantial amounts of copper wiring. Additionally, the expansion of the global electricity grid will necessitate a 4.8-fold increase in copper demand by 2050.
The copper supply gap is projected to reach 10 million tonnes by 2030, as per BloombergNEF estimates. Despite not being widely known in the US, Andurand has a solid track record in commodities trading, with his funds experiencing an 83% increase in value this year.
The rising copper prices reflect broader trends in the metals market, driven by strong demand and historically low inventories. Significant growth in copper demand is also anticipated from developing countries, particularly China, India, and Indonesia, which are experiencing exponential increases in consumption.
COPPER Commodity or Junior Miner trade LONGCopper prices rise when the economy is thought to be growing and needing more electrical
infrastructure while they fall when bearish indicators might project a recession. I am
at the aluminum and finished steel subsectors as well. FCX is under consideration but as a
large cap it does not have the volatility of the junior miners. In the meanwhile COPJ, CPER and
COPX look like they are worth considering given the trend up since mid-February. The chosen
strength and trend indicators confirm the trend. This is a long trade and sector rotation play for
those to consider that are tired of tech stocks and earnings plays.
Copper Prices on the Rise - Do Your Research Before You T
Copper prices have recently reached a 14-month high, driven in part by China's economic improvement. This could be a potential trading opportunity, but it's important to be well-informed before making any decisions.
Copper is a key economic indicator, and its demand is expected to rise. However, the market can be volatile.
Here are some resources to help you make informed decisions:
• Copper price charts and analysis
• Information on copper trading risks
Remember, successful trading requires research, understanding your risk tolerance, and aligning your strategy with your goals
HG - COPPER FUTURES - BULLISH - LONGWill be looking at long positions for instrument for the following reason.
• It is approaching a point of Major support in the ranging pattern looking back 3 months.
• This is a long-term long swing for me looking forward at least 2-3 months, but it might happen sooner with the recent volatility in the market.
• Looking to catch a long trade of the rejection from the support zone.
o I would need to zoom in to get a better entry point, once price rejects from the support zone.
• Also, I have been studying the Elliott wave patterns, and the 5th wave is usually the point of a major trend reversal.
• Also, there is the formation of the falling wedge pattern which adds to the confirmation of a bullish reversal.
Of course this is purely a technical approach.
**This is just my trading thought process and does not constitute as financial advice.
**Please trade with proper risk management**
COPPER 02/10 MovePair : CU Copper
Description :
Symmetrical Triangle as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame and Breakout the Lower Trendline and Completed the Retracement after Impulsive Waves and Correction " wxyxz " , If it Breaks the Lower Trendline of the Correction " Bearish Channel " then sell
Copper 08/09 MovePair : CU - Copper
Description :
It has Completed its " 12 " Impulsive Wave at Fibonacci Level - 50.00 or Demand Zone. Bearish Channel in Short Time Frame and Impulse Correction in Long Time Frame completed its Impulse and Correction at Fibonacci Level - 61.80% it will again make Impulsive move
Buying Copper at 50% retracement.XCUUSD - Intraday - We look to Buy at 4.074 (stop at 4.034)
The 50% Fibonacci retracement is located at 4.087 from 4.237 to 3.937.
Prices have reacted from 3.936.
Daily signals are mildly bullish.
Short term momentum is bullish.
A lower correction is expected.
Our profit targets will be 4.174 and 4.194
Resistance: 4.130 / 4.150 / 4.175
Support: 4.100 / 4.070 / 4.050
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Copper dips continue to attract buyers.XCUUSD - Intraday - We look to Buy at 4.024 (stop at 3.984)
Selling posted in Asia.
The bullish engulfing candle on the daily chart is positive for sentiment.
Short term momentum is bearish.
A lower correction is expected.
We expect prices to stall close to our bespoke level (4.020).
Our profit targets will be 4.124 and 4.144
Resistance: 4.080 / 4.100 / 4.133
Support: 4.060 / 4.040 / 4.020
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Copper showing mixed signals with Bullish bias to $4.80Cup and Handle formed on Copper
Price >200 Bullish
21>7 Bearish
RSI <50
Target $4.80
Mixed - Bullish bias
Resources definitely showing upside to come in the medium term, but right now there is a but of a breather which is causing a bit of selling pressure. We need to weather through this sideways range before the market chooses a direction. My bias is up but there needs to be the next catalyst. Also the US Dollar is showing short term strength which is also not great for resources as resources is priced in US dollars. and so when US strengthens the price for resources become less profitable for imports to countries.
Copper bulls to return around $4.00?Price action on copper has caught our eye, as its pullback from the YTD highs has paused above the November highs despite a surging US dollar. RSI (2) is overbought on the daily chart, and yesterday’s Doji held above the 20-day EMA. It's also holding above $4.00, whilst money managers and large speculators have continued to increase their net-long exposure to copper futures despite the pullback on prices.
- From here, the bias is bullish above 3.95 and for prices to have another crack at the YTD high
- Another approach is to scale into such a position with a wider stop, with a view to increase exposure if or when momentum turns higher sufficiently enough to call a swing low.
Copper analysis and ideas: Will bears come back?Copper prices may remain under pressure in the coming months due to investors' apprehension about China's growth prospects in the wake of the 20th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party, which disappointed the market.
Since September, copper prices have fluctuated within a relatively narrow range (3.2-3.6) after the earlier sharp declines occurred this year.
The long-term case for copper remains strong, as it is a key metal for the energy transition and global inventories are currently very low.
However, one of the main challenges it faces in the near future is its dependence on China’s economic growth.
The brown metal will remain under pressure unless China announces new growth-friendly economic policies to counteract the predicted slowdown in the country’s economy. However, the latest China Party Congress appears to prefer fostering sustainable growth and giving more importance to inequality, national security, and ideological matters.
Copper bull markets have historically coincided with periods of extraordinary global growth, driven primarily by China.
We have now reached a crossroads in that regard, and if China is unable to maintain high and consistent economic growth, copper will have to wait for a new global wave of coordinated investments toward the development of renewables and green energy. However, given the issues with inflation and rising interest rates that we are currently facing, it may still be years before the transition fully takes hold on a global scale. This could take the price of copper subdued for longer.
When we look at the daily chart, we can see that some bearish pressure was forming near the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the 2022 range. Also the 50-day moving average has been a quite strong dynamic resistance later. The technical picture remains overall on the bearish foot, and copper needs to clear the 2022 trendline at around $3.75 and then cross the psychological $4.00 mark before materially inverting the downtrend.