Copper bulls to return around $4.00?Price action on copper has caught our eye, as its pullback from the YTD highs has paused above the November highs despite a surging US dollar. RSI (2) is overbought on the daily chart, and yesterday’s Doji held above the 20-day EMA. It's also holding above $4.00, whilst money managers and large speculators have continued to increase their net-long exposure to copper futures despite the pullback on prices.
- From here, the bias is bullish above 3.95 and for prices to have another crack at the YTD high
- Another approach is to scale into such a position with a wider stop, with a view to increase exposure if or when momentum turns higher sufficiently enough to call a swing low.
Copperlong
Copper analysis and ideas: Will bears come back?Copper prices may remain under pressure in the coming months due to investors' apprehension about China's growth prospects in the wake of the 20th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party, which disappointed the market.
Since September, copper prices have fluctuated within a relatively narrow range (3.2-3.6) after the earlier sharp declines occurred this year.
The long-term case for copper remains strong, as it is a key metal for the energy transition and global inventories are currently very low.
However, one of the main challenges it faces in the near future is its dependence on China’s economic growth.
The brown metal will remain under pressure unless China announces new growth-friendly economic policies to counteract the predicted slowdown in the country’s economy. However, the latest China Party Congress appears to prefer fostering sustainable growth and giving more importance to inequality, national security, and ideological matters.
Copper bull markets have historically coincided with periods of extraordinary global growth, driven primarily by China.
We have now reached a crossroads in that regard, and if China is unable to maintain high and consistent economic growth, copper will have to wait for a new global wave of coordinated investments toward the development of renewables and green energy. However, given the issues with inflation and rising interest rates that we are currently facing, it may still be years before the transition fully takes hold on a global scale. This could take the price of copper subdued for longer.
When we look at the daily chart, we can see that some bearish pressure was forming near the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the 2022 range. Also the 50-day moving average has been a quite strong dynamic resistance later. The technical picture remains overall on the bearish foot, and copper needs to clear the 2022 trendline at around $3.75 and then cross the psychological $4.00 mark before materially inverting the downtrend.
Copper to $10+ by 2024. Easy. ~$4.50 today is fundamentally not the same as ~$4.50 in 2011 - the last time copper traded at these prices. QE was fresh off the block in 2011. today, it is standard operating procedure and although the fed talks a good game with tapering, we have yet to see any balance sheet reduction.
Looking at this monthly chart, I noticed an interesting double bottom that hits its' target before entering price discovery between 1999-2006. the pattern is not perfect but it looks really similar to copper 2016-2022. Double bottom, target reached around $4.30, and now we're off to the races - price discovery.
I think copper to $10 in under 2 years is a very safe bet. It doesn't threaten fiat as much as gold/silver and is manipulated less as a result. It is critical in many industries and the push for everything to go IoT will continue the increasing pressure on copper as well.
Let's see how this one ages.
Joe Gun2Head Trade - Copper at a key levelTrade Idea: Buying Copper
Reasoning: Copper oversold and trading at a key 50% Fibonacci retracement level
Entry Level: 3.5079
Take Profit Level: 3.6428
Stop Loss: 3.4763
Risk/Reward: 4.04:1
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Copper to buy a dip.XCUUSD - Intraday - We look to Buy at 3.971 (stop at 3.934)
With signals for sentiment at oversold extremes, the dip could not be extended.
3.971 has been pivotal.
We look for a temporary move lower.
Bullish divergence is expected to support prices.
Our profit targets will be 4.064 and 4.084
Resistance: 4.050 / 4.100 / 4.130
Support: 4.000 / 3.965 / 3.900
Copper Buy a break setup.XCUUSD - Intraday - We look to Buy a break of 4.551 (stop at 4.512)
Daily signals are mildly bullish.
We are trading at oversold extremes.
A higher correction is expected.
A break of the recent high at 4.550 should result in a further move higher.
Our profit targets will be 4.651 and 4.671
Resistance: 4.550 / 4.600 / 4.650
Support: 4.450 / 4.400 / 4.350
Copper: Classic Trend-Following Setup
Copper is trading in a strong bullish trend.
Since the middle of March, the market was consolidating within a horizontal trading range.
The market broke and closed above its upper boundary yesterday.
Now I expect a bullish continuation to 855
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Copper: Classic Trend-Following Setup
Copper is trading in a sharp bullish trend.
Recently the price dropped nicely.
The market reached a strong confluence area:
the blue zone is based on 786 retracement of a major impulse leg and a horizontal structure on the left.
From that zone, I will expect a bullish movement to
820
848
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Mar 2, 22 Copper on a tear-Buy or Sell?What is going on with Copper? Price is skyrocketing yesterday and today but why?
We are coming into a world recession sometime this year, inflation is the highest its been in 40 years, interest rates are going up everywhere, all signs that copper price is 'supposed' to be going down.
Any ideas?
Heiko
COPX LongAMEX:COPX
The Global X Copper Miners ETF (COPX) provides investors access to a broad range of copper mining companies. It seeks to provide investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance, before fees and expenses, of the Solactive Global Copper Miners Total Return Index.
www.globalxetfs.com
Copper MCX chart indicates strong bull run about to startCopper is managed to bounce from 750 level and in last trading session give strong recover from bottom.
On daily time frame made a bullish pin candle near resistance zone.
Breaking above 760 will trigger strong buying and target will be 770 to 775.
Copper Hrly long | Algorithm Trades | Bifrost TradesCopper hrly long
⚠️ half risk due to lack of trend
buystop @ 4.3217
TP #1 @ 4.3585 80.65% wr
TP #2 @ 4.3976 54.84% wr
SL @ swing low 4.2900 16.13% hr
WR and HR determined from past trades.
See more trades like this on my profile or Bifrosttrades.com
Copper XCU/USD (It is melting UP) View On Copper XCU/USD (25 Nov 2021)
Copper is good UP gradually and the main momentum is in the LONG side.
As a trader we shall stick with the main trend, while we scout for the best possible entry,
As long as the price of Copper doesn't go below $390 again, it is a better bet to be on the buy side.
It shall retest $460 soon. $485 and $500 will be the next.
DYODD, all the best and read the disclaimer too.
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Thank You!
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HG ( COPPER ) MAKING A TRIANGLEHG ( COPPER ) making a triangle on a Primary degree 4th. We are on a D wave of the triangle. Most probably we finish A wave of D wave as a preferred count (Projected by the black line) and we are coming down to making a B wave. On another side of the analysis as an alternative (projected by the red line)we are on an A wave and we are going upside a little bit and we finish the A wave then we will come for a B wave. Copper take more time to finish the triangle and after that, we can see a new high on an HG for primary degree 5th.
DISCLOSURE - Please be informed that the information I provide is not a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of my work is for educational purposes only. All labeling and wave count have been done by me manually and I will keep changing according to the LIVE MARKET PRICE ACTION. So don't bias, hope on my trade plans. Try to learn Elliott Wave or other strategies and make your own strategy. Following is not that much easy. I am not responsible for any losses if u took the trade according to my trade plans.
#HG #COPPER
Copper - Just the BeginningCopper futures broke out of their wedge this week, with per tonne prices breaking the $10,000 milestone. Names such as Freeport-McMoran (FCX) are benefitting from this, while TRQ is on discount due to. setback in their mining process. Despite Fed tapering, copper is strong, surprisingly. I believe that now is the time to get in "The New Oil", as stated by Goldman Sachs, who gives the commodity a 50% upside before 2025. If copper moving 10% has resulted in Freeport going from $30 to $39, think of what will happen if Goldman and the rest of the Street is right...
Thesis:
Goldman Sachs recently published a note declaring copper "the new oil," and forecasting it could reach $15,000 (50% inc.) by 2025 as the world transitions to clean energy.
As the movement to sustainability/clean energy progresses, the exponential increase in demand for copper will outrun supply due to slow mine creation, centralized property rights.
Although it may take a few years and experience some drawdown, depleted inventories and a demand spike will likely cause the price to rise significantly over the next decade, with Bank of America suggesting a possible 100% increase to $20,000 per metric ton by 2025.
Overall sentiment on the Street is extremely bullish in the mid-to-long-term.