Copper finds strong support at 2.675, good to short break belowCopper edges lower from fresh 3-month highs at 2.717.
The pair finds strong support at 2.675 (converged 5-DMA and trendline), weakness only on break below.
Technical studies are bearish on 4 Hour charts, RSI and Stochs have rolled over from overbought levels and MACD is showing a bearish crossover on signal line.
Break below 2.675 could see drag till 2.634 (1H 200-SMA).
On the flipside, break above 2.717 required for further upside. 2.737 (Feb 1st high) is next bull target.
Support levels - 2.675 (converged 5-DMA and trendline), 2.655 (June 29 low), 2.634 (1H 200-SMA)
Resistance levels - 2.70 (1H 20-SMA), 2.717 (June 30 high), 2.737 (Feb 1st high)
Good to go short on break below 2.675, SL: 2.70, TP: 2.655/ 2.634
Coppershort
Copper Lower Again for a good buying chance?Hey guys,
We expect the market to make one leg lower to around 2.445, BUT only when the market stays below the high 2.70. When this level breaks we will be looking at a move higher to around at 2.776. Our intermarket indication supports our idea of facing south. Critical zone will be the lower range of 2.58! Around 2.444 will be a good buying chance IF market reaches that level. Let's see!
Hope that helps.
Cheers
Potential Breakdown in Copper FuturesCopper Futures are flirting with their support level at 2.5775, so today I'm watching to see if they break that support line, and more importantly, I will look to see what happens Thursday to see if there is confirmation of the trend.
We could just as easily see Copper fall below the support line, just to bounce right back up on a false breakdown. That's why I prefer to wait a day after the initial breakdown.
In terms of risk - reward, this isn't the best play as of right now. You're looking at 1.69:1 ratio, however, that does include a smaller target profit right at the 200 MA. I would begin to take profits at this range, bring my stops in tighter, and extend my profit target zones to the 2.26 zone, which presents next support level.
All the best,
Brandon
TECHNICALS | Copper's Up-Trend BrokenWhilst diagonal trendlines are geometrically certain to break, they are also rather difficult to trade, looking very obvious ex-post, but hard to pull the trigger on ex-ante. In this case, I am inclined to take the signal given I have traded the vicissitudes of Copper quite well, particularly in the past 6 months.
COPPER AND COMMODITY SHORT: The dollar effectThe bullishness in copper is misguided, in my opinion.
Sustained dollar strength always hurts commodities in the longer term.
The chart shows inverted dollar versus copper.
A big fat juicy divergence, along with likely continued dollar strength due to a structural off-shore dollar shortage, should put pressure on commodities.