Copper's momentum has changed.XCUUSD - Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 4.099 (stop at 4.139)
Our bespoke support of 4.130 has been clearly broken.
Offers ample risk/reward to sell at the market.
We look for losses to be extended today.
Short term bias has turned negative.
Our profit targets will be 3.999 and 3.979
Resistance: 4.130 / 4.160 / 4.185
Support: 4.075 / 4.030 / 3.990
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Coppershort
Copper to see a higher correction.XCUUSD - Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 4.128 (stop at 4.168)
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
A higher correction is expected.
A break of the recent low at 4.130 should result in a further move lower.
50 2hour EMA is at 4.129.
Bearish divergence is expected to cap gains.
Our profit targets will be 4.028 and 4.018
Resistance: 4.200 / 4.223 / 4.250
Support: 4.165 / 4.150 / 4.130
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Copper rally to be capped.XCUUSD - Intraday - We look to Sell at 4.185 (stop at 4.230)
With signals for sentiment at overbought extremes, the rally could not be extended.
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Early optimism is likely to lead to gains although extended attempts higher are expected to fail.
We look for a temporary move higher.
Our profit targets will be 4.075 and 4.055
Resistance: 4.160 / 4.187 / 4.250
Support: 4.150 / 4.080 / 4.030
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Short CopperWe are short Copper. Take profit 3.40 and Stop Loss at 3.70 - a 1.9 Risk to reward ratio. There is a 50% profitability rate for this trade, however considering the prior signal for copper was profitable, the odds of 2 short signals producing a profit in a row is 25%. This trading signal also aligns with our seasonal sentiment of copper over the coming weeks.
Copper Prices at Risk as Inverse Cup and Handle Takes Shape Copper prices are at risk of moving lower as an inverted handle takes shape following an inverted cup. The Inverse Cup and Handle pattern is an inherently bearish formation. A break below handle support would threaten the 3 psychological level.
Short Term Copper 'SELLS' heading into Q4 of 2022I think it's becoming more and more clear that copper sells could extend into the last quarter of the year. Corrective wave 4 seems complete at 0.382 of the second Minor wave count and price is currently in an impulsive bear wave of a lower degree. We should therefore expect Copper prices to plunge to $2.96/lb(-15.4% decline) with some minor bullish price action to around $3.2/lb before eventually finding support at $2.7/lb, representing a -22.42% decline based on the current market price.
As indicated in the chart, this short idea comes into play ONLY WHEN Copper prices drop BELOW $3.35/lb, which is the terminus of the minuette wave 1.
Additionally, I strongly recommend you to review my long term forecast in profile.
Here is a link to my previous Copper forecast.
Disclaimer: The information provided here is only for educational purposes and should NOT be taken as investment advice.
Sell setupThe narrative: There has been a lot of talk about inflation and a china reopening but coppers recent collapse indicates something more ominous may be brewing.
The model-
Sell: 3.6525 or higher
Stop: 3.7200
The Ingenuity Trading Model is a Geometric Hidden Markov Model with specific inputs related to Price, Time, Volume , and Volatility. The model attempts to predict local minimums and maximums (reversals) on a daily and weekly basis... stay curious
copperThe support index lost $3.3.
But static support is $2.96 and dynamic support is #2.
The negative divergence caused the price to fall, but now we are seeing a positive divergence as it approaches the $2.7 support.
We should wait and see if the price will be supported by this strong downward momentum or not?
Dr Copper is telling us deflation is comingAt the beginning of June I put out an idea about shorting Copper . The market didn't do me the favor to get up to my entry, as I ignored past resistance. Probably got a little greedy too. Currently copper is sitting at support and could bounce up to 4$, maybe even up to 4.25$.
However in the long term, I see it go much much lower. In my opinion we are in a global recession, and probably even in a global depression. As interest rates and energy costs have risen rapidly, the demand for many things has gone down. We haven't seen the full effects of too much debt + lockdowns + WW3 + not enough energy production yet, but we are getting there. Copper going down is just the first step, and this could turn really really ugly.
The 2006-2008 top on Copper looks pretty similar to this one. Huge rally up, consolidation, attempt to breakout, failure, massive collapse. This time around we had a shorter cycle due to the lockdowns + stimulus + low rates + ESG , but this situation is truly reversing. We have no lockdowns, no stimulus, high rates and the ESG movement is clearly losing steam. Overall volume is low and that's a sign that demand for Copper isn't all that high. It was mostly supply being low, and not demand being high.
So how low could we go? The truth is that for some time this could be a bottomless pit. However, I believe the bottom will come in the 1.5-1.9 area, as the market needs to sweep the double bottom at 1.9. In terms of technical analysis this is the area anyone should be targeting. Once we get there, we could see a swift reversal as the Fed and all central banks are forced to cut rates and print money once again, in order to save the system from collapsing. They are stuck between a rock and hard place, and although they are doing their best to fight inflation now, they will soon be trying to fight deflation.
COPPER Copper has rejected an important level also violated EMA's to show a clear correction. Natural gas following the same path lagging but to follow the similar path I think, Option Volatility in commodity currencies such as AUD,NZD have been of interest the past two weeks.
Selling commodities and Commodity currencies, Buying the Dollar and waiting for and an entry signal to get back in to Equities, My ideal trades till September.
Silver is leading Copper.
Copper is in a death cross: $3.5 is the next crucial supportThis week, copper plummeted to fresh 52-week lows, breaking below the $4 per pound support level held since April 2021. Prices have now reached oversold territory as the 14-day RSI went below 30 this week, and is currently trading at 22, reflecting the brown metal’s severe sell-off.
Moving averages have also created a so-called death-cross pattern, with the 50-day crossing the 200-day, possibly indicating a shift from a bull to a bear market.
Copper sales have surged as recession concerns grew significantly, especially in the United States. Inflationary pressures in many nations of world are much harder to control than expected, and they are also widespread in goods and services not directly connected to energy prices, requiring higher interest rates that would inevitably slow economic activity. Copper , being one of the most sensitive commodities to the economic cycle, suffers substantially during phases of slowdown in the US ISM Manufacturing index , as we explained in this analysis .
Copper prices are presently testing the $3.7 resistance level established in January ’21 and are down 27% from their March ‘22 highs. Below this level, the $3.5 pound support in December 2020 and January 2021 could be tested.
This is a crucial threshold for the Fibonacci retracement analysis since a fall below the 50% level would boost bearish' convictions and confirm the presence of a copper's bear market.
Copper Sell into 20 EMA.XCUUSD - Intraday - We look to Sell at 4.099 (stop at 4.135)
Our short term bias remains negative.
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
20 4hour EMA is at 4.100.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Our profit targets will be 4.011 and 4.001
Resistance: 4.050 / 4.100 / 4.130
Support: 4.000 / 3.950 / 3.900
Jamie's Gun2Head - Selling Copper Trade Idea: Selling Copper on 50% pullback
Reasoning: Rallied into resistance level, looking to continue move lower
Entry Level : 4.2170
Take Profit Level: 4.0370
Stop Loss: 4.2440
Risk/Reward: 6.67:1
Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Mar 2, 22 Copper on a tear-Buy or Sell?What is going on with Copper? Price is skyrocketing yesterday and today but why?
We are coming into a world recession sometime this year, inflation is the highest its been in 40 years, interest rates are going up everywhere, all signs that copper price is 'supposed' to be going down.
Any ideas?
Heiko
HG1! - Copper and CornersSo, is this what means: A market is cornered? ;-)
OK...let's get serious...they observe us hehe...
The very old top acts as a perfect resistance.
Now, focus on the white pitchfork.
The market overshooted the U-MLH (upper line). This is a huge stretch. In fact, if the power where there, price had to go to the next extension of the Pitchfork. But so far it mised it (HAGOPIAN) and it's just dancing on the U-MLH.
What does this mean?
It means, that
a) the potential to take off is still in place
b) the market could tank very hard and reaching at least the white centerline. The extended version of a target is simply the grey centerline.
Anything else?
Jep, Santa is comming! §8-)
Copper The pullback in copper ended up being a three wave rise wherein it retraced slightly more than 61.8% retracement in international copper chart of wave Y.
This opens up the possibility of one more leg to the down move in the form of wave Z.
Overall look
Retracement levels in copper international chart
MCX chart retracement
Weekly macd bearish
Daily macd below zero line and down tick
Rsi in Weekly down tick
Rsi in daily down tick
Dmi adx also Negative
Below middle bollinger band
Disclaimer
I am not sebi registered analyst
My studies are Educational purpose only
Consult with your Financial advisor before trading or investing
Copper into JacksonCopper: Market Commentary 23.08.2021
A couple of points to note here; we ticked the 161.8% extension which was our third wave target in our previous copper chart at the beginning of 2021.
It always comes down to the same situation; an impulsive complex which can be called sound, but which has one sickly component. As we head into Jackson, according to the long term wave count we have the following two charts which distinguish the five wave sequence:
So now buyers are a point up after sweeping the highs, they are in a position to take profits over the coming months and quarters and bring together their own herd again at 3.33x lowest play the fifth wave inside of our major third wave.
So far we have done a good job of shepherding the flows in copper as all has been predicable on the technical side; here looking for 3.33x before a slingshot towards 5.50xx in 2023.