COPPER New Bull Cycle confirmed. 6.7600 possible.Copper (HG1!) has emphatically broken above the last Resistance of the 2-year Bear Cycle as it smashed through the top of the long-term Triangle pattern. The same pattern kept Copper on a Bear Cycle up until June 2020 when it started the remarkable rally to the 5.000 High (1.786 Fibonacci extension).
As you can see on both fractals, the formation of a Death Cross on the 1W time-frame signaled the bottom (Feb-March 2020 is the COVID crash exception, if that hadn't happened, the Triangle could have even broken upwards earlier).
Our minimum Target on the emerging (green) Channel Up is 6.7600 (Fibonacci 1.618 extension).
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Coppersignals
COPPER Best sell entry of the year.Copper (HG1!) has entered the 3.9740 - 4.0235 Resistance Zone that has been in effect since May 01 2023. It has provided the rejections of August 01 2023 and December 27 2023, with the latter hitting the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement upon its reversal and the former the 0.786 level.
Technically the current 1D CCI pattern is almost identical to the one that preceded the August 01 2023 peak. We will pursue Target 1 at 3.800 (Fib 0.618) and Target 2 at 3.7400 (Fib 0.786).
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COPPER Sell opportunity within a Channel Down.Copper (HG1!) is trading on its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), on a Bullish Leg following the February 09 2024 rebound. That was a Lower Low within the Channel Down that started in December. The long-term pattern is a Falling Wedge and being much closer to its top, after the January 31 2024 than its bottom, this is a strong sell opportunity.
The August 2023 Lower High rejection initially hit the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level before making a Lower Low much later. As a result our target is 3.6250, which is just above the0.786 Fibonacci level and a technical Lower Low for the short-term (blue) Channel Down.
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COPPER 13/01Pair : Copper - CU
Description :
Bullish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Long Time Frame with the Breakout of the Lower Trend Line and Bearish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame and Rejection from Upper Trend Line. Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and making its " A " Corrective Wave. We have LL - LH and Break of Structure
COPPER Correction to accelerate lower.Last time we looked at Copper (HG1!) 1.5 months ago (October 24), we caught the most optimal bottom buy signal:
The price action didn't only hit our Target but also broke above both the January 18 2023 Lower Highs trend-line and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). The rejection that took place on Monday though, is giving rise to a new Falling Wedge pattern with the current Bearish Leg on full display. The bearish signal is already confirmed as the 1D MACD has completed a Bearish Cross, and so far the sequence is very similar to the August 01 rejection.
As a result, we are bearish on Copper, looking to take advantage of today's green 1D candle and short near the closing in anticipation of being close to the peak. Our short term Target is 3.6100, which is the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement, a symmetrical level where the price bounced on August 17. Selling can only be extended if the green Support Zone breaks.
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COPPER 06/12Pair : Copper - CU
Description :
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and " ABC " Corrective Waves at Daily Demand Zone. Its Rejecting from the Resistance Level to make its Impulse Again. Rising Wedge as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame and Breakout of the Lower Trend Line
Entry Precautions :
Wait for the Proper Retracement
Copper 30/11Pair : Copper - CU
Description :
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and " ABC " Correction in Short Time Frame. Making Impulse in Short Time Frame and " C " Correction in Long Time Frame. We have Falling Wedge as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame.
Entry Precautions :
Wait for the Breakout or Rejection of UTL
COPPER Pair : Copper - CU
Description :
Completed " 1234 " Impulsive Wave at Lower Trend Line of the Corrective Pattern Bullish Channel in Short Time Frame and it will Complete its " 5th " Corrective Wave at Demand Zone or Daily Descending Trend Line at Fibonacci Level - 61.80%
Entry Precaution :
Wait until it complete its " 5th " Corrective Wave and Reject
Copper 26/10Pair : Copper - CU
Description :
Completed " 123 " Impulsive Waves and it will make its " 4th " Wave at Fibonacci Level - 38.20% / 50.00%. Rising Wedge as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame and Formed " wxyx " Corrective Wave and will make its " z " wave at Daily Descending Trend Line
Entry Precautions :
Wait until it Breaks UTL / LTL and Retest