Corona death analyses in GermanyWelcome to my Corona Death Analysis
*Note because the chart was inserted as an image, the scaling may have shifted slightly, simply scale at the right edge until the orange zero matches the zero line of the chart.
First of all, I know Corona is a delicate subject and also that I analyze the deaths here seems to work a macabre, but the fact is that the numbers are rising and this can have an impact on the German economy, this analysis serves as a complement to my DAX short analysis and is purely scientific nature.
The Dax analysis can be found here (German Only)
Let's get to the analysis:
As we can see from the chart, deaths increased rapidly between January and February, reaching a high of ca 1138.
In February, a bearish SKS formed at the high which had also already reached its target of 371 deaths.
This target line is very often reached again after the Unterstreiten in later upward movements or correction phases and serves us thus as a first "target line"
Furthermore, we can take from the chart an ABC Correct which has the following death numbers as a target.
Target 1 435
Target 2 705
Target 3 900
Target 4 1451
Target 5 1846
Here the death number of 900 is to be seen as the first strong resistance.
At 1451 I expect the end of the rising numbers for the first time, whereas 1846 deaths would be the maximum and at the latest here a trend reversal should take place.
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Thanks a lot
Disclaimer:
Please keep in mind that this is a pure analysis and only reflects what my eye shows me ;)
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is scientific in nature.
This analysis is not based on any fundamental data!
This analysis is not an investment advice and should not be considered as a buy, sell or hold signal.
Always do your own research before investing and seek the advice of a qualified person.
I am not an investment advisor or similar and do not make any investment recommendation here.
Coronaviruscure
DJI: Trump's Covid-19 Case - A Historical ComparisonIn this analysis I'll be shedding light on my own theory on:
- How President Trump's Covid-19 Positive news may impact the market
- Similarities and differences in historic cases
- Why Trump possibly announced his testing positive so quickly
Trump's Testing Positive
- Trump testing positive for Covid-19, 4 weeks before the presidential elections, is not good news
- Especially considering that the current market is momentum driven, such bad news is good enough to scare new investors from pouring money into the market
We can see a similar case where the president's medical condition negatively impacted the market
Historic case
- President Eisenhower suffered a heart attack in September 25, 1955.
- Before this incident, the stock market was at an unprecedented bullish rally
- Immediately after news was released that he was hospitalized, the market fell by 6%, leading to $14 billion instantly vanishing
- Eisenhower recovered, and it was later announced that his condition was not serious
- Eventually, the market bounced, and continued to rally upwards
- President Trump also announced his testing positive for Covid-19 a few hours ago
- Just as Eisenhower's case, the stock market is in an uptrend, with significant bullish momentum
- The market is correcting, due to bad news, but not as significantly as that of the past
- Just as Eisenhower, considering the fact that Trump will be taken care of seriously, it's most likely that he will recover from the virus
- As such, it's reasonable to expect that the market will continue to rally upwards
- However, it's also important to consider that market situations are not the same as the past
- For more in-depth explanation on what makes today's market special, check out my previous analysis below:
Why did Trump announce his condition?
- This is an important question to ask, as Trump announced his testing positive for Covid via twitter
- Trump is arguably the most powerful person in the world. He could have concealed his condition if he really wanted to, and later justify it as "classified information"
- What could have been Trump's intentions behind this?
- In the case of the Prime Minister of the UK, Boris Johnson, his support rate was at 48% prior to him testing positive
- After he got the virus, there was a sentiment of sympathy among the general public, leading to his support rate skyrocketing to 72%, an all time high support rate ever since Tony Blair
- Given this case, and the fact that the presidential elections will be held in 4 weeks, Trump could have been targeting this sympathetic sentiment among the general public
- It's also highly likely that Trump recovers quickly, with the best medical staff from the country treating him
- As such, he will be qualified to talk about the issue (as someone who has caught the virus), and suggest that he's the only one capable of solving the problem.
Conclusion
As past cases demonstrate, problems regarding the President's medical condition is never good for the market. However, given that the president recovers quickly, this could end up being a 'buy the dip' opportunity.
If you like this analysis, please make sure to like the post, and follow for more quality content!
I would also appreciate it if you could leave a comment below with some original insight.
india covid-19 cases researchits just probability how number of cases will be its depend on fundamental view also(situation)
but keep hope chart should be expected.
$COCP Clears the Runway for a $10+ move In the coming daysBOTHELL, WA,, March 06, 2020 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Cocrystal Pharma, Inc. (NASDAQ: COCP), (“Cocrystal” or the “Company”), a clinical stage
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finance.yahoo.com
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we are aggressively pursuing the development of novel antiviral compounds for the treatment of Coronavirus infections using our established proprietary drug discovery platform.
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Dr. Gary Wilcox, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Cocrystal.
Cocrystal recently entered into a license agreement with KSURF
to further develop certain proprietary broad-spectrum antiviral compounds for humans to treat Norovirus and Coronavirus infections.
Cocrystal intends to pursue research and development of theses
antiviral compounds, including preclinical and clinical development.
This license advances the Company's antiviral programs significantly by providing potent compounds for further development.
For additional information about the Company’s development pipeline, please visit www.cocrystalpharma.com.
About Cocrystal Pharma, Inc.
Cocrystal Pharma, Inc. is a clinical stage biotechnology company discovering and developing novel antiviral therapeutics that target influenza viruses, hepatitis C viruses, coronaviruses and noroviruses.
Cocrystal employs unique structure-based technologies and Nobel Prize winning expertise to create first- and best-in-class antiviral drugs. For further information about Cocrystal, please visit www.cocrystalpharma.com.
COCRYSTAL PHARMA, INC. (NASDAQ: COCP) (“Cocrystal” or the “Company”), a clinical stage biotechnology company discovering and developing novel antiviral therapeutics, today announced that it has entered into a license agreement with Kansas State University Research Foundation (“KSURF”) to further develop certain proprietary broad-spectrum antiviral compounds for the treatment of Norovirus and Coronavirus infections.
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