Markup phase begun ?It seems like a massive accumulation phase has been completed in paypal and potentially a markup phase has begun. If an impulsive move has begun, then its a good trade to go long on a correction.
Correction
$MAGS Monthly Chart Signals Caution: What’s Next for the MagnifiMacro Outlook Based on the Monthly Chart ⚠️⚠️⚠️⚠️
The Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF CBOE:MAGS has had an incredible run, but the monthly chart is sending some cautionary signals. December closed with a massive sell-off wick, followed by a weak January close. This kind of price action suggests potential exhaustion in the near term.
The last time we saw a similar setup was in July, when a sharp sell-off wick led to a 23% drop before the market resumed its upward trend. Does this mean CBOE:MAGS has to plummet again? Not necessarily, but with market uncertainty around the tariff war and the monthly chart showing signs of stagnation, a steeper retrace could be on the horizon before any further upside. It’s possible we’re seeing a temporary top for now.
Short-Term Outlook:
As long as price holds above the yearly open, I expect a retest of the $57 resistance level. However, for the macro trend to turn bullish again, we’d need to see strong momentum and a solid close above $57 by flipping this level from resistance to support. Until then, the current price action feels more like a dead cat bounce than a sustainable recovery. Expecting volatility in the near term.
Google - This Can Be A Major Opportunity!Google ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ) is rejecting the resistance:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Over the past couple of years, Google has actually always been rejecting the upper channel resistance trendline with the only exception being the 2021 breakout. Following this previous behaviour, another bearish rejection is probable although bulls remain overall in control.
Levels to watch: $200, $150
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
XRP Short XRP historically fails after it has a rally. Each time on this monthly chart, XRP has pulled back drastically. With 3 months worth of growth, we can expect the prifit taking to occur to account for tax liabilities for the upcoming tax season as profit taking will take place to cover.
This pull back needs fuel to take it to the next level. Next major price level based on the 2017 impulse is $4.25, then $5.41, then $8.75, then $12.10, then $14.17
#BTCUSD #BITCOIN#BTCUSD - Update, we are still trying to complete a correction wave.
I still see BTCUSD retracing to $85-86,000 popping again
Gold Is Eyeing 2800 AreaGold remains in a strong intraday five-wave bullish impulse and the recent intraday three-wave a-b-c decline indicates for wave 4 correction that stopped perfectly at the former wave "iv" swing low and 38,2% Fibonacci retracement, which is a textbook pattern by Elliott wave theory. With the current bounce, be aware of a bullish resumption within wave 5 that can send the price towards 2800 area, especially if breaks above intraday channel resistance line.
EURUSD Is Trading At Strong Support While Finishing A CorrectionEURUSD came lower as expected, broke into the fifth wave we talked about last few weeks, and it finally moved into important support levels at 1.02 area. Notice that we are actually tracking the final leg within this downtrend from 2024 high, so ideally its wave C of a higher degree A-B-C correction, meaning that pair can stabilize still some time this month, ideally after the completion of an ending diagonal around important and golden 61,8% Fibonacci retracement. Even RSI is showing a divergence. A bounce in impulse back above 1.0435 will suggest that low is forming.
ETHEREUM // short ideaThe correction is still valid, and this is a risky bet, but if the price breaks below this M15 breakout significantly, the market my revisit the recent valley.
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Orange lines represent impulse bases on major timeframes, signaling the direction and validity of the prevailing trend by acting as key levels where significant momentum originated.
Level colors:
Daily - blue
Weekly - purple
Monthly - magenta
H4 - aqua
Long trigger - green
Short trigger - red
———
Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼♂️
<<please boost 🚀 if you enjoy💚
DAX // possible start of the correctionThe market has reached the daily target fibo 200 and broke the H4 structure by breaking below the H4 impulse base.
If H4 makes a new low before making a new high, the countertrend becomes valid.
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Orange lines represent impulse bases on major timeframes, signaling the direction and validity of the prevailing trend by acting as key levels where significant momentum originated.
Level colors:
Daily - blue
Weekly - purple
Monthly - magenta
H4 - aqua
Long trigger - green
Short trigger - red
———
Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼♂️
<<please boost 🚀 if you enjoy💚
Dogegov ($DOGEGOV): Another 100% + returnI spend time researching and finding the best entries and setups, so make sure to boost and follow for more.
---SEE MY PREVIOUS ANALYS ON PREVIOUS ENTRY---
Dogegov ( KUCOIN:DOGEGOVUSDT ): Awaiting Optimal Entry Amidst Recent Developments
Trade Setup:
- Entry Price: $0.12455 (Pending Activation)
- Stop-Loss: $0.08754
- Take-Profit Targets:
- TP1: $0.27494
- TP2: $1.01000
Current Price: $0.23538
Recent Developments:
- Department of Government Efficiency ( KUCOIN:DOGEGOVUSDT ): President-elect Donald Trump has announced the formation of the Department of Government Efficiency, abbreviated as DOGE, to be led by Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy. This initiative aims to streamline government operations and reduce wasteful expenditures.
- Market Reaction: Following the announcement, Dogecoin's value has surged, reflecting increased investor interest and market optimism.
Technical Analysis:
- Support Levels: Immediate support is observed around $0.20000, with stronger support near the anticipated entry price of $0.12455.
- Resistance Levels: Key resistance is identified at $0.30000, aligning with TP1, and a significant psychological barrier at $1.00000, just below TP2.
- Moving Averages: The 50-day EMA is trending upwards, indicating sustained bullish momentum.
- Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 70, suggesting overbought conditions; a potential pullback to the entry price is plausible.
Market Sentiment:
The convergence of cryptocurrency culture with political developments has heightened interest in $DOGEGOV. The symbolic association with the Department of Government Efficiency has attracted both crypto enthusiasts and mainstream investors, contributing to increased trading volumes and positive sentiment.
Risk Management:
The proposed stop-loss at $0.08754 limits downside risk to approximately 30% from the entry point. TP1 offers a potential gain of 121%, while TP2 presents an opportunity for a 711% return, indicating a favorable risk-to-reward ratio for this trade setup.
Conclusion:
The intersection of recent political announcements and the cryptocurrency market has created a unique opportunity with $KUCOIN:DOGEGOVUSDT. Awaiting a retracement to the entry price of $0.12455 could provide an advantageous position to capitalize on potential upward movements, supported by current market sentiment and technical indicators.
When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, We’ll Brave It All!
*Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions.*
Bitcoin - New All time high incomingAs you can see, Bitcoin is about to close a weekly candle over the previous VSA resistance. $TRUMP token has also pushed bullish narrative onto public therefore I think that this correction is over.
Next stop is around 127k and after that we should reconsider whether there will be continuation or that's it.
Potential rise for goldThe impulsive wave is bullish and a correction pattern. We expect another bullish impulsive wave
VIX againUVXY is landing in a short term trendline. SPY is heading to a resistance zone. I bought the ETF (no calls this time) I'll keep buying if it gets to the support at 18.30. I think the market is consolidating and we will have ups and downs like crazy. I'll take advantage of it. My first TP at 22, then will see.
Amazon Stock Analysis: Navigating the Path Between E-Commerce
Amazon Stock Analysis: Navigating the Path Between E-Commerce Strength and Market Volatility
Introduction
Hello, traders and investors! It’s Denis Mikheev from TheWaved™, here to deliver an in-depth analysis of Amazon’s stock (NASDAQ: AMZN). With the help of our premium tools and techniques, we’re diving deep into technical, VSA, and fundamental analysis to uncover the best strategies for the upcoming market movements. Let’s break down what’s happening with AMZN and set clear targets for trading this powerhouse of e-commerce.
Recent Performance and Market Context
Amazon’s current price sits at $219.27, with a noticeable decline from its 2024 absolute high of $233. This 5.89% drop aligns with recent sell-offs driven by macroeconomic headwinds and profit-taking from the December highs.
The stock is trading in a consolidation phase, sitting between strong support zones at $214.99 and $209.11 and resistance levels at $223 and $228. With the broader NASDAQ index displaying mixed momentum, Amazon remains a critical stock to watch.
Support Levels:
-
1. 214.99
2. 209.11
3. 198.78
4. 182.62
5. 177.95
Resistance Levels:
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1. 214.99
2. 209.11
3. 198.78
4. 182.62
5. 177.95
Powerful Resistance Levels:
-
1. 180.095
2. 151.49
3. 116.04
4. 87.57
Technical Analysis: Key Levels and Trends
Support Levels: 214.99, 209.11, 198.78
Resistance Levels: 223.00, 228.00, 233.00
Key Moving Averages:
- MA50 (Hourly): 220.01
- MA200 (Hourly): 223.16
RSI Insights: The RSI-14 currently reads 52.91, indicating a neutral market condition but leaning towards bullish potential on strong volume signals.
These technical indicators suggest price consolidation, but with bullish potential as the RSI edges upward and MA200 looms as a key dynamic resistance level.
Volume Spread Analysis (VSA): Detecting Market Intentions
Analyzing VSA patterns from recent trading sessions reveals mixed signals. A notable “Buy Volumes Take Over” pattern on January 10 suggested short-term buying strength, but was quickly followed by a reversal due to increased sell volumes. This signals that smart money may be accumulating positions before a larger move.
Price Action and Patterns
On January 6, a strong “Buy Volumes Max” pattern indicated bullish intentions, but resistance at $228.23 capped further growth.
On January 7, a “VSA Sell Pattern 3rd” hinted at a bearish reversal, driving prices back to support levels.
Key takeaway: The interaction between support at $214.99 and resistance at $223 will be pivotal in determining the next directional breakout.
Fundamental Factors to Watch
Amazon’s fundamentals remain strong, with steady revenue growth driven by AWS (cloud services) and robust e-commerce performance during the holiday season. However, rising interest rates and inflationary pressures continue to dampen consumer spending and could act as a headwind.
Trading Plan: Targets and Stop-Loss Levels
Based on the current setup, here’s a practical trading roadmap:
Short-Term Bullish Scenario:
Entry: Above $223 after confirmation of a breakout.
Targets: $228, $233.
Stop-Loss: $220.
Bearish Alternative:
Entry: Below $214 with strong bearish candles.
Targets: $209, $198.78.
Stop-Loss: $217.
Forecast: Where Are We Headed?
In the short term, Amazon is poised for a potential bullish breakout if it clears resistance at $223. However, caution is warranted if macroeconomic conditions shift. Our long-term view remains cautiously optimistic, with a forecast targeting $240+ by Q2 2025 as the broader market stabilizes.
Conclusion and Call to Action
This analysis is powered by TheWaved™, utilizing advanced tools and methodologies. If you have any questions or want a deeper dive into our methods, feel free to reach out via direct messages. Remember, all the professional indicators and insights are available in the profile header. Follow for more ideas, and let’s trade smarter, not harder!
Concept of Rays
Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept
Core Idea
My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns.
Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible
Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement.
Stay sharp, trade safe, and may the markets favor your strategy!
Tesla Is Driving Bitcoin Price HigherWe talked about a strong positive correlation between Tesla and Bitcoin in the past and now that Tesla is extending strongly higher, Bitcoin is following, of course. Both of them slowed down recently, but notice that Tesla made only a three-wave ABC corrective decline in wave (4) that can now resume its bullish trend for wave (5), so Bitcoin could follow sooner or later.
Basic Impulsive Bullish Pattern should be made by five waves. It shows that Tesla and Bitcoin could be trading in wave (4) correction before a continuation higher for wave (5).
Bitcoin long awaited correctionIf you look at previous years, January has always been bearish. January 2025 is no different. After a long bull run since the latest halving Bitcoin required a correction to gain more liquidity and shake out margin longs. After that it should follow somewhat similar continuation pattern.
Long term prediction stays the same
JP Morgan (JPM): Correction on the HorizonJP Morgan ( NYSE:JPM ) is back on our radar as the upcoming earnings season begins, with the banking sector leading the reports. We’ve analyzed JP Morgan before, and the current setup offers intriguing opportunities. Since 2023, the stock has maintained a steady upward trend that continues into 2024.
Currently, NYSE:JPM appears to be in sub-wave ((iii)) within the larger wave (3) or possibly wave 5. However, we anticipate that sub-wave ((iv)) correction is yet to occur, aligning with the broader structural narrative of the chart.
Presently, the stock is trading near a critical trendline originating from the top of sub-wave ((i)). This trendline, which has shifted from resistance to support after multiple touchpoints, now risks being broken. Should it fail, the price could fall from its current level of $243 into a range between $204 and $173. A drop to $173 would represent the maximum correction in our view, while a more realistic pullback would fall within the $204 to $188 range.
On the bullish side, the wave 5 could push up to approximately $260, a modest increase from the current price. This scenario fits within the Elliott Wave framework, anticipating a wave ((iv)) correction before the final upward moves to complete wave 5 and the larger wave (3).
"Market Corrections Ahead of the Presidential Inauguration."Corrections are a part of the stock market, signaling moments of weakness and opportunity. Here's a breakdown of the current market decline levels, ranging from the recent 5% pullback to the potential 20% drop that defines a bear market. These are the levels that I will be watching to let me know the momentum of this current shorter term downtrend.
Historical Context:
Over the past 50 years:
5-10% declines occur about 3-4 times per year on average.
10-20% corrections happen roughly every 2-3 years.
Full bear markets (20%+ declines) are rarer but significant, averaging one every 6-8 years.
This chart visualizes the current levels, helping traders and investors understand where we stand in historical context and where the market could potentially head.
Always remember that as hard as some corrections and declines can be, they all create buying opportunities for long term investors.
PLTR: Will have to retest new supportWe have certainly over extended (I'm proud to say as a PLTR investor who has remained in the stock since IPO).
Let us be reasonable in the short term, and look forward to a potential correction/buying opportunity.
If you're long but have been hesitant about acquiring some shares, we all may have the opportunity to load up.
Now that $45 has been breached, there hasn't yet been a clear retest of that price range which is now support.
I feel as though the overall market will continue to look for reasons to sell in the short term -- which should be healthy going forward.
This wouldn't only apply to $NASDAQ:PLTR. The entire market will be on sale.
Don't be scurred!
I love you, and good luck.
Crude oil Is Approaching ResistanceCrude oil is coming higher on 4h time frame, out of a wave B bullish triangle that we have been tracking through December. Well, we know that moves out of a triangle are final in a sequence, so we can expect limited upside, and ideally, this will cause the completion of wave E rally of a larger bearish triangle pattern. It's now approaching an important resistance at 74-75, its gap from mid-October, right at the upper side of a triangle. There is a chance for a turn soon.
A triangle appears to reflect a balance of forces, causing a sideways movement that is usually associated with decreasing volume and volatility. The triangle pattern contains five overlapping waves that subdivide 3-3-3-3-3 and are labeled A-B-C-D-E. It’s a region of horizontal price movement, a consolidation of a prior move, and it is composed of “threes.” That means each of the A-B-C-D-E waves have three subwaves. The triangle pattern is generally categorized as a continuation pattern, meaning that after the pattern completes, it’s assumed that the price will continue in the trend direction it was moving before the pattern appeared. However, triangles also indicate that the final leg is coming before a reversal and that’s why triangles are labeled in wave B, wave X or wave 4.
CHINA50 // deep into the correctionAfter a huge impulse that turned the monthly chart long, the countertrend is valid on the weekly and the daily.
As long as this daily short countertrend is valid, the next targets are the correction fibo levels and the weekly breakouts.
The primary long trend resumes above the last clean daily breakdown (green).
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Orange lines represent impulse bases on major timeframes, signaling the direction and validity of the prevailing trend by acting as key levels where significant momentum originated.
Level colors:
Daily - blue
Weekly - purple
Monthly - magenta
H4 - aqua
Long trigger - green
Short trigger - red
———
Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼♂️
<<please boost 🚀 if you enjoy💚
Elliot Wave Analysis -DOW JONES IND. AVG. (1932-2026)We have done a Loooooooong Term Elliot Wave Analysis starting from 1932 and maybe ending in 2026(or perhaps 2027).
If you see the chart in Normal scale, its parabolically going right up, and these type of moves are really bad for the market. So I have just tried to analyze the waves and hope it might help you to exit the markets at the right time.
Sayo Nara.................
