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$SOL Dumps 60% - Is it Over !?CRYPTOCAP:SOL DUMPED OVER 60% ‼️ That’s after a 3,500% pump from the bear market low in ’22. Is it over!? TL;DR - NO. This is common after such an insane pump. SOL Dec ’20 - May ’21 5,700% pump 71% correction then another 1,290% pump Let’s look at previous cycles with $ETH. Dec ’16 - June ’17 6,380% pump 67% correction then another 916% pump Dec ’18 (bear market low) - May ’21 4,860% pump 62% correction then another 185% pump So you see my fine feathered friends, there’s nothing new here. Targets still remain $700-850 🤠
BINANCE:SOLUSDLong
by jonnieking
SPY, PCC & Percentage of S&P 500 Stocks Trading Above 20 SMASPY is in pink, PCC is in yellow and candles show S5TW (Percentage of S&P 500 stocks trading above their 20 SMA) on this weekly chart. You will notice after a significant drop of over 5% on S&P 500, once S5TW start getting below 20%, a reversal isn't that far away. Relief rally rips can be dramatic, so it really isn't the time to get bearish. Need to put that bull hat on! For now I am leaning after this retrace pump to 590 area, conclusion of B wave, but we still will put in a C wave which will likely head lower than where we finished A, but after that it will be one more impulsive wave to finish this bull run which should take us to SPY 650 by mid next year. Won't want to miss that one!!!
INDEX:S5TWLong
by KingTrading999
Party's OverDow Futures daily forming a downwards channel with price targets potentially down to 34k and 31k. These drops would be about 20-40% which is considered a true market crash. The falling wedge pattern plays out until potentially June of 2027, but wedges from the top of the range are dangerous as they can turn into bull traps. - Economic fundamentals have been disconnected from the financial system for some time but as the underlying economy begins to falter (ex. unemployment wave) markets begin to price in data such as falling retail sales. - President Trump is going through with mass layoffs in the Federal Government which creates unemployment as the private sector has been going through layoffs and has halted actual new hiring since 2023. - As more traders have become accustomed to "bad news is good news," they will most likely be wiped out trying to buy dips or chase false breakouts doing what they have always done. - Tariffs regionalize trade which make global economies and supply chains less interconnected. A global economy that is also very levered up on USD denominated debt needs dollar liquidity to continue to function. By regionalizing trade that liquidity is starved which can lead to financial problems on a global scale if not handled carefully. - Markets are likely to price in these risks over the next 2-3 months leading asset prices and interest rates lower. Expect individual companies to do well at times but then rotate to others while the Dow index itself falls. - Even if the Dow were to play out the wedge during 2026, without significant improvements to the global financial system expect that move to be a bull trap or a best lead to minimal gains without a new wave of monetary inflation.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by CrashoutCapital
$MAGS Monthly Chart Signals Caution: What’s Next for the MagnifiMacro Outlook Based on the Monthly Chart ⚠️⚠️⚠️⚠️ The Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF CBOE:MAGS has had an incredible run, but the monthly chart is sending some cautionary signals. December closed with a massive sell-off wick, followed by a weak January close. This kind of price action suggests potential exhaustion in the near term. The last time we saw a similar setup was in July, when a sharp sell-off wick led to a 23% drop before the market resumed its upward trend. Does this mean CBOE:MAGS has to plummet again? Not necessarily, but with market uncertainty around the tariff war and the monthly chart showing signs of stagnation, a steeper retrace could be on the horizon before any further upside. It’s possible we’re seeing a temporary top for now. Short-Term Outlook: As long as price holds above the yearly open, I expect a retest of the $57 resistance level. However, for the macro trend to turn bullish again, we’d need to see strong momentum and a solid close above $57 by flipping this level from resistance to support. Until then, the current price action feels more like a dead cat bounce than a sustainable recovery. Expecting volatility in the near term.
CBOE:MAGS
by ZelfTrade
18 Times, +2000%, 5800 Days - All About NASDAQ100 Corrections!Hi, all! I need to repost some of my recent ideas on TradingView due to issues with the platform's moderation. Let's start! The most up-to-date post is coming right away - one that serves as a timely reminder during these interesting times: never forget history. From November 2008 to February 2025, the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) index has grown by over 2000%! Yes, that’s a 20x increase! This tech giant, made up of the 100 leading technology stocks, has shown impressive strength. For comparison, the S&P 500 has risen about 820% in the same period. A great performance but Nasdaq 100 leaves it far behind. Has this been a straight-line rise? Not really. Looking back, it may seem like the perfect investment. But the road was not smooth. Nasdaq 100’s success came with painful drops, investor panic, and moments when it felt like the market would never recover. From the outside, everything looks great. But would you sit through a 30% drop, while the news is screaming about the "end of the world"? So, I decided to analyze every correction of 10% or more since the market bottom in 2008. - How long do corrections and recoveries last? - How often do they happen? - What should investors know? - Can this help you in any way? DATA ANALYSIS - 18 corrections in Nasdaq 100 (2008–2025), -10% or more. Retracement Stats: - Average drop: -15% - Median drop: -13% - Biggest drop: -37.72% - Smallest drop: -10% Correction Length (17 completed corrections): How many days does a correction last from the peak to the bottom? - Average: 60 days - Median: 35 days - Longest: 325 days - Shortest: 14 days Recovery Time: From bottom back to new highs. - Average: 165 days (~5.5 months) - Median: 119 days (~4 months) - Longest: 752 days (over 2 years) - Shortest: 42 days (~1.5 months) Correction Frequency If we take a rough estimate, in 5800 days, there were 18 corrections, which means a correction happens every 322 days (~10.5 months) on average. Total Time Spent in Corrections vs. Rising Markets - Corrections lasted 1016 days - Recoveries lasted 2801 days - Total time spent in "work mode": 3817 days - Total "smooth uptrend" days: 1983 days (~5.4 years) Basically, like a hardworking employee – the market spends more time struggling than rising! What Can Investors Learn from This? 1. Accept Volatility Knowing that market swings are normal, investors can keep a long-term perspective and avoid panic-selling during downturns. 2. Nasdaq 100 Has Always Recovered In the long run, Nasdaq 100 has always bounced back to new highs. Each recovery has been different, but so far, making new all-time highs has never been a problem. 3. Make Better Decisions Understanding psychological biases helps investors make rational choices and manage risks better. 4. Market Drops = Opportunities, Not Threats Most big market rallies started when most investors were too scared to buy. "A simple rule dictates my buying: Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful." – Warren Buffett Market drops always feel unique and scary but history shows they follow repeating patterns. And those who keep their emotions in check have the best opportunities. "The time to buy is when there's blood in the streets." – Baron Rothschild Final Thoughts: Is the current retracement a buying opportunity? No one knows for sure but history suggests - stay calm! So, that's all. Like & Boost if you find this useful! 🚀 Have great day, Vaido 💬 Before you leave... What’s your take on the current Nasdaq 100 correction? Drop your thoughts in the comments 👇
NASDAQ:NDXEducation
by VaidoVeek
Putting the current pullback from ATHs into context ES FuturesCME_MINI:ES1! Big Picture: ATH on December 6th, 2024: 6,184.50 There has been no significant correction or pullback since the ATH. Currently, the market has pulled back ~8.20% from the ATH. The previous correction (over a 10% pullback, but less than a 20% downturn) occurred after ES futures hit an all-time high of 5,856 on July 15th, 2024. The market bottomed out on August 5th, 2024. Currently, ES futures are trading below the 50% retracement level from the ATH on December 6th, 2024, and the swing low on August 5th, 2024, at 5,719.25. Given the current "risk-off" sentiment, let's review the updated price map for ES Futures. Key Levels: Important level to reclaim if no correction: 5,795.25 - 5,800 Key LVN (Low Volume Node): 5,738 - 5,696 Mid 2024 range: 5,574.50 Key Support: 5,567.25 - 5,528.75 2024 YTD mCVAL (Market Composite Value Area Low): 5,449.25 2022 CVAH (Composite Value Area High): 5,280 Key Support: 5,567.25 - 5,528.75 This zone is important in the event of a 10% pullback, which could lead to a bounce thereafter. On our regular 4-hour time frame, which we use for weekly analysis and preparation, higher lows have been breached, and ES futures are now trading below the lows from November 4th, 2024, January 13th, 2025, and February 28th, 2025. The probable next downside target is the 50% retracement of the 2024 range, which stands at 5,574.50. Unless we see a sustained bounce that reclaims the 5,795.25 - 5,800 zone, the key support level at 5,567.25 - 5,528.75 is likely to be tested, aligning with our expected 10% pullback. Note that a bear market (i.e., a pullback greater than 20%) wouldn't begin until prices drop to around 4,900, which is still about 750 points away from the current price level of 5,650. Considering all the above, what can we expect this week? CPI and PPI data are due this week, and the market is currently in "risk-off" mode. This sentiment is exacerbated by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's comments on needing more data before altering rate path, combined with tariffs complicating the US economy. What price level might prompt policymakers to adjust their stance? The Fed’s dual mandate considers both 2% inflation and low unemployment. With the unemployment rate edging above 4% and inflation remaining high, this upcoming inflation reading is critical. We believe this report may trigger volatility not seen in recent months with CPI releases. We have the SEP and FOMC rate decision coming up on March 19th, 2024. Scenario 1: Soft CPI than expectations Expecting volatile price action, however, a V-shaped recovery given softer CPI reading. Markets go in wait and see Scenario 2: Range bound week In this scenario, we expect a range bound week, with inflation print in line and markets in wait and see mode for FED FOMC announcement. Scenario 3: High CPI print With a higher CPI print, FED will be in a difficult position to cut rates. Will this bad news be bad for the market or good? Mounting risks point to further downside if we do not get any pivot on macro level to support the economy.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by EdgeClear
GM 1H Long Swing Conservative CounterTrend TradeConservative CounterTrend Trade + long impulse + volumed SOS test / T2 level + support level + 1/2 correction + biggest volume Sp Calculated affordable stop limit 1 to 2 R/R above 1D T1 before 1/2 1M Daily CounterTrend "- short balance - unvolumed expanding T1 + volumed 2Sp+ + test" Monthly Trend "+ long impulse - below 1/2 correction + SOS test level?" Yearly Trend "+ long balance - neutral zone" Will add more if 5M corrects to 1/2 or 1H doest weak test and resumes buying
NYSE:GM
by MishaSuvorov
What About The RSI? BitcoinDaily MA200 has been working as support; support confirmed, for Bitcoin on the daily timeframe. This is a good signal, a strong one and all is good. I also looked at the trading volume and this is also good. Clearly rising for a while now. A bullish bias. I was wondering about the RSI. How is Bitcoin's daily RSI looking like? Great news. Bitcoin's daily RSI hit its lowest level in February 2025 since August 2023. That's a strong one. The low in February on this oscillator ended up being higher than August 2024. This produces the hidden bullish divergence signal. Very interesting. MA200 sits perfectly between 0.5 and 0.618 Fib. retracement level support. This level now sits at $83,000. Bitcoin will never trade again below 80K. The bottom is in. Hold on, I have more. Let's revisit an update that I shared in a previous publications (5 days ago) related to the correction dynamics. 🅱️ Bitcoin's Correction Is Over An advance from $74,000 to 110K is not the same as an advance from $20,000 to 74K. The correction from 74 to 49K, -33%, took five months because of the prolonged consolidation between 20,000 and 74,000. The correction from 110 to 78K totals a nice -28%. Support is found at 0.5 Fib. retracement in relation to the previous bullish phase. This is the exact same level that was hit in the previous correction from 74 to 49K in July/August 2024. The current correction does not need to extend any longer. The rise from 49 to 110K amounts to 124%. The rise from 20 to 74K amounts to 270%. It is logical for the previous correction to be stronger than the current one because of the size of the bullish wave. Since this bullish wave was smaller, the correction also becomes small. We are now in 2025 and everybody knows that Bitcoin is going up. If the market couldn't push Bitcoin past 49K last year when doubt was the norm, remember the evil tendencies of the SEC, why would the market produce a stronger correction now when the SEC has been transformed to reasonable and conscious? Instead of a weapon this institution is now doing the job that it was supposed to do in the first place; guidance and support. The SEC is now offering strong support to the Cryptocurrency market and this is great. Conditions are better now and fundamentals continue to improve. There is reason to believe that the bottom is in, not only based on the correction size but also based on the fact that Altcoins are turning strongly green. The correction is over. This is great news. We are going up. Once the market hits bottom... The new All-Time High will happen in late 2025. Bitcoin can easily hit $180,000, $200,000 or more (can be $500,000 to $1,000,000). The Altcoins portion of the market will blow up. Not everything will grow, but most of the market will. All those projects without a real base will lose momentum and the real Cryptocurrencies will shine the most. There are lots of choices; choose wisely. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Thank you for reading. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
Bearish Reversal Incoming? Key Resistance Holds as Price StallsAfter analyzing multiple timeframes, we observe that the price has surged significantly and is now trading within a key resistance zone. The resistance remains strong, and the RSI across multiple timeframes is in the extreme overbought territory, showing bearish divergences. Additionally, despite the sharp rally, the price has not undergone any meaningful correction. Considering these factors—strong resistance, the proximity to a weekly trendline, extreme overbought conditions, and bearish divergence—along with the presence of a hanging man candlestick at resistance, a correction is likely. Our correction targets are the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels.
Short
by SpicyPips
$BTC Critical Support Retest at 50WMA - Must Read!50WMA is a CRITICAL SUPPORT to watch for ₿itcoin. Historically, if CRYPTOCAP:BTC closes below it for more than one week, it signals the beginning of the BEAR MARKET. We’ve only seen BTC close beneath the 50WMA once in its history during a Post-Halving year, and that was in 2021, but then rallied to a new ATH. People often ask me what would invalidate my bull market thesis; this is one of them. I’ll be watching this support very closely, and if BTC closes below it for more than 2 weeks, i’m probably selling a good portion of my stack until we get more clarity in the market. However, this could very well have been the bottom of this correction. BTC is known to have a big Q1 drawdown in Post-Halving years. 2013 was a massive -82% correction over a week. 2017 gave us two. January -34% over 7 days. March -33% over 14 days. January 2021 gave us -31% over 14 days. The current correction we’ve seen with BTC has been the longest over 35 days with -28%. $75k would be a -31% correction, which would line up perfectly with the previous cycle. That’s the line in the sand for me. If we did see the bottom with this 28% correction, that would line up with the diminishing return theory.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by jonnieking
4
$104K and Counting: Can Bitcoin Sustain Its Momentum?COINBASE:BTCUSD - Daily Current Price: 97,520 Executive Summary: Is Bitcoin Set for a Correction After Hitting $104,000? Bitcoin has hit significant milestones, with two of our predicted targets—$90,000 and $100,000—successfully achieved, delivering a remarkable gain of 46.44% and 3,307,221 pips. After climbing to $104,000, Bitcoin entered extreme overbought territory across daily, weekly, and monthly charts, signaling exhaustion. With the formation of an ascending channel and overbought signals, a potential correction could be on the horizon. Here’s what to expect next. Analysis: In our earlier analysis, we predicted key price targets of $90K, $100K, and $110K. Bitcoin successfully hit $90K and $100K, eventually climbing to $104K—a remarkable gain of 46.44% and 3,307,221 pips. However, this rally propelled Bitcoin into extreme overbought territory across multiple timeframes, signaling a potential need for correction. On November 6, Bitcoin broke out of a falling wedge/handle pattern, driving the price to $104K. Since November 12, it has been ascending within a channel—a formation that often precedes a downward correction. Coupled with extreme overbought conditions on daily, weekly, and monthly charts, Bitcoin now shows clear signs of buyer exhaustion. Potential Correction Level: Fibonacci Retracement (50%): $85,327.80 Key Levels to Watch: • Extreme Overbought: $112,500 • Overbought Resistance: $106,250 • Ultimate Resistance: $100,000 • Major Support: $75,000 Thank you for taking the time to read this analysis. Wishing you great success in your trading journey! Always prioritise proper risk management to achieve sustainable growth in the markets. Good luck with your trades!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by SpicyPips
Google - This Can Be A Major Opportunity!Google ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ) is rejecting the resistance: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Over the past couple of years, Google has actually always been rejecting the upper channel resistance trendline with the only exception being the 2021 breakout. Following this previous behaviour, another bearish rejection is probable although bulls remain overall in control. Levels to watch: $200, $150 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:GOOGLLong
by basictradingtv
5
BITCOIN → Consolidation. Shake-out before growth to 110KBINANCE:BTCUSD is consolidating both locally and globally. The market lacks drivers, but at the same time, big players continue to keep the coin from falling further Bitcoin is in consolidation or in a localized correction due to Trump putting cryptocurrencies on the back burner. No supportive executive orders have been issued, except that there is a little noise around the federal reserve, but only from the states and that is in question what assets will fill this fund, confiscated or still politicians will start buying BTC. As for the global economy regarding bitcoin, a lull has been forming lately. Except for SOL and DOGE, for which the SEC has already started accepting applications to launch ETFs. Technically, I'm keeping an eye on local consolidation: 94800 - 98400. A breakout of resistance could give hope to the market and in that case bitcoin could strengthen to 102 - 107K Resistance levels: 98.4, 100.2, 102.7 Support levels: 94.8, 91.3 But, based on the general technical situation, there is a huge pool of liquidity in the 91-90K zone and before further growth the price may test this zone and form a false breakdown before the market returns to active buying. Regards R. Linda!
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by RLinda
34
OM's Meteoric Rise: Time to Buy the Dip or Short the Top?OM has been on an astronomical journey, soaring from $0.0173 on 12 October 2023 to an all-time high of $6.485 on 7 February 2025 – a jaw-dropping +37,494% increase in just 484 days. Currently ranked 26 with a market cap of $5.5B, OM’s meteoric rise has everyone asking: Is OM topping out, or is there still more upside? Could a significant correction be on the horizon? Let’s dive into the technicals and explore our trade setups with high conviction, backed by a wealth of confluence. Market Structure & Historical Context Between mid-November 2024 and the end of January 2025, OM traded within a 70-day range, oscillating between $4.4 and $3.3. The Point of Control (POC) for this range is around $3.87, marking a critical level where price action has repeatedly converged. This trading range provides the backdrop for our analysis, highlighting both key support and potential resistance zones that may dictate OM's next move. Key Support Zones & Confluence A multitude of technical indicators converge around the $3.87 level, making it a crucial support area: 1.) Fibonacci Retracement Confluence: Taking the Fibonacci retracement from the low at $3.173 (25 January 2025) to the recent high, the 0.786 retracement level lands at $3.8818—just a hair above our POC. 2.) Channel Median Line: The median line drawn through the highs and lows of the 70-day trading range reinforces the significance of this area. 3.) Moving Averages: The weekly 21 EMA/SMA currently sits between $3.63 and $3.31, and as they trend higher, we can expect them to approach $3.9 in the coming week, offering additional support. 4.) Trend Indicator (Beta): On the 4-hour timeframe, my new upcoming Trend Indicator highlights bullish momentum edging around $3.75, further consolidating support. 5.) Fibonacci Extension: The 1.271 Fibonacci extension from the previous low at $4.4 places a key level at $3.8329, adding yet another layer of confluence. Collectively, these factors create a robust support zone, suggesting that any retracement towards this level might serve as an attractive entry point for long positions. Resistance Levels & Trade Setups Resistance Analysis OM has repeatedly faced strong resistance near the $6 mark: Rejection Patterns: The chart reveals multiple rejections around $6, with a notable Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) at $6.295 that confirmed bearish pressure. Short Trade Opportunity: Previously, the rejection at $6.295 offered a low-risk short trade: risking about 3% for a potential gain of 17% to the Fibonacci retracement level of 0.618 (approximately $5.1965), which was nearly reached. Potential Trade Setups Short Trade Setup With OM encountering strong resistance around $6 and historical rejections at key levels, a breakdown could spark further downward movement. Entry & Stop Loss: Entry: Initiate a short position if price fails to break decisively above $6. Stop Loss: Set a 5% stop loss above the previous SFP. Targets & Risk/Reward: Targets: Consider targets at $4.7 (yielding approximately +22%) or $4.0 (around +34%). Risk/Reward: This setup offers an impressive risk/reward ratio of 4:1 to 6:1. Long Trade Setup The multiple layers of support around $3.87 present an attractive opportunity for long entries should the price retrace, despite the overall bullish structure. Historically, OM has bounced off its 21 daily EMA/SMA, as marked by previous green box zones on the chart. Entry Strategy & Laddering: Entry: Look for long entries if price pulls back to the support zone. Laddered Positions: Consider scaling in with positions between $4 and $3.75. This dollar-cost averaging (DCA) approach will help optimise your entry over the pullback. Stop Loss & Target: Stop Loss (SL): Set your stop loss below $3.58 to account for volatility while protecting against a breakdown. Take Profit: Target the $4.5 level as your primary take profit. Risk/Reward: With laddered entries between $4 and $3.75, this setup provides an approximate risk/reward ratio of 2:1, though the exact ratio will depend on your specific DCA entry points. Final Thoughts Only execute shorts with clear confirmation from order flow analysis. Conversely, a pullback towards the support zone presents an appealing long opportunity for those confident in OM’s enduring momentum. As always, it’s essential to monitor price action closely and adjust your strategy as new data unfolds. Okay. Wrapping up this analysis. Wishing you all profitable and successful trades! =)
Short
by SiDec
5
FB (META), What is going on?Stocks fall one after another ! We Saw a considerable decline in FB (Meta) Stoc k after earning report after hours of last trading session. What is happening for FB (Meta) in terms of Elliott waves? FB (META), has likely completed a primary degree ascending cycle started on 4th Sept 2012 at 17.55 USD . This cycle took 9 years to be completed therefore, we can imagine how boring will be the correction phase before completion ! If true , FB (META) has started a correction decline form ATH (384.33) down to Retracement levels with today's pre-market price around 0.382 level. Although 0.382 retracement is also possible for wave 2s , I give very low possibility to bounce back from this level according to timing and corrective patterns. Retracement down to 200 , 157 and even 96 USD corresponding to 0.5 , 0.618 Golden Ration and 0.786 Retracement levels is very possible, I tried to show the probability of each possible Retracement with thickness of arrows with the thickest to be the most probable ( As I suppose ) and vice versa. After completion of this primary degree wave 2 , there will be a huge up going wave which is primary degree wave 3 . This wave 3 will push the price up to at least 700 USD and even higher ( Very good news for long term investors ) depending on at which retracement level this boring correction phase ends. It is too soon to talk about this target we can update our targets in next years ! Please note this is a very long term prediction so, there will be lots of ups and downs and fluctuations in our path. What is happening on FB (META) is more than likely similar to whats happened for ETSY, SHOPIFY, SQ and many others in the market. As I showed on the chart, this is what I see as the most probable scenario which means there are more optimistic scenarios. Mots probable more optimistic scenario is that FB ( META) is just correcting the wave cycle labeled as wave (5). As far as the stock is trading above 170 USD, this scenario is valid. Hope this analysis to be helpful and wish you all the best.
NASDAQ:META
by SaeedSajedi
15