EURO - Price can rise a little and then start to declineHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago, price entered a falling channel, where it broke through $1.1310 level at once, but soon broke it again.
Price traded near this level for some time, after which it reached resistance line and continued to decline.
Then price broke $1.1310 level and dropped to $1.1065 level, after which it turned around and started to grow within the channel.
In the rising channel, Euro broke $1.1140 level and continued to grow, but later made a correction to this level.
After this, price continued to grow and later broke $1.1310 level, then rose to the resistance line of the channel.
I expect that Euro will rise to resistance line and then start to decline to the $1.1310 support level.
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Correction
Just a Thought: What If the Big Bull Run Starts Next February?Chart: SOLUSDT Perpetual (1W)
Let’s play devil’s advocate for a second…
📉 What if:
The most recent pullback from Solana’s all-time high wasn’t just a dip to find support, but a high timeframe market structure break (MSS)?
We wicked right into the Point of Control (POC) at $126, a critical level going back to Solana’s inception. Many saw that as a liquidity sweep, which it is, but what if that break was confirmation of a shift in the macro structure?
Since then, we’ve seen a corrective rally, and as of now, price is approaching the golden pocket (0.618–0.65) around the $200 region coupled with time Fib confluence around June 25.
⚪ The ABC Hypothesis:
There’s a clean potential for an (A)-(B)-(C) correction. If the market can’t push through the $200 resistance in June, we could see a dragged out move down into the 1:1 extension, which interestingly aligns with key monthly naked POCs (MNPOCs) at $73 and $41, and specifically the 1:1 at $49 (highlighted on the chart for September 25).
That would create a textbook ABC correction, where:
• A = drop from ATH to MSS
• B = golden pocket retracement
• C = 1:1 extension, sweeping long-term liquidity
📅 What if the real bull run doesn’t start until Feb 2026?
Everyone’s calling for the big breakout this year… but what if we need one last washout to fully reset? That timing aligns eerily well with early Q1 2026, after a final leg down.
Chart Legend:
• ✅ Green line = current price
• 🔴 POC = Point of Control (macro volume node)
• ⚪ White lines = ABC structure
• 🔵 Blue verticals = time-based Fibonacci
• 🟡 Golden Pocket = 0.618–0.65 retracement
• 🟣 MNPOC Levels = untested monthly points of control
Just a theory. Not advice. DYOR.
What do you think? Could the real reset be coming?
SEI Turns Bullish After A Zig-Zag CorrectionSEI Turns Bullish After A Zig-Zag Correction, as we see it sharply bouncing from projected support that can send the price higher by Elliott wave theory.
SEI with ticker SEIUSD is waking up exactly from the channel support line and equality measurement of waves A=C, which is perfect textbook support for subwave (5) of an impulse into wave C of an ABC zig-zag correction. It's actually nicely and impulsively rising for wave 1, so after current wave 2 pullback, be aware of a bullish continuation within wave 3 of a five-wave bullish cycle, especially if breaks above 0.30 first bullish evidence level.
Sei (SEI) is a high-performance Layer 1 blockchain designed specifically for decentralized finance (DeFi) and decentralized exchanges (DEXs). Launched in August 2023 by Sei Labs, it features innovations like Twin-Turbo Consensus for fast block finality, Optimistic Parallelization for high throughput, and SeiDB for efficient transaction handling. It supports EVM compatibility, enabling seamless deployment of Ethereum-based apps. The SEI token is used for transaction fees, staking, governance, and liquidity.
HSBC (HSBC) – $54 Risk Zone if ABC Correction Is Triggered HSBCHSBC is currently trading within a rising wedge, but a potential short-term drop of approximately 5% could trigger a full ABC correction pattern. This scenario is not confirmed yet, as the chart remains structurally bullish.
However, should the price reverse and break below the rising channel, it would likely mark the start of wave C, completing an A-B-C corrective sequence. This development could lead the price toward the $54 support zone, which aligns with a previous demand area.
While there is no immediate breakdown or weakness, traders should remain alert. A simple -5% drop might be all it takes to activate the next phase of correction.
Pattern: Potential ABC correction
Trigger: 5% decline from current levels
Target: $54
Bias: Neutral – watch for reaction if price softens
EURO - Price may make a movement up and then dropHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few days ago price traded between $1.0870 level inside a flat, where it after fell to bottom part and made an upward impulse.
Price exited from flat, breaking $1.0870 level too, and then made a correction, after which continued to grow.
Later, Euro reached $1.1425 level, breaking recently $1.1155 level recently, and soon price broke $1.1425 level too.
Next, price started to traded inside pennant, where it dropped from resistance line to support line, breaking $1.1425 level again.
Euro fell to support line, after which started to grow and in a short time, rose to resistance line.
Now, I think that Euro may make a movement up and then start to decline to $1.1235 support line of pennant.
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Gold Completes A Correction Within Bullish TrendGold made another sharp leg to the upside in first half of April, even showed some accelerating price action away from the 3,000 level. This suggests it might have been part of wave three when looking at the Daily and 4-hour time frame, so there can be more upside within a much more extended impulse structure. Possibly already now after blue wave four consolidation shows first signs of a bottom near 3120. Notice that pullback from recent high is in three legs, while price recovered out of wave (C) channel, so looks like new recovery is in the cards.
EURO - Price can make small correction and then bounce upHi guys, this is my overview for EURO, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently, price entered to falling channel, where it at once fell to $1.1330 level and then not long time traded near this level.
Next, price rose to resistance line of channel, and some time traded near, after which dropped.
Price broke $1.1330 level and started to traded below this level, and later it continued to decline in channel.
Later, Euro made a gap and then exited from channel, after which turned around and started to grow in a rising channel.
In this channel, price broke $1.1140 level and continued to move up until it reached resistance line.
Then price corrected, and now I expect that Euro can bounce up from support area to $1.1280 inside channel.
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Silver Finds Its Footing—Are the Bulls Back? (Elliott Waves)Silver rebounded quite aggressively in April, following Trump’s decision to impose a 90-day tariff pause. At the time, there was still a lot of uncertainty, so many investors turned to metals as a safe haven—particularly during periods of trade tensions.
More importantly, we can see silver forming five waves up from the 28.34 low. In Elliott Wave terms, when we see a strong directional move that can be counted in five waves, it often represents the beginning of a new trend. That means the current pause is likely just a correction, and more upside should follow.
The 31.00–31.50 area is a very interesting support zone for silver—an area from which we could see a rebound, possibly after a completed A-B-C setback from the 33.70 region.
Bitcoin can drop from wedge to 100K pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. After consolidating for an extended period within a triangle pattern, the price eventually broke out with strong bullish momentum. The move was supported by a solid rebound from the buyer zone and a clean breakout above the 92800 - 94200 support area. This breakout initiated a steep climb, forming a new upward wedge structure, defined by narrowing trend lines and rising local highs. Currently, the price is trading near the resistance boundary of the wedge, around the 104000 - 105000 zone. This zone has already triggered one rejection and is showing signs of weakening bullish strength. Given the rising wedge geometry and the fading impulse strength, the risk of a correction is increasing. The current structure typically leads to a pullback, especially after such a steep rise. I expect that BTC may rise to the resistance line of the wedge and then drop below the support line, thereby exiting from this pattern. That's why I set my TP 1 at the 100K points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
HelenP. I Gold can decline to trend line and then start to growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. If we look at the chart, we can see how the price after several failed attempts holds in a support zone. The structure of this correction has formed beneath the previously broken trend line, and the price is now approaching it from above. What’s important is that buyers previously stepped in around this level, forming a bounce that allowed the market to reach toward the resistance zone near 3350. This area still remains unbroken, making it a magnet for future bullish targets. Currently, price action shows signs of local weakness, but the broader context favors a potential rebound. The confluence between the horizontal support zone and the descending trend line adds extra technical weight to this level. If price can stabilize here, I expect a retest of 3205, and a potential breakout above it could open the way toward my goal at 3260. This scenario assumes continued respect of the trend line as dynamic support. A clean bounce from it would signal renewed bullish interest, especially if backed by momentum on lower timeframes. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Bitcoin may drop to 102K points, exiting from pennantHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. After breaking out of a multi-day range and launching a strong impulse from the buyer zone, the price has formed a clear upward pennant pattern. This technical formation often signals a potential slowdown in the bullish momentum, especially when it follows an aggressive move to the upside. The current price action shows that BTC has approached the resistance line of the pennant, but failed to generate further breakout strength. Each new impulse within the structure has weakened, and the market is starting to compress inside narrowing boundaries. The support area has been holding the structure temporarily, but the inability to push through the top of the pennant suggests growing exhaustion among buyers. This setup indicates that BTC may soon break downward from the pennant. So, I expect that it will make a correction that could drive the price down to the 102000 points, thereby exiting from pennant pattern. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Sugar Is In A Higher Degree Correction; Elliott Wave AnalysisSugar has been trading lower since 2023 when we spotted final wave V of an impulse on the weekly chart. So from Elliott wave perspective, it’s trading in a multi-year higher degree ABC corrective decline, where wave C can drop the price even down to 78,6% Fibonnaci retracement and 14-12 support area before bulls show up again.
The reason why Sugar can go lower is a short-term daily Elliott wave structure, where we see a five-wave leading diagonal formation into wave A, followed by a bearish abcde triangle pattern in wave B. It can now extend the decline within wave C towards 14 -12 area which can be made by a lower-degree five-wave bearish cycle, just be aware of short-term pullbacks.
GOLD - Price can make correction movement to support levelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago, the price traded inside a little flat, where it declined to the bottom part and then started to grow.
In a short time, it reached the $2955 level, broke it and started to trades inside a big flat, exiting from a small range.
After this movement, the price reached the top part of the flat and then corrected, after which it entered to pennant.
In the pennant pattern, Gold exited from a flat and rose to the resistance line from the support line, breaking the $3205 level.
Also recently, price made a correction, but then it turned around and bounced up, thereby exiting from pennant.
Now, I think that Gold can rise a little and then start to decline to $3205 support level.
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Bitcoin can bounce from support line of channel to 98500 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Looking at this chart, we can observe how the price of Bitcoin has been in recent price action. The asset had been confidently moving inside an upward channel, building structure through higher highs and higher lows. Each upward impulse was supported by pullbacks to the support line, showing continued buyer pressure. The latest breakout above the support area confirmed a bullish continuation, and the price entered the seller zone, where it faced resistance. Despite multiple attempts to break through, the price repeatedly turned around, forming a tight triangle pattern within the upper boundary of the channel. Currently, the price has broken down from the triangle, but it still holds above the channel's lower line. Given that the channel remains intact and there's no strong breakdown of the structure, I expect the price to rebound from the lower boundary and continue climbing toward my TP 1 at 98500, which aligns with the resistance line of the channel. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
A larger corrective pattern is formingIn the previous analysis, a specific range was determined for the price to reverse, after reaching that price range, the price jumped upwards and the price grew by 1700 pips. However, considering that the structure of wave-c is not an impulse, the zigzag was not confirmed and it seems that a larger corrective pattern is forming.
It seems that the reverse contracting triangle pattern is forming, which is currently in wave-d of the triangle. With the completion of wave-d, we can better find the end point of wave-e.
One Last Drop Before Take Off?Price is still in a pullback phase, and the next potential target zone is around 0.07488 – 0.07334.
We might see one last dip before BINANCE:STPTUSDT resumes its uptrend.
If the price reaches this pullback zone with a bullish divergence, that would be a strong confirmation for a possible reversal.
But even without divergence, we can still rely on candlestick patterns to signal a potential reversal at that level.
What do you think — will BINANCE:STPTUSDT bounce from this zone or break lower?
BTC - The Perfect Retest!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders! This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
The picture says it all!
🔄Is history about to repeat itself?
If so, we are currently in Phase 2. 📈
What’s next? A dip toward the $87,000 - $88,000 zone would be the perfect retest to look for trend-following longs and expect the start of Phase 3.
📚 Reminder:
Always stick to your trading plan — entry, risk management, and trade management are key.
Good luck, and happy trading!
All Strategies Are Good, If Managed Properly!
~Rich
HelenP. I Bitcoin can make movement up and then start to fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Price continues to move inside a rising wedge, gradually climbing higher while respecting the boundaries of the formation. After a strong impulsive breakout above the 93000 level, the market has entered a phase of sideways consolidation just below the upper boundary of the pattern. This area acts as a pressure zone, where bullish attempts are becoming weaker, and the price starts to lose momentum. What's important is how clearly the trend line has been respected, with multiple touchpoints confirming its significance. Recently, BTC tested the lower boundary of the wedge near 93000, rebounded, and made another push upward. However, despite this growth, the price is nearing the resistance formed by the wedge's upper boundary, and this structure often implies a potential reversal once the market loses steam. Given this setup, I expect BTCUSDT to reject the upper edge and correct toward 95000, my short-term goal. This level aligns with the trend line, making it a logical area for the price to seek equilibrium again. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
HelenP. I Bitcoin can make correction to trend lineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. The market behavior of price has been quite telling recently. After a significant rally from the lower support area around 81200 points, the price gradually established an ascending trend line, forming a steady bullish structure. The rise was confirmed multiple times by the trend line acting as dynamic support, allowing buyers to push the price toward the higher zones. However, after reaching the local peak close to 95300, the bullish momentum slowed down. Price formed a range and began showing early signs of weakness. Despite attempts to move higher, each push was met with resistance, causing smaller impulses than earlier moves. Currently, Bitcoin is trading just under the 95300 - 95500 zone, near the upper boundary of the recent range. I expect BTCUSDT can face further rejection here and initiate a correction. The nearest key target is the 92000 points, located close to the ascending trend line and matching the support structure below. Given the fading momentum, recent price action, and important technical levels nearby, I anticipate a downward move toward 92000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
NVDIA Death Cross Quant Perspectives (Light Case Study)NASDAQ: Nvidia (NVDA ) has recently experienced an uptrend after a death cross formed consisting of the 65 and 200 EMAs on the 1 Day chart.
If we analyze back on Nvidia starting in 1999 , we can count a total of 10 death crosses that have occurred, and 9 have been immediately followed by downtrends. Although a single death cross did not have an immediate downtrend, shortly after this event (approx. 282 days) another death cross formed and price then fell roughly twice as it historically has , almost appearing to make up for the missed signal.
From a quantitative perspective:
If we calculate the raw historical success rate using:
Raw Success Rate = 9/10 = 90
With this calculation the observed success of 65/200 EMA death crosses correlating to an immediate downtrend is 90%
In order to avoid overconfidence we can apply Laplace smoothing using:
Smoothed Probability = 9+1/10+2 = 10/12 or 0.8333
With this calculation the observed success of 65/200 EMA death crosses correlating to an immediate downtrend is 83%
Given the results of the data I personally feel that there is a Very High (83%) chance this death cross that recently formed on the 1 Day chart (around 04/16/2025) will immediately lead to a downtrend. And a Low (17%) chance it does not. Furthermore these results support a technical analysis hypothesis that I formed prior.
Many different systemic factors can contribute to the market movement, but mathematics sometimes leave subtle clues. Will the market become bearish? Or will Nvidia gain renewed bullish interest?
Disclaimer: Not Financial Advice.
GOLD - Price can make correction and then continue to growHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Price broke out from the lower wedge line and started climbing with confidence, building momentum step by step.
After bouncing off the $3215 zone, it pushed higher and touched the wedge resistance without major rejection.
The current candle formation shows signs of slowing down, hinting at a possible short-term pullback ahead.
Despite that, the structure remains bullish, and buyers are likely to defend local support if the price dips slightly.
With the breakout zones holding firm, I expect Gold to make a correction and then resume the upward path.
My target is set at $3500, where the upper wedge boundary might once again act as key resistance.
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HelenP. I Euro can make correction movement to $1.1150 pointsHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. After testing the upper boundary of the ascending channel, the price showed signs of slowing momentum. Earlier, the price steadily climbed within the upward channel, forming consistently higher lows while bouncing from the lower trend line and support zones. During its rally, the price also reclaimed the 1.0950 level, turning it into a solid support zone, and continued higher with minor consolidations along the way. Eventually, the pair reached the resistance trend line at the top of the channel, where sellers began to show activity. This zone aligned with previous local highs and acted as a point of reversal. Following the rejection from the top boundary, the Euro formed a local high and started to flatten, indicating reduced bullish pressure. Now the price is trading slightly below the resistance trend line and remains inside the upward channel. Given the current structure and the latest price action near the upper edge, I expect a downward movement from this zone. My current goal is the 1.1150 points, which aligns with the midline of the channel and a key technical level from recent consolidation. This bearish scenario is supported by the reaction from the upper boundary and the potential for correction within the channel range. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️