Bitcoin Slows Down For A Higher Degree A-B-C CorrectionBTCUSD hit projected target area for wave III and it's now turning down after the BTC spot ETF approval, ideally within a higher degree wave IV correction before the uptrend for wave V resumes. Looking at the 4-hour chart, we are tracking a three-wave A-B-C corrective setback that can retest 40k-38k support area, so after wave B recovery, watch out for more weakness within wave C.
Correction
Analysis of Gold on the 12-hour Time FrameAfter a strong upward movement, gold has reached the resistance range of 2140 - 2148 significantly. It seems like it's time for a correction now.
If gold wants to correct due to today's news, we can set our target at 2090, which is an important support level for gold.
Gold Support: 2080.5 - 2088
Gold Resistance: 2140 - 2148
And the price of 2120 determines the market boundary.
Today-tomorrow there will be quite strong news, all focus on Fed Chair Powell. Discussions on interest rates, inflation, and other factors are likely. Given the overall situation in the US, there is a chance that the dollar will receive more support, potentially impacting gold negatively.
Gold might make another move upwards based on the news and touch the resistance zone before starting a downward movement.
Recommended Positions:
Sell: 2142 - 2148
No need for a stop-loss
Short-term Target: 2121 - 2090
Long-term Target: 2060 - 2033
Buy Short-term (Scalp): 2088 - 2085
Stop-loss: 2081
Target: 2094 - 2096 - 2100
Nasdaq - Now Is The TimeHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Nasdaq.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
For more than 10 years the Nasdaq has been trading in an obvious rising channel formation and retested the lower support the last time in 2023. This retest was followed by an expected 65% pump. Considering that Nasdaq is now retesting resistance as mentioned in the analysis, I do expect a short term pullback to retest the next support level below current market price.
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I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
Keep your long term vision.
BTC new ATH and CorrectionHello everyone, let's take a look at the BTC to USDT chart on a one hour time frame. As you can see, the price dynamically moved lower from the local upward trend line.
Let's start by determining the support and as you can see, the price is in the support zone from $62,971 to $61,218, and may continue to stay around $58,999.
Looking the other way, you can see resistance at the level of $64,493, then the second one at $66,360, and then a very strong resistance zone from $67,691 to $69,349, where the price described the new ATH.
Looking at the RSI indicator, you can see a local downward trend line, with room for a larger correction, while on the STOCH indicator we are approaching the lower limit but a possible downward movement is still visible.
BA- Buy the recovery? or take partial profits? LONGBoeing had a near disastrous start to 2024 with a Malaysian part falling off a MAX jet at 36,000.
Incidentally, going viral is that an iPhone survived the plunge fully functional. 20% got
shaved off the market cap. I bought the low with calls at $215 expiring March 15'24. They did
80% for the week and 16% today. News catalysts are that an East Indian airline company placed
a contract for the purchase of 100 jets of uncertain model. Delta Airlines also did not pull their
existing contract. These catalysts have allowed price to recover about 1/3 of the plunge. The
15-minute chart demonstrates the super trend reversal better than the 60 minute which is
shown here on the idea. The relative volume indicator is about 3 X the running mean showing
trader interest uptick. BA could short squeeze where short sellers quickly buy to cover &
capture profit while the synergistic rise is compounded by near buyers coming in to get ahead
of the chasing? The caution is that the POC line on the intermediate
term volume profile is $ 210 and so getting contracts extended above that has increased
risk based on price distance from the POC. The uptrend instead of a true recovery could be
simply a correction in the overall downtrend. I will take some of the week's profit off
the table and keep a close watch on the price action.
FB (META), What is going on?Stocks fall one after another !
We Saw a considerable decline in FB (Meta) Stoc k after earning report after hours of last trading session. What is happening for FB (Meta) in terms of Elliott waves?
FB (META), has likely completed a primary degree ascending cycle started on 4th Sept 2012 at 17.55 USD . This cycle took 9 years to be completed therefore, we can imagine how boring will be the correction phase before completion !
If true , FB (META) has started a correction decline form ATH (384.33) down to Retracement levels with today's pre-market price around 0.382 level.
Although 0.382 retracement is also possible for wave 2s , I give very low possibility to bounce back from this level according to timing and corrective patterns.
Retracement down to 200 , 157 and even 96 USD corresponding to 0.5 , 0.618 Golden Ration and 0.786 Retracement levels is very possible, I tried to show the probability of each possible Retracement with thickness of arrows with the thickest to be the most probable ( As I suppose ) and vice versa.
After completion of this primary degree wave 2 , there will be a huge up going wave which is primary degree wave 3 . This wave 3 will push the price up to at least 700 USD and even higher ( Very good news for long term investors ) depending on at which retracement level this boring correction phase ends. It is too soon to talk about this target we can update our targets in next years !
Please note this is a very long term prediction so, there will be lots of ups and downs and fluctuations in our path. What is happening on FB (META) is more than likely similar to whats happened for ETSY, SHOPIFY, SQ and many others in the market.
As I showed on the chart, this is what I see as the most probable scenario which means there are more optimistic scenarios. Mots probable more optimistic scenario is that FB ( META) is just correcting the wave cycle labeled as wave (5). As far as the stock is trading above 170 USD, this scenario is valid.
Hope this analysis to be helpful and wish you all the best.
DAX Forecast: Exploring Wave Patterns and Correction Scenarios🌍German DAX Analysis
Taking another look at the German benchmark index, the DAX XETR:DAX , our scenario remains unchanged. If we don't breach the 18,000 EUR mark, we anticipate continuing with Wave IV, which is expected to range between 10,000 € and a maximum of 7,500 €, depending on the potential overshoot of Wave (B).
This scenario will be invalidated if we surpass the 138 % level.
Zooming into the 4-hour chart, we observe the formation more closely, potentially shaping Wave ((b)) that is currently in development. The 1-hour chart gives us an even closer view, indicating we are precisely in this phase of Wave ((b)). Crossing over 17,218 € would likely invalidate our current scenario, prompting a reevaluation of where Wave (B), marked in blue, could be located—potentially moving towards 17,500 € or up to 18,000 €.
Should there be a turn at this juncture, we might see a flat correction, an overshooting flat moving down towards Wave ((c)) or Wave 1. After reaching the 127-138 % range, this phase should conclude with a 5-wave cycle downwards.
#DXY possible bullish reverse head and shoulder patternI believe this bearish move, which we are observing in the 1-hour timeframe market structure, is a bearish corrective move. Consequently, there is a possibility of a bullish continuation move in the Dollar.
Upon closer inspection, we can see the formation of a reverse head and shoulder pattern , which is an intrinsically reversal pattern and signals a potential bullish move.
If the price manages to break above this bullish pattern and a short-term bearish trendline, we could assume that our higher timeframe bullish move would possibly continue.
If you've found this analysis helpful, please take a moment to like, comment, or share your thoughts with me.
ALTcoins May Face Further RallyALTcoins are still dominating in the Crypto market. Looking at TOTAL3 crypto market cap chart, which excludes Bitcoin and Ethereum, we can clearly see a bullish pattern. After a complete complex W-X-Y correction in wave (4), we can now see an impulsive minor five-wave recovery, which can be first wave 1 of a higher degree wave (5), so after a pullback in wave 2, watch out on further rally into wave 3 of a five-wave bullish cycle, especially if breaks channel resistance line near 500B level.
XRP WILL PUMP WITHIN 2 WEEKS!!Looks like a massive pump will come withing the next 2 weeks here. The descending trendline price compression is slowly coming to an end.
I EXPECT HIGHER PRICES IN THE LONG-TERM STILL BULLISH!
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AUD-USD Resistance Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-USD made a rebound
From the horizontal support
Of 0.6447 and went up
Sharply so after the pair
Retests the horizontal
Resistance level of 0.6541
I believe we will see
A local bearish correction
Buy!
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Tesla Mimicking McDonalds' 75 Percent DropHere's an overlay of $MCD in yellow from 1980 to 2005 lined up to the 75% drop in $MCD on the "Dollar Menu" price wars, store closings and YOY% sales decline for $MCD back in 2002. It was a disaster. Well, $TSLA has the same 75% drop to the current low. Maybe they mimic, maybe they don't. Just interesting!
Here's the $MCD chart and the part that I copied and pasted... the huge run-up and the 75% correction. I lived through the $MCD collapse, as did a buddy of mine who is a broker and was buying all the way down from 50% down to 75% down and made a great fortune for his clients on the 10X rally over the next 10 years
The % rallies aren't that comparable for $MCD and $TSLA, but the pattern is similar to me. A global brand with a solid track record facing a short term challenge and competition and fears.
GOLD, will NFP finally start wave C?Hello everyone,
Gold currently confusing traders as it switches between correctional movements and speculative pullbacks. From a technical point of view the 2067 level is now very important for the next move, which I expect to be a short one. Only a daily candle close above can invalidate the short scenario which would have the targets 1980 , 1920 and 1895 .
The yellow triangle is a possible reversal zone for a wave 2 bottom and bullish move towards new ATH with targets at 2300 and 3000 .
Looking at the big picture of Gold, it has been in a very long consolidation in the 1640 - 1980 range. So far every breakout attempt over the upper boundary has been sold within a few days. But with the break above 2000 related to the middle east conflict Gold was able to stabilize above 1980. Most likely the 1980 will be retested to built liquidity for a bullish move first.
I suggest to go short to anticipate in wave C of wave 2. The reversal zone for this move is the current resistance 2060 - 2067.
I will keep you updated if I see conformation or trading opportunities. If you have any questions feel free to contact me.
GBP-JPY Rising Resistance Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-JPY broke the key
Horizontal level of 188.930
While trading in an uptrend
So we are bullish biased
Mid-term, however, the pair
Is now retesting the rising
Resistance line from where
I think we are likely to see
A local bearish correction
Sell!
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BTC Correction Incoming: ICT Unicorn Model?This resembles an ICT Unicorn model (not sure if this is what you call it tho): Price obtained liquidity above, accompanied by a robust volume push-down to 38.5k, forming a breaker block coinciding with a Daily FVG. It's noteworthy that the current Breaker block level constitutes 50% of the present range, validating the corrective wave. Anticipating a price retracement to the daily FVG above 38k or completion of the corrective wave in the range of 32k-36k, where liquidity and an unfilled daily FVG are apparent.
Please manage your risk because price can still go higher around that premium zone.
Unwind TimeMoving sharply down from upper Bolly band. Expect correction to bottom of Bollinger bands.
Further megacap ERs to disappoint. Meta, Apple Thursday, many others.
Fed says no rate cuts, for some time. Bars pattern from last September FOMC disappointment.
History never repeats exactly, but it often rhymes. 4930 was a top. Short every rally!
This ain't no place for investors. It's speculator's fantasyland.
Nvidia - How Long Will It LastHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Nvidia.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
All the way back in February of 2014 we saw a breakout of a long term symmetrical triangle on Nvidia. This breakout was followed by an insane +9.500% rally towards the upside. Right now Nvidia is trading in a solid ascending channel and is approaching the upper resistance trendline. I do expect a (short term) pullback from there to retest the support mentioned in the analysis.
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I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
Keep your long term vision.
Microsoft Chart Update: Key Levels to Watch Now!⚠️Examining Microsoft 's NASDAQ:MSFT 2-hour chart , we see the end of Wave ((v)) at $415, coinciding with a challenging earning call. Currently, we expect short-term support at the Wave ((iv)) level, around $364, and aim to stay above the 61.8% mark of $349.
📉 As we're potentially starting a long-term Wave II, we anticipate finding initial support without a significant breakdown. The 2-day chart suggests we might be nearing the cycle's end, with Wave 5's potential range between $388 and $430. If a pivot at 38 to 50% happens it could lead to new highs, indicating the current cycle isn't over yet and we have to see wave 5. If not, a deeper correction to at least $214, the previous Wave (4) level from November 2022, is plausible.
😷 The pandemic level at $136 also remains within the realm of possibility for Wave II. This reflects the market's need for corrections after strong upward momentum in recent years. Please keep in mind that there is no chart on this world that is growing without corrections and if you zoom out on all big bad events, they are about non existing and so will it be if Microsoft or other will have a larger pullback!
The Walt Disney Analysis: Looking at the 3-Day Timeframe 🐭The Walt Disney Company NYSE:DIS , a subject of much discussion due to its corporate policies, is under our lens today. On the grand scale, specifically the 3-day timeframe, we observed the conclusion of Wave (4) with the onset of the pandemic, followed by the completion of the first cycle at $203. Currently, we seem to be finalizing a significant Wave II - the overarching Wave II in this case.
🔎 A closer look suggests a clear 5-wave structure downwards towards our Wave (A). Considering this, it seems to align with a zigzag pattern. Consequently, we should now expect a 3-wave structure leading to Wave (B). This Wave (B) is anticipated to fall between 61.8% and 78.6%. Given that the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement from Wave 5 to Wave (A) precisely aligns with our subordinate Wave 4, we presume that's where our Wave A will be situated.
📉 Following this, we expect the emergence a Wave C forming a zigzag pattern. This would indicate a significant drop below the $80 level, which has been the level for both Wave (4) and Wave (A) so far.
Pfizer - Watch The SupportHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Pfizer.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
All the way back in 2012 Pfizer created a massively bullish triangle reversal pattern at the $17.00 level. This was followed by a +200% rally. Since 2022 Pfizer has been dropping significantly and is now retesting the support level which I mentioned in the analysis. If we see bullish conformation on the smaller timeframes, this might be an interesting long trading setup.
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I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
Keep your long term vision.
BTCUSD, Are we going to face 35% Correction ?!If we take a look at previous 2 notable cycles we easily notice similarities.
From these 2, 2022-2024 looks more similar to 2016-2017, as long as we had -
Breakout of downtrend line. ✅
Reaccumulation zone. ✅
Testing major bear market impulse (Which in all cases became strong resistance). ✅
What we didn't experience is correction after these 3 moves.
In 2016 it was around 40% (Tested reaccumulation zone)
In 2019 it was around 53% (Tested major support / resistance zone).
As long as current market structure somewhat repeats 2016 move, have possibility to retest top of after trend line breakout reaccumulation zone, which sits around 33-32k.
Percentage wise it's around 35% from ETF top and 23% from current price.
What you think ?