I took profitsI took some profits of my long positions. Looks like SP is getting weaker. I'm still holding many long positions and saving cash to reenter at better prices. I also have puts on PLTR and Roku. I just bought a few puts of SPY expiring tomorrow just for speculation, not risking too much with puts.
Correction
SELL OPPORTUNITY ON AUDUSD On AUDUSD Price is currently trading within a well-defined ascending channel on 1HTF, inside a 4HTF ascending (reversal pattern) this gives an additional confluence.
Waiting for price to test the upper dynamic trendline that serves as my support before going short.
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USDJPY Hunting Resitance On Hawkish BoJUSDJPY came sharply to the downside recently on the hawkish BoJ which now saying that normalization can happen, possibly in March of 2024. Also, Ueda said that policy change could involve element of surprise . So we evne shoudl be aware of some volatile price moves in weeks ahead, ideally in favour of the JPY.
From an Elliott wave perspective we see nice turn lower, through the daily trendline support so more weakness can be coming after a corrective rally that is still in play. I see some nice resistance for wave 2/B rally is at 146.60-148.
GH
VIX near signaling a correctionLow volatility is good for the market, but extreme low volatility is not
As you can see, a lot of times where the TVC:VIX crossed 12 from below it signaled a correction within a bull market
And is not just the VIX, there are other breath indicators that are converging at levels that usually signal correction
I normally track the % of SPX stocks above their 50-day and 200-day MAs, NYSE New Highs/Lows and NYSE New 52-week Highs/Lows
My target would be 4.300 in the SP:SPX
Bitcoin Steps Into Temproary Corrective PhaseBitcoin is coming higher this year, moving very sharply through 2023, after a period of a consolidation that has been in play since March till Avgust of this year. We can see a nice and strong rise now, with some sharp extensions above daily base channel resistance lines and 40k area, so we assume that more upside can be seen as recovery is acting like an impulse. As such, be aware of further gains within a five-wave cycle for wave (C)/(III) up to around 48k - 50k area.
Looking at the 4-hour chart, we can see some slow down in last few days after Jamie Dimon comments and ahead of US CPI data. But we think it's just a wave 4 correction, where first support can be already at the EW channel support line and 40k area, but price action may stay slow then within a potential sideways bullish triangle pattern. However, ahead of US CPI and interest rate decision this week, be also aware of a deeper correction to 38k - 34k support zone, if the price breaks out of Elliott wave channel.
EURUSD - Trend-Following Buy Setup ↗️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
EURUSD has been overall bullish making higher highs and higher lows, and it is currently in a correction phase retesting the red trendline.
Moreover, it is approaching a strong demand zone 1.067
🏹 So the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green demand and red trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
As per my trading style:
As EURUSD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Altcoins are looking to pullback 10-15% soonMore of a caution here. Alt bulls are starting to lose a bit of steam here in overbought territory on the RSI. I can't go through all the charts rn but they are all looking fairly similar, overbought on the daily RSI and looking to test major levels of support on the underside. Do what you will with this information but for me personally (as my followers know), I have taken quite a bit of profit off the table yesterday afternoon and this morning. I have moved my stops up to be in the profit on most of my trades and as I look through my current positions I am considering more action to ensure I exit appropriately if we get this pullback the charts are showing.
Again, I don't expect anything major. As you all know, I have stated that BTC should be going sideways to down (at least according to the technicals) over the next few days to weeks. This will give ALTS a bit of a chance to catch up more. But before this happens, bulls may need to catch their breath.
Best,
Stewdamus
BTC to see SHARP MASSIVE HUGE pullback in next 48 hoursHello everyone! With BTC having a run like it has in such a short amount of time, a logical trader knows that a price correction is massively over due.
Using my technical analysis, I have calculated the price of BTC to drop down, within the next 48 hours. Not long after it will bounce back up but not before it goes back down quite a bit.
This is just my technical analysis, and although I am a pro, I do not offer ANY financial advice.
NFA!
BTC/USDT Analysis and Trading Opportunity.
Scenario : After a strong rally, BTC entered a surge around the $37,000 mark, breaking through this zone and gaining a new momentum. With the monthly chart aiming to form a bullish pivot, the daily and weekly charts are highly stressed, requiring a correction.
S&P 500 : Healthy, attempting to form a bullish pivot on the monthly chart. Strong resistance at 4600 indicates that markets are seeking a correction.
BTCUSDT
Monthly: High, close to the resistance of 42500.
Weekly: High, RSI very stretched (needing correction).
Daily: High, RSI very stretched (needing correction).
Indicators
RSI
RSI Levels
12 and 26 period Moving Averages
Volume
Fibonacci Retracement
Strategy : 1 hour and 4 hours in oversold conditions. Whenever the daily chart enters a strong uptrend, a correction is needed, indicated when the 1-hour chart enters oversold territory (30% RSI). The same rule applies to the weekly chart, with its respective oversold timeframe being the 4 hours.
To confirm this strategy, we can observe that the 5-minute chart in oversold conditions (1-hour correction) and the 15-minute chart (4-hour correction) when entering oversold conditions provided excellent scalping opportunities. Now, the buying force will wait for the 1-hour oversold condition, while the selling force will use the 42500 resistance to take profits.
Using RSI levels, the price range of $40,200 to $38,300 was found, where several buy orders should be defined to obtain the best average price. However, due to the 1-hour chart being highly stressed, the price range found today with RSI levels will not be used, requiring daily updates of the range and order values using the same tool.
The initial stop loss should be set at 37950, slightly below 38000, which is a strong psychological number. As the price range is corrected, the old nearest top will be used as a stop loss.
The first partial should be taken just below 42500 (to ensure our order is executed). I will take a significant profit and raise my stop loss to the entry price. As the weekly chart needs correction, it is expected that the price will fall below 38,000, where we will repeat the analysis and seek oversold conditions on the 4-hour chart.
Correction coming?SP500 is reaching a strong resistance zone. I think we will see a correction soon. I just reduced my long positions and bought put options on AAPL, COIN and KO for December 8th. I don't take too many risks with options. My big wins are with long positions, one profit on one long trade can erase the loss of 5 or 6 bad options trades. I've already made good profits on this rally, so I'm risking only a fraction of what I made on the puts I just bought.
Possibility of Correction for Bitcoin about Short Time FrameAs can be seen, Bitcoin is moving as expected within the ascending triangle formation, and we are currently on a stable path above SMA200 / 4H.
Considering the Fib support and resistance, a correction to around $35K can be considered normal. If we can break the limits in this area, we can see a correction to $33.5K or even up to FWB:29K , which is our long-term fib level.
GOLD - Higher Timeframe Overview ✨This may be against the trend or as my friend says "going against a tsunami" but there's technical evidence to suggest that we may see a drop in Gold for the next couple of months.
On the monthly timeframe we appear to be in wave 3 - which is made out of 5 impulsive subwaves. See below:
Wave 2 and Wave 4 are ABC corrective waves and on the weekly timeframe we can see that we are still within the ABC corrective parameters of wave 4 and awaiting the final C wave, which is a move down. We have the FED rate decision on March 16th which could really shake the market. We're expecting USD strength during FED and Gold is weighted against the USD and is inversely correlated. If USD goes up, GOLD should go down... eventually.
It is important that we do NOT jump in to shorting Gold early without seeing either of the following:
- Lack of buyers
- Any sellers
At the moment there are plenty of buyers of Gold due to the war in Ukraine - Gold is acting as a safe haven. Also, there does not seem to be any sellers entering the market... yet.
The key event to watch is the FED rate decision on March 16th. We could potentially see the start of the bearish wave C during the event. Once we see the first move down, we can prepare ourselves for an entry once we see a correction. See below:
It's better to wait for confirmation rather than try and call the tops and bottoms of a move. Plenty of money to be made after seeing the confirmation and it's less likely you'll be riding out drawdown.
Would love to hear your thoughts - leave your comments below.
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
Be Cautious On Palantir🫨Hello Traders,
My name is Philip and I am just an average stock and indices trader with over 4 years of trading experience💻
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➡️In today's video, I will analyse Palantir for you🫡
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➡️Let me know your opinion about today's analysis in the comments below👇
➡️I will only enter a trading position if ALL of my trading criterias are met!
Keep your long term vision!
P.S. Trading is risky and most beginner traders lose money!
Retest of 1972 by Head and Shoulders Pattern?Gold has found support by the trend channel in 1933-1945 and rose sharply to 1988 on Wednesday. But today it faced heavy selling pressure at the 1993 key level and corrected to 1980. There is a high chance, that gold will revisit at least 1972 and a potential Head and Shoulders Pattern is already forming.
You can trade the break of the neckline or a pullback towards 1986, if you see bearish signs at the red lines.
Important resistance zone: 1986-1988
Take profit level: 1972 and 1967
Crude Oil Found The Support?Crude oil is trading lower, currently showing blue wave C in late stages of a corrective wave B pattern. We can also see now five subwaves down within C from 88/89 zone, where final subwave (5) of C can be now coming to an end with a huge volume increase. We can actually already see a sharp bounce from the support that can be signal for a minimum three-wave recovery back to 80 area. If we get a five-wave impulsive recovery back above channel resistance line and 80.00 level, that's when we may call a bottom for crude.
TIA overbought going to begin a major correction ?Overbuyin
Drasticly volume decrase
Uptrend close to breakout...
I've start a little Short X10 at 6.821
Midrange short target: 5.25$
This is not a financial advice.
Do your own analyse.
Its just to share with people that is interested....
Have a good day !