Correction
The dollar remains strongEURUSD made a lower high yesterday and we now see a test of 1.0700 again.
We continue to watch for a breakout and exhaustion of the move.
While we wait for clear opportunities in the major pairs we are trading EURAUD where we are seeing a pullback from the support zone.
(We shared about this movement in yesterday's email.)
If the EURUSD continues to hold at these levels and the decline remains smaller than that of the AUDUSD, this will help the rise in the EURAUD.
CHFJPY I Potential return to the previous structureWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** CHFJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
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Correction wave is happeningOn D TF,
BINANCE:RNDRUSDT has completed the impulse wave at 2.95.
Now, it's correcting to around 2.2
Wait and see the first leg
AUDUSD I Brief correction and more potential downsideWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** AUDSD Analysis - Listen to video!
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No change on EURUSDYesterday did not provide any new opportunities for EURUSD and we saw a hold above 1.0800 levels.
At the moment, there is no reason to reverse the trend and it is more likely that the downward trend will continue.
On another decline, the next support is at 1.0736.
We will see how it reacts at this level and if has the strength to break through it.
A pushback from 1.0850 could be considered for short-term selling.
Will BTC Break and Bounce from their 200 Moving Average or Fall?In light of recent market trends, Bitcoin is set to pump due to its strong respect for the 200 EMA as a key support level, indicating robust investor sentiment. Coupled with increasing institutional adoption and favorable market indicators, this sets the stage for a potential bullish surge in Bitcoin's price.
While strong indicators suggest a potential upswing, it's critical to understand that market cycles are inherently unpredictable and don't always follow historical patterns. Investment decisions should always account for the volatility and risk associated with the crypto market, underscoring the importance of a well-diversified portfolio.
For an altseason to kick off, typically, we would first need to see Bitcoin consolidate or slowly trend upwards without extreme volatility. This stabilization often leads investors to look for higher returns in altcoins, pumping more money into the broader crypto market. It's crucial to remember, though, that these market cycles can be unpredictable, and risk management should be a top priority during any potential altseason.
"What are your top picks for the next altseason and why?"
"Do you agree that a Bitcoin consolidation phase could signal the start of an altseason?"
"What strategies do you use to manage risk during a potential altseason?"
"What indicators are you looking at for potential crypto market movement?"
"In your opinion, how does Bitcoin's current behavior align with previous market cycles?"
"What's your perspective on the correlation between Bitcoin's performance and the altcoin market?"
Bitcoin Is Finishing A Corrective DeclineBitcoin with ticker BTCUSD made nice and clean A-B-C correction in the 4-hour chart as mentioned and highlighted. We can actually already see it trying to wake up from the first 26k support area, but to confirm a completed correction, we need to see a recovery back above channel resistance line and 29k region. Just in case if correction is still in progress, then next deeper support is at 25k-24k that can be tested within an ending diagonal (wedge) pattern for wave C according to count #2.
Next stop 30-35K , when the big drop will happen?Sitting in a support inside 27K
Calm your hype; we aren’t in a bullrun yet and the botttom isn’t in. The correction and bear market isn’t over yet.
This is the perfect time to buy and then bitcoin should ride off along to get to the top which will take awhile;
I see this as a long term.
Please use proper risk management of your own.
When the big drop?
Big drop we should expect around 34K-36K then long term downside and correction respecting resistance back n forth. Then bitcoin will bottom in around inside $10K area of inside sound 8000$ area.
Should bottom in a month before the halving in 2024 and bull run will begin from there
BITCOIN HALVING DATE/DEADLINE: April 27th,2024
If missed any my recent post it be link related below. Trade safe y’all and watch reversals
Broken Channel Support On EURUSD Can Cause Deeper Correction“USD is turning up vs EUR ahead the US debt-ceiling deadline. EURUSD pair breaking the trendline support“
The USD is higher while stocks are still somehow sideways. The reason for the higher USD can be optimism and speculation about US debt-ceiling. We expected that they will approve it, otherwise, this will cause a lot of damage on the financial market. Yellen has repeatedly warned that »failure by Congress to raise the $31.4 trillion federal debt limit could spark a “constitutional crisis” and would unleash an economic and financial catastrophe for the U.S. and global economies”, as reported by Reuters.
USD is trading higher with US yields, and it appears there can be more USD strength coming when looking at the EURUSD pair.
From Elliott wave perspective, every five-wave impulse from lows/highs suggests a change in the trend, but most importantly, after every five waves there comes a three-wave correction.
EURUSD has been trading higher as expected and reached a new 2023 high, where we still think that pair can have now a “temporary” failure break to the upside, which certainly can be the case as recovery seems to be slow and overlapping up from March 1.0517 low. So, latest leg up EURUSD from 1.0517 low, can be an ending diagonal in wave 5 of a higher degree five-wave bullish, which is also a very strong bullish reversal pattern.
Now that EURUSD is turning down, we can also see the pair trying to break out of an important Elliott wave channel support line after a bearish divergence between highs of wave five and wave 3 which is usaully the case at an important top of an impulse. That said, we think that a higher degree correction can be underway now with next ideal support for the EURUSD this year visible at the former wave (4), 1.05 support area.
No trades on EURUSDWe’re still waiting for a trend reversal on H1.
Sells were end and there are no grounds for new ones.
Retail Sales coming today.
Pullback from the levels below 1,0840 and breakout of a previous top, will confirm a reversal.
Meanwhile we’re heading towards crosses and waiting for a confirmation on the major instruments.
We are watching for a reversal in EURUSDOn Friday, short-term selling to 1.0840 worked and EURUSD is holding above these levels for now.
It is recommended to move your stops and reduced the volume.
Watch for another decline and a possible reversal from the levels below 1.0840.
We need to see a pullback to enter, and a break of a previous high will confirm the move!
Reminder for Ethereum buyersSame for bitcoin but for Ethereum is a bit different. Ethereum had made of its own roadmap; so it’s going to be a bit of a roller coaster.
400-550 area is the bottom for Ethereum. The blocks from it going to be incredible before bitcoin halving in April of 2024.
History is slowly repeating itself of all cryptos ( some of it had gone there before).
The new uptrend needs to be created ASAP; old trendline couldn’t hold much longer but has to create new lows & new bottom to form an stronger uptrend.
The new high for Ethereum is $10,000 but I can see will hit $5,000 more before 2030.
Overall: The buys going be short and mid term just to meet resistance before the big crash and the bears are already back will be stronger than ever. Trade safe and watch any reversals do your thing.
Let’s make this bag
Reminder for bitcoin buyersReminder in case forgets; 15K isn’t the bottom.. the floor from it isn’t enough strength for the bulls.
The strongest floor for bitcoin to bottom in is inside $10,000 area; apparently about 10,800-10,200 area around there.
It be a lot lower only if it happens we will see because experts said 5000-8800 area; could happen maybe.
After the big drop the buy will be short and retrace to complete the correction; some will be short or mid term.. watch the reversals and the candles movements.
Where it’s at right now should be able to hit 35 or maybe 40K before the longterm sell off downturn comes around.
Anyways trade safe and let’s make that money
Elliott Wave Forecast: Dollar Index ($DXY) Rally Should FailShort Term Elliott Wave View on Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) suggests that the rally from 4.14.2023 low is in progress as a zigzag structure. Up from 4.14.2023 low, wave ((a)) ended at 102.23 and pullback in wave ((b)) ended at 101.02. The 1 hour chart below shows the starting point of wave ((b)). Index is now extending higher in wave ((c)) with internal subdivision as a 5 waves impulse. Up from wave ((b)), wave i ended at 101.43 and wave ii pullback ended at 101.1. Wave iii ended at 101.63, wave iv ended at 101.124, and wave v higher ended at 101.77. This completed wave (i) in higher degree.
From there the Index pullback in wave (ii) which ended at 101.04. The Index then extends higher in wave (iii) as an impulse. Up from wave (ii), wave i ended at 101.83 and pullback in wave ii ended at 101.21. Wave iii ended at 102.15, dips in wave iv ended at 101.97, and now the Index is looking to end wave v which should also complete wave (iii) in higher degree. Afterwards, Index should pullback in wave (iv) to correct cycle from 5.8.2023 low before it resumes higher again. Near term, as far as pivot at 101.02 low stays intact, expect dips to find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside.
AUD-NZD Will Go Up! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-NZD keeps falling down
But a strong horizontal
Support of 1.0599 is
Nearby and the pair
Is locally oversold so
I think that after the retest
We will see a nice
Bullish correction
Buy!
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