Nvidia - Massive rejection soon!NASDAQ:NVDA is clearly overextended after the +1.000% rally and ready for a correction.
Trees simply do not grow to the sky. And neither do stocks, especially Nvidia. I know that a lot of people are calling price targets of $250 and beyond, but we still have to respect gravity and the nature of fear and greed. Nvidia is simply overextended a retesting a 6 year resistance trendline. I do expect a correction between -20% and -30%, but also -60% is definitely possible.
Levels to watch: $120, $50
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
Correction
TONUSDTIs TONUSDT exhausting at resistance zone?
As the price is been on high bull run but now it seems like price is lacking bullish momentum after printing double top pattern at resistance level and bearish divergence( on lower time frame) suggesting the sell pressure is about to start.
If the bears took control , the 1st target could be 7
What you guys think of it?
Triangle Breakout in MHRIL...Elliott Wave Analysis:-
Triangle correction taking place.
triangle breakout happened.
triangle retirement taking place.
Slight bearish is expected before a raise
We can accumulate bit by bit in every fall with stop loss of 369.20 .
I am not a SEBI registered advisor.Before taking a trade do your own analysis or consult a financial advisor.I share chart for education purpose only.I share my trade setup.
BTC - A Healthy Pullback or a Sign of More to Come?Hey fellow crypto enthusiasts! Let's dive into Bitcoin's recent price action and what we can expect in the coming months.
The Correction Phase: Why It's Not All Doom and Gloom
First off, don't panic about the current correction phase. After the halving, a correction was not just expected. It’s healthy! Think of it as Bitcoin catching its breath before the next big sprint. We're seeing an ABC correction pattern, which savvy traders will recognize as a typical and necessary, market movement.
Timing the Market: When to Make Your Move
So, when’s this correction likely to wrap up? Our crystal ball suggests somewhere between July and August/September. This is the perfect window to dollar-cost average (DCA) into your positions. By buying a fixed dollar amount of BTC at regular intervals, you can average out your entry price, reducing the impact of volatility.
Long Positions: Entering long positions in the 50000-52245 range could be a smart move, considering the support levels and the bullish outlook post-summer.
Key Levels to Watch: The Golden Zone
Here’s where it gets interesting. The big kahuna level to keep an eye on is 50K. Not only is it a psychological level, but it’s also where several technical indicators converge. The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the smaller wave sits at $52,245, while the 0.382 Fibonacci level of the entire 491 day bull run is at $51,690. This zone also hosts an old trading range, known as a bullish order block. Translation? This area is packed with historical significance and potential support.
Fibonacci Levels:
Fib 0.618 of the smaller wave is at $52,245.
Fib 0.382 of the entire 491-day bull run is at $51,690.
Ichimoku Cloud: Your Support Safety Net
On the daily timeframe, the Ichimoku cloud’s edge (custom settings) aligns around the 50K mark, offering additional support. It's like having an extra safety net below a tightrope walker.
Altcoins: The Unsung Heroes
Don't forget about altcoins! Many have pulled back significantly, with some seeing 60-80% corrections. This is a golden opportunity to DCA into altcoins and position yourself for potential gains. Remember, during market corrections, altcoins often offer lucrative entry points for those looking to diversify.
Wrapping Up: The Bigger Picture
While the correction phase may seem daunting, it’s a natural part of the market cycle. The key levels around 50K-52K are not just numbers, they’re strategic entry points. With the support of the Ichimoku cloud there’s a lot to be optimistic about as we move towards the end of summer.
What do you think? Are you positioning yourself for the end of the correction? Drop your thoughts and let’s discuss!
With a clearer understanding of Bitcoin's correction phase and the key levels to watch, you're now better equipped to navigate the crypto waters. Happy trading!
Gold Keeps Consolidating Within A Higher Degree CorrectionGold has turned lower in the last two months, which has been expected as we saw market in fifth wave of an extended wave 3 after breaking to new ATH. Well, what we see now is a corrective pause which can come to an end in the near future, but possibly at lower support levels as the current price action here above 2300 can be a triangle in the middle of a three wave downward correction. We see nice support at 2222-2250 area. But, don't miss the alternate count, where wave 4 can be even a running triangle if price turns up now and breaks 2370 level. Bullish confirmation is above 2390 region.
BTCUSD: Time for a correctionOutlook for the remainder of the year. The ETF inflows have generally remained positive at new ATH levels, while volume remains low and price remains flat. This suggests considerable distribution from OTC sellers, namely longer-term holders, per HODL waves analysis.
It's been 3 months since breaking ATH in March, with price unable to move higher. The consolidation at higher levels remains bullish until $60K is broken to the downside (foodgates moment), which would confirm the current range ($60K-70K) as longer-term distribution, rather than accumulation.
First stop will likely be a re-test of the 50 Week MA around $50K after the floodgates for selling opens below $60K. With relatively low accumulation volume, I'm not expecting it to hold as support, but instead return to the 200 Week MA around $40K, likely after a re-test of previous support in order to confirm it as new resistance (around $60K). The 20 Week MA is currently around $63K, so below this level, there will already likely be an increase in selling pressure.
The Weekly RSI is otherwise facing rejection from overbought levels >70, similar to late 2021 (minus the strong bearish divergence back then). The culmination of breaking the 20 WMA and confirming RSI rejection by returning to $60K, would be the catalyst for the break of support. As also noted (N.B.) the Mid Pi Cycle Top occurred in march, around $68K-$70K, with price unable to maintain the momentum above this rising MA multiplier, unlike in December 2020 at $21K.(1) The post-halving "Miner Capitulation" has also been signalled by Hash Ribbons indicator, not so dissimilar to summer 2020 that encouraged consolidation and a miner correction.(2)
I'm not particularly expecting Path B to play out, unless there is a catalyst for a more full-blown capitulation, leading to a 65% haircut in price. Examples include ETF holders getting cold feet leading to panic as price goes below opening ETF prices , or otherwise some negative regulatory news. A -45% move down to $40K should otherwise be more then sufficient to build up momentum for a 2025 bull market reaching $100K+. Should price reach GETTEX:25K to $30K levels (path B), there could be a "delay" within the usual cycle, with higher parabolic prices nearer to $200K. After the 3x from 2017 to 2021 ATH, 2x seems reasonable in 2025 however ~$138K.
(1) www.lookintobitcoin.com
(2) capriole.com
#US30 Best selling opportunityPrice seems to be completing the fifth wave of an ABC bullish corrective move, after which it is likely to move lower to complete its third wave in a higher degree.
The conjunction of the two bullish channels is an optimal price level to sell.
For those who are more risk-averse, they could wait for a bearish breakout of the short-term bullish channel.
If you’ve found this analysis helpful, please take a moment to like, comment, or share your thoughts with me.
#oil bearish outlookIt seems like the price has formed a 5-wave bullish impulsive move and could now begin its bearish move.
For the bearish move to be confirmed, we need to see the price breaking below the bullish channel line and also closing below the VWAP.
Bearish confirmations:
Bearish divergence in the 4H timeframe.
Completion of the 5-wave bullish impulsive move.
Momentum oscillator in overbought (OB) territory.
If you’ve found this analysis helpful, please take a moment to like, comment, or share your thoughts with me.
Broadcom - Just be careful...NASDAQ:AVGO is quite overextended and retesting resistance so you have to be careful.
Broadcom is rallying. This is a pretty obvious fact, considering that Broadcom is up roughly +330% over the past 1.5 years. Eventually we will see a correction, the only question is when and where. Currently, Broadcom is retesting a resistance trendline which has been pushing price lower for over a decade. Maybe this is a good area to close partials and monitor price closely.
Levels to watch: $1.840, $1.140
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
Silver Slowed Down Within A Corrective StructureSilver is bullish on a daily chart and structure up from 21.90 is not in five waves yet, thus bulls can stay in play for $34/35 targets, where we see some strong resistance levels, so be aware of a limited upside up there.
But because drop is still overlapping on 4h time frame, which we see it as a three-wave A-B-C correction with a potential wedge pattern in wave C, new buyers can still show up, ideally here around 29-28 support area.
FLOKIUSDT | Another Small Correction Downside?🐶📉 Market Context
Are we on the verge of another downside correction for FLOKIUSDT? It certainly looks possible!
Strategy
Friday saw a strong move down, and we usually fill those wicks sooner or later. Given this pattern, we could see FLOKIUSDT dip a few more pips. This setup presents a quick 1.5:1 risk-reward trade—an exciting opportunity to capitalize on the market's momentum!
Let’s dive in and see how it plays out—stay tuned!
ELF Beauty (ELF): Ready for a Turn? Key Insights Inside!Following the last earnings call, ELF Beauty Inc. has caught the attention of many investors, with the stock surging 25% since then. However, we do not believe this signifies the emergence of a new super-bullish trend. Instead, we anticipate entering Wave B, which will likely lead to another significant pullback. In our view, the stock has completed Wave (5) of the first cycle and is now in the process of forming an overarching Wave 2. The exact duration and nature of this Wave 2 remain uncertain, as it depends on whether it will be a longer or shorter corrective wave.
In the coming days, we expect the stock to rise again, potentially reaching up to $207, which should be the maximum target. Just below this level is the high-volume node's point of control, which we expect to hold. It is possible that the stock could reach the high-volume node edge at $210, but it is unlikely to surpass this level. After this rise, we anticipate another sell-off down to Wave C, which we expect to fall within the range of $119 to $96. This expectation is based on the assumption that this is a zig-zag correction, where Wave C extends significantly below Wave A.
Before the recent rise, we observed a clear collection of liquidity a few days ago, leading to the breakout of the trendline. The RSI is not yet overbought, but it could become so in the coming days. If the RSI forms higher highs and the price breaks above the high-volume node edge at $221, it could indicate the potential for further upward movement. However, our current expectation is that the stock will hit resistance and then enter Wave C, leading to a deeper correction.
Meta Platforms (META): Ready for a Correction?We initially set our maximum target at $510, and the price climbed to $531—a difference of only about 4%, which is quite close given the magnitude. We're satisfied with our analysis so far and want to stay within this timeframe.
While it's possible that Waves 3 and 4 haven't fully played out yet, we need to consider that Wave 5 in Meta often tends to be longer. This historical pattern suggests that the current Wave 5 might have extended similarly.
If Waves 5 and (1) are not yet complete, we would need to see the price rise significantly, surpassing $575. Such a move would indicate that the bullish cycle isn't finished, and we might see a further upward spike before a deeper correction.
However, the RSI shows a bearish divergence: lower lows on the RSI while the price chart shows higher lows. This divergence is typically a bearish signal and shouldn't be ignored, as it often leads to price corrections.
Even though we have closed the gap, we believe that a further decline is possible, potentially down to around $384 to complete Wave A. An ideal entry zone for us would be around $306, with a worst-case scenario down to $181. This analysis takes into account both historical price patterns and current indicators to inform our strategy moving forward. Keep in mind even though META seems to be a huge organisation we have seen some bigger pullbacks in the past.
#nzdcad Elliott wave analysisAs you can see in the chart, it seems like the price has completed the 3rd wave of wave 3 and is now getting ready for a bearish corrective move to form wave 4 of wave 3.
During this bearish correction, we could expect the price to retrace all the way towards the static support zone. However, based on the three basic rules of Elliott Wave theory, wave 4 cannot interact with wave 1. As a result, if this labeling is going to materialized, then the price cannot go below 0.82190. And that's where our stop loss could be placed.
Commodities on the rise, but can they pull back?Commodities have been in a bull run since 2020, within an uptrend that can resume after the pullback observed in 2022. Analyzing the CRB Commodity Index, I believe that the pullback from that recent 2022 high isn’t over yet. There’s potential for a C wave that could retrace to 38.2% of the 2020 bull run. This may suggests that inflation might cool down, but much depends on the Federal Reserve’s rate decisions. Premature rate cuts could spur demand and drive prices higher, complicating the inflation scenario.
Up Up and Elliot Wave!? EU to March Levels and Beyond?!Here I have EUR/USD on the 4 Hr Chart!!
Upon deeper analysis of EU, the LOW created on Apr. 16th happens to be a NEW LOW since the LOW back in Oct. of 2023!!
Since that low, price has been in an UPROAR! Moving fairly Bullishly! Not to mention that it seems we could be seeing the end of an Elliot Wave!!
Price is currently at a STRONG ZONE tested Multiple times throughout Price action in the past few months but we are seeing this Level as SUPPORT!!
Now with the Current HIGH @ 1.08949 and based off the LOW @ 1.06494, we see our Targeted Fibonacci Range @ ( 1.08125 - 1.07717 )
**If Price is unable to Break down Below this Zone, We could be seeing the NEW LOW being the next best area for BUY OPPORTUNITIES!! W/ Range Target being ( 1.08949 - 1.09528 )
Fundamentally, EUR and USD both came in with Strong SERVICES and MANUFACTURING PMI numbers!!!
The only difference is:
EUR is looking at Rate Cuts as soon as July!
USD is looking at Rate Cuts as soon as Sept!
(*Fed unsatisfied by Progress towards optimal 2% Inflation meaning Rates stay "Steady For Longer"
Lets See What Happens!!
Gold can start decline to support line of upward channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Observing the chart, we can see that the price reached the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, and soon broke this level and continued to grow inside the pennant. In this pattern, XAU rose to the current support level, which coincided with the support area, and even rose higher and reached the resistance line, after which turned around and made a correction to the support line of the pennant. Later price reached the 2400 level again and then made a strong downward impulse to the buyer zone, exiting from the pennant pattern and breaking the 2290 level. But soon, the price turned around and started to grow inside the upward channel, where it soon broke the 2290 level again. Next, Gold reached the resistance line, and made corrections to the support line, after which rebounded up to the support area, breaking the 2400 support level. As well recently, the price rose higher than the support area and now trades close to the resistance line of the upward channel. In my opinion, Gold can rebound from the resistance line and decline to the support line of the upward channel, breaking the current support level. For this case, I set my target at the 2370. points, which coincided with the support line of the channel. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Petrobras (PETR): Bearish Divergence - Heading for a Dip After the market closed yesterday, Petrobras, a Brazilian stock, released a new earnings report. We're analyzing it in Brazilian Real (BRL) to get the most accurate view of the chart. On the weekly chart, we anticipate a mild but noticeable bearish divergence, especially since the beginning of 2024 when the stock has significantly appreciated.
There is considerable downside potential as we expect the completion of Wave (3), followed by a downward adjustment in Wave (4). The exact retracement level for Wave (4) is yet to be determined, but we anticipate a pullback to around 38.52% before the stock resumes its upward trajectory in Wave (5).
Our downside target is around 50 BRL, considering Petrobras' high dividend yield. This makes the stock attractive not only for its growth potential but also for its income-generating ability.
A closer look at the daily chart reveals potential scenarios for either the completion of Wave 5 or Wave (3), highlighting areas where bearish divergence becomes more apparent. This divergence is evident due to the significant impulsive rises in the stock over recent months and weeks, which have created several imbalances. Despite closing gaps and reaching new highs, a downward correction is likely needed before we can see further upward movement.
We anticipate that the correction in Wave (4) will take the stock lower, potentially reaching levels between 28.28 and 23.30 BRL.
Can ETH Outperform BTC?ETHBTC is one of those charts, which can be telling us that volatility is near. Loking at the daily price chart, it can be actually finishing a larger (A)-(B)-(C) correction, currently seen in final stages of the wedge pattern within subwave 5, with ideal swing zone here around channel support line , 0.045 – 0.040 area. So, as we have been talking about for a while, BTC.dominance might slow down and ALTcoins may kick in, so ETH may try to catch Bitcoin soon. Just keep in mind that the first bullish evidence for ETHBTC is only above 0.061 region.