Correctivestructure
Bulls Waking Up SoonLTCUSDT has seen a very healthy correction thus far (along with all other top crypto). Lets see if this is the bottom or not. I've since changed my position from a 5-3-5 zig zag correction to a 3-3-5 regular flat. A few weeks ago I missed the top estimate, but nailed the severity of the correction (I think). This seems to confirm to me that LTCUSDT and LTCUSD has seen a complete overall cycle wave 1. This correction end point will mark the end of wave 2.
First indication: The current price is jostling directly on the overall cycle .5 re-trace. Very popular reversal for wave 2.
Second indication: It is riding its lifetime uptrend. While I expect a breach of this uptrend before beginning wave 3 to create a new uptrend, I still think this is a very good indication for at least an end to correction wave A as it presents a psychological border.
Third indication: 1HR RSI shows large bullish divergence while 4HR RSI shows oversold breach.
Fourth indication: Take a look at the -/+ volume in this triangle forming as compared to the last week. Traders are getting restless.
I see three possibilities from this point:
1) Optimistic in Green - Begin overall cycle impulse wave 3 to 120s.
2) Realistic in blue - Begin correction wave B of overall cycle wave 2 to 70-85 region before beginning wave C down. I see this as the most likely due to the short time this correction has been running if it is truly a correction to overall cycle impulse wave 1.
3) Pessimistic in red - Charlie Lee is the devil and wants to watch the world burn with extensions of current down.
Stop set to 40.5 in the event of scenario 3.
Keep an eye on BTC as it's the one that seems to drive the crypto world.
Let me know if you agree or not. I welcome your constructive criticism.
EUR/CAD Broke Key Support!EUR/CAD is currently just under the the key support line. It has been in a downtrend for some time now. Currently it looks like it is in a small corrective structure and we are now retesting the key support level. If it retests and bounces down we are looking to sell, however if it breaks through the support and goes up, we would be looking to buy. Trade safe traders.
Dash In An Ideal Triangle CorrectionDash trapped in wave 4 triangle like BitCoin and LiteCoin. We assume that Cryptocurrencies are in positive correlation, so we have to track this triangles. Triangles are typical for wave 4, so we are expecting new highs in next days/weeks and @500 psychological level can be seen.
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GBP/AUD Looking to sell in the near futureGBP/AUD is nearing the top trendline of the bearish flag it is currently in. This if the key level at 1.63898 is respected I will be looking to enter a sell trade all the way to the bottom trendline and if it breaks out even lower. If the key level is respected the gain we are looking at till the bottom trendline is roughly 190pips. However, if the key level is not respected the idea will be voided and I will avoid the trade. Trade safe traders.
Correction Over or More Drop?This morning BTCUSDT entered my projected buy zone. If I counted right, BTCUSDT just completed an Elliott ABC 5-3-5 Zig-Zag style correction. I feel like It's pretty close to being done as it appears to have finished directly on the overall uptrend line. This point also terminates wave ((C)) directly in the middle of FIB 0.618 and 1.0 of wave ((A)) which are two common and reliable distances for projecting zig-zag corrections.
However, In light of China's ICOs trials: immediate customer payback has been ordered and ICOs have been outlawed. The way I see it, this could either cause more drop in the crypto market overall as money is syphoned out to cover paybacks or the money has already been syphoned out in preparation for paybacks meaning room to grow as customers re-invest into existing crypto. I have since changed my position from long to neutral and set buy/sell stops.
BTC still seems to dictate the market for the majority of alt-coins. This correction ending or extending should spark similar reaction in most crypto. I'm keeping an eye on BTC to decide what to do with my alts.
Please let me know if you see anything different or know something I did not account for.
Stop buy will be set to 4600 with a stop loss set to 4100. Hopefully this covers either scenario.
Elliott Wave & Harmonic OutlookI think we have a corrective bullish ABC structure being forming in progress , in which wave A is a Leading Diagonal , and the current wave forming is B which is WXY corrective pattern and can ends down to the pink 1.618 fibo level , but I think we have a good possibility for that corrective wave to end at the pink 1.0 fibo level as near that level an Anti Nen Star Harmonic Pattern will be formed . That green zone is a strong PRZ to the up side to form the final bullish wave C
as long as price holds below the dashed red horizontal line , short position can be placed to 1.0 pink fibo level , then look for any signal to go long as long as price holds above the pink 1.618 fibo level
A thread about STRUCTURE!This entire thread will be for STRUCTURE!
In the "idea updates" column I will be posting all types of
corrective and impulsive structures!
When it comes to trading the waves, the 12345ABC we all
love to draw when we first learned about the theory will be
useless (most of the time)
What we should focus on is if we're in correction, and if so
how the heck can we trade the next impulse!
Every instrument I look at i will post here.
As long as there is structure it will be fine to be posted here!