With tentative signs of stablisation in commodity futures and US equity index futures pushing higher in early Asian trade, the prospects for some form of squeeze higher in AUD/USD appear to be growing. You can see just how violent the selloff has been over the past two weeks, leaving it oversold on RSI (14) for the first time since August 2023. But the modest...
Cryptocurrencies are trading to the downside, and we are seeing some sharp intraday sell-offs, most likely triggered by risk-off flows. As you know, normally when stocks are down, cryptos tend to move in the same direction, especially when there are significant sell-offs in the stock market like we've seen over the last few days, triggered by missed earning...
Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. I always keep an eye on Gold to gauge the overall market sentiment. 📚 I found the latest correlation between Gold and ETH interesting ! You know what? I will keep this post short, as the picture is self-explanatory ! The question is... Who follows whom? 📚 Always...
INDEX:BTCUSD Bitcoin is regarded (in some circles) as both a store of value and an inflation hedge. But what if Bitcoin is a leading indicator of inflation? In the chart shown, we can see the various Bitcoin peaks over the years preceding local peaks in US CPI (orange). The US interest rate is in blue. The last 4 peaks in US CPI YoY have occurred between...
Dollar strength bottoms historically marked the tops of the Bitcoin bullrun. If the dollar is used to buy Bitcoin, then if the dollar loses strength, more dollars are needed to buy Bitcoin, right? Then if, in the future the dollar crashes hard, can Bitcoin make a super bullish rally?
CRYPTOCAP:BTC just printed a "magical" green candle, after a kinda "bearish" upward movement with a lot of divergences. No one was expecting an upward movement like this, and really caught bears and shorters by surprise. The short squeeze here was brutal and a lot of shorters must be in pain. Anyone could be asking themselves, "what the hell just happened?"....
The US Dollar Index TVC:DXY is negatively correlated with the macro Bitcoin BNC:BLX chart. Indicators like the Correlation Coefficient indicator will display swings from negative to positive correlation between TVC:DXY and $INDEX:BTCUSD. This can lead to a belief that they are not in fact negatively correlated. But, when you zoom out to a macro view of...
We cannot treat the Japanese market similar to how we treat the west. Traditionally, when a currency strengthen, the respective stock index will dip. However, here we see that whenever USDJPY drops (aka JPY strengthens), the NIKKEI actually continues to rally or at least consolidates sideways.
Since Microsoft bought ChatGPT back in March 2023, the price of NASDAQ:MSFT stock has gone on to replicate the same pattern as the 1987 S&P500 stock market rally. Does it mean anything all by itself? No. It still needs a catalyst for the drop to happen. The 1987 stock market crash had many triggers and catalysts and the drop was a sharp 40% from August 28th,...
This is comparing between the super trend of the S&P 500 (Cash) index and the US 10 year bond yields. Previously, for a good 35 years, bond yields and equities shared a strong positive correlation. (1951 to 1986) Then correlation swung the other way and for the next 37 years, we started seeing negative correlation. Falling yields with equities continuing the...
Quantitatively speaking all of my systems aggregated are long. There will of course, be a lot volatility. Like any other normal crypto upwards trending market. Not providing and esoteric uber complex system on here since they are private. Now with that being said, a myriad of things are in the right direction for HTF investing and also if you had a good...
In 2022, the stock market took a hit and the US Dollar gained strength due to higher yields in the US. Toward the end of that year, as yields eased off, the US Dollar lost some of its power, and this coincided with a rebound in stock market performance. Now, as yields are climbing once again, the US Dollar is regaining strength, but it seems like stocks are...
As traders look for signals on potential moves in the FX market, a frequent question I receive is regarding the relationship between the 10yr yield and the DXY. US 10-Year Treasury Yield: The US 10-year Treasury yield represents the interest rate on the 10-year government bonds issued by the United States. It is considered a benchmark for long-term interest...
When the DXY trends in one direction, Bitcoin eventually follows the other way. The DXY tends to lead Bitcoin a bit so waiting for the DXY to begin a new downtrend would probably be a good time to start putting money back into crypto/Bitcoin.
Wishes for a nice month everyone and let's all pray for logic and Peace in the World.🌍 🎓 November has started with a bang, and we're seeing some interesting movements in the financial market. 📊 🔍 Observations: Bitcoin's Rollercoaster: BTC took a slight dip today, even after a splendid performance post the Federal Reserve announcement. 💸 Inverse Correlation...
Mirror Image: NIKKEI vs. BTC Upon closer inspection, you might be astounded by the uncanny similarity between NIKKEI, Japan's stock market index, and BTC, the poster child of cryptocurrencies. 📊 Leading or Following? NIKKEI's chart seems to be almost leading the way, showcasing patterns and trends that BTC later follows. This observation highlights the...
WisdomTree has long-standing expertise in commodities, and this asset class constitutes a core part of our business. We aim to debunk several myths that surround commodity investing1. Myth 1: Commodities are only a tactical instrument Some believe that commodities trade in a range and do not outperform over the long term. Furthermore, they think commodities...
Not many if any definitory positions. This week in the market is very important in determining the direction of the mid-term. Current state of the market is ranging and thus trend following systems cannot be used. SDCA in place for the long-term.